Usdx
2023.8.25 USD has hit a strong pressure intensive range2023.8.25 USD has hit a strong pressure intensive range
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, August 25th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index rose sharply yesterday, and today its high point has reached around the daily 233 moving average and the top to bottom gold split of 2.000!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold rose and fell yesterday, and has been suppressed by the daily level 21 moving average (1913.76 US dollars) for two consecutive trading days! So, for the rest of today, just use the daily level 21 moving average (1913.76 US dollars) as an important intraday point operation! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil fell first yesterday and then rose, showing a clear reversal pattern and continuing to rise today! So, for the rest of today, just use the opening price of August 23, 2023 ($79.564) as an important point for intraday operations! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro/US dollar peaked yesterday at the bottom of the daily average level, reaching 2.382 points above the gold split, and then fell sharply below the daily average level of 233 (1.08119)! So for the continuation period today, just use the daily level 233 moving average (1.08119) as an important intraday point operation! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound fell sharply against the US dollar yesterday and has now reached the daily level of 144 moving average (1.25730), engaging in a long short competition! So for the continuation period today, just use the daily level 144 moving average (1.25730) as an important point for the day operation! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Friday, and tonight there will be a speech by FOMC Chairman Powell, as well as the closing weekly line market. Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
USDX UPDATEhi all
Following a breakout of the 103.256 level, I expect a correction to wave B.
Let me know what you think In the comments!
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading skills**
Thanks a lot for your support
2023.8.24 precious metals are stronger than non US currencies2023.8.24 precious metals are stronger than non US currencies
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Thursday, August 24th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index rose and fell yesterday, but strengthened again today. Overall, there is still a long short competition within the community, with the opening price on July 6, 2023 (103.340) and the opening price on June 13 (103.620) now!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the picture, gold surged yesterday, breaking through the daily 233 moving average and 21 moving average levels! So, for the rest of today, just use the opening price of $1919 from the previous month as an important intraday point operation! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil fell sharply yesterday, breaking below the recent bottom up gold split of 2.000 ($79.118)! So, for the rest of today, just use $77.9 as an important intraday point operation! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro hit a recent low against the US dollar yesterday, with its lowest point hitting the daily 233 moving average and strengthening! Today, the euro was suppressed against the US dollar by the recent bottom against the gold split of 2.382 (1.08741)! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the daily closing line of the pound against the US dollar showed a long downward shadow yesterday, and ultimately it still closed near the daily level 21 moving average (1.27267)! So for the continuation period today, we can continue to use the daily level 21 moving average (1.27267) as an important point for the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Thursday, and tomorrow evening there will be a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
US DOLLAR INDEXGood morning, fellow early risers! 🌅 The EURUSD pair seems to be chillin' right in the middle of its range, playing the consolidation game. But here's the kicker: if we shift our gaze to the maestro itself, the DXY, it's kind of hinting at a journey to fill up that liquidity capper.
Translation? 🤔 In the short term, our pal Dollar is flexing its bullish muscles, and that could mean a bit of a downer for pairs like EURUSD. So keep your eyes peeled, stay on your toes, and let's ride these charts with wisdom, my friends! 🚀📈🤙
USDX UPDATEhi all
I'm looking for a pullback around level 103.7, with a target of 102.1, before continuing long.
Let me know what you think In the comments!
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading skills**
Thanks a lot for your support
2023.8.23 Euro is weaker than other 2023.8.23 Euro is weaker than other
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Wednesday, August 23rd 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index rose slightly yesterday and weakened today. Overall, there is still a long short competition within the community, with the current opening price on July 6, 2023 (103.340) and June 13 (103.620)!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold has been continuously strengthening in the past three days! So, for the rest of today, just use the integer level of 1900 US dollars as an important intraday point operation! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil has fallen for three consecutive trading days, and is about to once again test the bottom near the 2.000 level (78.9 US dollars) of the gold split! So, for the rest of today, just use this website as an important point for daily operations! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro hit a recent low against the US dollar yesterday, reaching the pre peak bullish starting point, which is below the opening price of July 6, 2023 (1.08551)! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the GBP/USD yesterday tested the daily level 55 moving average (1.27971) and then fell back near the daily level 21 moving average (1.27347)! So for the continuation period today, we can continue to use the daily level 21 moving average (1.27347) as an important point for the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Wednesday, and there is EIA inventory data for US crude oil tonight. Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.8.22 US dollar weakens2023.8.22 US dollar weakens
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Tuesday, August 22nd 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index is still engaged in long short competition within the community. The current community is the opening price on July 6, 2023 (103.340) and June 13 (103.620), which is weak today!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold yesterday broke through the pressure of the recent bottom against the 1.618 level of the gold split, which was also the lowest point on June 29, 2023 ($1892.87). Today, it confirmed and strengthened! So, for the rest of today, just continue to use this position as an important point during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil yesterday broke through the daily level 21 moving average and was very close to the 2.382 position on the bottom of the graph, before falling significantly! So, for the rest of today, just use today's opening price (80.029 US dollars) as an important point for intraday operations! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro strengthened against the US dollar yesterday and today as a whole, approaching the daily level 21 moving average (1.09456)! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound broke the daily level 21 moving average (1.27423) against the US dollar yesterday, and the daily closing line is above it. Today, it is about to challenge the daily level 55 moving average (1.27984)! So for the continuation period today, just continue to use this position as an important point for the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Tuesday, and tonight US crude oil will enter its final trading day on the market, with a possibility of a tight market situation. Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.8.21 Two cross stars for daily USD2023.8.21 Two cross stars for daily USD
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Monday, August 21st 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index has been engaged in a long short competition in the past two trading days within the neighborhood. The current neighborhood is the opening price on July 6, 2023 (103.340) and the opening price on June 13 (103.620)!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold has been suppressed for three consecutive trading days by the 1.618 level of the gold split at the bottom, which is also the lowest point on June 29, 2023 (1892.87 US dollars)! So, for the rest of today, just continue to use this position as an important point during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, the highest click through of US crude oil today broke the daily level 21 moving average ($81.350)! So, for the rest of today, just use this position as an important point during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro/US dollar has been engaged in a long short battle for 5 consecutive trading days near the bottom of the gold split at 2.382 (1.08730)! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound was suppressed by the daily level 21 moving average (1.27441) for four consecutive trading days against the US dollar! So for the continuation period today, just continue to use this position as an important point for the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, today is Monday, and there is a high probability that non US currencies and precious metals will engage in unilateral trading. Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.8.18 Bulls of USD need to rest2023.8.18 Bulls of USD need to rest
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, August 18th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the daily closing pattern of the US dollar index showed a long downward shadow yesterday, indicating that bulls need to rest!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the gold daily chart yesterday showed a long cross star with up and down shadows, which is the standard change signal! So, for the rest of today, we will continue to operate at the lowest point on June 29, 2023 (1892.87 US dollars) as an important intraday point! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, the highest point of US crude oil yesterday hit the opening price of the day before yesterday (80.603 US dollars), and then the increase narrowed. Today, we continue to test the upward pressure! So, for the rest of today, just use this position as an important point during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the daily trend of the euro against the US dollar yesterday was exactly opposite to the US dollar index, and today, there is still a long short battle around the bottom of the gold split at 2.382 (1.08730)! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound broke through the daily level 21 moving average (1.27549) against the US dollar yesterday and today, and is about to break through the upward trend! So for the continuation period today, just continue to use this position as an important point for the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, today is Friday, and the weekly line will be closed tonight. Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.8.17 GBPUSD has clearly strengthened2023.8.17 GBPUSD has clearly strengthened
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Thursday, August 17th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index has closed at a positive line for 5 consecutive trading days, breaking the strong pressure level of July 6, 2023 opening price (103.34), and the next small pressure level is 103.62!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold broke through its low of $1892.87 two months ago yesterday and strengthened today! So, for the rest of today, we will continue to operate at the lowest point on June 29, 2023 (1892.87 US dollars) as an important intraday point! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil plummeted yesterday, with the daily closing line below the recent bottom of 2.000 level ($79) above the gold split. Today, it strengthened and returned to above this level! So, for the rest of today, just use this position as an important point during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro continued to weaken against the US dollar yesterday and has already broken through the daily level of 165MA (1.08634) today! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound against the dollar is significantly stronger than other varieties, with yesterday's high of pound against the dollar hitting the daily level 21 moving average (1.27622)! So for the continuation period today, just continue to use this position as an important point for the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, today is Thursday, and the weekly line will be closed tomorrow. Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.8.16 GBPUSD tests pressure2023.8.16 GBPUSD tests pressure
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Wednesday, August 16th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index continued to strengthen after hitting the daily level 165 moving average at its lowest point yesterday. It has been closing above the important moving average concentration range for three consecutive trading days, fully opening up the upside space!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold has been closing below the daily average of 233 ($1909.07) for two consecutive trading days, with a probability of continuing to weaken! So, for the rest of today, just use the lowest point on June 29, 2023 (1892.87 US dollars) as the important intraday point to operate! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, yesterday's daily closing of US crude oil was below the daily level of 21MA ($81.156), opening up space below! So, for the rest of today, just use this position as an important point during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro hit the daily 144 moving average (1.08913) at its lowest point against the US dollar yesterday and today! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound rose and fell against the US dollar yesterday, and continued to strengthen today. It is about to test the daily level 21 moving average (1.27662)! So for the continuation period today, just continue to use this position as an important point for the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, today is Wednesday, and tonight FOMC will release the minutes of its monetary policy meeting. Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.8.15 USD is waiting for the guidance of retail sales 2023.8.15 USD is waiting for the guidance of retail sales
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Tuesday, August 15th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index rose slightly yesterday and then fell. Today, it is bearish and weak, waiting for the guidance of monthly retail sales rates in the United States in the evening!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold once again broke below the daily 233 moving average ($1909.07) yesterday, and the downside space has opened up again. The latest support is the integer level of $1900! So, for the rest of today, we will continue to operate at the daily level 233 moving average ($1909.07) as an important intraday point! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil continued to decline yesterday, and today there is a long short battle near the bottom of the daily level against the gold split of 2.382 ($81.96)! So, for the rest of today, just use this position as an important point during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro hit its lowest point against the US dollar yesterday, hitting the bottom of the gold split at 2.382 (1.08735), and rose slightly today! So for the continuation period today, just use today's opening price (1.09070) as an important point for the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the GBP/USD daily closing line showed a long downward shadow yesterday, and today it is still at the bottom of the daily level against the 2.000 level of the golden section, which is also the highest point on May 10, 2023 (1.26793), and there is a long short competition nearby! So for the continuation period today, just continue to use this position as an important point for the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, today is Tuesday, and tonight there is "horror data" on the monthly retail sales rate in the United States for July. Please be aware of the risks.
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
USDX TRADE IDEAHi all
from the weekly chart, the price high and low are almost retracing 0.618%.
Additionally, the Federal Reserve is aiming to lower inflation to 2%, thus we had a pennant pattern break low, which I see as contradicting.
I therefore expect to see a cpi y/y below 3.3 in this week's upcoming release of the CPI data, which could result in strong dollar.
Therefore, I am targeting the 1.618 fibo extension with my buy stop on the daily chart.
Let me know what you think In the comments!
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading skills**
Thanks a lot for your support
2023.8.14 The upward space for USD has opened up2023.8.14 The upward space for USD has opened up
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Monday, August 14th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, USDX has arrived at the top of the daily average density range and are about to challenge the next strong pressure: the opening price on July 6, 2023 is 103.340!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the lowest point of gold today is very close to the daily level 233 moving average ($1908.49)! So, for the rest of today, just use the daily level 233 moving average ($1908.49) as an important intraday point to operate! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil closed in a cross star pattern on Friday's daily line, breaking through the recent bottom up gold split of 2.382 ($81.96) today! So, for the rest of today, just use this position as an important point during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the EUR/USD broke the lower limit last Friday, and the daily closing line was clearly below the daily level long short divide 55 moving average (1.09872), opening up space for the lower limit! So for the continuation period today, just use today's opening price (1.09424) as an important point for the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the GBP/USD is still at the bottom of the daily level against the 2.000 level of the Golden Divide, which is also the highest point on May 10, 2023 (1.26793), and there is a long short competition nearby! So for the continuation period today, just continue to use this position as an important point for the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, today is Monday, and tomorrow night there will be "horror data" on the monthly retail sales rate in the United States for July. Please be aware of the risks.
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.8.11 USDX has a long downward shadow!2023.8.11 USDX has a long downward shadow!
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, August 11th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the daily trend of the US dollar index has shown a long decline, and both bulls and bearers need to rest after fierce battles!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold appeared long on the daily line yesterday, and the final physical part of the daily line was a small negative line! So, for the rest of today, just use the daily level 233 moving average ($1906.29) as an important intraday point to operate! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil fell significantly yesterday, with today's low hitting the recent bottom of 2.382 (81.96 US dollars) against the gold split! So, for the rest of today, just use this position as an important point during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, although the euro broke through multiple pressure levels against the US dollar yesterday, the final daily closing was still near the daily level of 55MA (1.09815). Today, we continue to engage in long short competition near this position! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound peaked at a daily level of 21MA (1.28156) against the US dollar yesterday, then fell back and strengthened again today! So for the continuation period today, we will continue to use the bottom of the daily line level to match the 2.000 level of the golden section, which is also the highest point on May 10, 2023 (1.26793), as an important point for the day! Above this position, long trading is the main focus; Below this position, short selling is the main focus!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Friday, the weekly limit is closed tonight. Please pay attention to the risks.
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.8.10 USOUSD continues to soar!2023.8.10 USOUSD continues to soar!
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Thursday, August 10th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index weakened again today, breaking through the 2.382 (102.29) gold split at the top of the daily level!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold has already broken through the strong support level of $1919.4, which is the opening price of last month. The latest support is the daily level of 233MA ($1906.33)! So, for the rest of today, just use these two positions as important points for daily operations! Between these two positions, throw high and suck low; Beyond these two positions, chase up and kill down!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil surged again yesterday, breaking through the 2.618 level ($83.69) of the daily bottom to gold split and the 377MA level ($83.28) of the daily level. Now, the latest pressure level for US crude oil has reached the opening price of November 17, 2022 ($84.61)! So, for the rest of today, just use the opening price of November 17, 2022 ($84.61) as an important intraday point for operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro continued to strengthen against the US dollar yesterday and today, breaking through the daily level of 55MA (1.09770) and the daily level of 2.618 (1.10115) above the gold split at the bottom. Now, the latest pressure level for the euro against the US dollar has reached the daily level of 21MA (1.10418)! So for the continuation period today, just use the daily line level 21MA (1.10418) as the important point operation for the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound peaked at a daily level of 55MA (1.27831) against the US dollar yesterday, then fell back and strengthened again today! So for the continuation period today, we can continue to operate at the daily level 55MA (1.27831) as an important point during the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Thursday, and tonight there is a five-star data market for US CPI data. Please be aware of the risks.
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.8.9 US crude oil has reversed its deep V 2023.8.9 US crude oil has reversed its deep V
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Wednesday, August 9th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the opening price of the US dollar index today is clearly above the daily level of 55MA, and the upper space is once again open!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold fell yesterday, but still did not hit the strong support level of $1919.4, which is the opening price of last month! So, for the rest of today, just use this position as an important point during the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil fell first yesterday and then rose, with a large V-shaped reversal! So, for the rest of today, just use the opening price of August 7, 2023 at $82.577 as the important intraday point operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro broke through the daily level of 55MA (1.09711) against the US dollar yesterday, and today it has returned to this position to engage in long short competition! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the lowest point of the pound against the US dollar yesterday hit the recent bottom of 2.000 against the Golden Divide, which is also the highest point of 1.26793 on May 10, 2023. The pound is about to rise sharply against the US dollar! So for the continuation period today, just use the daily line level 55MA (1.27783) as the important point operation for the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Wednesday, there will be EIA crude oil inventory data tonight, and tomorrow night there will be five-star data on US CPI data. Please be aware of the risks.
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.8.8 USD strengthened2023.8.8 USD strengthened, non US currencies and precious metals overall weakened, and US crude oil plunged!
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Tuesday, August 8th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index has been vying for long and short positions at the top of the chart against the 2.382 position (102.29) of the golden section!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold fell yesterday, almost giving up last Friday's gains, and continues to weaken today! So, for the rest of today, just use the lowest point on Friday ($1925.07) as an important intraday point operation! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil continued to accelerate and weaken yesterday and today! So, for the rest of today, just use the opening price of April 19, 2023 at $80.927 as the important intraday point operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro hit the daily level of 55MA at its lowest point against the US dollar yesterday, and the final daily closing showed a cross star pattern. Today, we will continue to explore the daily level of 55MA! Today, the euro weakened against the US dollar, hitting the daily level of 55MA (1.09667)! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the GBP/USD is still engaged in a long short battle at the daily level of 55MA (1.27719)! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Tuesday, and the impact of last Friday's big non agricultural data market will come to an end. It is likely to take a new direction, please pay attention to the risks.
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.8.7 USDX has shifted from weak to strong2023.8.7 USDX has shifted from weak to strong
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Monday, August 7th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index has been weakening for two consecutive days, and today it is at 2.382 (102.29) in the top to bottom golden section of the chart!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold peaked at a daily level of 55MA last Friday and continued to weaken today! So, for the rest of today, just use the daily level of 55MA, or 1944.22 US dollars, as an important point for intraday operations! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil hit a recent high last Friday, but was still suppressed by the opening price of April 17, 2023 ($82.456)! So, for the rest of today, just use this position as an important point during the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro rose sharply against the US dollar last Friday, but the daily closing was still suppressed by the recent bottom up gold split of 2.618, which was also the opening price on February 2, 2023 and the highest point on June 22, 2023! Today, the euro weakened against the US dollar, hitting the daily level of 55MA (1.09613)! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the GBP/USD has been engaged in a long short battle at the daily level of 55MA (1.27654) in recent trading days! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Monday, and it is likely to break out of the continuation of last Friday's non agricultural data market. Please be aware of the risks.
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
DOLLAR/DXY INDEX
Since this idea posted. 2 weeks ago. at a price 99.590$
PRice easily shoot 102.8$
Im expecting light manipulation above the box line before it falls back for retesting at 101 zone or the price might be going down to the previous lows.
If only The FED would stop raising hikes. Then we might see a Bullish on everything. If September has a hikes then The price of dollar continues to Shoot.
This is only my view base on charts. IF you follow this idea, you made a lot.
Thank you and IM almost got 400 followers.
Well I keep posting good stuffs, enjoy trading and Happy NFP later...squeezing both sides.
Goodluck folks.
Crunch time for DXY - Big Day Friday!I never trade DXY but I always have a tab open, I find this really useful when trading many pairs.
My current take on the Fed and the US economy is:
They were the first to respond to growing inflation
Their tightening has led to interest rates of 5.5% (only matched by BNZ)
They've hawkishly indicated more hike(s)
Consumer confidence numbers this week were strong, in spite of this
Jobless claims continue to beat target
GDP for June smashed target (2.4% up from 2%, despite forecasted reduction to 1.8%)
Inflation is now 2.97%, really low compared to others
It's looking very much like a soft landing
Whilst at the same time:
ECB interest rate held at 4.25% with inflation at 6.4%
BoJ interest rate held at -0.1% with inflation at 3.3%
Swiss inflation is 1.7% with interest rates at 1.75%
BOA interest rate held at 4.1% with inflation at 6%
BNZ interest rate held at 5.5% with inflation 6.7%
BoE decision this week, currently 5%, +0.25% priced in, but Dovish talk and highest inflation (7.95%)
So, I can't fail to see positive fundamentals from the USA, in comparison with almost everyone else?
I also think that because they moved fast and got a grip of things, unlike anyone else, they can still afford to hike without screwing their economy, unlike BoE and BNZ for instance who I believe are heading into big recessions - high interest will get to a point where it's as harmful as high inflation and will make the situation worse for the economy.
That all said, until the news this week, DXY has been on huge downtrend from it's highs, and it will take something special to break through the descending trendline around 102.
If it breaks this could be the start of a reversal if positively retested.
Like I say I don't trade DXY, but I've learned to always have it in my sights, you have to be mindful of big DXY shifts as it has an impact on many other crosses (not just USD ones). For instance the big move this week with the Thursday data had a huge effect across the board, fortunately I was expecting it...
We have a big indecision doji candle for Friday, however, off the back of last week being positive for the USD and negative for other currencies that make up the basket, I do think the dollar will court the trendline for this week, and we'll probably see a false breakout!
On the 4hr I'm seeing short term bullishness, bounce up off the 50% fib for the last bullish move:
Whatever, Friday will be a huge day, with NFP and Average Earnings released - I'm expecting DXY will have dropped back a bit by then, I'm expecting good data on Friday, but I don't think it will matter, good or bad it will lure us into a false sense of security and DXY will bounce down, hard with bad data, less so with good data, but regardless - I can't see it punching through on this juncture.
As always this is just an opinion, let's see what happens!
Crunch time for DXY - Friday will be a big day!I never trade DXY but I always have a tab open, I find this really useful when trading many pairs.
My current take on the Fed and the US economy is:
They were the first to respond to growing inflation
Their tightening has led to interest rates of 5.5% (only matched by BNZ)
They've hawkishly indicated more hike(s)
Consumer confidence numbers this week were strong, in spite of this
Jobless claims continue to beat target
GDP for June smashed target (2.4% up from 2%, despite forecasted reduction to 1.8%)
Inflation is now 2.97%, really low compared to others
It's looking very much like a soft landing
Whilst at the same time:
ECB interest rate held at 4.25% with inflation at 6.4%
BoJ interest rate held at -0.1% with inflation at 3.3%
Swiss inflation is 1.7% with interest rates at 1.75%
BOA interest rate held at 4.1% with inflation at 6%
BNZ interest rate held at 5.5% with inflation 6.7%
BoE decision this week, currently 5%, +0.25% priced in, but Dovish talk and highest inflation (7.95%)
So, I can't fail to see super positive fundamentals from the USA, in comparison with almost everyone else?
I also think that because they moved fast and got a grip of things, unlike anyone else, they can still afford to hike without screwing their economy, unlike BoE and BNZ for instance who I believe are heading into big recessions - high interest will get to a point where it's as harmful as high inflation and will make the situation worse for the economy.
That all said, until the news this week, DXY has been on huge downtrend from it's highs, and it will take something special to break through the descending trendline around 102.
If it breaks this could be the start of a reversal if positively retested.
Like I say I don't trade DXY, but I've learned to always have it in my sights, you have to be mindful of big DXY shifts as it has an impact on many other crosses (not just USD ones). For instance the big move this week with the Thursday data had a huge effect across the board, fortunately I was expecting it...
We have a big indecision doji candle for Friday, however, off the back of last week being positive for the USD and negative for other currencies that make up the basket, I do think the dollar will court the trendline for this week, and we'll probably see a false breakout!
On the 4hr I'm seeing short term bullishness, bounce up off the 50% fib for the last bullish move:
Whatever, Friday will be a huge day, with NFP and Average Earnings released - I'm expecting DXY will have dropped back a bit by then, I'm expecting good data on Friday, but I don't think it will matter, good or bad it will lure us into a false sense of security and DXY will bounce down, hard with bad data, less so with good data, but regardless - I can't see it punching through on this juncture.
As always this is just an opinion, let's see what happens!