Get started

Crude Oil WTI

USOIL Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 75.35 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 75.86 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILLong
by AnabelSignals
1
WTI rises to test key resistanceCrude oil prices rose on Monday, making back its losses from Friday and some. While there is hope for increased fuel demand as we head to the summer months, today’s recovery comes on the back of a three-week drop. Prices have been held back in recent weeks because of various factors, ranging from concerns over increased non-OPEC supply and worries about the demand outlook, due, among other reasons, to diminished hopes over imminent US interest rate cuts. The strong dollar recovery is also weighing on sentiment in the oil market. But with prices shedding more than 10% from their April highs, the bulls feel the downside could be more limited moving forward. However, a revisit of last week’s lows of around $72.50 on WTI remains the more probable outcome than a sharp recovery. Key macro events in this week include US inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s rate decision on Wednesday, both of which could significantly impact the US dollar and, consequently, buck-denominated commodities like gold and oil. Oil prices closed off well off the lows last week The crude oil selling resumed on Friday after a two-day pause. While the losses were milder than earlier in the week and less severe than the drop in metals, this was due to a strong jobs report and positive services PMI data that alleviated fears of weakening demand in the US. Nonetheless, concerns over China persisted, leading to lower prices for the week. Investors were also spooked by the sell-off in other commodities like copper and silver. The selling on oil was also driven by speculative long positions being pared last week by managed funds and large speculators. Not only that but they also increased their short positions last week, resulting in a decrease in net-long exposure. According to positioning data from the CFTC, managed funds increased their short positions by 27.2k contracts, while large speculators increased theirs by 22.1k contracts (21.9%). This positioning data reflects the market response to OPEC's decision to extend oil production cuts. It suggests that traders either anticipated more aggressive support for prices from OPEC, are concerned about declining demand due to a slowing economy, or likely a combination of both factors. Why did all major commodities fall on Friday? The sharp fall in major commodity prices on Friday was driven by a rally in the US dollar, which negatively impacts dollar-denominated commodities. This rally was triggered by stronger-than-expected jobs growth, even though part-time jobs contributed to this increase. Metals were already under pressure prior to the jobs report due to concerns over lower-than-expected Chinese demand for industrial metals and rising copper stockpiles. Additionally, the People’s Bank of China halting its gold purchases in May after an 18-month streak also pressured precious metals, contributing to bearish sentiment in the commodities market. What has been driving oil prices recently? Oil prices have been primarily driven lower by demand concerns and an increase in non-OPEC supply. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), there is a significant surplus of oil this year, largely due to the growth in US shale production. Consistently weak manufacturing data worldwide has heightened demand concerns. This was particularly evident when crude oil prices dropped to their lowest level since February following weak US factory data. The OPEC+ decision to extend output cuts failed to support oil prices as it was already priced in, and there are worries about phasing out voluntary output cuts amid rising non-OPEC supply. However, with the US driving season underway, demand might pick up, potentially slowing or reversing the sell-off. Currently, no strong bullish reversal signs have been observed, however, which means the short-term path pf least resistance on oil remains to the downside. Crude Oil Technical Analysis The recent drop in oil prices has established a clear resistance level between $76.00 and $76.50 on WTI, which was tested and held on Friday. This will be a crucial resistance area to monitor in the coming week. As long as prices remain below this zone, the bearish trend is expected to continue. There was an oversold bounce last week, but a decline towards the support trend of the bearish channel, around the $73.00 mark or slightly below, is possible this week. WTI has been stuck in a bearish channel since peaking in April. The next major support level below the bearish channel is at $70.00, followed by the December low at $67.87. However, if WTI were to reclaim the old broken support area between $76.00 and $76.50, it could signal a bullish trend, potentially leading to technical buying towards the top of the bearish channel, between $78.00 and $79.00. Written by Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com Follow me on twitter: x.com
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 76.59 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 79.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 74.21 which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM
#202424 - a weekly price action market recap and outlook - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. wti crude oil futures Quote from last week: bear case: Bears sold 80 again and will probably take profits here at 77 or try to get 76 again. If they get a breakout below, we will probably test 75, which is a price I thought we would test for 5-7 weeks now. It’s a bad sell here at 77 for bears so best they can get is sideways movement. comment: Fair to say that bears surprised me big time on Monday with the huge follow through selling through previous bigger support. 72 stopped the fall and created an expected bounce. I do think this was W5 and my bearish targets are all met for now. Market should move sideways to up from here. On Friday we got a perfect retest of the breakout price of 76 and that was resistance for now. Worst case scenario for bulls would be to stay below 76. The bull trend line will get retested and should hold for now. current market cycle: Bear trend which could transition into a trading range here key levels: 72-78 bull case: The best the bulls can hope for, is for the lows to hold and to move sideways and hit the daily ema again. They failed at keeping it above 75, which was huge support. Last bear leg inside this bigger trading range was 11 weeks long from high to low and we are currently at 9 weeks. Bulls will want to find support here around 70-72 and trade back up to at least 78 over the next 8-12 weeks. Invalidation is below 71. bear case: Huge bear surprise imo on Monday and bears want to keep it max bearish and they will do that by keeping the market below the breakout price around 76 and below the daily ema. They want a retest of 72.5 again and poke the bull trend line enough for bulls to give up there. If they actually get an acceleration of this bear trend, which is the low probability thing, they could retest 70 next and below 70 comes 67 as support. Invalidation is above 80.5. outlook last week: “R:R is on the bull side here at the bottom of this range. I wait for confirmation on Monday before going long for 80 again. Below 76 we could get to 75 but that would require strong momentum for me to go short down here.” → Last Sunday we traded 76.99 and now we are at 75.53. High of the week was 77.52 so the uber bearish price action, was surprising to me. I did not advise you to be bullish, unless there confirmation for the bulls and obviously that did not happen. So my bearish target of 75, if we go below 76, was alright but way too short of 72.48. Not a good outlook. short term: Neutral because I think we will hit the daily ema again and a retest of 72.5ish. I am not a fortune teller so I don’t know which comes first. medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 73 and 83. The high of the triangle got tested until mid of April and we have now tested the lows around 72.5. Market will probably move more inside this big range until we get a new big cycle to either side. current swing trade: None chart update: Added my pretty bear channel, adjusted 5-wave series and added a two-legged pullback, which we are probably in as of now. The red ABC is how I imagine it to play out price-wise, not time wise. We should see a retest of the lows as well as the daily ema. I don’t know which comes before what or when. Also adjusted the big bear trend line from 2022.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
FX:USOILLong
by ShahedZare
CRUDE OIL (CL): Weak Momentum Likely to Persist?Assalamualaikum wbt and Good Day to fellow traders! From my rather simplistic view, the overall two-hour time frame (TF2hr) chart seems to indicate that the prices for WTI Light Crude Oil ( NYMEX:CL1! ) could go further south at least for the time being. The further potential weakness is being reinforced by the significant key moving averages (in this case Exponential Moving Averages or EMAs ) - the EMA50 (blue line) and EMA200 (amber line) - in which the Black Gold sits below those lines since April 17, 2024. Despite several rebound attempts, the commodity has continued to slide downwards making some notable Lower Lows and Lower Highs until recently last Friday while trading range-bound in between. In addition, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator also flashed a cautious sell signal last Friday following a cross over. On top of that, the obvious rejection at the 76.03-76.30 key level could possibly suggest that the bearish momentum is still in play. However, a bullish reversal may occur should the MACD crossover take place above the 0 line with the help of a significant volume, as well as the two EMAs crossing up. Wallahu a'lam. #cl #crudeoil #wti #blackgold #exponentialmovingaverage #ema #macd
NYMEX:CL1!
by rahman_daros
USOIL Is Going Down! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for USOIL. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 75.96. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 74.80. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:USOILShort
by SignalProvider
1
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 24 - USOIL - (7th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing USOIL, starting from the 6-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my other videos on TradingView or on YT. If you are interested in private coaching, feel free to get in touch via one of my socials.
FX:USOIL
by Road_2_Funded
Crude oil continues to bearish pressureTechnical analysis of crude oil Daily resistance 74.2, support below 72.7 Four-hour resistance 73.7-74.2, support below 72-71 Crude oil operation suggestions: Crude oil continued the recent extremely weak short-term unilateral downward rhythm yesterday, with the Asian and European sessions showing a downward trend, and the US session suppressed and fluctuated below the 73.5 mark. The overall price continued the recent unilateral short-term downward rhythm. Today's upper resistance is around 73.7-74.2. Today's rebound relies on this position to continue the main short-term bearish trend. The short-term oil price short-term weak dividing line focuses on the 74.2 mark. Any rebound before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position is a short-selling opportunity, and keep trading with the trend. SELL:74.2 near SL:74.50 SELL:73.7 near SL:74.20 Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
FX:USOILSPOTShort
by ActuaryJ