Turkish Lira/ Turkiye Lira in deeper troubleFollowing our previous analysis, the Turkish Lira hit all our take profit points and began to consolidate on our resistance. I believe that traders look to exchange their Lira's for a more stable currency, hopefully one that that is performing better than the Lira before their investments become worthless.
We saw the faith of investor in the Lira help boost the Lira, making it the biggest recovery in the forex markets for the year 2021. We've since seen a shift in investor mentality as the bulls pull the USDTRY market on the upside.
I now anticipate the USDTRY to continue with it's bullish nature to meet our TP1, TP2, TP3 and eventually a new all time high with the USDTRY above 21 TRY per USD.
What are your thoughts on the Lira?
Disclaimer
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USDTRY
USDTRY- 18Jan2022USDTRY- 18Jan2022
On the H4, price is consolidating below the 3 MAs. The longer it takes to consolidate and close below these MAs, the higher the chance of the price dropping to 1st Support at 12.4850.
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
USDTRY- 17Jan2022USDTRY- 17Jan2022
On the weekly / daily, USDTRY pretty much is consolidating within a range of 13.19 - 13.90 last week.
On the H4, price is consolidating with the 3 MAs. The longer it takes to consolidate and close above these MAs, the higher the chance of the price dropping to 1st Support at 12.4850.
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
USDTRY- 12Jan2022USDTRY- 12Jan2022
On the H4, price flirted with the H1 inverse h&s target at 14.2250. We remain cautious on the upside till the price close above 14.2250 or risks from any domestic headline news.
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
USDTRY- 07Jan2022USDTRY- 07Jan2022
On the H4, price have abit more upside to 1st Resistance at 14.2250 which also coincides around H1 inverse h&s target. Once price hits that level we could start expecting the USDTRY to pullback to 1st Support at 12.4850
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
USDTRY- 06Jan2022USDTRY- 06Jan2022
On the H4, price have abit more upside to 1st Resistance at 14.2250 which also coincides around H1 inverse h&s target. Once price hits that level we could start expecting the USDTRY to pullback to 1st Support at 12.4850
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
USDTRY- 05Jan2022USDTRY- 05Jan2022
On the H4, price have abit more upside to 1st Resistance at 14.2250 which also coincides around H1 inverse h&s target. Once price hits that level we could start expecting the USDTRY to pullback to 1st Support at 12.4850
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
USDTRY- 03Jan2022USDTRY- 03Jan2022
On the weekly, price bounced from 20EMA last week.
On the H4 timeframe, price continued to grind higher. We could expect the price to continue higher to complete its H1 Inverse h&s with price target at 14.04.
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
Turkish Lira/ Turkiye Lira in troubleThe USDTRY improved after a massive freefall when the Turkish president announced changes in monetary policies. We have however seen traders be more bullish for the USDTRY although many traders sold the currency pair earlier this month.
We have now seen multiple confirmation for a bullish run in 2022 with a breakout of the down trend on the H4 timeframe, a double bottom and we are now waiting to get one last confirmation (a breakout of the resistance cluster.
Once we have that breakout, we look to buy the USDTRY aggressively and take profit at 13USDTRY and will wait for a confirmation on either a bullish continuation, a pull back or a market reversal.
Please share your thoughts on this analysis, do you feel it will pullback or keep surging?