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Crude Oil WTI

USOIL USOIL is still in an uptrend. Previous analysis on 1/12/2024, the price is up as expected and we expect the price to test the resistance zone 78-79. If the price cannot break through the 79 level, we expect the price to go down in the short term. Consider selling the red zone. 🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you. >>GooD Luck 😊 ❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
FX:USOILShort
by Serana2324
7
USOIL Under Pressure! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 76.54 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 75.36 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILShort
by AnabelSignals
1
CL Week Review 01/06/25 - 01/10/25Looks like my Directional Bias for CL was off. Instead of price coming lower to fill in the BISI and take the PDLs it rallied higher through the Volume Imbalance and raided all the BSL. Now that wick higher on Friday did not stop at a random spot. Look closely and you will notice its the Premium Daily 50% CE level of the wick and price reversed nicely off from there. Now the question remains does price justify to continue higher and take the BSL at 78.46 or does price reverse from there and then target the SSL and the D BISI? Currently its still looking Bullish since price closed above the Volume Imbalance and the PDH from Thu Oct 10 2024 at 76.24 but lets see how price opens on Sunday and we can definitely expect a volatile week since there is a good amount of economic news drivers.
NYMEX:CL1!
by ProphetTheTrader
USOIL Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Take a look at our analysis for USOIL. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 76.573. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 72.081 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILShort
by SignalProvider
1
USOIL, is breaking out? TVC:USOIL / 4H Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown. USOIL is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pull-back to the previous daily range. If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target: First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation. Last swing high Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence! Trade safely, Trader Leo
FOREXCOM:USOILLong
by BTM-LEO
14
Oil Market Heats Up: Prices Rise for Third Consecutive Week◉ Key Factors Driving Oil Prices: 1. Increased Winter Fuel Demand: As temperatures drop in the Northern Hemisphere, demand for heating fuels like diesel and gasoline is rising, supporting oil prices. 2. Supply Constraints: OPEC+ has been maintaining production cuts, limiting global oil supply and contributing to higher prices. ◉ Market Updates: ● Over the past three weeks, Brent crude BLACKBULL:BRENT has surged over 6%, and WTI OANDA:WTICOUSD has jumped more than 7%. ◉ Technical Observations: ● The oil price has broken through its long-term trendline resistance, positioning itself for further gains. ◉ Future Outlook: ● JPMorgan predicts a 1.6 million barrels per day increase in global oil demand in Q1 2025, driven by heating oil and LPG demands. ● Geopolitical factors, including new U.S. sanctions on Russia, may impact supply dynamics.
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by NaranjCapital
CRUDE OIL // long ideaThe trend is long on the weekly, the daily, and the H4, and H4 seems to close above the long trigger line (green), that is the last clean H4 breakdown. If this happens, the daily target fibo 138.2 in line with a daily breakdown is the target. ——— Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated. Level colors: Daily - blue Weekly - purple Monthly - magenta H4 - aqua Long trigger - green Short trigger - red ——— Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ <<please boost 🚀 if you enjoy💚
FX:USOILLong
by TheMarketFlow
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to area of 50% Fibo lvl of 71.500. Colleagues, I believe that price is ending a five-wave upward movement and a correction is about to begin. I expect the price to renew the nearest high and reach the area of 75.500, after which it will start a correction to the area of 50% Fibonacci level of 71.500. It may well be that the price will immediately start a downward movement and it will mean that wave “C” is already completed. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
15
Oil Algo Trading Strategy Lost Its Edge?Oil Algorithmic Traders Loosen Grip on Market After Back-to-Back Annual Losses A Shift in the Oil Trading Landscape In the intricate world of oil trading, where fortunes are made and lost on the fluctuations of prices, a significant shift is underway. Algorithmic traders, the computer-driven entities that have come to dominate the market, are pulling back after enduring two consecutive years of losses.1 This retreat marks a notable change in the oil market dynamics, potentially paving the way for a more balanced and predictable trading environment. The Rise of Algorithmic Trading Over the past decade, algorithmic trading, also known as automated or high-frequency trading, has revolutionized financial markets, and the oil market is no exception.2 These sophisticated systems employ complex algorithms and statistical models to identify and exploit trading opportunities at speeds that are impossible for human traders to match.3 Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs), a prominent class of algorithmic traders, specialize in trend-following strategies.4 They capitalize on market trends by buying when prices are rising and selling when prices are falling. Their ability to execute trades rapidly and efficiently has made them a dominant force in the oil market, often amplifying price swings and influencing market direction.5 The Tide Turns for Algorithmic Traders However, the reign of algorithmic traders in the oil market has faced a significant setback. According to Bridgeton Research Group, which tracks computer-generated trades, CTAs have posted consecutive annual losses for the first time in more than a decade.6 This downturn can be attributed to several factors, including increased market volatility, unexpected geopolitical events, and the inherent limitations of trend-following strategies in rapidly changing market conditions. As a result of these losses, CTAs are reducing their exposure to crude oil.7 It is estimated that they have decreased the weight of crude in their portfolios to a mere 2% compared to 4% in July 2024.8 This pullback is softening their impact on market movements and reducing their share of open interest, signaling a significant shift in the oil trading landscape.9 The Impact on the Oil The retreat of algorithmic traders from the oil market has several potential implications: 1. Reduced Market Market Volatility: Algorithmic trading, particularly trend-following strategies, has been known to exacerbate price swings in the oil market.10 With their reduced presence, the market may experience less volatility and more gradual price movements. 2. Increased Influence of Fundamental Factors: As the influence of algorithmic trading wanes, fundamental factors such as supply and demand, economic indicators, and geopolitical events may play a more prominent role in determining oil prices. 3. Opportunities for Traditional Traders: The pullback of algorithmic traders could create opportunities for traditional traders who rely on fundamental analysis and market expertise. With less competition from high-speed algorithms, these traders may find it easier to identify and capitalize on profitable trading opportunities. 4. A More Balanced Market: The reduced dominance of algorithmic trading could lead to a more balanced and efficient oil market, where a wider range of factors and participants determines prices. The Future of Algorithmic Trading in Oil While algorithmic traders are currently taking a step back from the oil market, it is unlikely that they will disappear entirely. These sophisticated systems still offer significant advantages in terms of speed, efficiency, and data analysis. As technology continues to advance, algorithmic trading is expected to remain an integral part of the financial landscape. However, the recent losses serve as a reminder that algorithmic trading is not without its risks. These systems are only as good as the algorithms and data they are based on. In rapidly changing and unpredictable markets, even the most sophisticated algorithms can struggle to generate consistent profits. Conclusion The retreat of algorithmic traders from the oil market marks a significant turning point. After years of dominating the trading landscape, these computer-driven entities are pulling back, potentially paving the way for a more balanced and less volatile market. While the long-term impact remains to be seen, this shift underscores the dynamic nature of financial markets and the importance of adapting to changing conditions.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln
USOUSD (Oil) Key support follow up.Thanks for checking our latest update, and happy new year to all. Today, we have followed up on our last oil update. You can see this update on the link below. The main topic of the last update was a key support area. The area held, and we saw a new rally develop. Today, we have looked at that rally and asked if it's going to break the long-term downtrend or if we could see price contnue to remain rangebound. We see short-term resistance at $74.75 and short-term support at $73.20. As always, traders must remain vigilant and stay abreast of the latest updates from OPEC and geopolitical influences, as these factors can significantly impact the market. Good trading from Eightcap.
EIGHTCAP:USOUSD
by Eightcap
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed flat due to the U.S. stock market holiday and early futures market closure. The MACD has fallen below the zero line on the daily chart, indicating continued selling pressure. Today's non-farm payroll data will be a key event, as it may determine whether the Nasdaq breaks below the 60-day moving average and continues its decline. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal lines remain below the zero line, indicating a persistent bearish trend. This suggests a possibility of further sharp declines, potentially expanding the divergence. Ahead of the data release, the pre-market is likely to remain range-bound. Focus on range-trading strategies but manage risks carefully as the non-farm payroll data approaches. Oil Oil closed higher, finding support near the 240-day moving average on the daily chart. After facing initial resistance around the $75 level, oil found support at the 240-day moving average, indicating a strong chance of another attempt to break above $75. Additionally, support near the 10-day moving average suggests the potential for another upward wave. On the 240-minute chart, a buying attempt is evident as the MACD moves closer to the Signal line. The chart resembles a head-and-shoulders pattern, where the neckline provides support, and the price may be attempting to form the right shoulder. Whether oil will surge beyond $75 remains uncertain, as the divergence in the MACD on the 240-minute chart and potential for time correction on the daily chart suggest caution. Avoid chasing prices at the highs; instead, confirm a breakout before taking action. Overall, buying on dips is the preferred strategy. Gold Yesterday, gold closed higher, continuing its upward trend on the daily chart. The MACD is approaching the zero line, and today's non-farm payroll data will determine whether gold moves above the zero line to resume a bullish trend or sharply reverses, resulting in a MACD dead cross and a bearish trend. On the 240-minute chart, the bullish momentum remains strong, but upcoming events such as today's data and next week's CPI report could create a turning point. Given the potential for trend changes, it’s better to react to established trends. While the short-term trend is strong, range-bound movement in the pre-market is possible, so trade accordingly. Buying on dips remains a favorable approach. As we approach the end of the trading week on Friday, heightened volatility is expected due to the non-farm payroll data. Manage risks carefully, and may you have a successful trading day! ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 21,190 / 21,120 / 21,065 / 20,990 / 20,945 -Sell Levels: 21,315 / 21,360 / 21,410 / 21,500 Oil - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 73.90 / 73.50 / 73.00 -Sell Levels: 74.80 / 75.20 / 75.60 / 76.40 Gold - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 2,685 / 2,681 / 2,676 / 2,670 / 2,665 / 2,661 -Sell Levels: 2,700 / 2,705 / 2,710 / 2,716 These strategies are applicable only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are set as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
WTI - The fate of oil with Trump's policies!WTI oil is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour time frame and is moving in its upward channel. In case of a downward correction towards the demand zone, the next opportunity to buy oil with a suitable risk reward will be provided for us. Being in the supply zone of oil will provide us with the possibility of selling it with reimport at a suitable risk. The price of US crude oil futures (WTI) reached $75 per barrel, marking its highest level in the past three months. According to the American Petroleum Institute (API), US oil inventories dropped by 4 million barrels last week. If this reduction is confirmed by official data, inventories would reach their lowest levels since 2014. The severe cold in the United States has increased fuel demand and heightened risks of production disruptions, while Europe is also facing harsh winter conditions. Meanwhile, the Trump administration’s tighter sanctions on Iran, combined with a global supply reduction and persistent cold weather, could pave the way for further increases in oil prices. Last year, crude oil prices declined due to weak demand from China and oversupply. Market analysts predict that oil prices will remain under pressure in 2025. In its November report, the International Energy Agency projected that global oil demand would grow by less than one million barrels per day in 2025, a significant decline compared to the two-million-barrel-per-day increase seen in 2023. The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) forecasts that Brent crude prices will drop to $70 per barrel this year due to expectations of increased oil supply from non-OPEC+ countries, which could offset global consumption growth. In a December note, BMI stated that the global oil market would likely face an oversupply in the first half of 2025 as new and substantial production from the US, Canada, Guyana, and Brazil enters the market. However, if OPEC+ implements its voluntary production cut plans, this oversupply could exert even more downward pressure on prices. BMI also highlighted that the outlook for global demand in 2025 remains unclear, stating, “Global demand for oil and gas continues to face uncertainty, with sustained economic growth and rising fuel consumption potentially offset by the impacts of trade wars, inflation, and declining demand in developed markets.” Additionally, the recent disruption of Russian gas flows to several European countries by Ukraine on the first day of the new year has added further uncertainty to global markets. As long as this situation persists, gas prices are expected to remain elevated. Citi Bank also noted that colder weather in the US and Asia during the remaining winter months could keep prices at high levels. According to the Financial Times, Donald Trump, who will assume office on January 20, is set to take control of one of the most powerful economic governance tools, capable of significantly enhancing America’s influence abroad. This tool is unmatched since the Cold War. However, the US economic framework remains flawed due to poor coordination and conflicting political priorities, presenting Trump with significant challenges in developing and implementing it. Unlike Joe Biden’s efforts to create a multifaceted geopolitical approach similar to China’s, the US economic framework suffers from issues in coordination and goal-setting.
TVC:USOIL
by Ali_PSND
WTI Oil H4 | Falling towards an overlap supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 72.65 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 71.20 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support. Take profit is at 74.85 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
1