Usoilanalysis
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USO/USD is falling towards the support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 75.03
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 73.03
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 77.44
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USO/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 77.46
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 78.83
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 74.98
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support hat lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Us Oi moveUS oil is bullish untill not break the trendline, It's is taking support of trendline on daily timeframe, if it breaks the Trend line then another trendline will be support. Here are the levels as per price action.
Note: I am not SEBI REGISTERED analist, this is my personal view only for education purpose.
USOIL Trade LogUSOIL Short Trade Setup 🚨
- Instrument: West Texas Oil (USOIL)
- Timeframe: 1-Hour
- Risk: Between 1% and 2%
- Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 minimum
Key Technical Analysis:
1. Price has formed a clear reversal structure accompanied by a rejection off the monthly Kijun level .
2. A 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) provides a potential entry point with a confluence of the Kijun 1H level.
3. The setup is in alignment with a broader bearish sentiment due to macroeconomic influences.
Fundamental Confluence:
- Recent announcements signal a ceasefire in the Middle East , reducing geopolitical oil supply risks.
- Trump's statement regarding plans to increase oil drilling has heightened expectations of increased supply, potentially pressuring prices downward.
Trade Plan:
- Entry: Within the 1H FVG zone upon bearish confirmation.
- Stop Loss: Above the 1H FVG's upper boundary.
- Take Profit: At least twice the stop-loss distance for a 1:2 RRR.
Risk Management:
Ensure strict adherence to the 1%-2% risk allocation. Always consider market volatility before executing trades.
This setup offers a balanced technical and fundamental perspective. Keep in mind, the market can always surprise you. Stay disciplined!
USOIL - Expect retracement !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. After price filled the imbalance we can see price to start the retracement, I expect continuation till level 74.00 where we have huge imbalance.
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Could the price drop from here?USO/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 79.13
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 80.50
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 77.49
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long waited Bulls finally arrive to the Oil MarketsWith inflationary Pressures as high as ever and the expansion of conflicts worldwide but mainly In or around Oil-producing Countries , added to that the growing fears of a US-Chinese Conflict in and about the Island State of Taiwan. all these prospects and Events are driving factors for a surge in oil prices, Yet as devoted technical analysts we believe that world events are just the reasoning behind whatever the charts want to go. So a bullish analysis was the one that the oil had, the Buying zones of the low 60s worked as resting recliner chair for the oil for the good of a year but nothing stays the same for long, as buyers and sellers were Eying the magnificent Gold moves the oil started what can be a stratospheric launch leading to a whole different economic balance for the next Decade.
Important zones are 87 and 95 with targets as high as mid 120s
TVC:USOIL
$USOIL USOIL WT CRUDE OIL Descending TriangleTVC:USOIL USOIL WT CRUDE OIL price action has formed a Descending Triangle on the Weekly timeframe.
Current Price: 70.3
In previous years, #USOIL reached a high of 149 and retraced to a low of 66.4 (A retracement of over 50%)
A breakout of Descending triangle can lead to higher prices: 73.9, 84.4, 94.3
A break below 66.4 can lead to prices down to 42.7!
It remains to be seen...
USOIL TRADE SETUP ALERT!USOIL TRADE SETUP ALERT!
Market Sell Liquidity Sweep Complete!
Now, we're waiting for:
WEEKLY FVG (Fair Value Gap) RETEST
Strategy:
SELL ENTRY: If market retests above FVG, we'll take a sell entry till FVG.
BULLISH TRADE: If market approaches the bullish FVG, we'll take a long trade.
Get ready to trade!
Oil Market Heats Up: Prices Rise for Third Consecutive Week◉ Key Factors Driving Oil Prices:
1. Increased Winter Fuel Demand: As temperatures drop in the Northern Hemisphere, demand for heating fuels like diesel and gasoline is rising, supporting oil prices.
2. Supply Constraints: OPEC+ has been maintaining production cuts, limiting global oil supply and contributing to higher prices.
◉ Market Updates:
● Over the past three weeks, Brent crude BLACKBULL:BRENT has surged over 6%, and WTI OANDA:WTICOUSD has jumped more than 7%.
◉ Technical Observations:
● The oil price has broken through its long-term trendline resistance, positioning itself for further gains.
◉ Future Outlook:
● JPMorgan predicts a 1.6 million barrels per day increase in global oil demand in Q1 2025, driven by heating oil and LPG demands.
● Geopolitical factors, including new U.S. sanctions on Russia, may impact supply dynamics.
2025.01.07 USOIL is correcting down to support zoneHello traders:
Last Friday's Alert:
On the daily chart, oil closed bearish on Monday, forming a reversal and retracement signal for the daily trend.
Therefore, using support structure levels, the short-term retracement targets are:
TP1: 71.80
TP2: 70.50
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
USOIL - bottom out here ? what's next??#USOIL.. after a perfect holdings and pull back now market just above his current immediate supporting area that is around 69.90 to 70.20
keep close that region because if market hold it in that case we can expect a further push to higher side.
dont short until market hold it ...
good luck
trade wisely
USOIL:Latest trading opportunities.
USOIL: The current position is around 71.2. According to the quotation of tradingbiew.
From a macro analysis, as a strategic reserve, the rise of oil is inevitable. From the perspective of long-term trading, buying is feasible. Short-term observation. "Whether OPEC+ will cut production" is an important factor in the upward trend of oil prices. From the perspective of short-term trends, buying is still feasible. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the price around 73.5. Because there is a major support below. If you can accept a price fluctuation of 20 points, then there is room for profit in buying. Stop loss and take profit are ±2 respectively. The current price is 71.2. Remember to take profit in time after making a profit.
TVC:USOIL FX:USOIL
1220 USOIL could not break top zone and turn down sideways againHello traders,
This Thursday, Bitcoin's price experienced significant fluctuations, dropping from $102,000 to $97,000, a decline of $5,000 overnight. If we consider the high point from last weekend, the "tulip bloom," to the current "withered" state, it has fallen a total of $11,000 within a week.
As a reminder, the second half of December is the period of tightest liquidity in the U.S. Everything is sellable!
Therefore, when Federal Reserve Chairman Powell clearly stated, "We are not allowed to own Bitcoin," it can at least be confirmed that the rumors of the Fed holding Bitcoin have been dispelled, and the U.S. government's plans to accumulate Bitcoin are nearly impossible. This means that Bitcoin's price has finally returned to "normal," reflecting the trend of tightening liquidity.
On Thursday, there are several important data points to pay attention to:
1. U.S. Dollar Index: 108.3
2. 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.57%
3. 30-Year Treasury Yield: 4.74%
These figures indicate that inflation expectations are rising. In particular, the 30-year Treasury yield is just about 10 basis points away from this year's high of 4.81%, and less than 40 basis points from the 2017 peak of 5.11%. Over the past two weeks, the 30-year Treasury yield has risen by 40 basis points.
What is the current market consensus? The small red circle suggests shorting U.S. Treasuries and going long on the dollar.
Today is Friday, a special day, as it marks the largest and most important options expiration date (OPEX) of 2024. Given the maximum OPEX, the impending government shutdown, and the tightening liquidity, the market may experience significant volatility!!!!!! Major attention is needed during this time, particularly during U.S. market hours (9:00 PM Beijing time to early Saturday morning).
Wednesday's internal tips:
On the 4-hour chart, crude oil has retraced below the EMA and the first resistance level, which diverges from the daily chart (where the candlestick is above the EMA) and the weekly chart (which has broken through the bottom resistance line), creating a selection issue for the market.
**Idea One:** You can choose to enter new long positions after the 4-hour chart returns above the EMA.
**Idea Two:** You can also consider a larger risk-reward ratio, entering the market opportunistically while the 4-hour chart is below the EMA, but the daily and weekly charts remain bullish.
For existing long positions that have not hit the stop loss, it is recommended to hold on, based on the second idea mentioned above.
TP1: 71.5
TP2: 72.0
TP3: 72.70
On Wednesday, during U.S. market hours, crude oil faced resistance at the first resistance level;
On Thursday, during U.S. market hours, crude oil was blocked by the 4-hour EMA.
At this point, the long crude oil trades hit their stop loss, and positions were closed, requiring a reevaluation of the trading strategy.
Since Wednesday, under the pressure of the Fed's hawkish interest rate cuts, the demand outlook for crude oil has become increasingly bleak. Moreover, the market's further slowdown in easing expectations poses severe challenges for oil prices. Currently, the market generally believes that there will be a significant oversupply of global oil next year.
In this market expectation, a rise in oil prices has become almost impossible. Market sentiment is low, and investors are generally cautious about the oil market. In the coming months, oil prices are likely to remain under pressure, making it difficult to regain their former glory.
From a technical perspective, on the 4-hour chart, crude oil continues to struggle within a sideways range.
On Friday, plan to establish new short positions. On the 1-hour chart, during European and American market hours, look for an opportunity to enter short positions on crude oil based on a 1-hour reversal signal.
TP1: 67.50
TP2: 66.60
Mid-term short position take-profit level: 63.50.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!