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WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/26/23For Wednesday, the 77.88 level can contain selling through the balance of the week, above which 80.65 - 81.73 long-term resistance remains a 3 - 5 day target able to contain buying through summer activity. A weekly settlement above 81.73 would set off a significant buy signal into later year, 103.70 then expected over the following 3 - 5 months. Downside Wednesday, closing below 77.88 indicates a good weekly high, 75.88 then expected within several days, 73.32 by the end of next week, able to contain weekly selling pressures when tested and a meaningful downside continuation point into later August.
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/24/23A two-sided framework continues through summer between 62.14 long-term support, and 81.73 long-term resistance, both regions able to contain seasonal activity. Inside this wide range, 77.71 can contain weekly buying pressures, 73.27 weekly selling pressures, with a settlement below 73.27 indicating 68.25 within several weeks, where the market can bottom out on a monthly basis. Closing below 68.25 indicates 62.14 within several weeks, able to contain selling into autumn activity and a meaningful downside continuation point into later year. Upside, a weekly settlement above 81.73 indicates a good low for the year, 103.70 seven considered 3 - 5 to month target able to contain buying well into next year. - For Monday, the 76.98 - 77.71 region can contain weekly buying pressures, possibly through August activity, below which 73.27 remains 1 - 2 week objective, possibly yielding 68.25 by the end of August. Downside, 74.66 can contain session weakness, while closing below 74.66 signals 73.27 tomorrow, able to contain weekly selling pressures and the point to settle below for signaling 68.25 within 1 - 2 more weeks, able to contain selling through August activity. Upside Monday, closing above 77.71 indicates 80.61 - 81.73 by the end of next week, longer-term resistance able to contain buying through summer trade, with a weekly settlement above 81.73 setting off a significant buy signal into later year, 103.70 that expected over the following 3 - 5 months.
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/21/23For Friday, 73.24 and contain selling into later next week, once tested the 77.63 formation attainable again within a full week of activity. On the other hand, closing today below 73.24 signals 68.25 within 1 - 2 weeks, where the market can bottom out through August trade. Upside Friday, the 77.63 - 77.72 area can contain buying through next week, and below which the market prone to testing 68.25 over the next several weeks. On the other hand, closing above 77.72 signals 81.85 by the end of next week, longer-term resistance able to contain buying into later year and a significant upside continuation region over the same time horizon.
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/20/23For Thursday, 73.22 and contain selling through the balance of the week, once tested the 77.55 formation attainable again by the end of next week. On the other hand, closing today below 73.22 signals 68.25 within 1 - 2 weeks, where the market can bottom out through August activity. Upside Thursday, the 77.55 - 77.72 area can contain buying through next week, and below which 68.25 is attainable over the next several weeks. On the other hand, closing above 77.72 signals 81.85 by the end of next week, longer-term resistance able to contain buying into later year and a significant upside continuation region over the same time horizon.
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/19/23For Wednesday, 76.00 can contain intraday buying pressures, below which 73.19 is attainable intraday, able to contain selling through the balance of the week and the region to settle below for then indicating 68.25 longer-term support within 1 - 2 more weeks.   Upside Wednesday, pushing/opening above 76.00 allows 77.46 - 77.72 intraday, able to contain weekly buying pressures, and below which 68.25 is attainable over the next several weeks.   On the other hand, closing above 77.72 signals 81.85 by the end of next week, able to contain buying into later year and a significant upside continuation region over the same time horizon.
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/18/23For Tuesday, 76.20 can contain daily buying pressures, below which the targeted 72.87 - 73.34 area is likely today, able to contain selling into later week and the region to settle below for then indicating 67.08 within 1 - 2 more weeks.   Upside Tuesday, closing back above 76.20 signals 77.77 within 1 - 2 days, able to contain weekly buying pressures, and below which 67.08 is attainable over the next several weeks.   On the other hand, closing above 77.77 signals 81.85 within 1 - 2 weeks, long-term resistance able to contain buying into autumn activity and a significant upside continuation region over the same time horizon.
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/17/23A two-sided framework continues through summer between 62.14 long-term support, and 81.85 long-term resistance, both regions able to contain seasonal activity.   Inside of this wide range 77.70 and 67.08 can both contain weekly activity, possibly into August trade.   Closing below 67.08 indicates 62.14 within several weeks, able to contain selling into autumn activity and the level to settle below for then indicating 53.87 within several months, longer term Fibonacci support able to contain selling into later year.   Upside, a settlement above 77.70 indicates 81.85 within 1 - 2 weeks, able to contain buying into autumn trade, and the region to settle above on a weekly basis for then indicating 94.67 within several months, able to contain annual highs. - For Monday, 77.70 can contain weekly buying pressures, possibly into August activity, below which the 72.86 level is likely within the week, 67.08 attainable over the next 2 - 3 weeks.   Downside Monday, 75.45 can contain session weakness, while closing today below 75.45 signals a test tomorrow of 72.86 - 73.16, able to contain selling into later week and the region to settle below for then indicating 67.08 within 1 - 2 more weeks.   Upside Monday, closing above 77.70 signals 81.85 within 1 - 2 weeks, long-term resistance able to contain buying into autumn activity and a significant upside continuation region over the same time horizon.
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/14/23For Friday, the 72.85 - 72.97 area can contain selling through the balance of the week, above which the 77.63 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures - possibly through the balance of July.   A daily settlement above 77.63 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out into later year and a significant upside continuation point over the same time horizon.   Downside Friday, closing below 72.85 signals 69.05 within several days, possibly yielding a retest within 1 - 2 weeks of 67.08, able to contain selling on a weekly basis and above which 77.63 remains attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/13/23For Thursday, the 72.41 - 72.84 area can contain selling through the balance of the week, above which the 77.56 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures - possibly through the balance of July.   A daily settlement above 77.56 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out into later year and a significant upside continuation point over the same time horizon.   Downside Thursday, closing below 72.41 signals 69.05 within several days, possibly yielding another test next week of 67.08 within 1 - 2 weeks, able to contain selling on a weekly basis and above which 77.56 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/12/23For Wednesday, 72.83 can contain selling through the balance of the week, above which the 77.48 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures when tested - possibly through the balance of July.   A daily settlement above 77.48 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out into later year and a significant upside continuation point over the same time horizon.   Downside Wednesday, closing below 72.83 signals 69.15 within several days, possibly yielding another test next week of 67.08, able to contain selling on a weekly basis and above which 77.48 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
OILU an ETF for OIL - Leveraged and LongOILU is a risky high volatility ETF on oil exploration and production. Where there are risk and volatility there can also be plentiful profits. On the 4H chart,OILU can be seen breaking up through long-term anchored VWAP bands in a trend that began in mid-May. Price is now approaching the mean VWAP lines. The POC line validates those VWAP lines coming in at nearly an identical price level. On the MACD, negative amplitudes have gradually decreased in a fashion consistent with bullish divergence. The RSI indicator shows the MTF RSIs to be in mid-range suitable for taking an entry without evidence of oversold or overbought parameters. Fundamentally, a variety of factors including OPEC the re-emergence of the Chinese economy, Russia's war fear of a recession causing a decrease in demand for oil all have contributed to a mixed picture. The chart is suggesting a long trade to me and so I will take up the suggestion. I will set a stop loss at the recent pivot low of $32 while targeting the highest VWAP band at $47. I will raise the stop loss to break-even when price hits $38 while respecting the ATR and volatility. I see this as a safe trade with a potential upside of about 33%
AMEX:OILULong
by AwesomeAvani
1
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/11/23For Tuesday, 72.83 can contain selling into later week, above which the 77.41 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures when tested, possibly through the balance of July.   A daily settlement above 77.41 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out into later year and a significant upside continuation point over the same time horizon.   Downside Tuesday, closing below 72.83 signals 69.25 within several days, possibly allowing another test of 67.08 by the end of next week, able to contain selling on a weekly basis and above which 77.41 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
2023.6.16 Daily European Perspective USDX has plummeted !2023.6.16 Daily European Perspective USDX has plummeted ! Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, June 16 2023. Now it's 16pm Beijing time. Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties! First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index. As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index broke down yesterday, breaking through the daily line level of 55MA and the top to bottom golden section of 2.382! Now, let's look at gold. Now you can see the daily chart of gold. The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square! As shown in the figure, after breaking through the daily level of 144MA yesterday, gold rebounded to the 2.000 level (around $1960) of the bottom up gold split! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate! Let's take a look at American crude oil. What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination! As shown in the figure, US crude oil surged by $3 yesterday, returning above the integer level of $70. Both today and yesterday's highs are close to the daily level of 21MA ($71.09)! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate! Let's look at EURUSD. What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD. The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square! As shown in the figure, European and American currencies rose sharply against each other yesterday, about to test last month's bearish starting point, which is the opening price on May 11, 2023 (1.09820)! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate! Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD. Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD. The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square! As shown in the figure, the pound US currency has hit a new high in recent times! Then in the future, the previous opening price of 1.28283, which was opening price on April 25, 2022, can be used as an important Bitwise operation in the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate! Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period! Special reminder,Today is Friday, weekly line will be cloesd tonight! Please pay attention to the risks!! Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
EIGHTCAP:USOUSD
by Think_More
2023.6.14 Daily European Perspective GOLD is about to test 19302023.6.14 Daily European Perspective GOLD is about to test 1930 ? Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Wednesday, June 14 2023. Now it's 16pm Beijing time. Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties! First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index. As shown in the figure, the daily closing line of U.S. Dollar Index returned to below 144MA! Now, let's look at gold. Now you can see the daily chart of gold. The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square! As shown in the figure, gold remains relatively weak near the lower edge of the recent oscillation range! Then, in the subsequent period today, we can take today's opening price ($1943.89) as the important point of the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate! Let's take a look at American crude oil. What you are now seeing is 4-hour level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination! As shown in the figure, US crude oil rebounded upwards yesterday and today, but still did not return above the integer level of $70! Then, in the following time today, we can take the integer pass of $70 as the important point in the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate! Let's look at EURUSD. What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD. The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square! As shown in the figure, European and American currencies rose and fell against yesterday, still engaging in long short competition near the daily level of 144MA (1.07952)! Then this position will be used as the important point in the day ! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate! Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD. Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD. The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square! As shown in the figure, the pound US dollar showed an engulfed bullish line against yesterday's daily line, completely engulfing the previous day's decline! In the future, the opening price (1.26247) on May 11, 2023 will be taken as the important point of the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate! Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period! Special reminder, today is Wednesday, and tomorrow morning there will be a Federal Reserve interest rate resolution and a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell! Please pay attention to the risks! Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Think_More
NRGD a 3X Leveraged ETF that shorts oilNRGD goes up when oil goes down; this ETF tracks the oil futures ; it is leveraged and managed. Here on the one-hour chart with an Bollinger Bands and EMA bands indicator added, it can be seen that price had been trending down in two waves beginning June 1st , Upon dropping outside the BB lower line, price reversed upward to reach the upper BB line and reversed again. Finally, price dropped outside the BB lower line and reversed this past Thursday. The RSI oscillator has recently trended between 65 and 40, suggesting healthy price action without and oversold or overbought conditions. As it is now trending up again. I see it as suitable for a l long trade. I have plotted horizontal resistance lines in order to plan a tiered exit from a trade of 4 shares where I will partially close the position by selling a share each time price reaches one of those lines. At the same time, I will move the stop loss up to midway between its l location and that line. I will repeat this until all shares are sold. I am expecting a 12% profit overall for a week-long trade. This will be a free trade without risk after the first move of the stop loss to above the entry point. If the RSI remains below 80, I may let the last share run until I am alerted that price has hit the BB upper line by an alert or alternatively set up a trailing stop loss of 2%.
NLong
by AwesomeAvani
Crude Oil Ka-BoingNice long tail on the weekly chart, after a lower low. Technical indicators MACD and VolDiv appear bearish but this is suspiciously like a hidden dragon. Taken altogether, the first resistance is 76, and once close above 80 is firmed bullish. The lower low suggests more downside, but the length of that tail is telling a very bullish story for the next couple of weeks. So... expecting a consolidation range fighting between bears and bulls between 70-80; while leaning towards a bullish breakout much later... perhaps (ideally) after higher low. Do note that in alignment to the earlier post about the USD dropping, it does look like Crude now has a better chance of turning around to reinstate its bullish efforts.
NYMEX:CL1!
by Auguraltrader
CRUDE to bounce a bit, if at all, else dive hardBased on Crude's weekly chart, it clearly lost the bullish plot (posted 1st May, see linked post). As of the current Crude futures price action, a few preliminary observations can be recorded... 1. A lower low is recorded, and this aligns with the weekly technical outlook of a more bearish close to the weeks ahead; 2. Yesterday closing at 68.52 broke down all prior marked supports, except for the TDST at 66.12. Note that a close below and 3 days of closing below 66.12 changes Crude into a bearish primary trend. So, expect a lot of dancing about (or bounces off) this area, until that happens. 3. Today closing is important... IF closing at current levels, then a bounce to 74-76 can be expected, due to the long shadow/tail (green ellipse). Otherwise, a breakdown below the TDST support level turns all bearish. 4. Technically, it appears to favour further downside once market hours open. MACD and VolDiv on the daily are aligned to weekly indication of more downside momentum, having already crossed into bear territory. Watch the USD... it has a lot to do with the magnitude, although other fundamentals will affect Crude directly. Mindful that tomorrow is the Non-farm Payrolls.
NYMEX:CL1!
by Auguraltrader
USO Up or Down OIL ECOMONY in fluxAs certain countries want to exchange oil for money with anything but USD such as Chinese Yen or even a cryptocurrency to be launched by US neutrals or adversaries cooperating, USO on this chart rose dramatically over the past month and is now sitting at resistance as shown by the LuxAlgo Supply and Demand Zone indicator. The RSI shows possible bearish divergence perhaps heralding a reversal of the uptrend. I see this as a good place to take a short sell entry and most buyers have taken their profits. Fundamentally there are enough competing geopolitical and macroeconomic factors to deprive USO of the energy to push through resistance. See also the link below from US federal forecasters. I see this as a short trade at a limit price below the resistance zone and stop loss above it. Profit targets can be the VWAP, the midline between the supply and demand zones as a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the uptrend and finally one standard deviation below the anchored VWAP making for a safe three-tiered take-profit procedure to optimize profit and diminish risk also adjusting the stop loss at intervals using ATR as a guide. 40% at each of the first two targets and the remainder at the last. Put options 20-30 DTE at the a strike above the resistance zone for a good delta are another consideration.
AMEX:USOShort
by AwesomeAvani
1
Crude Oil Looking To Complete Impulse Elliott Wave SequenceCL_F (Crude Oil) favors higher in 5 wave Impulse Elliott Wave sequence as wave 1 before pullback starts. It placed (B) at $64.12 low on 3/20/2023. Above (B) low, it placed ((i)) at $71.67 high & ((ii)) at $66.82 low. ((ii)) was 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of ((i)). It favored ended ((iii)) at $81.81 high on 4/04/2023 high as extended ((iii)). Within ((iii)), it placed (i) at $74.37 high, (ii) at $72.61 low, (iii) at $81.69 high, (iv) at $79.00 low & (v) ended at $81.81 high as ((iii)) as 2.0 Fibonacci extension of ((i)). It ended ((iv)) at $79.37 low as double as shallow correction on 4/11/2023. Above ((iv)) low, it favors higher in ((v)) of 1. Above ((iv)) low of $79.37, it ended (i) of ((v)) at $81.85 high & (ii) at $81.28 low. It ended (iii) at $83.53 high & favors pullback in (iv) before upside resumes in (v) to finish ((v)) as wave 1. Impulse sequence expects to finish with momentum divergence in fifth wave against third wave before correction starts. So, if it erases the momentum divergence with more upside, then it can be the part of nest within impulse sequence before pullback starts. Once it finished wave 1 as impulse sequence, it expects to pullback in 3, 7 or 11 swings against 3/20/2023 low before turning higher. It expects to remain supported at extreme areas in pullback.
NYMEX:CL1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast