GBPUSD - Pullback Before A Continuation Higher!Analysis:
Looking at the charts we're clearly able to see that price is in an upwards trend. We've been forming higher highs and higher lows which shows us the trend we're in so knowing this we're only looking for long setups on this pair. We also have a key level which we've marked out where we've previously seen a strong rejection from but we've since broken higher and we're currently retesting this previous level of resistance for support. As we know resistance very often becomes support which is what we're expecting to happen now. To further add to our idea and why we think price will head to the upside from this level, we also have the 38.2% fib retracement level. Whilst this isn't the strongest level we still do often see this area hold and with this fib retracement level being at our area of support we expect that it will hold and we'll see buyers step in, pushing price higher. Another confluence factor that we have is the upwards trendline that is present. When this trendline has been tagged before we've seen buyers step in and push price higher. This trendline also lines up with our area so we have a really strong level of support which is why we think this is a good place to enter. The fundamentals as well favour our idea. Currently the USD is the strongest major currency whilst the GBP is the 3rds strongest major currency. Whilst this doesn't go in our favour, if we dig a little deeper we can see why we are actually fundamentally bullish on the GBP over the USD. As of the most recent report for institutional positioning we saw a decrease in both long and short positions for the USD so this is neutral whereas for the GBP this is an entirely different story. As of the most recent report for institutional positioning on the GBP we saw a massive increase in long positions whilst also seeing a massive decrease in short positions so this is very bullish for the GBP and this looks like to us, early signs of possible bullishness to come for the GBP. With the technicals and fundamentals both pointing to buy the GBPUSD we get a bullish outlook for this pair. This position will also help to hedge our USD positions as we are heavily involved in the USD currently and with this position we're able to make money if the USD goes up or down because we're hedged. At JPI we like to hedge certain positions when we're exposed as this allows us to better manage our risk and with such a bullish setup on GBPUSD this seems like a perfect pair to hedge positions against.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you!
Stay Safe - The JPI Team
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
