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USDZAR

USDZAR – bullish PA expected .. the week of 06 June.The recent price action is corrective and within a channel structure. Many call this PA as a flag pattern (seen better on the H4 chart). Either way, price is now at support and I expect this 15.4240 region to hold. It has been tested a few times already and I am ready to take a long here. Additional factors in favor of a long are: the preceding trend was bullish and price is above the 200dma. Even with a generous stop we still have the potential to get 2.7R and these odds make it a worthwhile risk. Bear in mind however, the wide spreads and negative swap in going long on this pair. If you like my analysis, please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get immediate notifications. Always use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades.
Long
by Trading_Vista
USD/ZAR AnalysisThe South African Economy continues to find itself up against increasing challenges with forecasts on unemployment figures to increase after today's data release. Along with extended fuel price increases, putting even more pressure on the ZAR (Rand) looking at our technicals, we find that a strong demand zone has been broken after a liquidity grab has taken place at the 15.463 area. A break of the 50-day moving average may indicate additional confidence in a weaker move for the ZAR. We look to find a re-test of this demand level or a strong enough pullback to enter into a long position.
Long
by VavioUniversity
Is the South African Rand forging its own path against the USD?The exotic pair of the U.S. Dollar to South African Rand (USD/ZAR) has not correlated strongly with other USD pairs since this year. In fact, the USD is down 1.3% against the ZAR since the beginning of the year, all the while, the USD index has been super bullish, up 6.1% YTD. While performing better than the GBP, EUR, and other major partners, the USD is still trading just under last November’s high. With the seasonal tendency of the USD to weaken over the Northern hemisphere’s summer months in combination with the strong trend-bucking Rand, Is it looking unlikely that the USD will take out those highs over the coming months? A main reason for the ZAR’s strength is the interest rate hikes emanating from the South African Reserve Bank (SARB). Just last Thursday the SARB raised rates to 4.75% with a 50 basis point hike, which is the highest single increase South Africa has seen since 2016. It appears that the announcement was already priced in to the USDZAR since there was little volatility that followed. Several more aggressive rate hikes are expected from the SARB with at least another 50 basis point rise over 2022, and 100 basis points over 2023. USDZAR technical perspective On the charts, we can see the pair is floating just below the high created in November 2021. Just this month we've seen a new range created, to which the Fibonacci tool is anchored. There is also an Elder's Force Index (EFI) indicator on the bottom window. This indicator is concerned with the previous day’s opening and closing prices in relation to volume. Overbought and oversold conditions can be ascertained when the indicator moves above or below the zero line. At the time of this writing, the USDZAR is sitting above on the 78.6% retracement level, with the EFI below the zero line. If the price is going to take out last November’s high, then we will need to see a sustained support at this level. Ever the contrarian, the USDZAR may disregard the oversold EFI confluence and continue on its path below the 78.6% level..
by BlackBull_Markets
USDZAR Pull-back in Summer but bullish end-of-yearThe USDZAR pair is replicating the previous Cycle of 2016-2019 and right now is at the final Accumulation Phase before the rally to a blow-off top. What the comparison suggests, based also on the 1W RSI (attention the price action is on the 1D time-frame though), is that we may soon see a pull-back towards roughly 15.100 to September and then a strong finish to the year above 17.000. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
by TradingShot
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