USDT Tether Dominance Overview: Scam Or Altseason?Hello, Skyrexians!
Today we are going to continue observe the charts which can be the evidences of potential altseason. Earlier we pointed out the Bitcoin dominance reversal and the potential impulsive wave 5 for altcoins dominance . Today we are going to look at the another very important chart of CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D to understand if we will see the altseason in the nearest future.
Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. Globally the chart is in huge uptrend, but last 2 years it is decreasing. We can count this dump as a major correction ABC in the super cycle. Waves A and B have been already printed. Wave B reached 0.61 Fibonacci of wave A, it can give us a great confidence that now USDT is in wave C. Moreover at the top of wave B our Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator has printed the red dot, the huge bearish signal, as a result it's dumping now. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
Wave C has the clear target between 1 and 1.61 Fibonacci extension levels of wave A. Now this zone is located inside the 1.55% and 2.77%. This is significant move which can cause altseason or this dump can be caused by some issues for Tether. Nobody knows, but finally there is a high chance that USDT is going to remain the position of the most popular stable coin.
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Skyrexio Team
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Usdtdominance
Watching whether it can rise above 98821.58
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It's the same idea as the previous one.
The key is whether it can maintain the M-Signal and MS-Signal indicators on the 1D chart until around December 27.
In order for the uptrend to start, it is expected to start by rising above 97821.58 and showing support.
If it fails to rise above 97821.58, it will eventually fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
Therefore, the 95904.28-98892.0 section is an important support and resistance section.
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USDT, USDC are still showing an upward trend.
(BTC.D 1D chart)
The point of interest is whether it can fall below 55.01 by falling near the MS-Signal indicator.
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The point of interest is whether it can meet resistance near the 3.92-4.31 range and maintain a downward trend.
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I think the gap increase of USDT, USDC is a trace of funds flowing into the coin market.
On the other hand, I think the gap decrease is a trace of funds flowing out of the coin market.
If BTC dominance falls below 55.01 and is maintained or continues to decline, an altcoin bull market is expected to begin.
USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 2.84 and maintain an upward trend in the coin market.
Accordingly, if it touches around 2.84 and rises, the coin market is likely to face a sharp decline.
Also, if it rises above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a bear market.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The point to watch is whether it can receive support and rise around the important support and resistance area of 95904.28-98892.0.
The next period of volatility is expected to be around December 27, so we need to check whether it can continue sideways until then.
This movement can be seen as a task to reduce the gap of the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts or to reset the StochRSI indicator.
If it falls below the M-Signal and MS-Signal indicators on the 1D chart, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, if the HA-Low and BW(0) indicators are generated, the key is whether there is support around that area.
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When the StochRSI indicator falls below the 50 point range, if it shows resistance below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is necessary to first check whether there is support around 87.8K-89K.
In order to continue the upward trend, it must rise above 97821.58 and show support.
Therefore, if it fails to rise above 97821.58, it will eventually fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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USDT UPDATE (4H)First of all you should know that "USDT Dominance" is always moving inverse of BTCUSDT .
It seems that Tether Dominance has entered a large C wave.
There are numerous requests to determine the market direction in this situation.
Based on our analyses, it seems that Tether dominance will move as follows.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDT Dominance Breakdown Ahead?USDT Dominance (USDT.D) has formed a bearish inverted cup and handle pattern, pointing to a big move soon!
The weekly chart of USDT dominance shows a clear bearish inverted cup and handle pattern, with a significant breakdown below the neckline. The projected target suggests a potential 60% decline, which could take the dominance to the 1.6-2% range.
This might indicate a shift in market dynamics, with capital rotating from stablecoins into altcoins or Bitcoin. A key moment to watch for crypto traders.
What’s your take on this? Could this spark an altcoin rally?
Possibility of sideways until the next volatility period
(Title) The key is whether sideways can occur until the next volatility period
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(USDT 1D chart)
(USDC 1D chart)
(BTC.D 1D chart)
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The point to watch for USDT and USDC is whether they can maintain their upward trend.
BTC dominance failed to fall below 55.01 and is showing signs of touching the MS-Signal indicator.
The key is whether it can meet resistance near the MS-Signal indicator and fall.
The key is whether USDT dominance can meet resistance near the 3.92-4.31 range and fall.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance needs to fall below 55.01 and remain there or continue to fall.
For the coin market itself to maintain an upward trend, I think that USDT dominance needs to remain below 4.97 or continue to fall.
Therefore, we need to check whether the content I mentioned above is maintained or whether it satisfies the content for BTC.
----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
As I mentioned yesterday, there has been a movement in BTC dominance and USDT dominance.
However, I think that for the trend to change, it depends on how BTC moves around 95904.28-98892.0.
That is, if the price is maintained around 95904.28-98892.0 until around December 27, I think it is highly likely that the StochRSI indicator will be reset and the upward trend will continue.
Otherwise, if it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, that is, below the MS-Signal indicator, and shows resistance, it is likely to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
This movement can be seen as a pull back due to profit taking to relieve fatigue from the upward trend that has continued so far.
I think this can be seen as profit taking for the upward trend that started in 2023.
-
Due to this decline, the BW(100) indicator is showing signs of being created at the 101109.59 point and the HA-High indicator at the 97821.58 point.
Accordingly, we can see that the high point section has risen.
Therefore, if the HA-High indicator is generated at the 97821.58 point, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around this area.
In any case, what we need to look at importantly is whether it can be supported and rise around the M-Signal and MS-Signal indicators on the 1D chart.
The key is whether it can be maintained until the next volatility period, around December 27th.
To do so, I think funds should flow out of altcoins and the price of BTC should be defended.
I think it is currently showing that pattern, but I will have to wait and see a little longer.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
USDT.D retest 5.5%?USDT.D been falling for 90days with no real retests, this might be it.
Also fully completed previous projection of a Dump.
Fibb Golden zone around 5.5%
Also BTC looks like it's in Diamond Top pattern. If that plays out we might see CRYPTOCAP:BTC at $85k.
But this is Bullrun so probably some Elon musk post will randomly revive market out of nowhere and the dump will stop mid way.
Keep eyes on twitter.
USDT DOMINANCE is close to a strong support levelThis analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
First of all you should know that "USDT Dominance" is always moving inverse of BTCUSDT .
It seems that Tether Dominance has entered a large C wave.
If we reduce the time frame and want to analyze the movements of Tether (USDT) dominance more precisely, It seems that the asset is forming either a diametric or a triangle pattern.
In this scenario, we are focusing on the diametric pattern. From the green zone, the price could create an upward correction.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDT Dominance Weekly UpdateUSDT dominance continues to trend downward within a clearly defined descending channel. Recent price action shows a rejection from the upper boundary near the 100-MA, reinforcing the potential for further downside.
Current Market Dynamics
Descending Channel:
USDT's dominance remains in a declining channel, characterized by consistent lower highs and lower lows. This signals a weakening trend as market participants shift toward riskier assets.
100-Moving Average (Purple Line):
A breakout attempt above the 100-MA was met with rejection, underscoring strong resistance at this level.
Bearish Momentum:
A sharp downward projection (illustrated by the brown arrow) indicates the potential for further decline in dominance over the coming sessions.
Key Levels to Watch
Support Levels:
Immediate Support: 3.65%–3.70% (lower channel boundary).
Critical Support: 3.50% (long-term key level).
Resistance Levels:
First Resistance: 4.00%–4.05% (200-MA).
Key Resistance: 4.20% (upper channel boundary).
Outlook
Bearish Scenario:
A break below the 3.65% support could trigger a deeper drop toward the 3.50% level.
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 4.05% and the 100-MA would invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially leading to a retest of the 4.20% resistance zone.
Conclusion
The technical setup highlights strong bearish momentum in USDT dominance. However, key levels will determine the next direction. Traders should remain vigilant for a decisive breakout or breakdown in the coming sessions.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
@Peter_CSAdmin
USDT.D UpdateAs I told you in my previous analysis, it seemed CryptoMarket was ready for a correction and here we are
The overview on this index has not changed much and it seems we can get a recovery on this index to the highlighted target areas
Qude suggest you not to be greedy in your trades this week and wait for deeper corrections and pullbacks in different coins in the market
Usdt.d tether dominance Please give me your idea:))
White or red?:))
This dominance can make sense and show us a little more about total Market
But this chart shows me a real good 2 deeps on good support area:)
We can see the Btc starting to correction if this scenario of dominance happen:)
But the red scenario shows the bullish Btc and raising green market:)
Please give me your idea by comment:)
Thx
USDT dominance is in a downtrend and it is expected to continuThe CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D dominance chart is currently in a downtrend and, based on technical analysis, is expected to continue declining until it reaches approximately 2.25%. At that point, a rebound is anticipated, potentially leading to a renewed upward trend.
Market sentiment has been buoyed by optimism surrounding the Trump election, with investors displaying a willingness to take on more risk in hopes of an improving economic environment. However, this positive outlook is unlikely to persist indefinitely. By Q1 2025, fears and uncertainties are expected to resurface, driven by factors such as ongoing geopolitical conflicts, persistent inflation, a housing crisis, and other adverse economic developments.
While the Trump administration's tariff strategies may provide short-term headlines, they are unlikely to deliver significant improvements to the U.S. position on the global stage. Meanwhile, the BRICS nations, along with China, India, and other East Asian economies, are expected to maintain stronger growth trajectories and better overall prospects.
As the election-driven optimism settles, the markets are likely to shift focus, triggering a period of de-risking. Crypto assets, in particular, may experience increased selling pressure during this phase.
Looking ahead, I expect USDT dominance to begin rising in February or March 2025, potentially peaking around May or June as market conditions shift back toward risk aversion.
USDT the big rebound - The Rise from the Ashesin my newest finding i will tell you about USDT rise from the Ashes
as you can see we build a very volume heavy low
corresponding to a low in March and a really good rebound is about to happen
be prepared for heavy downturns in the crypto market
as always, just my opinion and looking for ppl who share thougths on it
no trading advice
Total Market Cap 2 and Total 3 + USDT.D Market WarningsIn this video, I briefly review the USDT.T bear market signals I covered in a recent video below.
But also noticing that Total 2, Total 3 and also the OTHERS are either hitting or very close to hitting their all time highs from the prior market cycle in 2021, which was the start of the Bear.
I do think we see more profit taking Monday afternoon into Tuesday through Thursday which is projected Dec 5th market cycle low from a cycles perspective.
Notice how the alts have been flying the last few days, and this weekend -- setting us up for major profit taking tomorrow and to fool all the new crypt tourists into buying the highs.
Protection capital here IMO and wait to buy back lower.
Let me know your thoughts, and please like the video if you found value.
- Brett
PS> My other Bear Market indicator fired today when I went out for Italian at my favorite local restuarant (sneaking in right at closing time as usual b/c I work 14 hour days)... and the bus-boy saw my Bitcoin hat -- and starting giving me crypto tips!
This is like the 'Taxi Cab' indicator of 1999, when the cabbie started giving me stock recommendations ... I had a feeling the top was in!
USDT Dominance likely to show a rebound.Here’s a quick update on USDT Dominance (USDT.D):
The last time I posted about USDT.D, I specifically mentioned a drop to 3.8%, followed by a rebound. Currently, USDT.D has reached 4% and has dipped as low as 3.95% so far.
This is a point where we need to stay vigilant with our positions.
If the rebound happens anywhere near the support level, it’s likely to push USDT.D back to the trendline or resistance at 4.8%. Such a move could trigger a healthy correction in the market—in other words, a final chance to buy the dip.
With just one day left until the weekly close, let’s observe the market carefully.
Always conduct your own research and analysis before investing.
Analyzing Liquidity Dominance: Key Data Insights
The chart provided offers a comprehensive view of Liquidity Dominance within the cryptocurrency market, showcasing pivotal relationships between market activity, trading volume, and liquidity flow. This analysis dissects the chart and explores key patterns, trends, and their implications for traders and investors.
Understanding Liquidity Dominance
Liquidity dominance represents the proportion of trading volume, capital flow, or liquidity concentrated in specific assets or market sectors. It serves as a barometer for understanding market behavior, as it highlights where capital is being deployed or withdrawn. On my chart, liquidity dominance provides a lens into the dynamics between:
Stablecoins (e.g., USDT): Representing safety and risk aversion.
Altcoins: Capturing speculative capital.
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Indicating market confidence in Bitcoin versus other assets.
Key Observations from the Chart
1. Stablecoin Liquidity Dominance (USDT.D)
Current Trend:
A noticeable decline in USDT.D suggests that capital is moving out of stablecoins, signaling increased risk appetite among traders. This typically aligns with bullish sentiment in the broader market, as investors allocate funds to Bitcoin or altcoins.
Market Implications:
If USDT.D continues its downward trajectory, we could expect a rally in cryptocurrencies, particularly in altcoins, as traders seek higher returns.
A sudden reversal in USDT.D (spiking higher) could signal market uncertainty or panic, as investors flee to stable assets.
2. Bitcoin Liquidity Dominance (BTC.D)
Current Trend:
The relatively stable BTC.D indicates that Bitcoin retains its share of liquidity without significant outflows to altcoins. This suggests that while altcoins may rally, Bitcoin remains a primary safe haven for large capital.
Market Implications:
A breakout to the upside in BTC.D could signal a Bitcoin-led market cycle, often observed during early bull markets.
A breakdown in BTC.D could indicate the onset of an "altseason," where altcoins outperform Bitcoin.
3. Altcoin Liquidity (TOTAL2 - Altcoin Market Cap)
Current Trend:
The chart indicates increasing TOTAL2 dominance, showing growing interest in altcoins. This suggests speculative capital is rotating from Bitcoin or stablecoins into altcoins, likely driven by expectations of higher returns.
Market Implications:
A continuation of this trend supports the idea of an emerging altcoin season, especially if TOTAL2 outpaces BTC.D consistently.
If TOTAL2 stagnates or declines, it may signal profit-taking or reduced confidence in altcoin performance.
Key Data Insights
1. Divergences Between USDT.D and BTC.D
A strong divergence between USDT.D and BTC.D often highlights market turning points:
Bullish Divergence:
If USDT.D declines while BTC.D rises, it suggests strong confidence in Bitcoin leading the market, often a precursor to a bull run.
Bearish Divergence:
If USDT.D increases while BTC.D falls, it indicates risk aversion and capital flight to safety, hinting at potential market downturns.
2. Correlation Between TOTAL2 and USDT.D
The inverse correlation between TOTAL2 and USDT.D is a critical marker:
As TOTAL2 rises and USDT.D declines, it signals risk-on behavior with a focus on altcoins.
If TOTAL2 falls alongside a rise in USDT.D, it could indicate market-wide selling pressure.
3. Price Action Confirmation
The interaction of liquidity dominance with price action across key support and resistance zones provides confirmation of market sentiment. Key observations include:
Strong resistance in BTC.D coinciding with declines in TOTAL2 could signal a Bitcoin-led consolidation phase.
Support in TOTAL2 while BTC.D declines suggests capital rotation into altcoins, supporting a rally.
Predictions Based on Current Trends
Short-Term Outlook:
With USDT.D trending downward, the market appears to be in a risk-on phase.
If BTC.D remains stable while TOTAL2 gains dominance, altcoins are likely to experience significant upside.
Medium-Term Outlook:
A breakout in TOTAL2 above key levels would confirm altseason momentum, particularly if USDT.D continues to decline.
However, if USDT.D rebounds sharply, expect market-wide corrections, with Bitcoin potentially absorbing most of the liquidity.
Long-Term Outlook:
Sustained declines in BTC.D combined with TOTAL2 growth could indicate prolonged altcoin outperformance.
Conversely, a reversal in BTC.D dominance with stable USDT.D suggests a return to Bitcoin-led cycles.
Strategies for Traders
1. Monitor Liquidity Flows
Use the interaction between USDT.D, BTC.D, and TOTAL2 as a guide for market sentiment.
Look for divergences between these metrics and price action to spot potential reversals.
2. Align with Dominance Trends
If BTC.D is rising, focus on Bitcoin as the primary trade.
If TOTAL2 gains dominance and USDT.D declines, shift focus to altcoins for higher returns.
3. Risk Management
During periods of rising USDT.D, reduce exposure to altcoins and focus on stablecoins or Bitcoin.
Use liquidity dominance trends to time entries and exits at major support and resistance levels.
Conclusion
My Liquidity Dominance chart provides a powerful framework for understanding capital flow dynamics across cryptocurrencies. The current trends suggest a risk-on environment favoring altcoins, but the stability of BTC.D implies Bitcoin remains a key player. Monitoring these metrics closely will help you navigate market cycles effectively, identifying both opportunities and risks as they arise.
USDT DOMINANCE UPDATE (1D)🔷 First of all you should know that "USDT Dominance" is always moving inverse of BTCUSDT .
It seems that Tether Dominance has entered a large C wave.
The Tether dominance is near a support level, which could lead to a correction in its downtrend.
Such a move can be anticipated for Tether dominance.
Let’s wait and see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You