Get started

Usdtryshort

USD/TRY has a 5 wave structure!! (More info in description)From elliot wave analysis, i see that usdtry pair has finished 5 wave structure then started to a-b-c correction. Also at 5,54 price level i see double top formation and during this time, you can see bearish divergences at macd line and histogram so my first expectation from usd/try is to drop around 5,32 price level. Then if inclined support is broken, we can test 5,256 price level which is a minimum target for double top formation. After 5,256 price level, usd/try pair can use inclined support as a resistance to test it again or we can observe more drop to 5,137 price level. ***In this trade, your stop loss should be around 5,47 In addition to techical analysis, Donald Trump had a tweet about Turkey on 14 January and he said "Spoke w/ President Erdogan of Turkey to advise where we stand on all matters including our last two weeks of success in fighting the remnants of ISIS, and 20 mile safe zone. Also spoke about economic development between the U.S. & Turkey - great potential to substantially expand!" Source: twitter.com Here is the rules of Elliot waves you can compare with the chart above; 1- Second wave's low is higher than first wave's low. 2- If second wave makes a sharp correction, 4th wave will make a flat correction or vice a versa. 3-If 3rd wave is the longest wave, the time length of the first wave must be equal to the time length of the fourth. 4-After the 5th wave, A-B-C correction comes and this correction will take us to C level which is very close to low of 4th wave. For more info about double top formation: www.forex.cat I had an analysis about 5th wave failure of usd/try pair in the past which is similiar with this one, it might be useful to check. Hope to see you in our next trades, Have a nice day. Berk
Short
by Mr_Berk
USDTRY SHORT IN 2 DAYS. 13.11.18It looks like we will see a repetition of the past. The previous failed uptrend attempt was around 6.14. and after the initial drop and recovery the more controlled down trend started around 6.80. If we use a fib time zone, or even a simple line we can see that the amount of time between 6.80 and 6.14 drops and the time between 6.14 and now is exactly the same. There are many similarities, on 4hrs graphics we can see that the ma20 and ma 100 is crossing. They tried to cross on the previous atttempt as well but just before touching each other they were separated. We are approaching the same resistance line exactly around the time when these to ma's are about to cross. I am hoping for a repetition of the past. It is almost too perfect to be true, but if it the entire downtrend is indeed controlled by the Turkish central bank as many believe, it makes perfect sense. If we again see the same type of movement, that would mean the continuation of the down trend until end of december. It would go down to 4.80 level. And it probably would enter into the previous flattish channel and stay there until end of March until the local elections in Turkey. Let's watch and see. Adios
Short
by Halilotti
2
USD/TRY has a Elliot Wave Theory, Here is the Proof!!!First of all, i expect a jump to B point which is 5.516 then i will look for a sell opportunity to aim C point which is 5.435 for my sell trade. (Also i see some hidden divergence at macd histogram and signal line on 4h chart which supports my trading idea.) When the elliot correction waves are totally finished at C point(which is our profit target), new rally can start either way. Normally, new rally follows the old one which is bullish trend but we can't be sure without observing it. If new rally will be a bullish one, we can aim 5,64 and if new rally will be a bearish one, we can aim 5,30 as a target in future. Here is the rules of Elliot waves you can compare with the chart above; 1- Second wave's low is higher than first wave's low. 2- If second wave makes a sharp correction, 4th wave will make a flat correction or vice a versa. 3-If 3rd wave is the longest wave, the time length of the first wave must be equal to the time length of the fourth. 4-After the 5th wave, A-B-C correction comes and this correction will take us to C level which is very close to low of 4th wave. Hope to see you in next trades, have a nice day. Berk.
Short
by Mr_Berk
7
USDTRY D1 AnalysisI am not sure if we can really hit 5.00 region for usdtry however there are a few formations that are already supporting it. Dense political activity (elections etc) in Turkey, jeopolitical factors including Syria, Iran and Russia issues and economical situations flactuates the daily bars quite a lot. Please be informed that this graph does not include and provide investment advise to the traders, but just shows my individual analysis. Ideas are open to discuss and further improvement. Best Regards.
Short
by gnadar