USDT DOMININCE 4HOUR UPDATE Welcome to this quick update, everyone.
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As we can see in the chart that USDT DOMINANCE broke down a very strong support level of 200 MA now I am expecting a drop of 5%. stay turn I will give some trade setups.
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USDTRY
USDTRY- 27Dec2021USDTRY- 27Dec2021
On the weekly, price had a huge drop from 18.00 to 10.90 which is also the 20EMA. Price could potentially find support at this level.
On the H4 timeframe, price had a weak bounce to around 12.00 before selling off to 10.90. As long as price is above 10.83 on H4, we could still expect a short-term bounce to 13.08 to occur. It is also worth noting that RSI is still at support level where previous bounces occurred.
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
usdtryEveryone wants to know where it's going...Why not just scalp these areas
USDTRY THE MAIN FOREX PAIR that has been very active in the news in 2021.
Generally speaking all main gaps get filled...Let's see where market should fined some two way auction.
My main trading analysis is always through orderflow & volume profile .
I mainly scalp Futures (ES & NQ)
I have Long-term stock portfolio & some crypto accounts but will be building on to these more & more in 2022!
I haven't been very active on #Tradingview for sometime, but I will try to have some posts on here on a weekly basis.
Wishing you all a Happy New Year & all the best in your #trading
Emini Os
USDTRY A Great Buying OpportunityTrade Proposal:
There is a probability of first tp to the proposed ( 20 ) Direction line. So, Traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term goals.
Technical analysis: TRYUSD Waiting for the Range Bound and the beginning of the Ascension Trend.
USD/TRY Turkish Lira UpdateThis week has seen the USD/Turkish Lira exchange rate drop from a high of 18.25 TL per Dollar to a close at 11 TL per Dollar. In my previous idea published in January 2021. The concepts I laid out in that idea are still valid. The curve I drew still holds intact. RSI is still rising in the parallel channel. The recent spike has seen RSI reach even higher value than ever before. I still hold that this trend will continue until 2026 where the exchange rate will be 18 TL for the Dollar; and I'm talking about the normal stable every day rate, not a temporary spike like in the past month.
Another thing to notice is the volatility.
The previous spike in January 2017 reached a high that is 30% above my curve.
The spike in September 2018 reached a high 71% above the curve,
and lastly, the December 2021 spike reached a high 104% above the curve.
As we go further in this trend, the spikes will be more volatile and we could see the rate triple in a matter of weeks, only to come back down the following week. This instability severely disturbs daily transactions both domestic and international which will push foreign investors away from Turkey. Already many investors are prepared to slowly pull out their capital as they say this instability occur right at the time of closing the books at the end of the year. Turks are already pricing their goods in Dollar and Euro having little confidence in the value of the TL. These factors will only worsen the situation in the coming years, and their effect is not seen immediately, but over months and years. Without a fundamental policy change, this trend will continue. Trust in the Turkish Central Bank is dropping as hard as the currency is.
Throughout 2020, The Turkish government has been the biggest buyer of gold in the world, but they have been also the biggest seller of gold in the same year. The Central Bank is confused as is actually trading gold like an uncertain irresponsible child. The responsible thing to do is to peg the currency to either the Dollar, the Euro, Gold or even better, Bitcoin. It will cause a shock, but it will also bring security, stability and prosperity in less than a decade.
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XU100 is still in a correctionThe first 5 waves of a zigzag formation are completed. Next, If it proceeds toward the B in a 3 way (ABC) formation then we will be sure about the being of wave C. However, time will tell if it is a single, double or triple zigzag in the overall correction. First we have to wait for confirmation of wave B. Trade safe!
USDTRY- 23Dec2021USDTRY- 23Dec2021
On the H4 timeframe, price is still around 1st Support area at 11.5450. As long as price maintain above this level, we could expect a short-term bounce to 1st Resistance at 14.660. Also noting that both RSI and Stochastic is also at support where previous bounces occurred.
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
USDTRY- 22Dec2021USDTRY- 22Dec2021
On the daily, price is at 1st Support from 50MA. We could expect a short-term bounce.
On the H4 timeframe, price found support from 1st Support at 11.5450. With RSI and Stochastic at support, we could expect a short-term bounce to 1st Resistance at 14.6710.
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
Turkish Lira is far from recovery. This is just a quick look at the USDTRY pair. I'm evaluating the recent recovery of the Turkish Lira versus the dollar from about 8.5 TL per dollar to 7.3 TL. In my estimation, this recovery has not shown enough strength to continue. We can see that as soon as it touched the bottom of the drawn curve, RSI has reached the bottom of its parallel channel. That's as far as this recovery will go. In fact, I think the next five years will see the USD appreciate against the TL by 150%, which is exactly as much as it has appreciated during the past five years. This will take it all the way up to 18TL by February 2026.
This signal I consider strong enough to predict a complete reversal of this trend is significant RSI divergence, i.e., a higher high in price coinciding with a lower high in RSI. We have seen one instance of slight RSI divergence shown in the chart which has contributed to a recovery in August 2018 from 7.08 to 5.13 TL. That is 27.5% appreciation for the dollar.
To imagine what a significant RSI divergence would look like, consider the most recent top on 2 Nov 2020. Look at the RSI level on that same day. We're looking for a higher top in price where RSI is significantly lower, ideally within the blue zone. That would be a strong signal for trend reversal.
Another thing to notice is the blue zone and the ascending parallel channel. What's the meaning of the blue zone? When RSI climbs above it, the asset is said to be overbought. It means that price has went up too high too fast without enough real demand backing it up. However, that interpretation really depends on the parameter used. A better, easier and more reliable way to use RSI is to look for RSI divergence like I explained. That becomes even more relevant for this chart when you notice how RSI levels have been steadily climbing in the parallel channel shown. That means that the overbought zone becomes less and less significant as an indication. But it also means that TL recovery phases will be more and more volatile.
USDTRY - TURNS ON IT'S BEAST MODE!USDTRY Price today shows huge volatility and bulls find this current drop an opportunity. Turkey's lira goes into 'beast mode', strengthening 9% vs USD this morning, following a historic 25% recovery from record lows, after President Tayyip Erdogan unveiled a plan he said would guarantee local currency deposits against market fluctuations. Good Luck!
Starting a new uptrend in USD/TRY?As we are in a uptrend the chart broke down its channel and now it seems a retest on its bullish channel.
so we can wait for a confirmation in lower time frames to open long positions on this symbol.
This is just my own idea, i'll be happy to know your ideas...
God willing Goodluck ... 😊 👍
USDTRY- 21Dec2021USDTRY- 21Dec2021
TRY took a dive after Erdogan initiated a Rescue Plan. (Source: www.bloomberg.com)
On the H4 timeframe, price had a huge sell-off yesterday. We could expect further pull back in price to 1st Support at 11.545 from continued selling and profit taking.
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.