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DXY / U.S Dollar - Weekly OutlookHello traders, today we take a look @ the DXY We are nearing an important Monthly S/R level in which we can expect the next trend to take place for the U.S Dollar. A rejection and we can expect the DXY to target the Bottom of our Monthly Range. We will be looking for Bearish Engulfings via our Lower TFs. A solid High TF close above 97.25 and we can expect the U.S Dollar to rally to new highs of 105.00~ and test our Monthly S/R level Twitter - Signals - Telegram
TVC:DXY
by TDSniper
US MIDTERM ELECTION IN THE SPOTLIGHTNovember 5, 2018 ·Andria Pichidi On Tuesday 6 November, US will proceed with the off-year elections, occurring every 4 years, before the presidential elections. The particular mid elections are expected to affect the markets as the outcome of the election will be important for the future of the President and for the control of the Congress. As the Republicans control the 54.4% of the House and 51 out of 98 seats in the Senate, it will be interesting to see whether Republicans manage to keep the control of the Congress. The control of Congress will certainly have a significant impact to any future fiscal policy judgements, as each of the parties could have the power to pass their legislation proposals or to vote against opposing legislation agendas. Therefore, Tuesday's voting will have without a doubt an impact on equity markets. Based on the history of US Presidency, we rarely saw so far the Republicans holding the control of the House and Senate, and even more rarely to remain in charge after the mid elections. The most of the surveys in the last few months suggest that there is a high risk for Republicans to be deposed, while FiveThirtyEight website gave 80.7% to the Democrats holding the House, and 69% to Republicans of holding the Senate control. From the markets perspective, the US Equity market has been reacting on any outcome of mid elections positively. More precisely, as Rathbones Brothers state, "US equities tend to be rather directionless in the six months before a midterm election, with a little extra volatility. Over the subsequent six, equities tend to rise steadily". In the past three midterm elections, where Congress' control changed hands either overall or part of it, the US equities remained on the upside movement. This can be confirmed also in the USA500 diagram Therefore, it seems that in general mid elections results, i.e. which party losses/gains/keeps the control of the Congress, are not directly correlated to the US Equities or the global market. Taking as an example the 2006 elections where Democrats took the full control of the Congress with a Republican President, and US remaining in an upside trend. Similarly to USA500, the US Dollar has not been affected from its prior-election direction. However, despite the historical performance of US equities and the US dollar, if we turn back in politics and the current US economic performance, it is not unlikely to see any extraordinary movements in the market in case that Democrats retake the control of the house. Based on the fact that US economic growth is doing extremely well in the past year, a democratic sweep of Congress could have a negative impact on US equities. Meanwhile, if Democrats manage to gain the control of both house and Senate, then it is likely to see US equities facing an even stronger negative momentum. In this case, the hopes of a democratic member to win the 2020 elections will rise, while there are risks of legislation changes from Democrats ( i.e. reduction in corporate tax, changes in budget balance) or block of presidential appointments. Hence this could have a direct impact on US economy and of course US stocks, which have been boosted from Pres. Trump’s tax plan. On the fiscal policy perspective, Democrats as they already mention in the past, they believe on the spending on infrastructure programme. This could help the industrial and material sectors to be boosted.  That could be good news for the industrials and materials sectors of the equity market—and possibly good for bond yields if Congress raises taxes to pay for it. In conclusion, there are 3 scenarios for Tuesday's Congressional election -- a GOP sweep, a Democrat sweep, or a split with Democrats taking back the House and Republicans maintaining their Senate majority. As mentioned, with history and poll on their side, the markets' base case is the split. Meanwhile, the big risk seems to be a potential Democrat victory – in either the House or the Senate, which would severely crimp President Trump's agenda, including fiscal and regulatory issues. President Trump would be unable to enact the remaining policies on his to do list, and hence he may focus all of his attention on the one thing for which he does not require Congressional approval: stoking the trade war. The potential for gridlock in Washington might be taken relatively bullishly by the bond market as increased fiscal stimulus would be in doubt, Wall Street may not like the headwinds to further economic growth. If the Republicans were to maintain control of the legislature, the president would have virtually all policy options open to pursue his domestic and international agendas. That would likely be a more bullish outcome for equities, and further pressure Treasury rates higher, both on beliefs of stronger growth, and a potentially more hawkish FOMC. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer:  This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
TVC:DXYEducation
by HotForex
Dow Jones - Targeting All-Time Highs - FED in playDow Jones alongside all US equity indices is in a strong uptrend despite the recent price action. All eyes on todays' FED press conference. It looks like the markets have already priced in another i/r hike of 25 b.p. IF fed will change its tone and the comments will be more Dovish, there is clearly the risk that the US equities will fly and continue reaching all-time highs. Technically the Index is trading in a down channel and the price retraced 38.2%. RSI and Stochastic approaching oversold levels. Furthermore, there was a break of the downtrend on the RSI. All of the following are extremely bullish signs and the market is ready to further rise in the upcoming weeks/months. The idea is to trade the break of the countertrend line. Personally going to place a buy order with a stop loss below the previous low. Pretty good R.R.R. of 4.24. Target just under 27300. A break of the bottom of the channel will cancel the trade set up.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by CAS_Trading
S&P HIT 50% FIB TO DOWNSIDES&P 500 has hit a huge fibonacci level to go down lower. Coincidentally the other 3 major US indexes have hit a high to low 50 as well. The Nasdaq, Dow Jones, and Russel have also hit this level. There is a good chance this continues to the downside. In order for the markets to be bullish again the indexes would need to break above the 61.8 (red line) with strong momentum. TO SEE THE OTHER FIB SETUPS ON THE INDEXES GO TO @DANTHETRADEMAN ON TWITTER. ALL FOUR INDEXES ARE DRAWN WITH THE FIB. twitter.com
CME_MINI:ESU2018Short
by DanTheTradeMan
Dow Jones Stock Index (*A Swing High shall unfold) Dow Jones. We have a decent bounce from the support region of 23,850 and that regions have become strong support now. We might see the move higher for now with 24500 and ultimately 24,888 in mind. 24,888 will be a strong resistant to crack and the market shall not get past that easily. A Swing High shall unfold for now. DYODD and Trade Safe s0nic Disclaimer: The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. We may or We may not take the trade. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. We, Sonicr Mastery dot com is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SonicDeejay
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