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Forex Trade Planning: USD Dominance and Potential CorrectionToday's trade planning session highlighted the USD as the strongest currency on the daily Currency Strength Index (CSI), while the EUR emerged as the weakest. General CSI Overview: Buy pairs: USD, CHF, GBP, JPY, AUD Sell pairs: CAD, NZD, EUR In our H1 timeframe market analysis, we anticipate a deeper correction in existing trends. The wave structure for major pairs versus the USD has reached momentum high and momentum low 5. From this level, a correction of the trend is expected. It is important to note that significant effort and time are required for a trend reversal. Nevertheless, there has been a notable decline, breaking key structures in USDJPY, which could indicate a more substantial downturn for the USD and potentially lead to a larger secondary trend. Trade carefully and happy trading!
by Charts247TradingAcademy
Intraday the Aussie might lift but beating USD% D, W, TF? No On Friday AUDUSD looked to me a very strong case for long positions, at least going forwards a few days to a week. I took the trade Long, knowing the USD$ was strong, because that's what the charts were telling me on Friday, but today it's a difference story. The Aussie likely to get a small bounce now and further selling to then take hold later in Tuesday. But that has all changed with the Gold price selling off yesterday Monday, Gold selling and correcting in a bigger manner puts the US Dollar in a position of strength. Yesterday, I wrote how the US Dollar broke out with Bitcoin last week. But at some point, very soon I imagine, the USD$ will not be able to outperform and be in alignment with Bitcoin's continued outbreak upwards. But stranger things have happened, for now the USD$ is back and showing its strength against other currency's.
Short
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
How the U.S. Election Outcome Could Shape DXY's pathHey Traders! In today’s trading session, we’re closely watching the DXY for a potential buying opportunity around the 102.800 zone. Recently, DXY has been trending downward but managed to break out of that downtrend, signaling a possible shift in momentum. Right now, it’s in a corrective phase and approaching the retracement level near the 102.800 support and resistance zone. Fundamental Analysis: U.S. Election Impact on the Dollar Today’s election could significantly impact the U.S. dollar, with the outcome likely to shape future economic policies. Here’s how each candidate’s policies might influence DXY: If Trump Wins: A Trump victory is expected to strengthen the dollar. Here’s why: Higher Inflation and Interest Rates: Trump’s policies, including potential tariffs and stricter immigration, are seen as inflationary. Tariffs can increase the cost of imported goods, while reduced immigration may create labor shortages, both driving inflation higher. Federal Reserve’s Stance: Higher inflation would prompt the Fed to reconsider future rate cuts and possibly lean toward raising rates to control inflation. Higher interest rates make the dollar more attractive, as investors seek better returns. Tax Cuts and Economic Boost: Trump’s proposed tax cuts are likely to stimulate economic growth in the short term. A booming economy typically supports a stronger dollar as investors favor a robust market. In this scenario, DXY would likely respond positively, and we could see a strong upward movement. If Harris Wins: On the other hand, a Harris victory could weaken the dollar due to different policy priorities: Lower Inflation and More Fed Flexibility: Harris’s policies are expected to focus more on economic support, potentially through spending programs and fewer tariffs. Lower inflationary pressure gives the Fed more room to keep rates low or even consider cuts. Market Reaction: Investors may anticipate a slower economic rebound, favoring a weaker dollar, as demand for safe-haven assets like the dollar could decrease. Your vote is very important! Joe.
TVC:DXYLong
by JoeChampion
1
USDTHB a good runner when the Dollar is strong This pair has been quiet this week, which is why I think it will start running again today. USD CHF struggles a bit for longer term direction as technically price is below the the daily 200ema which of course presents a bearish scenario. What I also like about Long USDTHB is that you can see in the 30m chart its price action has recently exited a huge 30m falling-wedge & triangle that complicated its Long-momentum. The USD is expected to strengthen on the back of recent weakness, so perhaps it wont be long until this gets above it's 200 daily ema.
Long
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
1
USDJPY Approaching The 150 LevelHi Traders! USDJPY is approaching the 150.00 psychological level for the first time this year as the US dollar's strength continues. Here are the details: The trendline support on the 1W timeframe has held perfectly, and the market swings with higer highs and higher lows continues. The market has also broken above the 20 EMA this week, and we are looking for a close above it to continue the bullish momentum. The plan here is to buy dips near the 20 EMA if possible to target the 150.000 psychological level. Preferred Direction: Buy Technical Indicators: 20 EMA Resistance 1: 150.000 Resistance 2: 151.946 Support: 143.424 Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
Long
by BluetonaFX
$EURUSD Bulls are Back once AGAIN? - LONGEURUSD Financial Review: Navigating Current Conditions and Projecting Trends" Introduction: The FX:EURUSD currency pair is currently poised for significant developments, with a projected bullish trend following a rapid correction. This analysis incorporates both trend and technical indicators, providing insights into the potential future movements of the pair. Technical Analysis: Our technical analysis, conducted on the 2-hour timeframe using the w.aritas.io indicator, reveals a convergence of probability bands, specifically the On-Balance Volume (OBV) and Relative Strength Index (RSI), as well as Money Flow with Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). This convergence signals a stabilized market with reduced asset volatility, indicative of an equilibrium state. Minor fluctuations may trigger a bullish momentum, attracting further MoneyFlow into the asset. Anticipated Bullish Boost: We anticipate a bullish boost to commence as the pair approaches the critical zone around 1.08275 . Upon testing this zone, a light retracement is expected, followed by a resurgence of bullish momentum. This trend initially formed on October 16, 2023 , coinciding with positive movements in stocks and Treasury yields. Our projection suggests a continuation of this bullish trend towards our target profit zone, TP #2, around the 1.126 mark. USD Strength and Economic Resilience: In contrast to the EUR's projected bullish trend, we maintain the view that the USD is poised for broad strengthening into early 2024. This expectation is grounded in the economic resiliency of the United States and the Federal Reserve's cautious approach, with no imminent easing anticipated until the middle of the following year. These factors collectively position the Greenback favorably for the coming quarters. JPY Weakness and Intervention Concerns: Turning attention to the JPY, notable insights from Bloomberg.com highlight the potential for the yen to weaken by more than 10% due to the Bank of Japan's commitment to ultra-easy monetary policy. This contrasts with the Federal Reserve's tightening stance aimed at curbing inflation. The yen's potential decline, as suggested by Sakakibara, could reach levels near 160, prompting concerns of intervention by the Bank of Japan to mitigate its slide. Additional Context: For further context on the FX:USDJPY situation, readers are encouraged to explore the comprehensive analysis available at www.fxstreet.com This source provides valuable insights into the dynamics shaping the FX:USDJPY currency pair, offering a more detailed understanding of the factors influencing its movements. Conclusion: In summary, the FX:EURUSD pair is poised for a bullish trajectory , with technical indicators signaling a stabilized market. Concurrently, the USD is expected to strengthen, while the JPY faces potential weakness and intervention challenges. Traders and investors should remain vigilant, considering the nuanced interplay of global economic factors influencing currency markets.
Long
by wikitrades
3
XAGUSD - Textbook Break & RetestAnalysis: This setup is a lot like the gold one that we took earlier, so the analysis is pretty much the same. Price has been in an upwards trend for a while now, until recently where we've seen price reverse and start to head to the downside. In recent times we saw a huge bearish confluence form, which was a break of the upwards trendline that price had been respected. This showed us that the bears had the momentum to break the upwards trend and make a move to the downside, so this favours our bearish thesis. At the area of resistance we have marked out we can see that this is where the most recent lower high was formed. When this area was touched in the past we saw price form a big rejection and head to the downside. This move was also the move that broke the upwards trendline, so this is a very strong area of resistance and we're currently retesting this area. We expect that sellers will step in here and push price to the downside, which favours our idea. Another confluence we have to add to our bearish thesis is the 50% fib retracement level which is at our area of resistance. This fib retracement level is often respected and with this lining up with our area of resistance we have even more reason why we think it's going to hold and that this is where sellers will want to enter into the markets. We also have the retest of the previous upwards trendline. Often in trading we see support become resistance and resistance become support when the level is broken, so this is what we expect to see now. We expect that the upwards trendline will now act as resistance, favour our thesis. Technical wise we have a lot of confluences pointing to bearishness, especially from the area we are currently at. Looking at the fundamentals the USD is the strongest major currency currently, so we expect to see some bullishness come for the USD which would favour our setup. Overall a lot of confluences we pay attention to are pointing to more downside for silver which is why we have a short bias on this pair and with the news coming out today for the USD we could get the catalyst we need to see a continuation move to the downside. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you! Stay Safe - The JPI Team Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by jpeacockfx
22
XAUUSD - Are We Still Bearish?Analysis: Price has been in this upwards trend for a while now but in the last couple of months we've seen that change and price has started to reverse and head to the downside. In recent times price was able to break past this long term upwards trendline that we've seen be respected multiple times, which signals to us that the bears are taking control of the market. In this last week we've seen price pullback and start to look bullish on the lower timeframes, however on the higher timeframes we are still bearish and this move is just a healthy pullback before we see a continuation to the downside. We're currently coming to retest this previous upwards trendline for resistance and we expect that this will now hold as support often turns to resistance once broken. For more added confluence, taking the fib retracement tool from the most recent swing high to the swing low we see that the 38.2% fib retracement level is lining up with this upwards trendline and our area of resistance which we'll talk more about in a minute. Whilst the 38.2% fib retracement level is the weakest fib retracement level we still often see it hold and with this area lining up with other confluences, we have a strong feeling that this level will hold and that we will see the bears push price down further from this level. At this area we also have an area of resistance. We've seen this level get tested multiple times in the past for support and resistance so we expect that it will be respected as resistance again and we'll see price make a move to the downside. With the USD as well being the strongest major currency we see gold making a continuation move to the downside. With all of the technicals lining up together and the USD strength we are bearish on gold until stated otherwise and with the USD news that is coming out later today we could see the catalyst we need for the USD to gain more strength and incise the bulls to push the USD higher, which in turn would drag gold down. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you! Stay Safe - The JPI Team Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by jpeacockfx
10
USDJPY - Is This Just A Healthy Pullback?Analysis: Recently price has just been heading higher and higher on this pair, and we've been looking to catch this move for a while now but we needed to stay patient and wait for a pullback and that's exactly what we might have now. Price has pulled back to a key level of prior resistance and as we know, resistance often becomes support, so this is starting to look like a potential place to enter long. We're also still in an upwards trend as the most recent higher low hasn't been broken so this move to the downside is just a healthy pullback rather then a break of structure. At our area of previous resistance now turned support we also have the 61.8% fib retracement level which is often classed as the strongest fib retracement level so we'd expect that buyers would be sat at this area wanting to hold price and push it higher. On top of that we also have an upwards trendline touch, which acts as dynamic support, so we'd expect buyers to also be sat at this area wanting to hold price and push it higher. All of these technical confluences line up together and signal that this area could hold and provide bullish momentum so we like the look of this. We don't just have the technicals on our side but we also have the fundamentals too. Fundamentally the USD is the strongest major currency compared to the JPY which is the weakest major currency, so this massively goes in our favour. As of the most recent report for institutional positioning we saw the USD stay pretty bullish whereas for the JPY we saw an increase in long positions but we also saw an almost 2.5 times bigger increase in short positions compared to long positions opened. This signals that there is still more possible bearishness to come for the JPY, making it favourable to short rather then going long. With all of the technicals and fundamentals lined up together we have a very strong bias to the long side of USDJPY. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you! Stay Safe - The JPI Team Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Long
by jpeacockfx
4
USDCHF - Retracement Complete? Possible Bullishness?Analysis: As we're clearly able to see price was in this downwards trend however we've recently broken out of that trend showing a market shift, indicating possible bullishness. Price tried to push higher over the last month but we've since seen price pullback to the area where price broke out of and we expect that this will be a key level which will hold as support and price will continue its upwards reversal. To add to our idea at this level we also have the 61.8% fib level which is often regarded as the most important fib level as it's the one that is respected the most often, so this gives us more confluence to be long, especially from this area. Fundamentally as well the USD is the 2nd strongest major currency where as the CHF is the 5th strongest major currency so fundamentally this already favours our idea. Looking further though we've seen a decrease in long positions on the USD but we saw an even bigger decrease on short positions for the USD by institutions signalling again that there could be more bullishness for the USD to come. The CHF on the other hand had a huge decrease in long positions and an increase in short positions by institutions so this is telling us that we don't want to be going long on the CHF. Institutions have access to a lot more data then retail traders so if they are shorting a currency then there is usually a good reason behind it that the retail traders may not see. Institutions are also the "big money" in the markets so going against the "market movers" is a difficult game to win which is why we take into account institutional positioning. Overall we have a technical and a fundamental bias to be going long on USDCHF which is why we have a bullish bias. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Long
by jpeacockfx
53
EURUSD - Will The USD Become The Strongest Currency?Analysis: When we take a look at the technicals for EURUSD, price looks as if it's in an upwards trend as we're forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating to us that we want to long however this isn't what we see and we actually see early signs of a reversal happening. To begin with we have this downwards trendline. Although it has only been respected twice we expect that it will actually hold again for a third time and we will see price reject off of this area. Another confluence on why we think that this area will hold as resistance is because its been tested multiple times. If we look left we can see that price has come to this area before and we then saw a rejection. This has happened twice now and due to other confluence factors we see this happening again. Our final technical confluence factor that we have is this ascending triangle that we broke out of in may indicating to us that there could be some bearishness on the horizon. We're now retesting this ascending triangle and we expect that it will hold as resistance and that price will reverse back to the downside. A big reason for this setup though is the fundamentals so lets take a look at these too. Fundamentally the EUR is just about the 1st strongest major currency compared to the USD which is the 2nd strongest major currency but these two currencies are very close in strength. Whilst this looks like it goes against our idea if we look a little further we get more important data. As of the most recent filling we saw a decrease in long positions by institutions on the USD but we saw an even bigger decrease in short positions by institutions on the USD indicating that there could be some more bullishness coming to the USD whereas for the EUR we saw a decrease in short positions by institutions but an even bigger decrease in long positions by institutions which is bearish for the EUR. This is why we are actually fundamentally bullish on the USD over the EUR. so along with the technicals that we see we're bearish on the EURUSD. Just a note however, this isn't our favourite setup but it fits our plan. We know our strategy is profitable which is why we're taking this setup. We won't know the result until the end but what we know now is that this setup has an edge in the markets so its worth taking and we're confident in it. With that being said lets see if we get that move that we expect. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Short
by jpeacockfx
20
NZDUSD - The Bears Are Stepping In!Analysis: As we can see from the charts price is clearly in a downwards trend signalling to us that we want to only be shorting this pair to go with the trend. We can confirm that price is in a downwards trend by the fact that we're forming lower highs and lower lows and the fact that we have a downwards trendline which has been respected multiple times. Price has pulled back to an area that we're very interested in as its held multiple times in the past signifying that it is a strong area and we have other confluence factors at this level too to back up this setup. To add to this idea we've seen the rejection of the 61.8% fib level showing that the sellers have stepped into the markets which helps with our idea. We've also seen the rejection of the downwards trendline just as we expected would happen. This shows that the bears are in control of the market, indicating that there should be more bearish momentum on the horizon which goes with our idea. So technical wise we have a very good reason and bias to the short side but we don't just look at the technicals so taking a look at the fundamentals too, we see that we also have these on our side. Firstly we have the USD which is the 2nd strongest major currency compared to the NZD which is the 4th strongest major currency so this is already pointing to be bearish on NZDUSD but looking further to add more confluence we also see that the USD had a decrease in long positions and a huge decrease in short positions by institutions so overall this is looking bullish for the USD whereas for the NZD we saw a small decrease in short positions but a larger decrease in long positions by institutions which is a bearish indication. Overall we have multiple confluences lining up signalling to us to be shorting the NZDUSD which is why we have a bearish bias on this pair. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Short
by jpeacockfx
34
NZDUSD - A Deep Pullback Or A Breakout?Analysis: We took a trade on this pair the other day but we ended up getting stopped out due to the bearish news that came out for the USD however we're going to take another shot at NZDUSD. We are still bearish on this pair because we're still in a downwards trend. We haven't formed a higher high yet which confirms that we're still in a downwards trend. Price has pulled back a fair bit but we see this as a deep retracement and a great shorting opportunity. We're currently at a key level which has held multiple times so we expect it to hold again. For more confluence at our area we also have the 61.8% fib retracement level which is often seen as the strongest fib level so we have more confidence that this level will hold and that this is where the bears will take back control. Another confluence factor that we have is the downwards trendline. This trendline has held multiple times before, causing huge rejections so we expect that this will happen again which is a positive for this setup. Fundamentally the USD is the 2nd strongest major currency whereas the NZD is the 4th strongest major currency so this goes in our favour to be on the short side of NZDUSD. For more fundamental confluence we have an increase in both long and short positions on the USD by institutions which is pretty neutral whereas for the NZD we didn't really have an increase in long positions but we did see an increase in short positions by institutions so this is yet another confluence on why we want to be shorting this pair. We have had some bearish news come out recently for the USD however on Wednesday when Fed Powell testifies we could see some bullishness coming back to the USD. If the market gets any reasons to go long on the USD then we would see this pair drop and with all of the technicals and fundamental analysis we've done we think that we'll see the bulls step back in on the USD which is why we are currently bearish on NZDUSD despite the current market conditions. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Short
by jpeacockfx
26
AUDUSD - Deep Pullback Before A Drop?Analysis: To start off with this isn't our favourite setup. We don't have any added confluences which whilst aren't required for a trade to be valid in our opinion, they are still a nice thing to see and they provide more confidence. With that being said just because we don't have the these added confluences this setup is still valid and there are a few reasons why fundamentally. Firstly the technicals though. We're clearly able to tell that currently we are in a downwards trend. Price has made a pretty big move to the downside and we expect that this will continue. We're interested in shorting from this area however as at this level we have a key major level of resistance. We expect that this is where the bears will be sat at wanting to push price further down. Fundamentally the USD is the 2nd strongest major currency whereas the AUD is the 3rd weakest major currency so before we even look at any other fundamental data this is already going in our favour. Recently we saw a decrease of 14468 long positions by institutions on the AUD signalling to us that we might want to stay clear from going long on the AUD. Institutions have access to a lot more data then retail traders so if they are staying clear from buying the AUD then there is probably a good reason for this. Knowing this helps out our idea and is another reason on why we are short AUDUSD. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Short
by jpeacockfx
29
XPDUSD - Palladium Surplus?Analysis: When we take a look at the technicals we can see that price is in a downwards trend. We're seeing lows get broken showing us the bearish momentum. Price has recently broken below a key level of previous support which we now expect will hold as resistance. We don't really have any other added confluences to this setup like a trendline or fib retracement levels which is why this isn't one of our favourite setups but still one that we are looking at. To add more clarity to this setup we need to look at the fundamentals. The USD is very strong at the moment and each week we see the USD getting stronger so this isn't something that we want to be going against. One of the main uses of palladium is for catalytic converters in car exhaust systems but with EV cars taking over the market we're starting to see less demand for palladium and it seems like there could be a surplus of palladium which would push price down further. With all of the confluences factors that we have we see price continuing its downwards trend that it is in. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
OANDA:XPDUSDShort
by jpeacockfx
22
NZDUSD - Will The USD Rally Continue?Analysis: From the charts we're clearly able to tell that price is in a downwards trend, showing us that we want to be shorting this pair only. Last week we saw a break of this key level and we're now seeing that same level get retested for resistance and there is a good chance that this area will hold. For added confluence we have a long term downwards trendline which has been respected multiple times, this gives us more confidence that price is in a downwards trend still. At our area we also have the 50% fib retracement level which we could expect sellers to be sat at wanting to push price down which again works in our favour. Fundamentally the USD is the 2nd strongest major currency pair making it very attractive to buy. The USD also has been on a rally recently showing that the bullish momentum is there. The NZD however is the 4th strongest major currency pair so when we compare the USD to the NZD we have more of a bias to be bullish on the USD then the NZD which goes in our favour for this setup. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Short
by jpeacockfx
8
XCUUSD - Copper Demands On The Decline?Analysis: Looking at the technicals on Copper we can see a clear downwards trend. Price is forming lower lows and lower highs which confirms that we are in a downwards trend. Price has also been respecting a downwards trendline which again shows us that we are in a downwards trend. We're currently sat at an area that we're interested in as price has held this area multiple times in the past so we expect that it will again. To give us more confidence with this setup, at our area we also have the 50% fib retracement level which we suspect bears will be wanting to hold and push price to the downside which favours our idea. We've also got the downwards trendline close by which if price reaches we'd expect to hold and to further help push price to the downside as bears will be waiting at this area. Fundamentally the USD is gaining a lot of strength in recent times and it continues to, until we see this change we are bullish on the USD, so this goes with our idea. Copper demands have decreased recently meaning that Copper prices will decrease. Comparing the decreasing demand for Copper against the strengthening USD it's clear to see that we want to be shorting this pair which is why we have a short bias. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
OANDA:XCUUSDShort
by jpeacockfx
4
AUDUSD - More USD Strength On The Horizon?Analysis: Price was in a period of consolidation failing to break higher or lower until recently where we saw a break to the downside, signalling to us to look for possible shorts. We've now seen a great opportunity that we're looking to enter into and that we want to share with you. We've got multiple confluences going in our favour which gives us more confidence behind this trade setup. Firstly we've got the market trend which is to the downside. You can see this by the lower lows and lower highs that price is making. Secondly we've got a retest of a previous strong area of support which we're now expecting to hold as resistance. At this level we also have the 50% fib level which we again expect sellers to be sat at wanting to push price down. Another factor that we have is the downwards trendline that we can see. This is another area that we would expect sellers to be sat at giving us all the more reason to enter short. Finally taking a look at the fundamentals the USD is quite strong at the moment making some big moves back to the upside compared to the AUD which is still relatively weak. In fact the AUD is the 3rd weakest major currency pair, which helps out short thesis. Due to all of the confluence factors that we have we see price making a push back to the downside from the area of resistance we have marked out. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Short
by jpeacockfx
36
Thoughts on the USDThe DXY is approaching a ket level of resistance. The Fed is clearly a dove in a hawks disguise right now. They cannot crater the equity markets by rapidly increasing interest rates so they are choosing their words carefully. The Fed will likely increase rates 4 times this year, but they do it slow and steadily. I believe the DXY is overvalued and could be due for a crash when tapering takes place. The dollar is weak. Bitcoin is ready to replace. - T-1 seems likely after CPI news tomorrow - Expecting 7% or more - T-2 seems if T-1 is hit - Confidence will swoon in the dollar, triggering further sell-off - T-3 is likely during March (if interest rates increase) Good Luck, - Mr. Bitcoin Baron
TVC:DXYShort
by TheJonesPortfolio-100T