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Usoilanalysis

USOIL Higher Time Frame Possible Bullish ScenarioThis is higher time frame bullish scenario on USOIL (WTI). This is only applicable if a bullish breakout occurs. 1. The price is inside a triangle which is getting squeezed and reaching its apex. That means we are going to have a breakout very soon. 2. Recently the price completed and M pattern and jumped higher. When M pattern completes the market goes higher. 3. If we get a bullish breakout from this triangle and if this breakout confirms, we can have formation of a potential W pattern. This when completed will have the potential to make oil fall again. 4. After that if the price stays bullish or becomes bullish again, we have a gap available around 100 area which needs to be filled at subpoint. 5. That will also lead us into a bigger multiple month and possibly multi year bullish formation of a W pattern. But first, we need to see how price breaks out of the triangle. If you found this post useful or information please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍✔ Also us for more.
TVC:USOIL
by vikinsa
USOIL: Trend Analysis and Trading StrategiesCrude oil technical analysis Daily resistance 83.4, support below 79 Four-hour resistance 81, support below 81.3-80 Crude oil operation suggestions: Last Friday, the overall oil price fell first and then rose, breaking through the 82.7 mark, and then fell back and bottomed out, breaking through the 81 mark and closing weakly. The overall price showed a fluctuating upward rhythm. Today, the lower support continues to focus on the low point of 81 last Friday, and the upper pressure focuses on the vicinity of 82.5-82.7. If the upper 83.4 is not broken, continue to see the oscillation operation first, and if 83.4 is broken, the bulls will start SELL:82.0near SL:82.40 SELL:83.4near SL:83.70 Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
FX:USOILSPOTShort
by ActuaryJ
USOIL, sell high and buy low to participateTechnical analysis of crude oil Daily resistance 83.4, support below 79 Four-hour resistance 81, support below 80-78.5 Crude oil operation suggestions: Crude oil 4-hour chart is still shrinking and consolidating, and short-term contraction and shock are waiting to accumulate momentum to open up space. In the short term, there is still an expectation of further downward adjustment. Today's upper resistance focuses on the opening of yesterday's hourly line around 81.3-81.5. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to look down with the main short. The short-term support below focuses on 79.7-79.5. The European and American markets stabilize at this position once more and then look at shocks and rebounds. Sell high and buy low (At the same time, beware of the technical changes and there is also a warning of a sharp drop and wash) SELL:80.7near SL:81.10 SELL:82.0near SL:82.40 SELL:83.4near SL:83.70 Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
FX:USOILSPOTShort
by ActuaryJ
Crude Oil Market Analysis and Trading SignalsTechnical analysis of crude oil Daily resistance 83.4, support below 77.5 Four-hour resistance 82, support below 80.7-79 Crude oil operation suggestions: After a bottom rebound in the daily chart of crude oil, the upward momentum has slowed down. Short-term is accompanied by a second roundabout retracement confirmation. The daily chart uses the middle track as the support point. Go long after the retracement confirmation. Today's lower support continues to focus on yesterday's hourly neckline support of 80.5. Relying on this position, the main bullish trend remains unchanged. The upper target is still near the daily pressure of 83.4. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 80.7 mark. If the daily level stands firm at this position. Continue to follow the trend and do more. Short selling can participate near the daily resistance of 83.4. (At the same time, beware of trend changes, and there is also a warning of a sharp drop in the technical side) SELL:80.7near SL:81.10 SELL:82.0near SL:82.40 SELL:83.4near SL:83.70 Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
FX:USOILSPOT
by ActuaryJ
Brent Crude Surges in June But Chart Pattern Raises ConcernsBrent Crude Surges in June as Inventory Draw Tightens Market, But Chart Pattern Raises Concerns Brent crude oil prices experienced a significant rally in June 2024, rising 5% over the month. This increase adds to a positive trend for the year so far, with Brent crude accumulating a total gain of 12.85% year-to-date. However, a closer look at the price chart reveals a potential concern – the formation of a rising wedge pattern, which could indicate a reversal in the upward trend. Understanding Brent Crude and Its Global Influence Brent crude oil, extracted from the North Sea, is a light sweet crude oil variety. Widely traded across the globe, it serves as a benchmark for oil pricing, influencing other crudes like West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US benchmark. Supply, demand, geopolitical tensions, and global economic health are all factors that impact Brent crude prices. In June 2024, a confluence of events pushed prices higher. US Inventory Draw Tightens the Market A key driver of the June price increase was a significant decline in US crude oil inventories. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a drop of 2.55 million barrels. This decrease signifies that demand for crude oil is outpacing supply, a classic recipe for rising prices. Several factors could explain the inventory decline. Economic growth can lead to increased energy consumption by businesses and consumers, driving up demand for crude oil. Geopolitical tensions can also disrupt oil supplies, further tightening available inventories. OPEC+ Decision Adds Fuel to the Fire Another factor influencing June's price increase was the decision by OPEC+, a group of oil-producing countries led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, to loosen production cuts. Implemented in April 2020 to support oil prices during the COVID-19 pandemic, these cuts were gradually lifted as the global economy recovered in 2024. The OPEC+ decision was interpreted as a sign of a tightening oil market. With rising demand and only a gradual increase in production from OPEC+, concerns arose about potential future supply constraints. This concern played a role in pushing Brent crude prices higher in June. The Rising Wedge: A Potential Threat to the Upward Trend? While the June price increase paints a picture of a robust oil market, a technical analysis of the Brent crude price chart reveals a potentially bearish pattern – the rising wedge. This chart formation consists of two upward-sloping trendlines, with prices seemingly trapped within an expanding channel. While the price appears to be rising, the trendlines narrow as the pattern progresses, suggesting a potential loss of momentum. A breakout from the rising wedge, particularly downwards, is often seen as a bearish signal, indicating a potential reversal in the price trend. This could lead to a decline in Brent crude prices in the coming months. The Two-Sided Coin of Rising Oil Prices Higher Brent crude prices have a double-edged impact on the global economy. On the one hand, consumers face the burden of rising gasoline prices, which can strain household budgets and impact businesses reliant on transportation. Additionally, higher oil prices translate to increased costs for transportation and other goods and services. On the other hand, oil-producing countries benefit from the price hike. Increased revenue allows them to invest in infrastructure, social programs, and economic development initiatives. The Road Ahead: Uncertainties and Opportunities Predicting the future of oil prices is a complex task. Global economic growth, geopolitical tensions, and OPEC+ production decisions will all play a role. However, the June price increase and the formation of the rising wedge pattern highlight the dynamic nature of the oil market. While the upward trend suggests continued price increases in the near term, the rising wedge pattern warrants caution. Investors and businesses involved in oil-dependent industries should closely monitor the price chart and economic factors to navigate the potential market shift.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln
USOIL: Short near 81.and Support 79.5~79.7Crude oil technical analysis Daily resistance 83.4, support below 77.5 Four-hour resistance 81, support below 80-77.5 Crude oil operation suggestions: Crude oil slightly rose to 81 yesterday, and then fell back and fluctuated sideways under pressure. The overall price support stabilized above the 80 mark, showing a strong bullish oscillation rhythm. The short-term local decline adjustment will not change the overall bullish strength. At the same time, short-term adjustments will provide better opportunities for long orders to enter the market. Today's support is around 79.7-79.5. If it falls back to this position during the day, continue to go long. The upper target continues to focus on the new high. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 79 mark. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, continue to go long at a low price. SELL:80.0 near SL:80.40 SELL:81.0 near SL:81.30 SELL:83.4 near SL:83.70 Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
FX:USOILSPOT
by ActuaryJ
USOIL: Can crude oil stabilize at the 80 mark?Technical analysis of crude oil Daily resistance 83.4, support below 77-75 Four-hour resistance 81, support below 80-79 Operation suggestions for crude oil: The overall technical form of crude oil shows a bullish breakthrough. Today's support below continues to focus on yesterday's hourly neckline near 79.5-79.7. Return to this area during the day to continue to follow the trend and look for a breakthrough. The upper target is still expected to break through. The overall bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 78 mark. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to follow the trend and keep the low-price long rhythm unchanged. (At the same time, beware of sudden trend changes. The technical side also has a warning of a sharp drop and wash) BUY:80.0 near SL:79.70 SELL:81.0 near SL:81.30 SELL:83.4 near SL:83.70 Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by ActuaryJ
OIL: Operation in the range of 77~80Crude Oil Technical Analysis Daily resistance is 80-83.4, support below is 77-75 Four-hour resistance is 80, support below is 77.8 Crude oil operation advice: Yesterday, crude oil experienced a strong bullish rise around the 77.5 mark. In the Asian and European markets, the price slightly stepped back to test and stabilized at the 77.5 mark, ushering in a rebound. The European market rose slightly and broke through the 78 mark, falling into sideways fluctuations. After the US Bulls continued to work hard during the session, and the hourly line continued to rise and broke through and stood at the 79 mark, and continued to rise to close strongly near the 80 mark. After the overall price fluctuated around the 77 mark for nearly 4 trading days, the bulls broke through. In the short term, the oil price stood above the 79 mark and entered the bullish rebound cycle again. Today's lower support focuses on the neckline of yesterday's hourly line near 78.5-78.7. The intraday retracement relies on this position to continue to be bullish. The upper target continues to focus on breaking highs. The short-term long-short strength and weakness dividing line focuses on the 77 mark. Any retracement before the daily level falls below this position is a long opportunity. BUY: 78.4 near SL: 78.00 BUY: 77.8 near SL: 77.50 SELL: 80.0 near SL: 80.50 Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by ActuaryJ
Oil Broader Support Market Optimism, Despite Lingering UncertainOil prices edged higher this week, marking their strongest gain in seven days. This upward momentum came despite a somewhat ambiguous outlook for crude itself, suggesting the driving force behind the rise lies elsewhere: positive sentiment in the broader financial markets. Risk-On Rally Lifts Oil The primary factor behind oil's recent rise is the prevailing "risk-on" sentiment dominating global markets. Equity indices, particularly in the United States, have been scaling new highs, with the S&P 500 reaching its 30th record this year. This optimism seems to be spilling over into the commodities market, including oil. Investors, buoyed by the positive performance in equities, are displaying a greater willingness to take on risk, and oil is seen as a potential beneficiary. OPEC+ Cuts and Geopolitical Tensions Offer Underlying Support Beyond the broader market sentiment, a couple of oil-specific factors are also contributing to the price increase. Firstly, the decision by OPEC+, the world's leading oil producer alliance, to extend production cuts has helped to tighten supply and prop up prices. Anxieties surrounding potential disruptions due to geopolitical tensions in major oil-producing regions like the Middle East are also lending some support. Mixed Outlook for Crude: Demand Questions Linger However, the outlook for crude remains somewhat clouded by uncertainties. While the supply side appears relatively stable thanks to OPEC+ intervention, demand remains a question mark. Signs of slowing economic growth in some parts of the world, particularly in Asia, raise concerns about future oil consumption. Data from China, a major consumer of oil, recently indicated weaker-than-expected industrial activity, potentially signaling a softening demand outlook. Additionally, rising gasoline prices in some regions, like India, could dampen consumer spending and lead to lower demand for fuel. The Balancing Act: Weighing Optimism Against Uncertainty The current situation presents a complex picture for oil markets. The positive sentiment in broader financial markets is providing a tailwind for oil prices. However, this is counterbalanced by lingering uncertainties about future demand, particularly in Asia. The net effect of these opposing forces will determine the future trajectory of oil prices. Looking Ahead: Navigating a Volatile Market Oil will likely see continued volatility in oil markets. Investors will be closely monitoring key factors like: • Global economic performance: The health of major economies, particularly China, will significantly influence oil demand. • Monetary policy decisions: Actions by central banks, especially the U.S. Federal Reserve, could impact risk appetite and indirectly affect oil prices. • Geopolitical developments: Events in major oil-producing regions can disrupt supply and cause price spikes. By carefully weighing these factors, market participants can navigate the current uncertainty and make informed decisions regarding oil investments.
FX:USOILLong
by bryandowningqln
Crude oil is trading in a range, with a focus on 73.8~76.5Technical analysis of crude oil Daily resistance 78.4, support below 72.7 Four-hour resistance 76, support below 75-73.8 Crude oil operation suggestions: Crude oil fell first and then rose last week. The weekly line is in a wide range of fluctuations, and there is no strong unilateral trend. In the form of repeated tug-of-war between long and short positions, pay attention to the support of the low point of 73.80 this week. If it holds, it will continue to be bullish. The overall price shows a rhythm of long and short narrow fluctuations. Although the daily level has experienced two consecutive positive fluctuations and rebounded, the overall technical indicators are still in a short position. The upper side is still facing the pressure of the 76.5 mark. Today's rebound relies on the 76.5 line to continue to be short first. The short-term support below focuses on the vicinity of 74.3-74.5. Today, we will rely on this range to maintain the rhythm of fluctuations and sell high and buy low. SELL:76.0 near SL:76.50 BUY:73.8 near SL:73.40 Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
FX:USOILSPOT
by ActuaryJ
Oil Price Find Footing as Inflation Cools, Russia Threatens CutThe global oil market witnessed a balancing act this week, with prices finding temporary stability despite conflicting forces. While data indicating a possible slowdown in US inflation offered some relief, Russia's vow to cut oil production cast a shadow of potential future price hikes. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures, the US benchmark, remained above $78 a barrel, clinging to the gains accrued throughout the week. This stability comes after a period of volatility, with oil prices having fluctuated significantly in recent months due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and concerns about global economic growth. The US Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates at their current level was the primary source of comfort for the market. This decision, coupled with recent signs of cooling inflation, suggests a potential shift in the Fed's monetary policy stance. Earlier concerns about aggressive interest rate hikes to combat inflation had dampened economic activity and raised fears of a recession, potentially leading to a decline in oil demand. The Fed's decision to pause on rate hikes, with the possibility of one cut later in the year, provided a sigh of relief for the oil market. However, this cautious optimism was countered by Russia's announcement of a potential production cut. Russia, a major oil producer, has been a key player in the recent oil price volatility. The ongoing war in Ukraine has disrupted global oil supplies, and Russia has hinted at further reductions in output in retaliation for Western sanctions. This threat of a supply squeeze could push oil prices higher in the coming months, potentially negating the positive sentiment stemming from the Fed's decision. Analysts remain divided on the long-term trajectory of oil prices. Some believe that a global economic slowdown, fueled by rising interest rates and ongoing geopolitical tensions, will eventually lead to a decrease in demand. This, coupled with a potential increase in oil production from other major producers like the US, could bring prices down. However, others warn that the geopolitical risks remain significant. The war in Ukraine shows no signs of abating, and further disruptions to Russian oil exports could trigger another price surge. Additionally, the limited spare production capacity among major producers could make it difficult to compensate for any potential Russian output cuts. The outlook for oil prices in the coming months is thus uncertain. While the Fed's decision and signs of cooling inflation offer some hope for stability, the threat of Russian production cuts and ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to pose significant upside risks. Looking beyond the immediate future, the long-term trend for oil prices will likely depend on the pace of the global energy transition. As countries around the world invest in renewable energy sources and push for decarbonization, the demand for oil is expected to decline over time. This could lead to a gradual decrease in oil prices in the long run. However, the transition away from fossil fuels is a complex process, and oil is likely to remain a critical source of energy for many years to come. In conclusion, the global oil market is currently navigating a period of flux. While short-term factors like the Fed's monetary policy and potential Russian production cuts are influencing prices, the long-term trajectory remains uncertain and will depend heavily on the pace of the global energy transition. Consumers and businesses alike should brace for continued volatility in the oil market, with prices likely to remain sensitive to geopolitical developments and economic data releases.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln