USOIL Analysis: WTI Crude OilThe potential default of the US debt ceiling has created significant uncertainty in global financial markets, impacting various assets, including commodities such as USOIL (WTI Crude Oil). In this analysis, we will explore the potential implications of a US debt ceiling default on USOIL and present a trading strategy based on current market conditions.
Analysis:
1. US Debt Ceiling Default Impact: A US debt ceiling default can have profound effects on financial markets worldwide. Heightened uncertainty often prompts investors to seek refuge in safe-haven assets, including commodities like crude oil. Consequently, USOIL could experience increased demand and a potential surge in price.
2. Buy Zone: Given the potential impact of a US debt ceiling default, the suggested buy zone for USOIL lies between $66.83 and $58.54. These levels represent entry points where traders may consider opening long positions, anticipating a bullish price movement.
3. Stop Loss: To manage risk effectively, it is crucial to establish a stop loss level. In this analysis, a suggested stop loss is set at $54.31. Traders should consider placing their stop loss orders below this level to mitigate potential losses in case of adverse price movements.
4. First Target: The first target for USOIL, considering the potential rise resulting from a US debt ceiling default, is set at $124.49. This level indicates a significant upside potential and serves as an initial profit-taking area.
5. Second Target: In the event of a sustained bullish trend, USOIL could potentially reach new all-time highs. The second target is set at $190.41, reflecting the possibility of an extended price surge beyond previous records.
Considering the potential impact of a US debt ceiling default on USOIL, there is a compelling case for a bullish price movement. The suggested buy zone of $66.83 to $58.54 offers traders an opportunity to enter long positions, while the $54.31 stop loss helps manage risk. The first target of $124.49 provides a profitable exit point, and the potential for USOIL to reach new all-time highs, with a second target of $190.41, adds an exciting long-term perspective.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on the assumption of a US debt ceiling default and should be considered as speculative. Traders and investors should conduct their research, evaluate market conditions, and exercise caution when making financial decisions.
Usoilanalysis
Today's crude oil trading advice
On the one hand, optimistic economic data eased the demand concerns caused by the recession, and on the other hand, inventory pressure continued, leading to the current crude oil entering a contradictory stage. Yesterday's crude oil volatility can be said to be the smallest in the near future, and the market is also paying attention to the new round of guidance.
usoil:sell@73-73.3 tp:72.2-71.6
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USOILSPOT | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailBy the end of the previous week, the Oil prices appear to have stabilized in a trading range between 74.00 and 67.00 per barrel. Sluggish data coming in from the Chinese economic docket (the world's number one importer of crude oil) is not helping matters at all; with a 1.4% decline in imports and an 8.5% drop in export growth. The economy seems to be struggling and there are insinuations that demand for oil might also slip in the world’s largest importer of the commodity thereby prompting traders to slow down. In this video, we used the current technical setup identified on the 4H timeframe to identify potential trading opportunities ahead of the new week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Crude oil recommendation
Crude oil was oscillating in a narrow range the day before yesterday to prepare for the next long start. If the pullback is in place, then it is an opportunity.
Crude oil is bullish for the following reasons:
The daily crude oil line closed out of the Zhongyang Line, and is currently waiting to test the last rebound high of 73.88.
The second rebound of Wave B and c is already on the way to the upside. At present, the adjustment of the secondary level has ended, and the new upward band has been activated.
The intraday pressure is 73.20~73.80, and the support is 72.05~71.60.
USOIL:buy@72.05 tp:73.20
Today's crude oil trading advice
Recently, the market's expectations for future fuel demand have declined due to the heightened risk of the U.S. economic recession, and API and EIA inventories have rebounded by varying degrees, which further supports this expectation. However, the AIE International Energy Agency strongly supports crude oil demand, coupled with the expectation of a new round of production cuts by OPCE+, crude oil has begun to reverse repeatedly after falling. After falling as high as 70 in the last trading day, it stabilized and effectively rose, and accelerated after the EIA data, it once hit the first line of 73.2, and the short-term range has repeatedly remained unchanged, and the operation is still not too much to chase
Today's crude oil trading advice
usoil:sell@72.5-73 tp:72-71.5
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Short-term bearish crude oil
Crude oil first fell to 70 yesterday, and then rose sharply. It fell and rebounded twice in 4 hours. It is fully in line with the short-term shorting analysis we gave yesterday. Combined with the daily trend, crude oil may rebound, which is very suitable for our short-term shorting. I suggest shorting near 73-73.5, pay attention to the timing of trading departure.
Crude oil trading strategy today:
USOIL:sell@73-73.5 tp72-71.7
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. I need signals to join me as soon as possible!
Today's crude oil trading advice
Crude oil is still oscillating in the range of 69.8-72.2.As long as it remains above 71.2, the upward cycle can be determined.
Today's crude oil trading advice
usoil:buy@70-70.5 tp71.7-72.7
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Crude oil won a big victory today
I am really happy that the trading signals shared with you today can make you a good profit. Next, I will always provide you with more accurate trading information. Join me and I will make everyone gain something every day.
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. I need signals to join me as soon as possible!
Crude oil rose today
Yesterday, there was a bullish signal at the 4-hour level of crude oil, and a small band of profit came out near 70.10.
Through the analysis of the 4-hour chart, I learned that the current crude oil is fluctuating at 71-72, and I will look for opportunities in key positions.
Specific strategies
USOIL:buy@70.7 tp:71.7
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. I need signals to join me as soon as possible!
Analysis of today's crude oil market trend
After digesting the expectations of the decline in energy demand due to the US recession, the market is now turning to OPCE+ again to continue to reduce production. Crude oil also continued to decline again. After the last trading day, it went out of a small pullback. The current low point has gradually moved up to the 70 mark. Operationally, it is better not to chase orders too much. Just pay attention to the opportunities for high selling and low absorption in some ranges. At the same time, pay attention to the time cycle trend of crude oil, and the white market fluctuated and fell, especially after the European market to the US market, and then the US market began to rebound after the market!
Today's crude oil trading advice
usoil:sell@72.2-72.4 tp:71-70
usoil:buy@69.8 tp:71
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USOIL - New Bearish Move📉Hello Traders👋🏻
The USOIL Price Reached a Resistance Level (74.35-73.73) ✔
The Price Failed To Create New Higher High📈
Currently, USOIL Formed a Head and Shoulders Pattern ✔
The Neckline is Broken 🔥
If Price Stays Under The Key Zone, USOIL Can Continue The Bearish Move 📉
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TARGET 1: 69.80🎯
TARGET 2: 66.90🎯
___________
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USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailDriven by worries about demand linked to recession risks and the strain in the US banking sector, the oil prices experienced a dramatic decline in the previous week (6.5% drop). However, Oil prices received a boost after Friday’s robust US jobs report which eased concerns over the prospect of a downturn in the economy as strong jobs growth is often a plus for oil, whose consumption depends on peoples’ mobility and economic vibrancy. The US economic docket will be closely watched in the coming week as the US Department of Labor Statistics is set to release April inflation data on Wednesday with economists expecting the core consumer price index, which excludes volatile food and fuel prices, to increase by 5.5% on a year-over-year basis, after a 5.6% increase a month earlier. A weaker-than-expected reading could increase the expectations for a rate cut which in turn may cause a price correction upward in the coming weeks for the oil commodity but a beyond-expectation data would support the case for interest rate hikes in the future. In this video, we dissected the market structure from a technical standpoint to sniff out trading opportunities ahead of the new week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USOIL Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
US OIL can go upBased on Daily Timeframe, last thursday US Oil test its lower level & from this level, we see a bullish pin bar candle.
Now we see US Oil is at it's major resistance level & also last day candle close in green with a good length from downside.
so we can expect that if US Oil show strength from these level than it can go 82$ level.
so keep a eye on it.
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailThe previous month witnessed a 4% drop in oil prices despite the OPEC+ member's decision to cut a further 1.7 million barrels from its daily output, adding to an earlier pledge from November to take off 2.0 million barrels per day. The implementation of this pledged cut is supposed to begin next month - May 2023 and this could result in some interesting market influx as the month starts in the coming week. In this video, I shared with you my thought process from a technical standpoint as we plan to take a decisive position ahead of the market opening.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailThe much-expected bullish pressure following the OPEC+ decision to cut oil production appears to be losing steam as bears are defying OPEC+ again. The majority of market participants are of the opinion that the selling pressure witnessed in the previous week is a result of persistent US rate hikes and recession fears but if we take a look at this bearish move from a technical standpoint, it could be a retracement phase which most of the time is a consequence of profit-taking activities. This video illustrated the technical side of the current market structure and highlighted a key level at the 78.00 level which will be serving as our yardstick for trading activities in the coming week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Has crude oil stopped its decline?Can we buy crude oil?Because of market concerns about the recession, the demand for crude oil has been hit to a large extent. Then the acceptable price of crude oil in the cycle of slow economic development is in the 70-65 area. People familiar with the crude oil market must know that crude oil basically fluctuated in the 70-82 area in the early stage. Judging from this, crude oil still has room to continue to fall.
Judging from the current crude oil trend structure, crude oil has fallen sharply and broken below the flag-shaped consolidation structure, and the bearish trend is obvious. Although the current downward trend has paused, there is no signal to stop the decline completely, and the rebound here is extremely weak, so the pause here may be to build a downward relay structure.
In addition, in the ultra-short-term structure, crude oil has repeatedly tested the support near 74 without breaking below, so in the case of a short-term plunge in crude oil, there is a need for technical upward repair.And there is 50% support for Fibonacci below the short-term, so crude oil may also use this to launch a small-level rebound.Therefore, pay special attention to the defensive situation near 74 in the short term.
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