DXY BEARISH MOVE IS STILL NOT FINISHED !!!HELLO TRADERS
As i can see DXY has done a retrace after a drop and now its a new entry for more sells as we had predicted in our previous analsysis incoming Friday NFP.... its just an trade idea share ur thoughts with us it will help all of us traders community
Usindex
DXY SELL ON RATE HIKES !!!HELLO TRADERS,
As i can see DXY DOLLAR had done a retrace after a long drop but still the downtrend is not finish yet ... so i can see a rejection here at this resistance zone so we are re enter on sell as we can yesterday FOMC MEETING show us a rate hike which is not good for Dollar & you can see geopolitical issue also around the world BRICK 70% country are supporting to Dump Dollar and trade in yuan also we can see wars escalating around the world which is not good for Dollar Fundamentally its a sell on DXY now lets see Technically whats going on charts its is showing us a clear view that after a drop its done on retrace and now its moving to daily Horizontal Support zone you can see our previous analysis we are selling DXY from 106.400 levels and now looking for more drop on DXY
Friends its just an trade idea Kindly share your thoughts and views on DXY with us in Comment session we appreciate your love and support it help all of our trader community
S&P 500: Maintaining a Neutral-to-Bullish PerspectiveIn a muted trading session on Monday, U.S. stocks took a cautious stance as the end of a positive month loomed and investors awaited key inflation metrics. By mid-morning, major indices showed marginal declines: the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped by 0.1%, the S&P 500 edged 0.1% lower, and the NASDAQ Composite slipped by 0.1%. Despite a robust performance last week, marking the fourth consecutive week of gains, propelled by declining Treasury yields and moderating inflation figures signaling a potential slowdown in Federal Reserve rate hikes, the market exhibited a more restrained demeanor.
The NASDAQ Composite led the month's surge with a remarkable 12% gain in November, closely followed by the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which advanced over 9%, while the S&P 500 recorded an almost 11% uptick. However, as November draws to a close, caution prevails among investors, especially with the imminent release of crucial inflation data later in the week. The upcoming personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, slated for Thursday, is anticipated to reveal a 0.1% month-on-month increase for November, a notable decline from September's 0.4%. The core PCE, excluding food and fuel costs, expected to show a 3.5% year-over-year rise, down from the prior month's 3.7% and the lowest since mid-2021.
Technical analysis suggests a bullish trend for S&P500, with both the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) signaling buy signals. Resistance levels at 4580 in the short term and a potential reach of 5100, as predicted by Deutsche Bank strategists, in the coming weeks. A pivotal point at 4557 could guide price movements towards either direction, with a potential return to levels around 4547.
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Dow Jones To 34150 $DowJones is going to be in downtrend in next few days while dollar going to be stronger.
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Important market price Dollar IndexThe Bullish Channel is continuously gaining strength from a strong pullback from the 99.581 zone after a support breakout. Now at the current level, the US Dollar Index at 102.894 is a very important level and a resistance level in H4.
As per the channel, the US Dollar will fall to 102.440 to give respect to its Demand zone.
With the channel formed and the major zone marked, the dollar is gaining strength day by day and will touch the 104.500 zone.
As per the gold and major pairs, they will shortly show some bullish movement with short wave corrections in the US dollar price, but the us dollar will be in a bullish trend.
Fundamental market movements will also have a positive impact on the dollar.
The Key zone in US dollar from short reversal;
1- 102.894
2- 103.443
3- 103.714
Mark the US Dollar Index chart, and you will get some good pips in Gold and major currency pairs for short-term bullish movement.
Note: Keep an eye on the US Dollar Economic Currency calendar for better understanding.
DXY (US INDEX) showing bearish momentumOn the daily time frame, the index shows a bearish momentum. The weakening of the dollar showed from June and became clear from the beginning of July until now.
My trading strategy is to sell on the rally. Now is a good time to continue selling on technical charts.
Us30 possible longWith the dollar index dropping in price
There might be a rise in the price of all us indexes
If us30 breaks 33204 then we might see a rise to 33800 or possibly 34000
NASDAQ BULLISH OUTLOOKThe trend of NASDAQ seems to continue, despite a resistance that is forming around 13250 mark. The instrument had tried few times to breach it, and currently is trading above it, but the breach is still not significant and might revert.
The technical indicators, though suggesting that NASDAQ still has steam to continues it upward movement, with RSI above the 50 neutral line and the fast MACD line crossing the slow MACD line and the histogram reaching positive territory.
If the breach of the resistance turns out to be genuine, the instrument might reach levels of 13740. In the opposite scenario, if the price reaches 12800, it might pivot and continue its decent.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Stock Market March 23' ⚔️ Long Vs. Short Well , just as any other chart, we must keep things simple. Price has made a new Low after Ranging for 120 days/4 Months. There is Liquidity Built up in the market. If we maintain bearish momentum then we will see 31,198 very soon. Price is testing 32,082 at the moment. We may return to the low from OCT 22' due to clean traffic on the weekly timeframe and plenty of fundamental reasons to be concerned about. 32,082 must hold for bulls or we are falling off a cliff here.
Dow Jones short ideaOn the 4-hour timeframe, the US30 is showing signs of weakness. The stochastic indicator, which measures the momentum of the price, is currently in overbought territory, indicating that the market may be due for a reversal. A reading above 80 on the stochastic indicator is typically seen as a bearish signal.
Furthermore, the price has been trading below the 50-period moving average, which is a bearish signal. Additionally, there has been a series of lower highs and lower lows, which further indicates a potential shift in trend from bullish to bearish.
Based on these technical indicators, I believe that there is a good opportunity for shorting the US30 on the 4-hour timeframe using the stochastic indicator. However, it's essential to manage your risk properly and use appropriate position sizing. Always remember to do your own research and analysis before making any trades.
Short Term (de)correlation between S&P500 & Dollar IndexIf we try to follow the trend of the Dollar Index and SP500 in the short term, we can see how as the dollar rises there is consequently a decline in the U.S. Index, but this event is not absolute, in fact there are many variables at play. At the moment, however, many of these variables appear to be in favor of this inversely proportional swing, at least in the short term.
If this analysis is correct, the next FED rate announcement should show further misalignment between the two sides, as the market should not be surprised by a 50bp rate hike (see chart below), so "wait & see"...
3 WEEK AGO
TODAY
DOLLAR INDEX ANALYSIS
(Click & Play on Chart below)
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N.B.: Updates will follow below
Different lines, different storiesI have drawn two different support lines (I name it "higher" and "lower" support). One regards the monthly closed as the low point of the support line and another one regards the monthly low as the low point of the support line.
The higher support line is clearly broken and is retesting (breakout n retest) while the lower support line still holds and has provided short term upsides momentum.
Obviously two different support line give out two different sceneries. The higher support line suggests we are already in downtrend since the support is broken; The lower support line suggests we are still in uptrend. While two stories entailed by two different verisions of support lines are contradictory, it suggests a high probability of consolidation in the next few months such that the index will fluctuate between two lines. It implies the current index 12304 is the local high which provides us an opportunity to short targeting the lower support line.
S&P 500: Two Pattern to Trade in short termHi everyone!
The trend is bullish on S&P 500 (Futures), and if we try to follow US Index on intraday chart, we have two important levels: 4,189.75 and 4,098.50. Potential resistance breakout should develop a harmonic structure with Target around 4,238.50, conversely, 4,098.50 failure should trigger bearish consolidation around 4,048.00 area. Technically, both setups are high risk, so using a small size should be a good choice.
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S&P 500: A consolidation is possible on 30' chartHi everyone!
From a technical point of view, S&P 500 could trigger a bearish consolidation (scalp) on 30 minute chart, let's look at what will happen in the next few hours and if the conditions are met, we will publish some updates on intrady chart.
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Trade with care!
S&P500: empire’s collapseOn the second of every month we have the S&P500 index updated here, subscribe so you don't miss any entry points. Today I decided to update the most high cyclical and super-cyclical degrees on it - the global picture. We will look at the weekly chart in a month's time. I pay special attention to it and put it in bold - it's a long-term forecast for decades. Super-cyclical and cyclical waves can go on for hundreds or tens of years, respectively.
Going back to the index, we are now seeing a final rise to the ±5000 area within the ending diagonal, which will be accompanied in the media by a series of imaginary victories and a narrative about America's new greatness. In reality, the FED will simply buy out the crisis once again - there will be another QE, which will accelerate inflation and lead to the final inflation of all bubbles, including the stock market.
Then a fall of times or even dozens of times. I set the minimum target at 666, the optimal target at 66.6. This, I repeat, will happen for decades, along with the loss of at least half of the economy. The feeling is that a Great Depression multiplied by 2 will happen - wave (IV) should be sharp, as opposed to sideways (II). The probability of civil war in the wave (IV) tends to 100%, there is also a strong prospect of nuclear war, but let's not talk about it yet...
I believe that the next 2 years or so is the last chance to make money on investments. Then there will be the question of carrying capital through the crisis with minimal losses. For this purpose, in my opinion, scrap gold is the best way to go.