USDZAR
USDZAR 23rd NOVEMBER 2022Investors tend to be side-lined ahead of the minutes of the US central bank's (The Fed) FOMC meeting and the thanksgiving holiday. The weakening of the dollar was supported by the return of risk on sentiment.
USDZAR breakout daily support from bullish channel pattern. A bearish trend has the potential to occur in the next few days.
USD/ZAR Wave 5 Sell-OffUSDZAR has been trading bullish in the long-term or higher timeframe, we are currently trading in a corrective phase as a 1-2-3-4-5 where wave 1-2-3-4 has already occurred and we are waiting for wave 5 completion. Wave 4 is a possible triangle pattern, keep in mind that waves 1 and 4 can not overlap so we can use that idea to use as stop loss or invalidation level. After wave 5 completion, we can expect a short-term corrective pattern in the upside direction before the last drop as a (c) wave.
USDZAR WeeklyThe best time to analyze the market is when its closed. After a analyzing the weekly chart of USDZAR, I think this market could continue its overall trend to the upside. The market is currently under the 14MA, meaning this market is selling.
Lets compare last week engulfed sell candle compared to this week. WHERE IS THE SELLING MOMENTUM? It does not make any sense for this market to have amazing selling power last week and this week it died down. Consistency is key and this market is NOT consistent in the selling momentum.
Looking at this market, I am expecting USDZAR to continue to travel towards the upside and I am expecting this market to break the highest high 19.06 continuing to go higher.
We will see :)
#USDZAR Weekly chart - exhaustion - time for some rand strength?#USDZAR lots of indecision from the bulls & bears but the fact that we have had 3 lower highs and 3 lower lows on price in the last 3 weeks (weekly candles) suggests that the ZAR bears (USD bulls) are exhausted. I am expecting some rand strength in the next couple of weeks.
First target 20dma at 17.17, but rising daily so 17.30 would be an approximate level to watch for.
Channel/BreakoutUSDZAR is currently at an interesting point. The price is now on support and on channel's support. There are more reasons to buy the pair right now than to sell,though we must also leave a room for bears as for this channel can be broken at any time. On this setup. We are definitely waiting for a catalyst to appear, FOR SELL we have to place trades after a candle closes below the support and breaks the channel below. For BUY we are waiting for a pair to print a doji candle or any other form of bullish candle. Lets Download Sucess .
USD/ZAR is breaking out of a critical channelOANDA:USDZAR is breaking out of a critical parallel channel
We have been short the Rand (i.e Long the USD/ZAR pair) since it broke out of the previous parallel channel, however the Rand is gaining strength against the dollar.
We closed the position once the rand hit the 1.618 fib extension target at R18.38/$.
We have switched to a long position on the ZAR due to the following (i.e short position on the USD/ZAR pair):
1) There are multiple bearish divergences that was flashing at the R18.38/$ target
2) We have now closed 5 daily candles below the 50day SMA
3) Rejection at the 1.618 Fib extension target
4) Daily close below the parallel channel that has been in place for a good portion of the 2022
Targets are as follows:
1) R16.8/$ - This is the strongest support and one should close majority of the trade at this target
2) R15.87/$
3) R15.2/$
Good luck
USDZAR possible sell zone!USDZAR has formed a strong bearish price action with strong liquidity grab from the resistance zone. The price already over extended in the higher timeframe and likely to reverse to complete a healthy retracement to the downside.
as the price started it's downtrend, a sell trade is high probable after retesting the previous support turning resistance.
USDZAR top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDZAR Short-term Sell signal and long-term level to watch.The USDZAR pair continues to confirm our break-out trade strategy as by breaking above the previous Resistance Zone we discussed on September 06, while holding the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support, it activated our buy signal and hit the -1.0 Fibonacci target and the 2.0 Fib extension (green dotted line) of the long-term Channel:
We will continue this successful approach, which right now gives a new short-term sell signal targeting roughly -7.00% from the recent top, below the 1D MA50 at the bottom of the Channel Up (green) that started on the April 13 Low. This is around 17.300.
If however the MACD on the 1W time-frame makes a Bearish Cross as on January 17 2022, we will use the 1D MA50 as Resistance and target even lower the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Take profit when the MACD makes a Bullish Cross.
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USDZAR - Retesting Sep 13 ?#USDZAR
While preparing my charts ...
Hoping to see the dollar drop down to below 17.9 possibly 17.4 then 16.94.
November we will see 19.37 FOSHO!
#NASDAQ looks like it wants to retest Sep 13 Cpi '@'12448,
#USDZAR also seems to be correcting back to Sep 13 Cpi. '@16.94'
#SP500 heading back to Sep 13 Cpi 3921
I am a student of trading the info here is purely for educational purposes
DXY - Downwards if all goes well.Hi All
As you should know today is CPI day.
If I am correct in guessing and the current state of markets around the globe and the pressure the dollar is putting on everyone.
The feds have to pause / pivot I think is the correct word I am unsure ?
This should pull back Holding thumbs for everyone around the globe that this does happen , stuff is expensive
USDZAR ANALYSISThe pair has just rejected on a major supply zone and therefore this serves as a confirmation for a bearish rally to just below R18 per dollar. I see this bearish move gaining a bit of momentum over time especially since South Africa is heading to it's ruling party's national elective conference in December. The outcomes of this conference will be very interesting and will definitely help the rand gain strength...