USO
BOUGHT TO CLOSE USO JAN 17 7/APRIL 1ST 8.5 SYNTHETIC LONGClosing this synthetic long USO play here for a small profit. My timing was a bit off as to entry (I went long on the break of the 2009 low at 32.70), and we may have seen the short-term end of the up move here.
Will consider reloading another synthetic long now that a new low of some kind has been put in ... .
USO hourly RSI double backed on support to go longNotice the horizontal RSI trend line, has been resistance since november, and it broke, so it's now support. If this support doesn't hold, which there's a chance it may not since it's overbought, the RSI will reach the diagonal RSI bull trend. This one has a very high probability of holding because it matches the price action's up trend.
First signals of bottoming in WTI Crude Oil, Longs FavouredBreakout off short-term resistance at 35$, and a more significant breakout off the June 2014 downtrend line, is positioning WTI Crude Oil Futures for a great long opportunity. Buying this breakout, targeting the next visible resistance target (Yearly Pivot and 50-week MA, also overlapping with the 200-day MA), and placing stops below the downtrend line, makes total sense here in my opinion.
The RSI made a higher low on the 13-year-low print in february 11th, and oil has been a one-way street ever since, with RSI flashing a clear buy signal. The only dubious indicator is MACD, which is making a positive print (fast MA going over the slow one), but it remains in a slow downtrend since June 2015.
The timeframe of the trade should be similar to last year's impulse towards 60$, hence I expect WTI to test 45$ in early May. Let's see!