BTCUSD Analysis. i will long.Hello everyone. i want share my idea about Bitcoin price action.
We all saw Bitcoin bull run after ETF approval that means institutional are still in this game. at the moment last all time high we have at 73800, after that we saw rejection from sellers which tested well the strongest daily support.
If we we look at the picture from far we will see some technical signal which is head and shoulders, this technical movement gives me short signal but ill tell you some reasons why i think at bitcoin long.
First - Bitcoin has pretty bullish movement and this fall after all time high was logic, all market need correction after strong movement.
Second - Bitcoin touch to daily support at 61000$ where buyers long and we saw 8000$ movement in only one day. Yeah that's right bitcoin price came back to that zone but buyers are still active
Third - USDT dominance (index of Tether dominance on market) is still pretty bearish, USDT dominance after strong fall, came into 1 week Fibonacci high volume buy zone, got rejection from buyers but that rejection was not enough and for me it was correction of that index after strong fall.
Fourth - Bitcoin has still bull run, the last movement, what was today, for me that is continuation of trend and daily candle which closed 8000$ upside movement, after touch Strong daily support.
Here is my reasons why i will try to find low for open my long position. i will update that post with trading signal.
Always make your research!!!!
Usdtdominance
#USDT Dominance: When AltSeason?My previous chart was hidden by tradingview because of some mistakes. So posting this again with a little change!
Tether broke the long-term support of almost 2184 days. This is an amazing development in the price action. The current level is the point for reversal. If there's any big correction happening, it should be around the halving.
TBH, this chart gives me chills. Imagine if this keeps dumping, you'll see $100k in the EOY! Of course, the road will be bumpy, but sooner or later, it's coming.
Alts will have their time after the halving, Possibly June -July to September 2024!
We could see some massive Alt Rallies!
Invalidation: This chart will be invalidated if we break and close above 4.81% in a weekly candle.
Do your own research, no financial advice.
I hope this chart gives you some clarity over your trade decisions.
Please hit the like button if you found it helpful and share your views in the comment section.
Thank you
#PEACE
USDT Dominance The USDT Dominance analysis with which we confirmed the growth of the market. It reached the target range of 4%, indicating market growth. The next key area to watch is below 3%, where reactions need to be observed. The 4% level isn't significant, but rather a point where the market structure continues.
When USDT dominance goes down, it means that fewer people are using USDT (a type of stablecoin) compared to other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and altcoins. This usually happens when investors feel more confident in the cryptocurrency market and want to invest in different digital currencies. As more money flows into Bitcoin and altcoins, their prices tend to go up because of increased demand.
Need to check in which direction it deviates based on 66.4K-69KHello traders!
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
Since the 67K-69K section is located as shown in the picture, I believe it corresponds to the psychological resistance section.
Therefore, if support is reached around 67K-69K, it is expected to lead to a further rise.
If not, and it falls, you should check for support around 56K-61K.
The HA RSI indicator is an indicator created based on the closing price of Heikin Ashi.
Therefore, when the price falls, the HA RSI indicator may fall from the overbought range and a new HA-HIgh indicator may be created.
If a new HA-High indicator is created, the important thing is whether it can be supported around it.
(1W chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above 69K.
If that happens, it is expected to rise to the next target of 1.618 (88913.24).
(1D chart)
In order to continue the upward trend, it must eventually rise above 70231.38.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support and rise around 69K-70.2K.
Because the MS-Signal indicator was touching and rising, the area around 66.4K was the first buying period.
The second buying time is when it shows support around 70.2K, as mentioned above.
It was expected that we would be able to find out what direction the trend would take from March 16th to 18th.
Accordingly, you need to check in which direction it deviates based on the 66.4K-69K section.
The next period of volatility is around March 31st.
Therefore, it is expected that the trend created will accelerate or a major reversal will occur around March 17th.
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I think it is risky to forecast the coin market trend only through BTC charts.
Therefore, I think we should also know the movement of coin market funds.
As an individual trader, it is quite difficult to know the financial situation of the coin market.
I think you can refer to the USDT and USDC charts to understand the trend of funds, even if it is limited.
(USDT chart)
(USDC chart)
Funds flow into or out of the coin market through USDT or USDC.
This is because in order to trade in the coin market, you need funds to form a trading pair.
I think most trading is taking place in the USDT market.
Therefore, it can be said that USDT's movement has a great influence on the coin market.
If you interpret the USDT chart or USDC chart considering this situation,
- The occurrence of a gap can be seen as the basis for funds flowing into or out of the coin market.
- Candlesticks on the USDT chart or USDC chart can be seen as expressing increases and decreases due to trading.
Therefore, if USDT does not show a downward trend in the gap, it is highly likely that the coin market will maintain an upward trend due to the funds flowing into the coin market.
(USDT.D chart)
In that sense, I think the movement of USDT dominance is a chart that shows the funding trend in the actual coin market.
As long as USDT dominance does not rise above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to remain bullish.
Therefore, if USDT dominance rises above 4.97 and USDT begins to show a downward trend, I think it is highly likely that the coin market is in a downward trend.
If you think you have found such an important point or section, you need a trading strategy that matches the current trend until you break away from that point or section.
(BTC.D chart)
I think this bull market is centered around BTC or ETH.
Accordingly, I believe that most altcoins are not showing a significant increase.
Although, I believe that BTC dominance is currently maintained at the current level due to the rise of several coins (tokens).
If BTC dominance does not fall below 50, there is a high possibility that there will be a large decline due to the decline of BTC, so caution is required when trading.
-----------------------------------
In summary, the decline in BTC provides a buying opportunity until USDT switches to a gap decline.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Others.D v USDT.d --- Shitcoinz v Stablecoin ratio inv H&SPretty simple ratio to keep an eye.
Others is the crypto index minus the top 10
So our blessed Shitcoins
Pulled up this ratio today and what do you know
we have a inverse Head & shoulders that will help us for profit taking levels.
Best of Luck
ALTs to run hard into April / May is what I have been calling for.
So maybe we get to the linear target
.... Pause....
And then finish the job end of the year.
best of luck.
Money talks - bull@#$% walkzOkay Okay, its almost on thy edge :)
I ment money talkz bullz are walks if u dont get it (or Im not? ;)_
ANYWAY
tell me, do u like rarities? I do. Az madness az well, BUT its a different story.
Look at thy chart friend and tell me - do u see what I see? In the reserve it would be listed in the red book. THY LEADIN' EXPAND!
Yes u may disagree and say kinda "thats a rare rarity in rare case in thy sauce of rareness" and u will be right,
BUT TELL ME: what is the probability of meeting a dinosaur on the street?!
I say: 50%. U may, or u may not. With nuances
Scratch your heads, wise men-sagez :) Time will judge us
and PS: ROCKet if u UNDERSTAND, if not - just stand. still. and dont move. and make a brain groove
Legacy market volatility might boost crypto marketVIX is too low and USDT.D is at median value + almost flat for few months.
I expect huge volatility on legacy market. Rising VIX get this chart's value into around 4.
If USDT.D drops in the meantime this will be faster.
Anyhow, I expect crypto market will be more profitable or cause less damage to your wallet in the coming months.
This is just my idea and not trading advice.
Complete analysis of Bitcoin (time and price analysis)Hello dear friends
I hope you have used Bitcoin and Tether Dominance analysis (I informed the exact date of the previous 2 corrections)
We are at a stage of the market where it is very difficult to overcome greed, be sure that if the market was going to make more profit than this, I would have opened a long leverage position of 3 or 5 right now, but it is not the case.
Some friends say that Tether has minted 9 billion dollars during this period, this is a bullish sign, well, in the history of crypto, Tether has minted almost another 90 billion dollars, but it has never been able to break its long-term support line (Tether Dominance Analysis).
So from the psychological point of view, it has a strong impact on the price.
2 simple technical tips to prove the weakening of the Bitcoin trend:
1- After breaking the resistance of 53,000 to 54,000, in the 4-hour or daily time frame, the price moved without a pullback, and as you can see, a FOMO wave was formed.
2- This Fomo wave has formed 3 FVG (price gap) in a row, which technically closes sooner or later when the price reaches this area.
Taking into account Bitcoin charts, Bitcoin Dominance, Tether, and proximity to halving, the probability of price correction is higher than increase, so I open a short position with leverage of 3-5% and place stop loss 2-3% higher than time limit, in order to manage capital and risk. I will place it from the historical ceiling (target range of 53-54 thousand)
Friends, pay attention, maybe a pattern will form in the lower time frame (1 hour or 30 minutes) and its ceiling will break, but this movement is nothing but a bullish trap.
Time analysis: I think the time range from March 11th to 25th, is the golden 14 days of the market to enter the corrective phase, note that the market maker is in control of the media and will do anything to make people excited.
I suggest you read the previous 2 analyzes.
I would be happy if you share your opinion with me.
Give me energy by liking and following me.
Updating Channel for my Pervious Idea USDT.D + USDC.D I have updated my idea about CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D & CRYPTOCAP:USDC.D ...
We still didn't breakdown this bullish channel....
***Dollar's Dominance is opposite of CRYPTOCAP:BTC which means if USDT & USDC's dominance are up BTC will be down.***
Check it below in related ideas
Good luck
USDTD / USDT . D ( USDT dominance ) macro analysis ⏰Expecting target's
🎯 3.5% >> 4.5/5.5%
🎯 2.8/2.2% FINAL target 🎯 then return back 🔙 new high 💰 --- 9/11%
The index CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D is key 🗝️ role for crypto industry BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
If any leg below 2% then possible target 🎯 1.7/1.4% ( #imo not possible )
🤝 It's me your :-: RAJ professional trader :-: support 📌 share 🤝 boost 🚀
Just follow article for future updates 📌 TQ u
DOMINANCE IS ON HISTORICAL LONG-TERM SUPPORT WHAT'S NEXT?🧐MARKET CAP DOMINANCE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 🚨
In the weekly time frame, dominance is currently bouncing off a crucial support level that has been in place since January 2018. This level holds historical significance and is critical for the market. The market's proximity to this support suggests the possibility of a local top, although predicting Bitcoin's movements can be challenging.
Some investors anticipate significant losses, which could lead to capital inflows into altcoins. However, many remain optimistic about a breakdown beyond this trendline, given the deviation in current price action from previous rallies.
It is crucial to monitor investments and manage portfolios cautiously. While our market entry guidance was helpful, it is prudent to heed this warning. The weekly close will provide clearer signals for confirmation.
An interim shake-off before or after the halving seems inevitable, and preserving profits is paramount. The current bull run could lead to BTC reaching $140k to $190k, but a shake-off before that may be necessary.
This chart serves as a valuable aid in making informed trade decisions and is intended solely for educational purposes.
Your insights and perspectives on the charts are highly appreciated and can be shared in the comment section.
Thank you for your contribution.
AMEX:USD CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D #DYOR #NFA
Movement needs to be confirmed by around March 17thHello traders!
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-------------------------------------
The overall picture is as follows.
(BTCUSD 1M chart)
Looking at the TradingView INDEX chart, it appears that the new high (ATH) has been updated.
To date, the StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart has been maintained at the highest point of the overbought zone for up to 2 months.
Accordingly, the key question is whether the StochRSI indicator can maintain its peak in April.
If not, I'll have to prepare for a decline.
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
If the decline begins, the key is whether support can be found around 59053.55 (56090.42-61202.17).
If it falls below this range, it is expected to fall to around 42K-47K (44200-47600).
If there is support near 69000, the next target is expected to be around 1.618 (88913.24).
---------------------------
The reason why there are expectations that BTC will rise again even if it falls is because USDT and USDC continue to maintain a rising gap.
This is because we believe that the fact that USDT or USDC shows a rising gap is evidence that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I believe that the increase in USDT or USDC through transactions is expressed through candles.
(USDT chart)
(USDC chart)
Therefore, I think that for the coin market to show a downward trend, USDT must show a gap decline.
Therefore, I believe that the decline of BTC in these fund flows will actually increase buying power.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
In order for the altcoin trend to begin, I believe BTC dominance must fall below 50 and remain there.
However, if possible, I think BTC dominance should rise in the 55.01-62.47 range or higher and then decline.
Otherwise, if BTC shows signs of falling at a critical point, the fall in altcoins is expected to be large.
Accordingly, when trading altcoins, it is necessary to recover the purchase price as quickly as possible from a day trading perspective.
(USDT.D 1M chart)
As USDT dominance falls below 4.97, the coin market is expected to enter a bull market.
Accordingly, if USDT Dominus rises above 4.97, the coin market is expected to see a significant decline.
In order for this downtrend to become a full-fledged downtrend, USDT must show a gap decline.
-------------------------------------------------- -------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
As BTC renews its new all-time high (ATH), I think the likelihood of increased selling is increasing.
Accordingly, it is important to determine where the key support and resistance points are within the current price position.
Currently, the 66401.82-69000 area is considered to be an important support and resistance area.
To confirm this, you can check the movement of altcoins when BTC falls to the 66401.82-69000 range.
The StochRSI indicator is expected to touch the top of the overbought zone.
Accordingly, the 66401.82-69000 section is expected to be an important section.
(1D chart)
If the new high (ATH) is renewed and the upward trend is maintained, there is no way to know what will happen in the future.
Accordingly, a predictable picture is drawn using the chart tool.
A representative charting tool is the Fibonacci ratio.
The 1.27 (73308.95) and 1.414 (79765.89) points indicated by the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool are likely to serve as resistance zones.
However, since the ratio that has an important meaning in the Fibonacci ratio is 0.618, it is believed that if the price surges, it is highly likely to touch around 1.618 (88913.24).
To maintain this upward trend, we need to see if we can find support near the previous high point of 69000 and rise further.
This volatility period lasts until March 11th.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained above 66401.82.
The next period of volatility is around March 31st.
However, it is necessary to check the movement around March 17 (March 16-18).
This is because there is a possibility that a trend will slowly form around March 17th (March 16th-18th).
As of now, the short-term downtrend turning point is 1 (61202.17).
Accordingly, it is important whether there is support or resistance around 56150.01-61202.17.
----------------------------------------
The gist of the above is
- If USDT maintains its gap upward trend, it is expected to eventually maintain its upward trend even if BTC falls.
- In order to see a major uptrend in altcoins, BTC dominance must fall below 50.
However, it is thought that it is highly likely that the altcoin bull market will be maintained only if BTC dominance rises in the 55.01-65.47 range or higher and then falls.
If not, you need to be careful when trading as altcoins are likely to see a large decline when BTC appears to be falling at a critical point.
- If BTC falls below 61202.17, it is highly likely to turn into a short-term downtrend.
Accordingly, it is important whether support or resistance is received around 56150.01-61202.17.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
USDT Dominance
This was the Dominance Tether analysis with which we confirmed the growth of the market. It reached the target range of 4%, indicating market growth. The next key area to watch is below 3%, where reactions need to be observed. The 4% level isn't significant, but rather a point where the market structure continues.
weekly outlookHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
It appears to be breaking upward through the 0.886 (56227.18) to 1 (61338.93) range, which was considered a resistance range.
Accordingly, it has become important to be able to maintain the price above 1 (61338.93).
The next target is around 1.618 (89050.0).
The key is whether it will rise like this and touch, or whether it will create a pull back pattern and rise.
To date, the maximum period for which the StochRSI indicator remained at the top of the overbought zone was two months.
(1W chart)
Looking at the 1W chart, the maximum resistance area is around 66401.82.
Therefore, it is judged that the upward trend will continue only when it breaks above 66401.82.
If it fails to break above 66401.82 and falls below 59035.55, it is likely to turn into a downtrend.
However, there is a possibility that the downtrend will continue only if it falls further below 53256.64, so you should think about a response plan for the 53256.64-59035.55 range.
If the downtrend that started like this is truly a downtrend, it is expected to fall below 44200-47600 and show resistance.
Otherwise, if it receives support around 44200-47600 and rises, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and continue the upward trend.
--------------------------------------------
(BTC.D 1M chart)
In order to achieve a big bull market, BTC dominance must show a decline.
Otherwise, if it becomes a bull market in which only BTC and ETH rise, or if BTC appears to be about to fall slightly, altcoins will see a large decline.
Therefore, it is believed that BTC dominance must fall below 50 and be maintained to create a stable bull market.
(USDT.D 1M chart)
USDT dominance is expected to remain below 4.97 for the coin market to remain bullish.
However, if it falls below 4.16 and then rises above 4.16 to around 4.97, the coin market as a whole is expected to see a large decline.
At this time, you need to check whether BTC dominance has risen to the 55.01-62.47 range or higher, or is maintained around 50.
This is because it is thought that if BTC rises in the 55.01-62.47 range or higher and is supported around 44200-47600 and rises, there is a high possibility that a major bull market will begin.
If BTC dominance remains around 50 and then declines, the coin market will also see a large increase.
Unlike previous BTC halvings, this time BTC and ETH are maintaining an upward trend alternately.
Accordingly, it is believed that BTC dominance shows no direction and shows sideways movements.
However, it is thought that it is unlikely that the bull market will continue while maintaining the current level of BTC dominance, so it is necessary to check the direction of BTC dominance.
----------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
We talked about the mid- to long-term perspective with the 1M chart and 1W chart, but the immediate movement, that is, the short-term perspective, may be more important.
The reason is that it rose near the new high (ATH).
It is currently supported around 1 (61338.93) and is showing an upward trend.
However, since StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, I think we need to hold the price above 63660.11 to break out of this situation.
If it shows resistance around 63660.11, it will fall back to around 1 (61338.93).
Therefore, from a short-term perspective, the key is which direction it deviates from the 1 (61338.93) to 63660.11 range and maintains it.
If it breaks above 63660.11, it can be purchased through day trading and the target is around 66401.82.
If it falls below 1 (61338.93), you should check for support around 59053.55.
The next period of volatility will be around March 10 (March 9-11).
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
BTC Incoming Reversal Based on USDT DominanceThis massive trend line on USDT dominance coming all the way from 2018 has been a key metric for identifying major INDEX:BTCUSD reversals into downtrends. Historically, when the CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D bounced on that trend line, we saw significant downtrends start to form.
The current level required by CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D to hit the trend line is between 3.65% and 3.85%. Currently, we are at 4% and moving to target slowly.
Will this time be different and we break the trend?
Starting new movement? USDT dominanc Triggeraccording to the previous analysis:
breaking out the trigger line could be a good confirmation for new positions and a rejection could be a profit save.
what do you think?
This analysis is solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Always conduct your own research and employ sound risk management practices before trading.
USDT.D Analysis: $ Dominance Dips, Opening Doors for Crypto?Hey traders,
Let's dive into Tether Dominance CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D and see what it might mean for the crypto market.
Channel Cracked:
USDT.D used to chill in a monthly channel for a while. But recently, it decided to break free, potentially paving the way for a continued decline in dollar dominance, reaching the next weekly resistance level.
RSI Bouncing Back (Maybe):
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) just stepped out of the oversold zone. This could signal a potential price bounce or a period of consolidation (think of it as the market taking a breather).
Crypto on the Rise?
As long as dollar dominance keeps falling, more money might flow into cryptocurrencies, potentially pushing their prices up.
Bitcoin's Buddies:
If this dollar decline happens alongside Bitcoin price fluctuations and a dip in its own dominance, we could see altcoins surge in an epic way!
The US Dollar Factor:
One big question mark: how will US policies affect the dollar's value and, in turn, crypto prices? Only time will tell.
Time to Take Profits?
If the RSI exits the oversold zone, it might be a good time to consider closing out your long positions (selling your crypto) or taking some profits off the table.
Remember:
This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Do your own research and use proper risk management before making any trades.
USDT DominanceCryptocurrency This was the Dominance Tether analysis with which we confirmed the growth of the market.
It reached the target range of 4%, indicating market growth. The next key area to watch is below 3%, where reactions need to be observed. The 4% level isn't significant, but rather a point where the market structure continues.