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USDZAR

UASZARThe ZAR has been a very strong currency over recent weeks, consistently moving higher against the USD which has itself been in a long-term bullish trend. The USD also rose against a basket of currencies last week but fell quite strongly against the ZAR as can be seen in the price chart below. Last week’s price action saw a close near the low of the week’s range, and it was the lowest weekly close made since September 2021. There are good reasons to look for a short trade here to exploit the bearish momentum, but bears should watch out for the potentially inflective low point at 14.3518 which might be supportive.
Short
by SmoothJB
Dollar / South African Rand (USDZAR) High Timeframe outline HTF (High Time Frame) outlook for the South African Rand. Lets see how it plays out over the coming months. I am currrently positioned long and per the box, break down from here and you target the next range below for some action. HTF charts take long to play out. Wonder what the news will be .... USD at monthly resistance, so probably heading to the lower box. These monthlys all tested, and weekly struggling to hold. So lower box looking prbable for now. However, this is the range to long, albiet a bit sketchy. USD looking strong against CHINA YEN , this could play a significant role, as South Africa (Along with rest of Africa) is aligned (owned) by China.
by Willco95
USDZAR end of Q1The rand has held up resiliently against the dollar during this recent patch of geopolitical tension largely due the rise in commodity prices, particularly precious metals. Risk-assets, such as equities and the rand, received strong bids following the Fed rate hike and going forward I don't see the rand depreciating rapidly from further Fed rate hikes as the year progresses. While we're on the topic of interest rates, I believe hikes are priced in and the rand's carry trade appeal is still very strong (SA 10-year yield = 9.785% vs US = 2.388%). SA's trade balance surplus has however slipped from R29 billion in December to R3.55 billion in January and the forecast for February is expected to climb higher to R16.50 billion which is fundamentally rand positive. Let's get techi: The rand has pulled back 50% of its 2H2021 losses and the 50% fibo rate of 14.79 is the next support rate to watch (just a reminder I use a log scale chart and my Fibo retracements are also based on the log scale). A break below 14.79 will open the gates for a move lower towards the 61.8% Fibo retracement at 14.45 and the 23.6% Fibo retracement from the rand's 2020 recovery. I do however expect the rand to give back a bit and for the support at 14.79 to hold some strength. The RSI seems to be losing some downward momentum and the stochastic indicator is currently trading deep in the oversold zone (rand overbought). A pullback towards the 50-day MA of 15.20 and the 200-day MA of 15.05 is looking plausible but I expect the critical resistance rate of 15.15 to hold its ground. A failed break back above 15.15 will leave the window open for further rand strength. A break above 15.15 will however see the rand slip to 15.40 against the dollar. There is also a looming death cross on the pair (50-day MA crossing below the 200-day MA) which will be rand positive. To summarise, I see the pair moving into the zone between 14.35 and 14.60 as Q2 progresses.
by GustavFourie96
2
USDZAR 14.96170 + 0.24 % LONG IDEA * REVERSAL PATTERNS,BREAKOUT HEY EVERYONE HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE. NEW WEEK, NEW OPPORTUNITIES. LOOKING AT THE DOLLAR / ZAR * The PAIR has been trading in a descending channel just tested the BASE of this structure ENTERING a range as we see momentum to the down side slow down somewhat. - Short term the pair is currently rejecting at this structure possibly signaling a change in momentum on the 4h chart this,the delay at this level might just be the signal that we might be changing direction towards the bulls.. - Looking for long entries on the THE DOLLAR ZAR this week should all the rules of the formation be met. LOOKING FOR A BREAKOUT ON LOWER TIME-FRAMES AND POSSIBLY SIGNS OF BULLISH MOMENTUM lets see how it goes IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT. ALWAYS APPRECIATED ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ * Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - SWING TRADE
Long
by PULEMokhothu
1
$USDZAR Daily - Dollar bulls still have the ball (for now)A chart that many South Africans will be watching with interest. The confirmed break of the inverse H&S in November set up a full target of 17.00. The pair quickly tested 16.30 before consolidating within an asymmetrical triangle. Consolidations are healthy, and will allow USD to gather some steam before next surge higher. However, currently, USDZAR is testing triple support, namely: H&S neckline, bottom triangle as well as 200 SMA. Should these support levels break, and we get a sustained move below 14.90 - this invalids the prior bullish USD patterns. Next support levels will come in at 14.40, 14.10 and 13.40 respectively. On the other hand, a break above 15.40 confirms the asymmetrical triangle targeting 16.30.
by arracofx
USDZAR 15.34901 + 0.39 % SHORT IDEA * CONTINUATION PATTERNS CONTHEY EVERYONE HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE. NEW WEEK, NEW OPPORTUNITIES. LOOKING AT THE DOLLAR / ZAR * The PAIR has been trading in a descending channel just tested the TOP of this structure creating a double top after some strong bullish rally. - Short term the pair is currently rejecting at this structure possibly signaling a change in momentum on the 4h chart this, WE SAW A BREAK AND RETEST of the small ascending structure with multiple rejections.. - Looking for short entries on the THE DOLLAR ZAR this week should all the rules of the formation be met. lets see how it goes IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT. ALWAYS APPRECIATED ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ * Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - SWING TRADE
Short
by PULEMokhothu