Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to 100% Fibo lvl 62.238.Colleagues! If we believe the wave pattern, the price is now in a strong impulsive downward movement.
I believe that the price will renew the lows and rush to the area of 100% Fibonacci extension to the area of 62.238.
Wave 3 lower wave should be completed there.
But we should not forget that the price is in wave 3 of the higher and middle order, which means that there are more chances for a downward movement!
There are 2 possible courses of action:
1) The riskier one is to open a short position on the market.
2) Conservative - wait for the price to rise, and enter with less risk.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Crude Oil WTI
Oil Prices Stable $69 as Geopolitical Risks SoarWTI crude oil remains above $66 as geopolitical risks increase following Ukraine's missile strike and changes in Russia's nuclear stance.
If $69.7 resistance holds as Stochastic signals overbought, a consolidation phase toward $68.3 could be on the horizon.
The market outlook remains bearish, below $70.5.
Article : fxnews.me
WTI OIL 4H RSI Bullish Divergence sending a strong buy signal.WTI Oil (USOIL) stopped yesterday's rebound on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and is now on a small pull-back. Technically that is the Resistance level it needs to break if it wants to break-out aggressively towards the long-term Resistance Zone.
There are high probabilities of doing so, as the 4H RSI formed Higher Lows, which is a Bullish Divergence against the Lower Lows of the price. In fact, it is the exact same formation as the October 01 Low that rebounded aggressively above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, we are bullish on this one, targeting $76.00 (the 0.786 Fib currently).
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WTI H1 | Bullish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 68.24, which is a pullback support close to 50% Fibo retracement
Our take profit will be at 70.11, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 66.95, which is an overlap support level.
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Weekly Forecast Nov. 18th: Silver / Platinum / Copper /Crude OilThe precious metals have been bearish over the last couple of weeks. Will the market shift to a
bullish one this week?
Crude Oil has been bearish-neutral. Institutional players are busy adding to their sell positions. What will the market do this week?
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
USOIL:Long after the pullback trading strategy
Crude oil yesterday is also strong pull up, the overall bullish thinking and expectations are consistent, coupled with the contract delivery today, crude oil will be likely to break through the previous strong pressure 69.40 this position, crude oil thinking is also low bullish;
Asia-europe session is expected to shock before pulling higher, pay attention to 68.5-68.3 support, in addition to the previous crude oil inventory data is also positive, crude oil may enter a wave of bulls. Upper targets see 69.4-70.6
USOIL Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 66.90
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 69.70
Recommended Stop Loss - 65.24
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL Will Go Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 69.181.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 63.975.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USOIL SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
USOIL pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 9H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 66.46 area.
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Usoil trade setupWest Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $69.30 on Wednesday. The WTI price trades flat after Ukraine used US ATACMS missiles to strike Russian territory for the first time.
On Tuesday, Russia’s defense ministry said that Ukraine hit a facility in the Bryansk region with six ATACAMS missiles. In response, Russian President Vladimir Putin lowered the threshold for a possible nuclear strike. The rising geopolitical tensions could boost the WTI price for the time being. "This marks a renewed build up in tensions in the Russia-Ukraine war and brings back into focus the risk of supply disruptions in the oil market," ANZ Bank analyst Daniel Hynes said.
FORECAST UPDATES! Silver / Platinum / Copper /Crude OilTuesday Nov. 19
Price has tipped its hand, and traded through the -FVGs on all of the metals. The bullish rallies
give us a bias to base our buy setups on!
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
USOIL Trend Analysis1. Trend Analysis
Zero Lag Trend Indicator:
On the M5 and M15 timeframes, the Zero Lag Trend Indicator signals a bearish trend, with the price trading below the Zero Lag EMA and recent bearish crossovers.
On higher timeframes like H1 and H4, the trend remains bullish, indicating that the current bearish movement on lower timeframes may be a retracement within the broader uptrend.
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation:
The alignment of bearish signals on lower timeframes and bullish signals on higher timeframes suggests a potential buying opportunity if the price reaches a significant support level and shows signs of reversal.
2. Key Levels Identification
Support and Resistance:
Support Levels:
$68.50: Recent swing low and a psychological support level.
$68.00: A round number and potential strong support.
Resistance Levels:
$70.00: Previous swing high and potential resistance.
$70.50: Another round number and resistance level.
Order Blocks:
A bullish order block is identified around $68.50, indicating potential institutional buying interest at this level.
3. Liquidity Zones and FU Candles
Liquidity Grabs:
Potential liquidity exists below $68.50, where stop-loss orders from retail traders may be clustered.
FU (Fakeout) Candles:
On the M5 timeframe, a bullish FU candle is observed near $68.50, suggesting a possible reversal and trapping of bearish traders.
4. Entry, Stop-Loss (SL), and Take-Profit (TP) Strategy
Entry:
Long Position: Consider entering around $68.50 after confirming support at $68.50 holds and observing bullish reversal patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing candle).
Stop-Loss (SL):
Place the SL below $68.00, at $67.50, to protect against potential false breakouts and account for market volatility.
Take-Profit (TP):
Set the TP at $70.00, near the next significant resistance level, maintaining a 1:3 risk-reward ratio.
5. Example Trade Setup
Scenario:
Current price: $69.05.
Bearish trend on lower timeframes; bullish trend on higher timeframes.
Plan:
Entry: $68.50 (after confirming support at $68.50).
Stop-Loss (SL): $67.50 (below $68.00 support).
Take-Profit (TP): $70.00 (near resistance).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
1:3, where the risk is $1.00 ($68.50 - $67.50), and the reward is $1.50 ($70.00 - $68.50).
6. Additional Considerations
Market News:
Monitor economic indicators and news related to oil, such as OPEC meetings and geopolitical events, as they can impact volatility.
Risk Management:
Risk 1-2% of your trading capital per trade to ensure sustainable trading practices.
Oil prices rebound on geopolitical concerns in Eastern Europe
After a week of decline, oil prices rose sharply due to increased geopolitical risks in Eastern Europe, including the possibility of long-range missile attacks. Meanwhile, the IEA has noted a decline in global oil demand due to China's slowing economic growth. They added that this trend may result in an oversupply of 1 million barrels per day in the global crude oil market next year.
After testing a trend line, USOIL advanced to 69.00. However, the price remains below both EMAs and still maintains bearish momentum. If USOIL breaks below the trend line again, the price could fall further to the support at 64.80. Conversely, if USOIL breaches above EMA21 and the 70.00 threshold, the price could gain upward momentum toward the resistance at 73.30.
2024-11-18 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
oil - I talked about the previous low 66.72 extensively and today bears dipped below but bulls bought it with vengeance. We are on our way to 70 and a test of the bear trend line from the October high. I do expect the lows to be in and we go higher from here. Best for bulls would be to make 68 support and keep the market above, below I am probably wrong and we chop more at the lows.
comment : If bulls get follow through to 70 tomorrow, bulls are in control again until they fail at the bear trend line (breakout above is possible). I do think the low 66.27 can hold. Right now it’s unclear if bulls are as strong as today looks because it’s only an expanding triangle over the past 5 trading days and bulls could not close today above the daily 20ema which is 20 points above us. So it’s possible that the descending triangle continues for more days before we get a breakout. Not much interest in selling this though. Will continue to long against 67.
current market cycle : trading range (big triangle on the daily chart)
key levels: 66 - 70
bull case: Bulls need follow through and test 70 tomorrow. A close above it would turn the market always in long and bulls in full control then. The bear trend line is the next target to break but until that happens, 70 is likely resistance and we go more sideways.
Invalidation is below 66.27
bear case: Bears want to keep the trading range at the lows going since they are making new lows. Selling above 69 has been profitable for the past week and until that changes and bulls trap bears, we can expect bears to keep trying.
Invalidation is above 71.
short term: Neutral but looking for longs when it’s clear that bulls can keep the 1h ema support. Will otherwise wait for market to come down to 67/67.5 and scale into longs. No interest in selling.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-20: No idea where this wants to go in the remaining 2 months of this year so I am neutral until we have a better pattern. The big triangle on the weekly chart is alive and until that changes, no more updates.
current swing trade: Nope
trade of the day: Buying the liquidity grap down to 66.27. The price action there on the very low tf was really interesting. Basically bears just left. Two more quick retries but only made higher lows and then a giant give up bar by the bears for 123 ticks on the 1h tf.
WTI CRUDE OIL Strong rally about to start.WTI Crude Oil made a Double Bottom around 67.00 and rebounded back to test the 1hour MA200.
This is an identical pattern with the October 1st Double Bottom that was formed after a 1hour Death Cross.
The 1hour Golden Cross should be enough to confirm the start of a strong rally.
Buy and target 78.00 (just under Resistance A).
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USOIL:Today's short trading strategy
Crude oil began to contract delivery, the action of these two days should be relatively large, today's thinking or bearish, weekly line again closed negative, and the center of gravity began to move down, crude oil also fell below the bottom of the hour level, today's rebound continues to empty, do not chase, this position is the bottom of crude oil week, has been volatile for a few weeks;
Today the bearish pressure around 68.00 has been broken and is currently around 67.00, the lower target is seen around 66.00. Please do not continue to short after arrival, wait for the market to confirm before trading. Follow me for updates
#202446 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
wti crude oil futures: Neutral until bulls do more. 66.72 is still the low to be broken if bears want more downside, otherwise it’s a descending triangle with clear support around 67. It does look like bulls need an event to help them. Every small rip is sold and it’s a matter of time until one side gives up and we see another breakout. Last thing I want to be is bullish on this but until we have a daily close below 67, it’s huge support.
Quote from last week:
comment: Market is now trying for 4 weeks to get below 73 and still failing. Friday’s bar is decent enough that bears could have given up and market has to drop down to 68 or lower to 67 to find more buyers. The trading range 68 - 73 is still not broken and until it is, that is the range to play. I just expecting bears to be stronger next week than the bulls.
comment: Huge support around 67 and bears need a daily close below for lower prices. Bulls a daily close above 69 for 70 and potentially 70.4. No more magic to it and I won’t make stuff up for the fun of it. Market has no direction for weeks and the range is tighter than my food exit. As long as market does not drop below 66.72, bulls are ok but it’s really tough to make money as a bull in this. If bears break that price, we go 65 next, followed by 63.5.
current market cycle: trading range (descending triangle)
key levels: 67 - 71
bull case: At this point I am too lazy to come up with something for either side. I follow the range and past pattern. Last week was bearish and support held. Next week I expect trading above 69-71. I stop being lazy once the given range breaks. Maybe long range missiles onto Russian Oil depots will help this break out.
Invalidation is below 66.7.
bear case: Either break below 66.7 or give up again. Below 66.7 we see 65.74 and then 65 next.
Invalidation is above 69.
outlook last week:
short term : Neutral again. Range is unbroken, play it until it breaks.
→ Last Sunday we traded 70.38 and now we are at 67.02. Bad outlook but will probably touch 70 tomorrow or Tuesday again. Probably was just off due to Sunday-Sunday.
short term: Neutral.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-10: Unless an event comes up, this will very likely close around 70 for the year.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Nothing worth mentioning.