US INDEX (DXY) To 99 in 2025hello friends
DXY has reached or a strong daily resistance zone and creating a double TOP and rejection 2 test on trend line gold markets are show u why its dropping technically there is many other things showing weakness in $ from there are Fundamentally also something not going good for $ so we don't miss type of historical moves share Ur thoughts with us
Stay tuned
Usdsignals
AUDUSD H4 / Looking for LONG ENTRY 📈 Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to AUDUSD H4. I expect a retracement from the resistance level, where we have also an OB. It's a good opportunity to entry long if the strategi is confirmed.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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USDX(Dollar) Must Continue To Extend LowerTechnical Analysis:
- As you can see the above daily chart, USDX is still doing a ABC correction in blue
- We present two possible paths - Black and Blue ( With actual data each path has 50% probability )
- The decision of both paths (Black and Blue) will be taken when USDX will arrive to the orange circle area
- Short term structure is bearish
- H1 Right Side is down
- H4 Right Side is turning down
Technical Information:
- Don't buy USDX (Dollar) now in short term
- We like to buy when wave C in blue and wave 4 in black are completed
US DOLLAR GAINING?DXY has been making beautiful moves on the chart as you see, so after observing these moves i concluded that it is gaining, and really from here on out we can buy the currency maybe till Friday, on Monday, but only provided we get a clear confirmation of the buy
Conditions: if we hold prices above the current support(previously a resistance), and the go up a bit till it comes back a bit to retest current support.
i trade supply and demand and trendlines, this is not a financial advice, only an analysis so if you could confirm your signals before taking stranger's signals, that'd be awesome
i hope you like the idea, and comment any questions.
Thank You for viewing
Could the USD be shaping up at another push lower? Hi, Trading view community and subscribers. Thanks for stopping by. Looking at the USD on the 4H, we see that sellers continue to hold prices outside a trend break. A mini consolidation continues to hold price action, but if the current seller momentum can continue to push forward and break out of the consolidation, this could lead to a new extension lower.
If buyers can hold support and rally to a new high above 103.70, that starts to cast some doubt on seller control.
Good trading
DXY Head and Shoulders may lead lower. Levels to watch.My most recent analysis on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) was a long-term one comparing the current situation to mid 2018, plotting a potential long-term Channel Up for next year but calling first for a sizeable correction:
This time I bring you back to the 1D time-frame where my call for a shorter-term correction may be taking shape after all, as DXY seems to have formed a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern (which is a bearish reversal formation). That leaves us with 2+1 potential downside targets:
1) If the underlying Pivot trend-line (green dashed line) breaks, then I expect DXY to seek the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up as shown on the chart and potentially make contact with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
2) If a 1D candle is closed below the 1D MA50, then I expect further downtrend towards the bottom of the blue Channel, which I expect to be the dominant long-term pattern as we move forwards.
3) If that breaks too however, I expect one final bearish target on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
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DXY 4H Golden Cross gives a Lower Low since March 2019Three days ago an important pattern that may have been overlooked was formed on the U.S. Dollar Index, the Death Cross. This is a simple illustration of the Death Cross formations (when the MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses below the MA200 (orange trend-line)) on the 4H time-frame.
As you see, since the failed March 2019 Death Cross (scroll to the left to see the rest of the chart), every 4H Death Cross has delivered a Lower Low after its formation. This is quite a sizeable sample, 9 formations in more than 2 years. In my opinion that makes DXY bearish (despite today's Nonfarm Payrolls report) on a 3-4 day horizon at least.
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USDCAD Can Go Lower
Welcome back Traders, Investors, and Community!
Hi Traders, USDCAD it is expected to go lower after the flag breakout however it might go at Pullback area before going down.
⬇️Sell now or Sell at 1.2515
⭕️SL @ 1.2583
✅TP1 @ 1.2366
✅TP2 @ 1.2260
✅TP3 @ 1.2135
We will have more FREE forecasts in TradingView soon
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Have a Profitable Day
USDCAD Has Formed a Flag
Welcome back Traders, Investors, and Community!
Hi Traders, USDCAD on H1 has formed a Flag pattern. After the Flag is expected to go lower
⬇️Sell now or Sell at 1.2614
⭕️SL @ 1.2661
✅TP1 @ 1.2495
✅TP2 @ 1.2378
✅TP3 @ 1.2258
We will have more FREE forecasts in TradingView soon
❤️ Your Support is really appreciated!❤️
Have a Profitable Day
USDJPY Has Formed a Bullish Flag
Welcome back Traders, Investors, and Community!
Hi Traders, USDJPY on H4 has formed a Bullish Flag which is a sign of Bearish move. The Bullish Flag has formed after the breakout of the support by a large red candle which is another indication of the Bearish move. It might go back to 110.93 before it continues to go lower.
⬇️Sell now or Sell at 110.93
⭕️SL @ 111.36
✅TP1 @ 109.65
✅TP2 @ 108.47
We will have more FREE forecasts in TradingView soon
❤️ Your Support is really appreciated!❤️
Have a Profitable Day
DXY entered a new 3 year cycle. Will it be bearish or bullish?This month's very bullish candle for the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is a transition one as it marks the end of the previous 3 year Cycle and the start of a new one. The previous Cycle was basically a neutral one, and it remains to be seen whether the current will be Bearish or Bullish.
The chart is pretty self-explanatory and as you see each Cycle is approximately 39 months in duration. This is a very consistent categorization which is holding very well since late 2001. What can make a difference right now as to what trend the new Cycle will follow, are the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1M MA100 (green trend-line).
After the 1st Cycle, those two formed a Death Cross (the 1M MA50 crossed below the 1M MA100) and the Cycle that followed was Bearish (ended with a Lower Low). Similarly after the 4th Cycle, a Golden Cross was formed (the 1M MA50 crossed above the 1M MA100) making the Cycle that followed a Bullish one (ended with a Higher High).
Right now we are getting closer to a new Death Cross. Will that mean that the new 3 year Cycle on the USD will be Bearish?
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EURUSD hit the 1D MA200 for the first time since May!Pattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Buy as the price not only (almost) hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), for the first time since May 28, 2020, but also made a Lower Low on the inner Channel Down (blue pattern) and a Higher Low on the 7-month Channel Up. Also the RSI got oversold.
Target: 1.21600 (right on the Symmetrical Resistance and the outer Lower Highs trend-line).
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DXY Sell SignalPattern: Triangle on 1D.
Signal: Sell as the price got rejected on the 6-month Lower Highs trend-line and right below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) which is untouched since May 29, 2020).
Target: 90.700 (a symmetrical zone), also right above the Higher Lows Zone of the Triangle.
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EURUSD Golden Cross on 4H. Potential long-term target = 1.2550This is a quick update on EURUSD on its price action on the 4H time-frame. The biggest development is the formation of a Golden Cross (the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) crossing above the 4h MA200 (orange trend-line), which is a technical bullish pattern. It is the first time that a 4H Golden Cross is formed since November 11, 2020.
If we look at the past 12 month price action, we see four Golden Crosses on the 4H chart (see the charts on the right):
* The Nov 11, 2020 Cross delivered a +4.40% rise from the time it was formed.
* The October 21, 2020 delivered a fake signal as the price had already topped and made a new low 10 days after.
* The May 21, 2020 Cross delivered a +3.80% rise.
* The March 04, 2020 delivered a +3.50% rise.
As you realize, there are more chances for a 4H Golden Cross based on the 12 month historic volatility, to initiate a bullish run. Assuming it posts the lowest +3.50% rise, then the next High could be a little over 1.2550.
That is not at all unrealistic based on EURUSD's dominant long term pattern which is a Channel Up, as shown on my Feb 03 post below:
Shorter-term charts on EURUSD posted recently that you may find useful are the following:
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DXY Sell SignalPattern: Channel Down on 4H.
Signal: Sell as the price is near the Lower Highs trend-line, replicating the October 15th fractal.
Target: 89.510 (the -0.382 Fibonacci extension).
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DXY Short-term outlookPattern: Bullish Megaphone on 4H.
Signal: Short-term buy as long as the Higher Lows trend-line is holding as the consolidation on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) is an indication of short-term demand. Additionally the RSI is on its Support Zone while the MACD is forming a Bullish Cross. Sell if the 89.900 short-term Support breaks. Attention, long-term the trend is bearish. Sell the spikes if you don't want to be buying short-term.
Target: The 4H MA50 on your buy and the 89.200 medium-term Support on your sell.
Long-term outlook:
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U.S. DOLLAR INDEX Sell signalPattern: Channel Down on 1D.
Signal: Sell as the price not only got rejected today on the Channel's median but also on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, potentially repeating the previous bearish leg of the Channel Down.
Target: 88.000 (the -0.236 Fibonacci extension).
*Reference* This scenario was captured on my last DXY idea, regarding the potential of the 1D time-frame. Take a look below:
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EURUSD Attention! Golden Cross on 1W formed!I want to post a quick notice on EURUSD where it just formed a Golden Cross (MA50 crossing above the MA200) on the 1W time-frame. That is the first time it forms this pattern since February 2018.
Even though this is in theory a Bullish Formation, for EURUSD on the 1W chart, it has been Bearish marking the top of the trend. On the February 05, 2018 1W candle it was formed exactly on the 1.25400 top, and the the pair started a 2 year decline that bottomed at 1.06300. Similarly on the December 30, 2013 1W candle, the Golden Cross was formed around 1.3900 and then after a Double Top 3 months later, the price sold off to 1.0500.
The RSI and MACD formations between the 3 are identical. Do you think the current Golden Cross on 1W will mark another top and cause a sell-off?
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DXY conflicting patterns on the 4H and 1D time-frames.The U.S. Dollar index is consolidating for the past 2 days within the MA50 and MA200 on the 4H time-frame (chart on the left). The RSI is indicating that such consolidating, within a Triangle pattern, is similar to the December 22-25 sequence, which after it broke ended lower with a new Lower Low on the long-term Channel Down pattern that DXY is in since late September.
On the 1D time-frame though (chart on the right), both the RSI and MACD indicators show that we could be repeating the September rise (which eventually led to the start of the Channel Down). Currently the 1D MA50 is the Resistance, but on the September rise it broke and peaked a few days later.
All the above suggest the DXY is still a sell but traders should reserve an additional sell for a potential peak near 92.000. Which pattern do you think will prevail?
Most recent DXY signal:
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U.S. DOLLAR INDEX We haven't seen the cyclical bottom yetFollowing the stimulus news this week, there is a lot of talk around the USD and whether it will rise or fall as a result of the rescue package. I decided that it may be the perfect time to look at the (much) larger picture to see where we stand. This is a simple study on the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) on the 1M time-frame, representing its Cycles in the span of decades.
As you see it is the perfect example of Sine Waves. There are very clear Cycle Tops and Bottoms since the 1960s. The Tops appear to be on average 190 months (almost 16 years), while the Bottoms 175 on avg so far, but based on the since waves they may follow a +20 bar sequence. As a result, while the next top for the DXY (which I have to add at this point that the sequence is Lower Highs) may be around 2032/33, the next Bottom (based on the waves) should be around 2025. That means that we are still a long way of seeing the cyclical bottom and the best course of action is to sell every rally.
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EURUSD The Channel now shows 1.2300This is an update on my December 04 idea:
The Channel Up is holding well and as the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) continues to provide Support, the next Higher High target becomes 1.2300. See how the MACD is replicating the exact same sequence of the previous Higher High leg.
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