USOIL:Downtrend
Yesterday I bought near 85.2 and finally stopped at 84.8 because I thought there would be some room for a rebound from a rapid decline.
Yesterday I judged that there will be a lot of room for decline if it falls below the important position of 84, but every time it falls, there will be certain repeated shocks, so after rising above 83, I chose to buy. Today, let me recover yesterday's loss.
But now oil is already in a downward trend, so now you can choose to sell at a high level, then the chance of success will increase.
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Usoilanalysis
1012 USOIL expecting RSI DIV later to support buying planHello traders,
USOIL did not make our buying plan a successful one yesterday. It turned down after making ABC (blue) sideways price action after being rejected from Resistance 1.
The new ABC (red) is where we are waiting for a buying signal to buy today.
Fundamentally, usoil should not on a bearish trend. So we are waiting for signal with RSI div AND price stands above EMAS again to open buying position again. BTW, right now it is not a good position to sell IMO.
Good luck on this plan.
LESS IS MORE!
US Crude Oil 4H : Uptrend above 86.34USOIL
New forecasts
The price perfectly fulfills my last idea and price reached to our target + 100 pip .
The price of oil rose strongly to breach the 84.81 level and stop the bearish corrective scenario, heading towards recovery and achieving expected gains during the coming period, as positive targets begin to test the 87.72 level.
Therefore, the upward bias will be likely for today but to confirm that should stable above 86.34 and then will support the price, and we note that the price is forming a positive pattern that supports the chances of exceeding the mentioned target and achieving further rise in the immediate and short term and heading towards 87.72 and 89.52, taking into account that breaking 84.81 will stop the positive scenario and put pressure on the price to decline again.
The expected trading range for today is between support 84.81 and resistance 87.72 until breaching one of them .
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
Be careful because of the war between Palestine and Israel, we may witness unexpected movements .
support line : 84.81 , 83.24
resistance line : 86.34 , 87.72
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
USOIL Technical Analysis and Trade Idea (applies to WTI Brent)This video provides an in-depth analysis of USOIL (WTI Brent also applicable). On the weekly chart, we observe a bullish trend that has undergone a significant correction to key support levels. The weekly chart indicates that the overall bias is still bullish, but the daily chart shows a bearish market structure break. A bearish trend has not fully established yet, as the price action is forming a triangle pattern on the daily chart evidenced by lower highs and higher lows. A further downward movement that breaks the current support level would signal a possible bearish continuation scenario. This video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Profiting from Oil Price Drops
Recent events have led to a significant drop in oil prices, primarily due to the phenomenon known as "demand destruction." I believe this presents an opportune moment for traders like yourself to consider shorting oil and potentially reap substantial gains.
Considering the conservative nature of your trading approach, shorting oil could be a prudent strategy to capitalize on this situation. By short selling oil, you can aim to profit from the further decline in oil prices. This approach aligns with a conservative trading philosophy, as it allows you to take advantage of the current market conditions while minimizing potential risks.
To maximize your potential gains, I recommend conducting thorough research and analysis before executing any trades. Keep a close eye on global economic indicators, such as GDP growth forecasts, industrial production figures, and travel restrictions. Additionally, monitor geopolitical developments, as they often have a direct impact on oil prices. By staying informed and vigilant, you can make well-informed decisions that align with your trading strategy.
I understand that shorting oil may not be suitable for everyone, and each trader has their own risk tolerance and investment goals. However, I believe that the present circumstances present a compelling opportunity for those who are willing to take a calculated risk.
In conclusion, the recent oil price drops resulting from demand destruction offer a promising chance to profit from shorting oil. As a conservative trader, this strategy allows you to capitalize on the current market conditions while adhering to your risk management principles. Remember to conduct thorough research, stay informed, and make well-informed decisions aligned with your trading strategy.
Should you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to comment below. Wishing you success in your trading endeavors
US OIL / WTI Analysis 13Oct2023Over the last few weeks, the price of oil has experienced a noticeable decline. Upon closer inspection, this trend appears to be the result of a series of corrections from the previously bullish market. Currently, there is speculation surrounding the possibility of Wave (C) occurring, which is being analyzed through the addition of Fibo Expansion. It is predicted that the price will likely move towards the 76 area, which intersects with Fibo 0.786 and the SND area. This level of detail provides a more comprehensive understanding of the current market trends and the anticipated future movements of oil prices.
US Crude OIL 4H :Oil price shows weak tradingUSOIL
New forecast
The price of oil has been fluctuating around the 86.50 level since yesterday, and is under continuous negative pressure to support the chances of continuing the expected downward trend for the coming period, whose next target is at 84.81.
From here, we continue to favor the downward trend in the immediate term, and breaking the target level will extend the downward corrective wave to reach 83.24 and 82.00, while the expected decline will remain in place unless the 87.72 level is breached and holds above it.
The expected trading range for today is between support 84.81 and resistance 86.56 until breaching one of them .
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
support line : 84.81 , 83.24
resistance line : 86.56 , 87.72
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
1009 USOIL to pull back to fibo 618Hello traders,
If you check news in the weekend, you should know what is happening in the Middle East.
And that is also why usoil make a such jump in this Asia Monday morning.
Now price has reached fibo 382, will the London session and Newyork session to push price up more to fibo 618?
Lets see and make a plan on it.
GOOD LUCK!!
LESS IS MORE!
DXY I Still have the DXY in the expanded Flat with a top in at $107 which happens to be the fib retracement 50% level of the 5 down wave A.
I expect the momentum indicators to begin to slowly roll over. RSI, Stochastic RSI , OBV , MACD should all confirm the last leg of the down trend wave C which I expect to finish around $94.
At $94 the DXY should complete a very HTF wave 4 and then kick off what is shaping up to be one ugly recession. W5 targets for DXY run over $130 and I don't think much will survive this risk off trade set up.
This is likely what many analysts are referring to as the "Blow off Top" to which I find myself reluctantly agreeing with since all my charts keep leading me down this rabbit hole. ;)
USOIL: Today's crude oil analysis and operation
Crude oil yesterday's typical interval arrangement, the highest 86.7, the lowest 85, the daily line closed small Yin at 85.9, the four-hour chart of the large interval, the top 87 will be an important resistance point in this interval, the lower focus on the 84 break, the breakthrough will fill the gap; From the point of view of the 1-hour line, the lower focus on the 85 support situation, coupled with the current Palestinian-Israeli conflict, may have a certain impact on oil prices, and the day is mainly low and high
The specific layout is as follows:
(1) below see 85/85.3 long, loss 84.5, target 86.2-86.5 break on the look
(2) Above, focus on the breakthrough of 87
Trading advisory: Pause trading due to oil price target of 87.16I wanted to provide you with the latest update regarding the oil market and its recent volatility that demands immediate attention. After careful analysis, our experts have projected a significant revision in the oil price target, with the new estimated threshold being $87.16 per barrel.
Given the sudden change in the market, I strongly urge you to exercise caution and consider adopting a temporary pause on oil trading activities until further notice. This move will allow for a more prudent approach in dealing with the uncertainties surrounding the current market conditions.
Our decision to recommend this temporary halt is rooted in the desire to mitigate potential risks that may arise due to the oil price's downward trajectory. By taking a pause in oil trading, you can protect your investments and reassess your strategy in light of the evolving market dynamics. Remember, it is crucial to prioritize the long-term stability and profitability of your investments over short-term gains.
In summary, I strongly advise you to pause your oil trading activities and analyze the market situation closely before making any new decisions. Your diligence and careful consideration at this critical juncture will go a long way in safeguarding your investments and optimizing your future trading success.
Thank you for your prompt attention to this matter. We appreciate your understanding and willingness to adapt to the evolving market conditions. Together, we can weather this storm and emerge stronger.
USOIL - Important Breakout !Hi Traders!
The USOIL Price Broke a Strong Daily Support Level (85.90 - 84.15)
Currently,
-This Support Level Becomes a New Resistance Level.
-The Support Line is Broken.
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉
i'm waiting for retest...
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TARGET: 78.60🎯
___________
if you agreed with this IDEA, please leave a LIKE, SUBSCRIBE or COMMENT!
OIL: where are you going to?This is my preferred count for OIL as the most recent downmove was so violent that it seems to be the beginning of a new trend.
Looking for continuation lower into a three wave move to compose higher degree wave Y.
As always questions and comments are more than welcome,
if you enjoy the content please leave a like and as always,
Trade Safe!
US Crude Oil 4H : downtrend under 87.72USOIL
New forecast
Oil price trading stabilizes below the broken support of the main ascending channel, so that the bearish corrective trend scenario remains valid and effective for the coming period, remembering that our expected target is at 84.81, breaking which represents the key to rushing towards 82.00 as the next main station.
From here, we are awaiting negative trading in the immediate term, provided it remains below 87.72, as breaching this level represents the key to returning to the ascending channel and restoring the main upward trend again.
The expected trading range for today is between support 84.81 and resistance 86.56 until breaching one of them .
support line : 84.81 , 83.24
resistance line : 86.56 , 87.72
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
USOIL WEEKLY UPDATE hello trader...
I noticed a divergence in the daily oil chart between the rsi and waves 3 and 5. Rsi is still over 50 level in daily chart, which leads me to believe that the uptrend is still in progress.
yet H4 rsi is currently below 50 level. My plan is to short around $93.7 and monitor the RSI daily whether I can stay below the 50 level or any news from us or any oil announcement .
a break above previous high might took oil to next resistance level at $101. so hold you buy.
**I have no intention of using my trading approach as a signal. I'm practicing my trading strategies, learning about market dynamics, and figuring out the best way to enter the market in the right direction.
Oil Spikes 5% Following Hamas Attack in Israel Following a recent attack by Hamas in Israel, oil prices have surged by 5%, and it is crucial for us to closely monitor this situation.
The attack in Israel has heightened geopolitical tensions in the region, which historically have directly influenced oil prices. As traders, it is essential for us to exercise caution and remain vigilant during times of increased volatility. The recent spike in oil prices serves as a stark reminder of the potential risks and opportunities that can arise in the energy markets.
Given the current circumstances, I strongly encourage you to closely watch the oil market and closely monitor any further developments in the region. It is essential to stay informed and be prepared to act swiftly if necessary. As we have seen in the past, geopolitical events can have a lasting impact on oil prices, and it is crucial to be proactive in managing our positions.
In light of this situation, I suggest the following actions:
1. Stay informed: Keep yourself updated on the latest news and developments in the Middle East, particularly regarding the Israel-Hamas conflict. Reliable news sources and market analysis can provide valuable insights into potential market movements.
2. Monitor oil prices: Regularly track the price of oil and observe any significant fluctuations. Pay attention to key support and resistance levels, as they can help inform your trading decisions.
3. Diversify your portfolio: Consider diversifying your trading portfolio to mitigate potential risks associated with geopolitical events. A well-diversified portfolio can help protect against unexpected market movements.
4. Implement risk management strategies: Review and reassess your risk management strategies to ensure they are robust and aligned with your trading goals. Set appropriate stop-loss orders and consider using trailing stops to protect your positions.
Remember, caution is key during times of heightened volatility. While the situation may evolve rapidly, it is essential to approach trading with a level-headed mindset and avoid making impulsive decisions based on emotions.
USOILA new round of military conflict broke out between Israel and Palestine last weekend, an incident that had a major impact on financial markets on Monday. International oil prices soared more than 4% after the opening, and the key to the market is whether the conflict is under control or spreads to other regions, especially Saudi Arabia. At least at the beginning, the market seems to think that this situation will be limited in scope, duration and oil price impact. , but volatility is expected to be higher.
USOIL - Bullish price action ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: As we can see here we are in a bullish market structure from daily perspective, so price filled the imbalances and then rejected strongly upside. Expect bullish continuation here.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
USOIL's trend remains rising.If the United States tightens sanctions on Iran, analysts at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) estimate that about 0.5-1.0% of global oil supply may be affected, which would push Brent crude oil prices above $100 per barrel.
A further risk is whether Iran will try to disrupt oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, through which 15-20% of the world's oil supplies pass.
The continued rise in oil prices will have a negative impact on inflation, but it will also impose a burden on consumers, so the impact on interest rates is not direct.
Oil Experiences Worst Declining Week Since March Last week, oil prices suffered a significant decline, marking the worst week since March. This alarming development demands immediate attention, and I strongly urge you to consider taking advantage of this unprecedented opportunity to short oil.
The oil industry, which has been grappling with numerous challenges throughout this year, is now facing a new wave of uncertainty. The recent decline in oil prices has sent shockwaves through the market, raising concerns about the stability and future prospects of this crucial commodity. As traders, it is our responsibility to stay ahead of the curve and capitalize on these fluctuations.
By shorting oil, we can potentially profit from the ongoing downtrend and mitigate the risks associated with the volatile nature of this market. This strategy allows us to sell oil contracts at current prices, with the intention of repurchasing them at a lower price in the future. However, timing is of the essence, as the window of opportunity may be limited.
It is important to acknowledge that the current decline in oil prices is not without its reasons. Factors such as weakening global demand, oversupply concerns, and geopolitical tensions have contributed to this downward spiral. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical conflicts, and the transition towards renewable energy sources further compound the challenges faced by the oil industry.
Considering the gravity of the situation, it is crucial that we act swiftly. I encourage you to conduct thorough research, analyze market trends, and consult with your trusted advisors to determine the best course of action. While shorting oil presents an opportunity, it is essential to weigh the risks and rewards based on your individual risk appetite and trading strategy.
To seize this opportunity, I recommend closely monitoring the oil market, staying updated on the latest news, and utilizing technical analysis tools to identify potential entry and exit points. Additionally, it is prudent to set clear profit targets and implement risk management measures to protect your investments.
Remember, as traders, we are constantly navigating through uncertain waters, seeking opportunities amidst volatility. The current decline in oil prices presents a unique chance to capitalize on the market's downward momentum. However, I urge you to exercise caution, conduct thorough research, and make informed decisions.
Please feel free to comment below if you have any questions or require further assistance. Let us seize this moment and make the most of this unprecedented opportunity to short oil.