Why the USD is about to rally... See chart below please.
I would not necessarily listen to certain You-Tubers who write-off important momentum indicators like Stochastics & RSI.
My observations of both is that they are wonderful at telling me what is overbought & oversold. When a commodity, currency or stock is in either of these phases, massive & fast swings in price can occur as price comes out of the overbought (shorting) and oversold (buying) conditions.
The timeframe of the Stochastic and RSI which I've noticed has the most power and punch with respect to the above is the Weekly but sometimes the Weekly & Daily & 4HR RSI/Stochastics cross-up (x-up on 30/20 respectively) on their zones (buy) or cross-down (x-down 70/80 respectively) on their zones (short-sell). You really need to see the indicators tick-up (buy) or tick-down (sell) firmly through their respective zones (RSI 30/70) STOCH 20/80).
The following chart is the Weekly for the USDX. The RSI looks to be really getting under price & packing a big momentum-punch upwards soon. Plus the Stochastics Weekly is looking to cross up on its 20 zone at the same time. When they cross-up and if the Daily simultaneously crosses up it will provide a lot of upward price movement in USD and its index USDX.
I have been saying for about a week now that a rally is coming for the USD. This chart is the confirmation.
Usdxlong
DXY SHORT TERM BULLISH !!!HELLO TRADERS.
As I can see DXY on smaller TF creating H & S pattern we are looking for it to test the downtrend line once in 2024 and then all the way down its just a trade idea has a look on our previous analysis share Ur thoughts with us, we appreciate Ur love and comments.
Stay Tuned for more updates!
Reading multi timeframe Secrethello everyone, this is my first video tutorial on this website. I hope I explained everything properly if I didn't let me know so I can make improvements...
I did have some people who contacted me how to trade, they liked my analysis so I made this video for them and also for people new to trading.. Or people who are already pro this will give a nice upgrade on there skills
for this tutorial I used DXY which is the most important index in trading and I think it's a good start for new traders so they can use DXY to trade major currencies..
please let me know how the video was?
thank you
NZD slides against the Japanese YenThe New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is trading bearish against the Japanese Yen (JPY) at 87.386 on Friday, October 27, 2023, following comments from Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Taro Matsuno that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to conduct appropriate monetary policy.
Matsuno's comments come amid rising expectations that the BoJ will eventually tighten monetary policy in response to rising inflation in Japan. The BoJ has been maintaining an ultra-loose monetary policy stance for many years, but this has led to a significant weakening of the JPY in recent months.
The NZDJPY currency pair has been under pressure in recent weeks as investors have priced in the possibility of a more hawkish BoJ. The pair has fallen by over 5% since the start of October.
The bearish outlook for NZDJPY is further supported by the technical outlook. The pair has broken below a key support level at 88.00, and is now on track to test the next support level at 86.50.
Factors Weighing on NZDJPY
There are a number of factors weighing on NZDJPY at present, including:
Expectations of BoJ tightening: The BoJ is expected to be one of the last major central banks to tighten monetary policy, which is putting downward pressure on the JPY.
Rising inflation in Japan: Japan's inflation rate has been rising in recent months, which is putting pressure on the BoJ to tighten monetary policy.
Global risk aversion: Global investors are currently risk averse, which is leading to a sell-off in riskier assets such as the NZD.
Weak New Zealand economic data: The New Zealand economy has been slowing in recent months, which is weighing on the NZD.
Technical Outlook for NZDJPY
The technical outlook for NZDJPY is bearish. The pair has broken below a key support level at 88.00, and is now on track to test the next support level at 86.50. If NZDJPY breaks below 86.50, it could fall to 85.00 or even lower.
Trading Strategy
Traders who are bearish on NZDJPY could consider shorting the pair at current levels. A stop loss could be placed above the recent high at 88.00. A profit target could be placed at 86.50 or 85.00.
It is important to note that the foreign exchange market is volatile and prices can move quickly. Traders should always use risk management techniques when trading currencies.
USDX TRADE IDEAHi all
from the weekly chart, the price high and low are almost retracing 0.618%.
Additionally, the Federal Reserve is aiming to lower inflation to 2%, thus we had a pennant pattern break low, which I see as contradicting.
I therefore expect to see a cpi y/y below 3.3 in this week's upcoming release of the CPI data, which could result in strong dollar.
Therefore, I am targeting the 1.618 fibo extension with my buy stop on the daily chart.
Let me know what you think In the comments!
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading skills**
Thanks a lot for your support
not going to be easy for equites and gold from here onusdx has made a sharp bottom in my opinion it has completed an impulse move and now a corrective move in a down trend it can go up to the retracement levels marked on the chart however it has to be remembered that this is a corrective move only not a start of an uptrend or any impulse move so have to plan accordingly 101.5 on the downside is a key level until it trades above that level the move is only on the upside on every dips
DXY| Sellers Took Control Again Hi Tradingview Family,
Shaquan here. Today I noticed the Dollar Index(DXY, USDX) made a new low. What this tells me is the sellers still have control and it's time to look for another selling opportunity on USDCHF while buying EURUSD.
I'll be going live on Trading-view at 8:00 pm EST. tonight to cover the in detailed analysis while sharing with you the 10 tools I use to analyze my price chart.
My prayer is you find these tools Trading view provides to be beneficial to you.
Follow your trading plan and update to the new price movement.
-Shaquan
USDX Futures Contract AnalysisThis is the U.S Dollar Futures contract expiring in December. I usually use this in Forex but lately the crypto market has been moving like the Forex market so i might as well drop it in here so you can use this information to analyse for the 4th Quarter of the year.
Below the chart, there are 2 panes (the 1st pane indicates the Commitment of Traders report and the second pane indicates the institutional Open interest)
For the 1st pane, focus on the red line which indicates the Commercial Banks. We can see that the red line is increasing which indicates that Commercial Banks (The big players in the market) are increasing their Net Long positions on the Dollar.
For the 2nd Pane, the purple line indicates the Open interest within the market. We can see that the previous 2 weeks, the Open interest dropped drastically. What does this mean to a Smart Money Trader? The commercial banks are doing something called Short Covering (simply said, they are using this opportunity to close their short positions by opening Long positions).
Now that I have explained what the 2 panes are implying... Look at the chart of the Weekly USDX futures contract, price has reached the Bullish Orderblock.
What do you think will happen next 😏 ?
www.barchart.com
USDX BULLISH PATTERNUSD remains one of the stronger currencies in this period of uncertainty in the FX markets. The US Dollar Index, that had reached a two-decades high earlier this month, has broken the resistance of its Falling Wedge pattern on the 4H graph and it is returning to its upper trend.
If this trend continues, the Dollar Index might try to test again the level of 105. Otherwise it might return within the Falling Wedge pattern and test the support at 103.40
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
USDX retrace below 100 before next impulse higher- Looking for temporary Dollar weakness in the form of a retrace to below 100.
- Followed by next impulse leg up on negative GDP-news
- Fundamentally a US recession is looming
- US slump will translate to a cooling world-economy
- This will trigger risk off and with it Dollar strength
- Volume profile shows strength in upmove
- After the high volume is falling on the way down
- In short: drop below 100 followed by a push above 106
LONG POSITIONUSDX;TECHNICAL
FORECAST:BULLISH
The US Dollar (via the DXY Index) has traded to a fresh yearly high, even though US Treasury yields remain, by-and-large, rangebound.
The economic calendar this week is backloaded with US data, in particular, the March US nonfarm payrolls report which could show jobs growth close to +700K.
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DXY LONGDear Traders.This is my analysis for US Dollar Index and it is Long.
We can see on the chart how the price was reacted trought the times.
In spring of 2020 the Dollar lost transaction .At the first it was 92-94 zone of the price.
After that time it had had a solid downtrend to 90 and it is preparaing to go for a Uptrend Movement.
Traders make your own analysis before trading.
Thank you! TVC:DXY