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Usdzarshort

South African Rand in no mans land but can strengthen soonIt's been an interesting development with the USDZAR. Since it broke out of April's uptrend, the price is now retesting the resistance (which was support). I suspect that the price will be oscillating between the range of 17.63 and 16.91 in a box formation for a few weeks. Only if the price breaks above or below, will we get some sign of where the rand is going. For instance, if it breaks below, it would have formed an Inverse Cup and Handle showing major downside for the USD to come (which we can hope for). If the price breaks out, the fakeout will spook the bears and the price will run up to ATH... I'm bearish overall, but only time will tell.
by Timonrosso
1
The rand is going up FINALLY! Target R15.92 - With confusion!Rounding Top (Scallop) has formed on the daily chart. The price has broken below the neckline which signals bearish for USD Also the moving averages are almost looking good. 21 > 7 >200 - Bearish First target R15.92 The correlation between the Rand and the JSE stocks have somewhat reversed as of late. When stocks rise, the rand tends to strengthen and vice versa. Now this makes sense in a way that a stronger rand means more buying power for consumers and more confidence in the economy. However, we are a HIGH export country where we export in US dollars. As the heavy weightings of the JSE is with resources, we used to fall with a weakening US dollar. Also, we tend to mirror the S&P500 and the DOw Jones as it's a leading indicator. So the question we need to ask is... Is America signalling that we are in for massive downside again soon and this has just been a bull trap for us buyers. OR is this the change in correlation where the JSE will continue up despite what happens in America and the US Dolla. I Hope the latter. Things aren't as they always seem.
Short
by Timonrosso
3
Watching for USDZAR to break resistanceThe USD/ZAR rallied with eagerness after it went down to a significant demand area at 16.20000. Now, the price has entered a short period of consolidation, as traders anticipate this Friday’s speech by the US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The technical chart on the USD/ZAR daily timeframe suggests that a strong supply zone is currently present between 17.15 and 17.30. Breaking above this crucial area is needed to continue the rally, However, this may be increasingly unlikely as the daily candle wicks are now rejecting at 17.15. The MFI indicator, which is a technical oscillator similar to RSI but uses price and volume in identifying the oversold and overbought conditions in an asset, shows that this crucial area was indeed a strong rejection zone, as highlighted in yellow. The MFI indicator is currently facing the mid-point of the indicator. Therefore, the USD/ZAR’s supply line at 17.15 may not be enough to suppress further upside. Looking at the current price action, if the price fails to break above 17.15 and 17.30, and emphatically rejects at these supply zones, look for the price to potentially move to the downside and encounter the 16.20 demand zone once again. It will be interesting to see how investor sentiment (and the associated demand zone) holds up in the face of an emphatic downside break A further break below that zone may induce a possible trend switch to the downside in a short-term period. However, we could also see consolidation between these supply and demand zones.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDZAR OHLC (SELLS) MONTHLY STRUCTURE (JULY 2022)USDZAR OHLC (SELLS) MONTHLY STRUCTURE (JULY 2022) Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful. . Monthly Structure for USDZAR in the daily timeframe is OHLC (SELLS). A resistance will be formed the minute TDI Priceline and bloodline cross. Bearish Divergence from May till current market price in July. Patience, Long term runner Tp must be set at the Daily Open 16.32925 . Price is slowly getting into the sell pressure zone. Waiting on a TDI cross to confirm the presence of sellers in Markets. *3 VALID CONFIRMATIONS ~Market Structure = OHLC Sells ~Bearish Divergence = Sells ~Waiting on TDI cross to confirm Sells Trade with Caution. Wait for valid entries. Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful. P A T I E N C E + D I S C I P L I N E
Short
by PeanutButter