Usequities
Facebook remains under long term pressureThe sharp rejection of the October highs is attempting to stabilise above USD113.00.
Consolidation is highlighted in the coming week or so, but the fall in momentum studies and deterioration in sentiment are likely to keep prices under pressure into the beginning of 2017Q1.
Also, from a relative perspective, Facebook is also underperforming the US Technology Sector, which itself is Underperforming the S&P500. This double filter also highlights downside risks into the coming months.
SPX/VIX Ratio 4/15/2016 (Short-term View)Instead of looking at SPX alone, looking at this ratio is better for shorting stocks/longing VIX, because it helps us distinguish between fearless crashes and fearful crashes. Watch the black/light blue/brown lines above. If this ratio breaks above those lines confidently, get out of shorts and wait for a better time to do so.
SPX/VIX Ratio 4/15/2016 (All-time View)Instead of looking at SPX alone, looking at this ratio is better for shorting stocks/longing VIX, because it helps us distinguish between fearless crashes and fearful crashes. Watch the black/light blue/brown lines above. If this ratio breaks above those lines confidently, get out of shorts and wait for a better time to do so.