Oil Drops After Weak China - A Cautionary Call to Pause on Oil II am writing to you today with a sense of concern and urgency regarding recent developments in the oil market. As you may already know, oil prices have taken a significant hit following the release of weak economic data from China, a key player in the global oil market.
The recent slump in China's economic growth and the uncertain property market have sent shockwaves through the oil industry. As a result, oil prices have experienced a slight decline, leaving many investors worried about the future trajectory of this crucial commodity.
Given the current circumstances, we must take a step back and reassess our investment strategies in the oil market. While oil has historically been a lucrative investment avenue, the current volatility and uncertainty demand a more cautious approach.
Therefore, I encourage you to pause any immediate oil investments and carefully evaluate the potential risks involved. It is crucial to consider the following factors before making any further decisions:
1. China's Economic Slowdown: China's economic growth has been slowing down, and this recent data only adds to the concerns. As the world's largest oil importer, any further deterioration in China's economy could profoundly impact oil demand, leading to a prolonged period of low oil prices.
2. Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade tensions between the United States and China have already caused disruptions in global trade patterns. Any escalation in these tensions could further dampen oil demand and negatively impact prices.
In light of these factors, I strongly advise taking a cautious approach and closely monitoring the developments in the oil market. Diversifying your portfolio and exploring alternative investment opportunities less exposed to the risks associated with the current oil market conditions may be prudent.
Remember, it is always better to prioritize capital preservation during uncertain times rather than chasing short-term gains. By exercising caution and patience, we can better navigate the unpredictable nature of the market and protect our investments in the long run.
Please get in touch with me with any further questions or concerns in the comment section below. Together, we can navigate this challenging period and make informed decisions that align with our investment goals.
Usoilanalysis
USOIL:summary
Oil adjusted yesterday, but in the end it did not break the support point and returned to the upward channel again.
My forecast for next week is still mainly volatility, focusing on resistance and support points.
Reach the support point to buy up, reach the resistance point to sell down, next week I will remind everyone again how to trade according to the market trend.
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Are Oil Bulls Too Confident? Proceed with CautionIntroduction:
The oil market has recently witnessed a remarkable recovery, leading many traders to adopt a bullish stance. However, exercising caution and carefully evaluating the current situation is crucial before making any hasty investment decisions. While Russia and Saudi Arabia have committed to significant production cuts, various factors could potentially impact the oil market's stability. This article aims to shed light on the potential risks and rewards of keeping oil in your portfolio, urging traders to approach this situation cautiously.
1. The OPEC+ Production Cuts
2. Geopolitical Uncertainties
3. Global Economic Recovery
4. Transition to Renewable Energy
Call-to-Action:
Considering the potential risks and rewards, traders must approach the oil market cautiously. While Russia and Saudi Arabia's commitment to production cuts provide some stability, the market remains vulnerable to various factors. Therefore, it is recommended to maintain a diversified portfolio that includes oil investments but also incorporates other sectors that may benefit from the global economic recovery and renewable energy transition.
By staying well-informed, monitoring geopolitical developments, and assessing the pace of economic recovery, traders can make informed decisions about their oil investments. Remember, a cautious approach will help mitigate potential risks and maximize opportunities in this ever-changing market.
In conclusion, traders must exercise caution when considering oil investments. While production cuts and other positive factors provide stability, the market remains susceptible to geopolitical uncertainties, global economic recovery, and the long-term shift toward renewable energy. By maintaining a balanced and diversified portfolio, traders can navigate these challenges and position themselves strategically for potential gains.
Keep oil in your portfolio, but do so cautiously, keeping a watchful eye on market dynamics, emerging trends, and geopolitical developments.
Crude oil: today's trend
Crude oil may sell a lot at the moment, so the 84 line is directly empty, because crude oil has reached the top, and it is currently closing the shadow line. If the k-line can be so strong, then he must have a bad fall. It is an extremely dangerous trend, the k-line will definitely return to the moving average, empty, 84 is directly empty.
Operating strategy: crude oil 84 empty, stop loss 85, target 78
USOIL:Trading strategy
Today, the oil has been adjusting. It tested the low twice, but it did not reach the low. The short-term support point of the oil is 83.2.
At present, the oil is still in the rising channel, and you can trade around the range.
Usoil Today's trade building:
Usoil:buy83-83.5 TP:84-85
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Crude Oil Analysis TodayCrude oil tested high yesterday and fell back. First, the inertia rushed above 85.3 and was under pressure. The European and American markets oscillated and backtested and corrected. Finally, the daily line harvested the Xiaoyin K line. After the daily yang line turned to the small yin K line for correction, the current space is enough to form the top, which is only regarded as a partial callback correction. The upward trend is slowing down, and after the correction, it will regain its momentum to rise again, but it will become volatile in the short term, changing from a strong rise to a slow rise in shock. Today's weekly line ends. Pay attention to the rhythm of the short-term, it should be to step back first, then start to stabilize and slowly recover the lost ground. The 4-hour chart is in a partial correction in the rising wave, and the indicators in the attached picture are in the overbought area to be digested.
At present, the whole is running above the upward trend line, and today's short-term may step back to confirm the support of the upward trend line. The European and American markets started to rebound again. The support points are mainly concentrated at 82-81.5. There is still a certain distance at present, and of course strong corrections may not reach it. At present, it is necessary to wait for the magnitude of the correction. The main idea is to maintain the low and many positions after the backtest, but the long position should be rearranged according to the intraday pattern. After all, there has been a partial correction in the small cycle. Coupled with the closing of the week, the short-term may enter a volatile ending. In terms of operation, it is subject to the market, and the tentative thinking is to wait for the step back and then go long.
Crude oil operation strategy: SELL84.1-84.5 short, stop loss 60pips, target below 83.
Crude oil operation strategy: step back to more than 81.6-82, stop loss 60pips, target above 83.5.
The current crude oil spread is large, stop loss friends and the entry position can be set to 60pips
US Oil SPOT | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIn July, we witnessed a remarkable surge, with oil prices soaring over 14%, marking the most substantial monthly percentage increase since January last year. A perfect blend of tighter supply and surging demand triumphed over concerns about potential interest rate hikes and lingering inflation, igniting economic growth prospects.
Adding to the excitement for bulls, OPEC leader Saudi Arabia made a game-changing announcement on Thursday. They have decided to extend their voluntary oil output cut of one million barrels per day (bpd) for an additional month, spanning into September. And that's not all! Russia chimed in, harmonizing with the Saudi move, announcing a hefty reduction of 300,000 barrels per day from its exports. The bulls are certainly in for a merrier ride!
The US oil market is embracing this momentum with open arms, hinting at a potential ride up to $86 before facing any noteworthy resistance. But the big question looms—can we seize this golden opportunity and capitalize on this bullish move in the exciting week ahead?
US Oil Technical Analysis:
In this video, we delve deep into the 4-hour timeframe, dissecting key supply and demand zones to uncover invaluable insights into the potential trajectory of price action for USOILSPOT in the week ahead.
Join us as we delve into a comprehensive technical analysis of the US oil market, exploring trends, key levels, and chart patterns that hold the key to unlocking profitable opportunities. Don't miss out on this golden opportunity to elevate your understanding of the future path of USOILSPOT. Stay ahead of the curve and gain a distinct competitive edge by immersing yourself in this price-action-based technical analysis.
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Is the Oil Trend Cooling Off? IEA Report LoomsIntroduction:
As the global energy landscape evolves, the oil market has long been a focal point for traders seeking lucrative investment opportunities. However, recent developments and the impending release of the International Energy Agency's (IEA) report have raised concerns about the future of oil investments. This article explores the potential cooling off of the oil trend and advocates a cautious approach to oil investing.
1. The Changing Dynamics of Energy
2. The Impending IEA Report
3. Volatility and Uncertainty
4. Diversification and Alternative Investments
Considering the current uncertainties surrounding the oil market and the imminent release of the IEA report, we urge traders to pause and re-evaluate their oil investments. It is essential to carefully assess the potential risks and align investment strategies with the changing dynamics of the energy sector. Exploring alternative investment opportunities that align with sustainability and renewable energy can offer long-term growth potential while reducing exposure to oil market volatility.
Conclusion:
The oil trend may be cooling off as the world transitions towards cleaner energy sources. With the IEA report looming, caution is advised when it comes to oil investments. By diversifying portfolios and exploring alternative energy sectors, traders can position themselves to adapt to the evolving energy landscape and potentially capitalize on emerging investment opportunities. Now is the time to re-evaluate investment strategies and embrace a cautious approach toward oil investing.
USOIL:10/8 crude oil analysis,uptrend unchangedAt the beginning of the Asian market on August 10 (Thursday), U.S. crude oil was around $84.4 per barrel; U.S. oil hit a new high in nearly four months on Wednesday, and Brent crude oil hit the highest level since January. Production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia outweighed concerns about slowing demand in Asia. U.S. crude oil inventories climbed last week, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell as oil exports fell sharply, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday. Crude inventories jumped 5.9 million barrels last week to 445.6 million barrels, with inventories at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub rising by 159,000 barrels in the week ended Aug. 4. Yesterday, the technical aspects of oil prices relied on the 82.9 mark as a whole and continued the trend of extremely strong bulls pulling up and breaking through the high. Breaking through the 84.8 first line quickly fell back to the 83 integer mark and then rebounded to a strong close above 84. The daily K-line reported a shock and broke the high school sun. Around -82.8, the intraday retracement relies on this position to continue to be bullish and then bullish. The upper target level continues to focus on breaking through the high. The recent bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 82.5 mark. Stepping back is an opportunity to do more.
Crude oil operation strategy: rebound to 85.6-85.9 empty, stop loss 60pips, target below 84.1.
Crude oil operation strategy: Step back to more than 83.2-83.5, stop loss 60pips, target above 85.5.
There is a large difference in the quotations of crude oil contracts, SL friends and the entry position can be set to 60pips
Oil trend analysis
International oil prices held firm on August 9, as supply cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia led to tight supply, overshadowing negative trade and inflation data from China, the world's largest crude importer. Saudi Arabia, the world's top exporter, last week extended its voluntary output cut of 1 million bpd until the end of September, adding that the cuts could be extended and deepened. Russia also said it would cut oil exports by 300,000 bpd in September. The upper part focuses on the first-line resistance of 85.5-86.0 in the short term, and the lower part focuses on the first-line support of 83.0-82.5 in the short term. I personally recommend that the trading strategy is mainly low and long
trading signal:
buy82.5-83 tp83.5-84
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Crude oil unilaterally rises, step back and go long today9/8Daily level, rising unilaterally; oil prices have continued to rise since the end of June, and are currently encountering strong resistance near the April high of 83.51. They have risen and held for two consecutive trading days, and closed close to the "cross star" K line on Monday, further reflecting the upper resistance Stronger, the short-term faces greater callback pressure, and even the risk of peaking. After the MACD diverges from the high level, there is a dead cross trend. The KDJ dead cross signal continues. The initial support below is around the 10-day moving average 81.14, and then the support near the 80 integer mark , The strong support is near the 21-day moving average of 78.5988, and the support at the low point last week is also near this position. If this support is lost, it will increase the bearish signal in the market outlook. The initial resistance above is around the intraday high of 82.47. If it can break through this position, it will weaken the short-term bearish signal; if it can break through the resistance around 83.51 strongly, you need to beware of the short-term rapid pull up of the market after the short-term is stopped. For resistance, refer to the position near the low of 84.70 on November 10. On the whole, the short-term operation of crude oil today is recommended to step back on the low and buy, and rebound and short for caution.
Crude oil operation strategy:
Rebound to 83.2-83.5 short, stop loss 83.9, near TP81.8.
Step back to 81-81.3 to do more, stop loss 80.5, near TP82.5.
Ride the Oil Wave - Take Advantage of the Growing Supply Risks!As you may already know, the global oil market is experiencing a significant shift. Supply risks are rising, creating a perfect storm for traders like us to make substantial gains. With OPEC+ production cuts, geopolitical tensions, and the gradual recovery of global demand, the stage is set for oil prices to surge even higher.
Now is the time to act, and I strongly encourage you to consider going long on oil. By taking a bullish position, we can potentially reap the benefits of this upward momentum and secure substantial profits. The excitement is palpable, and the potential returns are too enticing to ignore!
Here's why we believe now is the perfect time to enter the oil market:
1. Supply Risks: Numerous factors, such as geopolitical tensions, production cuts, and supply disruptions, rapidly tighten the oil market. These risks put upward pressure on prices, creating an ideal environment for traders to go long and ride the wave of increasing demand.
2. OPEC+ Production Cuts: The recent decision by OPEC+ to maintain production cuts has further tightened the market's supply side. This strategic move indicates their commitment to stabilizing prices, making it an opportune time for us to take advantage of this bullish trend.
3. Gradual Demand Recovery: As economies worldwide continue to recover from the impacts of the pandemic, oil demand is steadily gaining momentum. The reopening of businesses, resumption of travel, and increased industrial activities are all contributing factors that will further drive up prices.
So, how can you seize this opportunity and maximize your gains?
I recommend considering a long position on oil futures or exploring other oil-related investment options. By leveraging this bullish sentiment and carefully analyzing market trends, we can position ourselves for potentially significant profits.
Remember, timing is crucial, and the current market conditions are ripe for us to make a move. Conduct thorough research, consult your trusted advisors, and devise a strategy aligning with your risk appetite and investment goals.
Don't let this exciting opportunity pass you by. Get in on the action and ride the oil wave to financial success!
If you have any questions or need further guidance, please comment. Let's embark on this thrilling journey together and maximize this remarkable opportunity.
USOIL:Trading strategy
Oil failed to continue the previous long trend on Monday, and the market fell into a stage of consolidation.
Yesterday was consistent with the trend I expected, but the rebound was not strong. Today, it has fallen below yesterday's 81.6 support, so it is now in the adjustment stage. The current support is 80.8. If it falls below 80.8 today and tomorrow, then it can be judged that the long-term upward trend has officially entered the adjustment stage.
Usoil Today's trade building:
Usoil:buy80.8-81.3 TP:81.8-82.3
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crude oil analysis
Oil prices were lower on Monday after six straight weeks of gains, with WTI closing at $82.45. Pumping through a section of the Druzhba pipeline in central Poland was suspended after a leak on Saturday, though a pipeline carrying oil to Europe is expected to resume on Tuesday, alleviating concerns about tight supplies. So I analyze that oil prices will rise slightly today.
Trading Signals:
usoil:buy 81.6-81.9 tp 82.4-82.7
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USOIL:Trading strategy
The oil as a whole is still a wide range of oscillations.
Last week's rise was also caused by the measures taken by Saudi Arabia and Russia on the supply side to maintain tight supply in September and possibly even longer, and OPEC+ ministers met during the day to assess the state of the oil market or provide positive information, so in the short term, this situation of tight supply and demand growth will lead to crude oil prices. There will be no room for a big decline. Figure out the most basic factors that affect the price trend of crude oil in order to better grasp the price trend.
So this week, we are trading according to market conditions.
Usoil Today's trade building:
Usoil:buy81.6-82.1 TP:82.6-83.3
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Crude oil: high correction consolidation, short-term continued b
Crude oil prices retreated slightly. On the one hand, the suspended Druzhba oil pipeline in central Poland is expected to ease supply constraints; However, OPEC+'s production cuts continue to support the rise in crude oil prices. At the same time, the overall sentiment in the crude oil market is bullish, and there is potential for further rises after a slight retracement and stabilization of prices.
The overall upward trend is volatile. It is normal for the market to have a callback during the rising market. In the short-term, it is expected that there will be a wave of callback first, but the callback will not be too strong. Wait for the price to stabilize after the callback can be placed. The 4-hour belt closed and went flat, and the price formed a sideways oscillating trend at a high level, and the retracement was also held above the support of the middle rail. In the short term, continue to pay attention to the support of this position, which is the 81.3-81.5 area. If you hold this position, the price will be The possibility of breaking out of new highs again.
Operation strategy: call back the 80.9-81.1 area to do more, and target 82.9-83.5 to be empty
Daily line level, unilateral rise; moving average long line, MACDaily line level, unilateral rise; moving average long line, MACD golden cross, KDJ high passivation, before falling below the 5-day moving average 81.76, there is still a chance for oil prices to rise further, focus on the resistance near the April high of 83.51, if it can top If this resistance is broken, it is expected to open up new upside space. For further resistance, refer to the position near the high point of 84.70 on November 10, and the resistance at the high point of November 16 is around 87.48. However, the resistance near 83.51 is strong, and the MACD has initially sent a top divergence signal. It is necessary to beware of the risk of oil price shocks and the possibility of shock adjustments. The lower 5-day moving average is supported around 81.76, and then the 10-day moving average is supported near 80.92, 80 The integer mark is also where the psychological support is. If this support is lost, it will increase the possibility of short-term peaking; last week’s low point support is around 78.68. For strong support, refer to the 21-day moving average around 78.19. If this support is lost, it will increase the bearish signal in the market outlook .
Crude oil operation strategy:
Rebound to 83.2-83.5 short, TP82.5, TP81.8
Step back to 81.4-81.7 to do more, TP82.4, TP83.2
0708 USOIL correction after a new high (fibo ext 1.27)Hello traders,
USOIL pulled down a little and made a new high on last Friday NFP day.
It hit fibo ext 1.27 position of last leg, and very possible to make a correction after that.
FIBO 382-618 is my target zone for the corrective selling plan.
GOOD LUCK ON THIS PLAN.
LESS IS MORE!
Crude oil analysis next week
The daily line has regained most of the losses, and the market is still in a bullish trend and is currently in a strong state. Whether there will be large fluctuations in the adjustment here. Crude oil pressure 83.3, support 81.5.
Crude oil operation is recommended to buy at 81.5 first-line, with a target of 82.2~82.7. If it breaks above, continue to look at 83.5.
usoil:buy81-81.5
tp82.2-82.7
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Crude Oil: Crude Oil Trading Strategies
Through the analysis of the weekly chart of crude oil, we know that the last one continued to rise, and it has reached a certain degree of suppression near the previous high point, and the pressure of the important moving average above (83.30). It can be clearly seen from the figure that the funds that reached the bottom area in the early stage are still running in a strong area, and the support of the important moving average below is relatively strong. It has not been broken for several times in a row, and there are funds intervening at the bottom for many times, which has led to a continuous rebound in the past 6 weeks. The short-term bottom The support of 82.0 and 81.30 is relatively strong. In the short term, we will continue to operate at high altitudes and low multiples, focusing on doing long on dips. The specific suggestions are as follows:
Crude oil 81.30 and 82.0 are long respectively,
Crude oil 83.50 and 85.90 are shorted respectively
Continue to update later, everyone can keep up
Oil Holds Gains as Attacks Threaten Russia's Black Sea Exports!The world of oil trading is buzzing with opportunities, and I couldn't wait to share this with you. Brace yourselves because it's time to dive into the captivating world of long-term oil trading!
As many of you may have heard, recent attacks have significantly threatened Russia's Black Sea exports. While this news may sound alarming to some, we traders know every obstacle presents an opportunity. And this opportunity is nothing short of extraordinary!
Oil prices have been soaring, and the market is holding onto these gains, fueled by the uncertainty surrounding Russia's exports. Now, you might be wondering why this is such a big deal. Well, my friends, this is where long-term oil trading comes into play.
Long-term oil trading allows you to capitalize on the current situation and secure your position for the future. By taking advantage of the volatility in the market, you can make strategic investments that will pay off in the long run. It's time to think big and act boldly!
Imagine the thrill of making calculated moves, utilizing your expertise and market insights to predict future trends. With every trade, you can make substantial gains while riding the wave of uncertainty caused by geopolitical events. This is the moment to show your prowess and seize the opportunity!
So, what are you waiting for? It's time to take action and embark on an exhilarating journey into long-term oil trading. Don't let this opportunity slip through your fingers. Join us in this thrilling adventure, and let's make the most of the current market conditions together!
Get started today by analyzing the market trends, studying the geopolitical landscape, and identifying potential opportunities. Remember, knowledge is power, and the more you educate yourself, the better equipped you'll be to make informed decisions.
The time is now, my fellow traders! Let's harness the power of uncertainty and turn it into our advantage. Together, we can ride the wave of volatility and achieve remarkable success in long-term oil trading.