Occidental Petroleum Corp.: Bullish Bias. ContinuationTo be successful on Wall Street, it is important to be flexible and be able to recognize changing market winds - the patterns that tell investors when to get in and out of the market.
Sometimes a breeze is a warm and inviting wind: assets rise in value, and it seems that everyone is making money.
Other times, it turns into a violent storm, leaving in its wake financial destruction, memories of the past, and hope that better times are yet to come.
Occidental Petroleum Corporation (often abbreviated as Oxy in reference to the symbol and logo) is an American company engaged in hydrocarbon exploration in the United States and the Middle East, as well as petrochemical production in the United States, Canada and Chile.
The oil company, among other Value Investing Assets, has become one of the main beneficiaries of the weakening and reversal of WFH ("Working From Home") disinflationary trends that quickly shook the entire financial world against the backdrop of the Covid-19 pandemic in Q1 2020. But faded also just as quickly, while since the first quarter of 2021, in two years, many growth assets have been undermined, rocked by scandals, or completely destroyed.
It was revealed in March that Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway added more shares to an already large bet on Occidental Petroleum, according to an SEC Form 4 report released on March 7, 2023.
The Buffett conglomerate bought nearly 5.8 million shares of the oil company over multiple trading sessions in March, at prices ranging from $59.85 to $61.90, according to the documents.
Berkshire now owns 200.2 million shares of Occidental, totaling 22.2% of the oil company's shares, up from 21.4% previously.
Occidental shares are currently among the top 10 Berkshire holdings. The energy company outperformed the S&P 500 index last year, more than doubling in price.
In March, Occidental CEO Vicki Hollub said in an interview with CNBC that she met with the 92-year-old investor, noting that they talked about the oil and gas industry and related technologies.
Last August, Berkshire received regulatory approval to buy up to 50% of Occidental, sparking speculation that Berkshire could eventually buy out the entire Occidental company.
Berkshire also owns $10 billion of preferred shares in Occidental and has warrants to buy another 83.9 million shares of common stock for $5 billion, or $59.62 each. The warrants were obtained as part of the company's 2019 deal that helped finance the purchase of Anadarko Occidental.
While many investors even now continue to believe in the crypto-snow that melted without a trace the winter before last, the technical picture indicates the possibility of Growth comtinuation in value investment assets, incl. Occidental Petroleum - after the completion of the 0.618x Fibonacci retrace to the Growth that began later to Russian President "Special Military Operation" announcement in Q1'22.
Also, the support of weekly SMA (200) in CL1! - Crude Oil Futures adds bullish bias to market participants.
USDWTI
🔝 US Gas prices become more affordable as key breakdown is hereAmericans could breathe a sigh of relief with gas prices set to be more affordable this year.
US gas prices hit their highest 52 Weeks in August and September ahead of Labor Day, with the national average standing at $3.82 a gallon FRED:GASREGW , per AAA Gas Prices .
Gasoline prices hit summertime levels in over a decade even as the driving season comes to a halt, as a result of rising crude-oil prices TVC:USOIL driven by production cuts.
Brent crude TVC:UKOIL , the international benchmark, jumped to $90 a barrel earlier is September for the first time in 2023 after both Saudi Arabia and Russia extended oil production cuts of 1.3 million barrels a day through December 2023 in a bid to maintain price stability.
Higher US gas prices NYMEX:RB1! are a problem for the Federal Reserve, which has been trying to tame historically high inflation. The central bank has already hiked interest rates ECONOMICS:USINTR by more than 500 basis points since March 2022, helping lower the pace of consumer-price increases to 3.2% in July from last year's highs above 9%.
But the jump in fuel prices is threatening to derail the progress the Fed has made in taming inflation.
As a result, just after September, 2023 FOMC meeting market participants are waiting one or maybe two dovish Fed's Rate price actions in 2024. At the same time before September, 2023 Federal Reserve meeting, market expectations were about three cuts, near to four. (up to 100 b.p.).
Meanwhile juts a take a look what technical picture in RBOB Gasoline futures RB1! price says.
Near the middle of August, 2023 Gasoline futures prices turned massively down, due to seasonal backwardation in RBOB futures contracts, where autumn RBOB futures contracts are usually to be trade lower vs. summer RBOB futures contracts.
Moreover, in the last day of Q3'23 RBOB futures price turned firmly lower, breaking down the major trendline support that was actual all the time from disinflationary Covid-19 era. Moreover weekly SMA(52) is broken down also.
In a conclusion, I have to say that retail gasoline prices are usually to follow the major trend, within one or up to two months.
USOIL PREPARING FOR SHORT!!Hey Traders,
Here we have another analysis for USDWTI ,
So we expect bearish move in higher TF,
We have two extreme resistance level you can look for short in those areas,
Everything else determined properly on the chart, I will try to share with you my entry setup on USOIL, so make sure you do not miss our analysis,
Any question about USDWTI comment me bellow!
@FxShzd team
USDWTI H4 - Long SignalUSDWTI H4
We have United States EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change figures later on today at around 15:30 UK time. This should see a little movement in this commodity. Moving upside in line with previous analysis, just $1/b away from our previous high price.
Interested to see if we can reject from this $77/b price, we have some attractive range targets if we can do so.
USDWTI H4 - Short SignalUSDWTI H8
Rejections already started from this $73.50/b price. Possibly looking to set pending orders for that $73.50/b price, depending on how things are looking.
The range has been filled and has held from resistance to support and support to resistance for almost 2.5 months now.
USDWTI H8 - Long SignalUSDWTI H8
Waiting patiently to see this support price of $67/b region to trigger. Solid range from this support price, up towards that resistance price of $73.50, healthy $6 range and 9-10% price fluctuation held since the start of May. Hopefully this continues to remain active and we can continue milking these zones and ranges.
USDWTI H4 - Short Signal🛢USDWTI H4
We were following this yesterday and the volume surrounding data points as the NA session came into play caused some noise.
We are starting to stablise at and around that 71.50/72.00/b price. We have a clear hourly rejection sequence. So maybe active price can see us short down to $70.50 and then beyond towards that $69.50 price.
USDWTI H4 - Long from $69.50/bUSDWTI H4 🛢
Even after Saudi cuts, WTI is still trading within our range, expecting more headlines regarding OPEC+ and cuts this week and the next 🇸🇦
The range for the moment seems to be holding nicely between $69.50/b and $73.50/b with the exception of the market gap.
Longs from $69.50 would be attractive, as there are talks of Saudi looking to boost the barrel price up towards the $80 region. 📈
A potential buying opportunity in oilOil broke through another resistance level and now faces another resistance level at 73.00, which is also the meeting point of the upper trend line of the local ascending channel. Wait for it to rebound to retest the previously broken level at 71, where it will also meet the 38.20 Fibonacci level and a local upward trend line. If any signs of a reversal appear from there, it could be a buying opportunity up to 74.30.
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Bearish signal potential with double top formationThe oil FX_IDC:USDWTI market has reached the previously predicted target,
with the current price stopping at $70.95, a strong resistance level due to its support of the price in December. This price level also coincides with the 38.20% Fibonacci level, the 50-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, and intersects with the weekly downtrend. On the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, we observe a rejection pattern with a double top formation and divergence, indicating a potential bearish signal if the neckline at 69.48 is breached. This could lead to a sell signal with a target of 67.28. Alternatively, if the price breaks the resistance level, this would indicate a buy signal with a target of 72.71.
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Long position entry for oil requires breaking resistanceOil FX_IDC:USDWTI breaks triangle pattern and touches yearly support level,
indicating a potential corrective move. Weak momentum in the downtrend and formation of a reversal pattern support this analysis. To enter a long position, oil must break the downtrend line and the last resistance level at 67.23. The first target is at 69.52 and the second at 70.95.
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USDWTI D1 - Short SignalUSDWTI D1 - Still lots pending at the moment with regards to the dollar, we are starting the week off bullish, with the dollar up .15$% on the day, cable down .25%, XAU down .27% and WTI down a huge 0.5% so far... Hoping to see deeper corrections. But ultimately, we need this D1 candle on these ***USD setups to close red. Back on that heavy $80/b psychological price
USDWTI Trend AnalysisThere are two possible senario in my point of view ...
Firstly, crude oil is near the daily horizontal and dynamic resistance at 76.5! it couldn`d break the resistance zone.
Secondly, it might try to make a fake break and then coutinue to its weekly down-trend!
What do you think?
like and leave a comment ;)
Market Update 9/26/22TIMESTAMPS:
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Intro 0:00
APPL 0:25
Going Over Price Movements 5:00
BTC 8:34
VIX 12:34
Indices 13:18
APPL What I want to see Recap 14:30
USD/WTI 16:08
DOGE 17:25
XRP 18:12
ETH/BTC 19:28
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Video Sums it up. The average ceiling is around the 4HR hull at 151.81. Depending on where we start there might be mayhem in the coming days or even tomorrow. The main plus that the market had today on the open, was that it was oversold in pre-market, assisting the price in initially pushing up more than it needed it.
I go over it in the video, but the amount the price rose in 1 hour today, was the same amount it rose last Monday in 5.5 hours. Pretty wild stuff. Especially since it got sold down from there.
As usual, I will add timestamps.
USDWTI D1 - Short Signal SetupUSDWTI D1
Pretty much everything we are scouting out is on this higher timeframe, really trying to understand market bias and direction (USD bull continuations expected) before diving into the LTF entries (H4/H1).
Nice area of D1 supply and S/R here on WTI. Targets of $85/b with a little over $2/b stops gives us over 4R potential.
USDWTI H4 - Short From ResistanceUDSWTI H4
Initial area of resistance had broken, and we have made slight adjustments to the resistance price/zone here. Very clear trading zone, something I'm taking short on from the details indicated.
Strong 8.5R from resistance down to support. And 3.75R to interim resistance.