Bearish drop?USD/ZAR is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level.
Pivot: 18.30934
1st Support: 18.12993
1st Resistance: 18.43011
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USDZAR
Bearish drop?USD/ZAR is reacting off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 18.39589
1st Support: 18.17481
1st Resistance: 18.55218
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish reversal off 50% Fibonacci support?USD/ZAR has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 18.2155
1st Support: 18.1280
1st Resistance: 18.4373
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Anticipating a dropPrice has been bullish until the 4h fair value gap got triggered at 18.50000. Now we have a bearish sentiment, because price swept the 4h liquidity before the mitigation. To strengthen this scenario price has cleared the swing low to give us displacement, we are now looking for a flip that will make a sweep and simultaneously mitigate the rejection block at 18.38950 for bearish positions. This rejection block resonates with our 4h fair value gap, however, we should be wary of the unmitigated zone above. Fundamentally USDZAR is expected to trade at 17.00000.
Looking to risk 600 pips in order to accumulate 3000 pips…
USD/ZAR: Bullish Outlook Amid Demand AreaThe USD/ZAR currency pair is showing signs of recovery as the US Dollar gains ground against the South African Rand. Our analysis has identified a significant demand area where the price is currently experiencing oversold conditions. This setup presents a compelling opportunity for a long position in the USD.
Non-commercial traders, often regarded as more informed participants, are currently holding long positions, indicating their confidence in the USD's potential to rise. In contrast, retail traders are pushing the price lower, which often suggests a contrarian opportunity to go long.
Moreover, our analysis aligns with the seasonal patterns of this pair, which historically show a tendency for the USD to strengthen during this period. Seasonality adds an additional layer of confluence to our bullish outlook, enhancing the reliability of our technical and sentiment-based analysis.
Given these factors, we are closely monitoring the price action for a confirmation of support in the identified demand area. Once confirmed, this would provide an optimal entry point for a long position in USD/ZAR. The combination of oversold conditions, bullish non-commercial sentiment, and favorable seasonality creates a robust setup for a potential upward move.
In conclusion, the USD/ZAR pair is poised for a bullish reversal as it recovers from oversold conditions in a key demand area. The alignment of technical indicators, market sentiment, and seasonal trends suggests a strong case for a long position. Investors should watch for confirmation signals to enter the market and capitalize on the anticipated rise in the USD against the ZAR.
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#USDZAR Down channel formingUSDZAR has been trading in a defined sideways channel 19,40-17,40 for close to 18 months. Early days, but another down channel looks like it might be forming.
If this is the case, 17,40 could be challenged in coming weeks and a break of the bottom of the the sideways channel at 17,40 could be on the cards.
Bullish bounce?USD/ZAR is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 18.1317
1st Support: 17.9290
1st Resistance: 18.4709
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into overlap resistance, could it reverse from here?USD/ZAR is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 18.4787
1st Support: 18.1270
1st Resistance: 18.6895
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDZAR Short-term bullish signal but bearish overall.The USDZAR pair has been trading within a Channel Down since the April 09 Low. After pricing the latest Lower Low last week, the price is currently on the new Bullish Leg but got rejected today on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Both past Bullish Legs of this pattern rose by +5.30%. On top of that, their 1D RSI sequences are quite similar. As a result, we take advantage of today's rejection and turn bullish, targeting 18.7500 (marginally under an expected +5.30% rise.
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GO LONG USDZARGiven the current weakness in the South African economy coupled with the robust economic growth in America, this presents a great buying opportunity to gain in the US dollar (USD). Taking advantage of this economic disparity can yield favorable returns as the USD strengthens relative to the South African rand (ZAR).
USDZAR ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEK (starting 20/05)USDZAR has been bearish for quite some time now, breaking several structures downwards too. On both the weekly and daily TFs you can see some imbalance downwards which seems to be attracting the price further downwards to demand.
From what I can see on the 4H - price has actually respected previously created blocks, especially after the most significant break (the one that broke the low on the daily) making me wonder whether it’ll continue to do so while continuing it’s downwards push to demand.
USDZAR is bearish and I’d only short.
TP1: 17.86800
Final TP: 17.66375
U.S Macro Supports ZAR MomentumDespite the South African local election being only 14 days away, speculation of U.S. interest rate cuts over the last two months has supported the rand momentum.
We're approaching a crucial level at the Fibonacci retracement, but a reversal may be unlikely given a widening USDZAR carry trade and a disinflationary U.S. environment, which will support the ZAR's momentum until the end of Q2.
A momentum break of 18.27 will spur price action toward 17.95 and 17.78 if the stars align. However, I'm cautious ahead of the recent shipment of weapons from the U.S. to Israel this week. This will add further tension in the Middle East if Israel aggressively pursues the Rafah Region. However, we may remain range-bound below 18.60 to 18.20 in the present macro environment.
Keep in mind that April and May data will show a level of skewness due to loadshedding suspension ahead of the elections.
USDZAR sweeps and shiftsWe have 4h liquidity sweep, shifted bullish and initially made a minor sweep to mitigate the breaker block, followed by the first break to the upside then after an internal sweep to mitigate the order block… looking for a pullback to the unmitigated order block then a hike to the buy side liquidity…
USDZAR Low risk buy signal.The USDZAR pair is trading below both its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), having formed a Channel Down (blue) since the start of the year. The 1D RSI hit the bottom of its Rectangle, so even though there is some limited downside on the Channel Down before forming a Lower Low, the reward is much higher on the upside.
Assuming a Lower Low at the bottom, we expect another +4.40% rise towards the Lower Highs, thus our Target is at 19.1500.
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USDZAR, Ascending TriangleUSDZAR on the daily timeframe presents an intriguing technical setup characterized by the formation of an ascending triangle pattern. An ascending triangle typically indicates a bullish bias in the market sentiment. Consequently, there are two potential scenarios to consider.
Firstly, the price action may encounter support around the lower boundary of the ascending triangle, leading to a rebound. This suggests a favorable opportunity for traders to enter long positions as the price bounces off the support level.
Alternatively, there exists the possibility of a breakout above the upper boundary of the ascending triangle. Such a move would signify a bullish continuation pattern, likely propelling the price higher.
In terms of targets, should the bullish scenario materialize, the price may aim for levels between 19.63 and 19.86.
USDZAR to 13 rands per dollarBased on the chart, Im seeing nothing else but a sell from here. Weekly has a crazy divergence between the price and the RSI.
A Top was created in February 2016.
Range 19 to 20 rands is a liquidity area. from here if price does not break above 20 rands, then expect more price drops from here.
Based on my TA, from November 2023 till 22 January 2024 we were in a correction cycle to complete wave cycle 2, so from here im expecting a further drop for wave cycle 3 an Impulse down which always comes after correction, then once wave cycle 3 is complete then i will come with an update because we need to also have wave cycle 4 and 5.
So basically this year is gonna be changing for Rands against dollar. Im just here wondering on whats gonna happen with the S.A politics which is gonna lead to rand gaining strength against the dollar, but lets watch and we gonn see. Im just excited for this year man.
USDZAR Double confirmation sell signalThe USDZAR pair is trading above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), on a strong consolidation phase as it approaches the end of an 8-month Triangle. Having been rejected last week very close to not only the Triangle's top but also the (dotted) Channel Up top (Lower Highs trend-line), we have a strong short-term sell signal in our hands. Our Target is Support 1 at 18.555.
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