Usdtdominance
USDT Dominance: The Breakdown is must!USDT Dominance is finally at its breakdown point, and this week’s close will provide more clarity about the market.
A weekly close below the support trendline will likely drop USDT.D to 3.8%, allowing BTC and other altcoins to rally higher. On the other hand, a close above the support trendline could be concerning for the market.
I expect USDT Dominance to drop to 3.8% and potentially rebound to 4.6%–4.8%.
Let’s see how the coming week unfolds.
Trade safely.
The Impact of Emerging Markets on the Dollar amidst Looming TradThe recent shift in US political landscape has ignited a wave of uncertainty across global markets. A potential escalation of trade tensions with China and other key economies could have far-reaching consequences, particularly for the US dollar and emerging market currencies.
The Dollar's Uncertain Future
The US dollar, long considered a safe-haven asset, faces a crossroads. While a more protectionist stance could initially bolster the dollar's appeal, it could also trigger a chain reaction of economic consequences. Increased tariffs and trade barriers could lead to higher inflation, which could erode the dollar's purchasing power. Moreover, if the US economy weakens as a result of trade disputes, the dollar's demand as a safe-haven currency could diminish.
Emerging Markets in the Crossfire
Emerging market economies, which have often relied on exports to fuel their growth, are particularly vulnerable to escalating trade tensions. A trade war could disrupt global supply chains, increase the cost of imported goods, and reduce demand for emerging market exports. This could lead to currency devaluation, higher inflation, and slower economic growth.
Currency Pegs Under Pressure
Countries that peg their currencies to the US dollar, such as Hong Kong and some Middle Eastern nations, could face significant challenges. If the dollar weakens or strengthens significantly, it could put pressure on these currency pegs, forcing central banks to intervene to maintain the exchange rate. This could deplete foreign exchange reserves and limit monetary policy flexibility.
The Renminbi's Rising Influence
China's renminbi could emerge as a potential beneficiary of a weakened US dollar. As China continues to expand its economic influence and promote the internationalization of its currency, it could become a more attractive alternative to the dollar for global trade and investment. However, a trade war with the US could also negatively impact the renminbi, as it could lead to reduced demand for Chinese exports and capital flight.
Navigating the Uncharted Waters
To mitigate the risks associated with a potential trade war, emerging market economies may need to adopt a combination of strategies. These could include diversifying export markets, promoting domestic consumption, and strengthening financial institutions. Additionally, central banks may need to adjust monetary policy to stabilize currencies and manage inflation.
In conclusion, the potential for increased trade tensions between the US and China could have significant implications for the global economy, the US dollar, and emerging market currencies. While the full impact of these developments remains uncertain, it is clear that businesses, investors, and policymakers around the world will need to closely monitor the situation and adapt their strategies accordingly.
$USDT.D Has Fallen Off A CliffTrump's LANDSLIDE victory and Republican's controlling Congress has signaled full RISK-ON across the board in markets.
This has caused everyone to sell their stables for CRYPTOCAP:BTC and Alts.
Expect another 10% worth of CRYPTOCAP:USDT to be dumped into the market before we see a real correction.
This will put CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ~3.8% which was the local top in March.
The correction should be short-lived as we make our way back down to 2-2.5%
USDT dominance chart update details: “death cross” has formed, where a short-term moving average (possibly the 50-day, shown in red) has crossed below a long-term moving average (possibly the 200-day, in green). This pattern typically suggests a bearish signal, indicating the potential for further declines in USDT dominance.
The overall direction appears downward, with USDT dominance testing lower support areas within a descending channel.
Key support levels are marked in green and gray. The current price level is slightly above the major support area around 5.0%. The chart suggests a possible continuation downward, with the next significant support area near 4.0%.
The large downward arrow indicates a bearish outlook for USDT dominance, suggesting potential further declines toward the 4.0% range if current support levels fail to hold.
This chart indicates that if USDT dominance continues to decline, this could correlate with a potential uptrend in the broader crypto market, as money flows from stablecoins into other assets.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Tether Dominance is very bearish (1D)It seems that Tether Dominance has entered a large C wave.
Any return of Tether Dominance to supply is a buy opportunity in altcoins.
We expect Tether Dominance to be supported from the lower green box.
It is better to forget sell/short positions for a while!
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Tether Dominance UPDATE (4H)Due to the US election and the heavy decline and rejection, Tether Dominance is expected to reach the lower support range.
Support and resistance ranges are marked on the chart
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate this analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDT DOMINANCE UPDATE (4H)First of all you should know that "USDT Dominance" is always moving inverse of BTCUSDT .
When the Dominance Tether hits the red box, we expect a reject. This area seems to cause the cryptocurrency market to take a break for the continuation of the drop
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate this analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDT.D updateThis analysis once again showed us the way with almost 12% correction causing good growth in the market
Now pay attention how market reacted to our zone & how this index pumped for at least 4% causing some blood in the market
At this point we have to follow market behavior to see whether it will keep this correctional momentum or not
USDT Dominance can surprise everyone First of all you should know that "USDT Dominance" is always moving inverse of BTCUSDT .
the signs say that either wave G is not over or we have an X wave, which means that USDT Dominance can drop back to the green box.
If the green box does not support USDT Dominance it could be a deep drop.
Bitcoin's dominance is bullish, so the price of bitcoin can become very bullish in the coming days.
Even the news of the war could not bullish USDT Dominance, which means that the situation of USDT Dominance is bad.
We have shown the new movement of USDT Dominance with an orange arrow on the chart
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USTD.D updateThis is USDT.D, a reverse indication to how BTC will perform based on money flow concepts. It looks like USDT.D is starting to form a bullish harmonic pattern and if it does and plays out, BTC will dump. Now only that, the PRZ (potential reversal zone) on the harmonic pattern has weight being based on both yearly VWAP as well as a trend line that is based on Fib levels. Therefore, I am looking for quick short scalps today as I believe a retrace is coming.
Analysis can always be wrong based on these, so no matter what or how much you trust me, trade safely and have back up plans! @Nate Alert
USDT.D updateFinally USDT Dominance gave up & dumped from the highlighted area to finish wave G of our diametric pattern
7.5% Correction in this index which caused good recovery in some of the alt coins. At this point we expect this index to range for a while so some of the alt coins could gain more momentum
We have to keep our eyes on this index to look for a new pattern forming
Next Stage of Bull MarketUSDT.D is testing the 20 W SMA which has been a key level for Bull Markets.
The zone and MA has acted as Support 4 times previously in 2024 which have correlated with BTC Local Tops
A close under that SMA is indicating that we are entering the next stage of the Bull Market. I prefer a few Daily Closes under, Weekly Close under is Gold Dust and tells me the Next Stage has begun.
Read this to understand the Context of that SMA:
Main reason I'm more Bullish this time compared to that precious Idea is because of DXY.
Confluence:
BTC has shown Strength since Oct 10th despite the continued Upward Trend in DXY that started on Sept 30th.
1 Day RSI on DXY is close to 70(Currently 69) which is a general sign that it is close to Topping.
DXY is also testing the 200 EMA since it broken down below in July.
My expectation is that the 200 EMA acts as Resistance for DXY and it rejects to continue its downtrend. This would be Bullish for Risk Assets like BTC/Crypto and would correlated with USDT.D breaking below the 20 SMA.
USDT MOON- Do you know what happens when something push too much ? it reverses and goes down.
- Sir Fibonacci said one day :
" When u launch a coin to the sky, it takes speed, then it stops, then it goes down more fast than it went up "
- if USDT grab more Dominance on Cryptos Markets, it would mean we are rolling back in the "Old Financial system" i hope everyone understand that.
- That's not gonna happens.
- i won't comments much on this analysis, but it speaks by itself. ( everything is in the graphic )
- i won't also speak about what happened recently to UST in Luna Ecosystem because it's sad for the peoples.
- Stay in BTC and pray TheKing.
Happy Tr4ding !
Tether The Trumpet- On this Chart i use zero indicator and just the trend.
- Some basic supports and resistances.
- What we can see and deduct ?
- Tether jumped from 0.01% to 1% dominance from 2015 to 2018.
- from 2019 to 2023 USDT.Dom growed from 1% to 10%.
- now the trend is still evolving in a steady broadening trumpet formation.
- Do you really believe Tether would reach 35% Dominance in Crypto Markets ?
- it would mean that 35% of peoples would prefer to stay in Stables Fiat and win nothing.
- Just using logic and combine FA + TA :
- This uper trend will be broken down soon or later.
- i just do believe that Tether have to crash at one point ( no matter the reason ).
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- So now a quick comprehensive explanation about Tether.Dom and how it works :
1 - When BTC down = Peoples swap their BTC to USDT (panic)
- USDT.Dom up !
- Tether stop the printing Machine and wait.
2. - When BTC up = Peoples swap their USDT to buy BTC (fomo)
- USDT.Dom Down !
- Tether have to restart the printing machine and issue more USDT to cover BTC demands.
- Yes it's simple as that..
- Tether is not really different than the FED.
- they just print more USDT from thin air when peoples want buy more BTC.
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- Remember that without BTC, Tether would worth 0$ and disappear.
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St4y Safe
Happy Tr4Ding !
Tether Dom- i will try to make it short.
- Like always everything is understandable in graph.
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TA :
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- Tether made a triple new ATH around 9% dominance on Crypto Markets.
- Got rejected 3X times.
- Right now it's the 4th attempt for USDT trying to break 9%.
- i kept BB in graph to show that USDT flirts again with the higher bollinger band.
- Right now the most important is to watch out for Divergences.
- Divergence or Hiden-Div will come soon or later.
- i expect Tether to back around 5% Dom around 2024 when the bullmarket will back.
- Do you remember last year when USDT and USDT were racing together ?
- USDC ( Circle ) Failed with the fall of Silicon Valley Bank.
- Now USDC is a back to 2.60% Dom.
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FA :
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- Remember USDT still have a big lack of transparency.
- if u check the news, you will notice that Tether invested heavily in Bitcoin Mining.
- They did this move to use this diversification as a parachute in case of troubles.
- if Tether fails for any reason it could quickly dip to 3.7% Dom.
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Last Point : CDBC are coming and central banks will try kickout Tether from this game.
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Conclusion : Stay Safe and Buy Bitcoin !
Happy Tr4Ding !
Massive Bitcoin Rally Incoming? USDT Dominance Breakdown Sparks USDT dominance has broken out from the ascending channel, this is a significant development. Typically, a breakdown like this suggests that capital is starting to flow out of stablecoins (like USDT) and back into assets such as Bitcoin and altcoins. This is usually a bullish signal for the broader crypto market.
Now that USDT dominance has broken out of its 205-day-long ascending channel, we could expect a substantial upward movement in Bitcoin’s price, as traders may be moving their capital back into crypto assets. Historically, this kind of shift has led to a Bitcoin rally, and as always, altcoins tend to follow Bitcoin’s momentum.
This could be the early phase of a significant market recovery. It’s important to watch for confirmation, but this breakout could indicate that traders are regaining confidence in the market after recent uncertainties, potentially setting the stage for a surge in crypto prices!
The Upcoming Collapse of USDT Theter - Thesis Binance and its CEO ‘CZ’ plead guilty to federal charges and agreed to pay $4.3B in fines.
But that`s not all!
The crypto market is facing increased scrutiny as part of an agreement between Binance's CEO, CZ, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
This agreement grants the SEC unprecedented access to Binance's comprehensive records, shedding light on various transactions, fraudulent activities, and instances of price manipulation linked to tether, which significantly influenced the surge in Bitcoin's value.
Of particular interest to regulatory authorities is the revelation that CZ has agreed to provide the SEC with access to tether transactions, signaling a deeper investigation into the controversial stablecoin. Tether (USDT) has long been tethered to the value of the U.S. dollar, yet recent events have sparked concerns about its stability and transparency.
What makes this development particularly noteworthy is the emerging focus on tether by U.S. agencies, who seem to be strategically positioning themselves to potentially replace it with Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs). Unlike stablecoins such as USDT, CBDCs are issued and regulated directly by the central bank of a country, eliminating reliance on private entities or community-driven initiatives.
As the SEC gains access to the intricate details of Binance's operations and tether transactions, the crypto community is left on edge, grappling with uncertainties regarding the future of stablecoins and their role in the broader financial landscape. The evolving narrative suggests a potential paradigm shift as regulatory bodies aim to instill confidence in the market through the adoption of government-backed digital currencies over privately issued stablecoins.
The SEC's focus extends beyond Binance to specifically target USDT, with the intention of replacing it with Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) to assert control over all transactions. This strategic move is seen as a prerequisite for potential approval of an ETF in the future. Notably, Binance has been implicated in facilitating transactions linked to terrorist groups, including Hamas' Al-Qassam Brigades, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, al-Qaida, and ISIS, as highlighted in a statement by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!