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Usoilanalysis

USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailFollowing approximately 2,000 pips in profit last week (see link below for reference purposes); we took a fresh new look at the chart as US Oil prices hit their lowest point since December 2021. I think the slump in oil prices this time, had little to do with supply-demand but more with the crisis of confidence at banks that provide the liquidity for trading this commodity and the potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve have also led to fears that the US economy could end up in a recession. In this video, we took a technical dissection of the current market structure and identified a simple structure that we shall be using to guide trading activities in the coming week(s). 01:00 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results 04:20 USOil Technical analysis on Daily chart 06:39 USOil Technical analysis on Weekly chart 09:00 USOil Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe against next week 10:30 Conclusion on next week's expectation for the USOil Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FX:USOILSPOT
by darcsherry
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailWell, the past three to four months have shown that the only reason crude prices aren’t breaking out of the channel ($83/$70) is because of the inflation hangover in the U.S and the Fed’s hawkish outlook emphasizes how far and high it is ready to increase rates. This was further reiterated by Fed Chair Jerome Powell during his testimony before Congress as the central bank is more than prepared to hike rates beyond the previously indicated margin if that’s what will bring inflation down. This video illustrates in detail the technical parameters and what to look out for in the coming week. 00:50 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results 05:50 USOil Technical analysis on Daily chart 08:30 USOil Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe against next week 08:44 Conclusion on next week's expectation for the USOil Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FX:USOILSPOT
by darcsherry
1
USOIL: Bottom fishing, with potential return to $80 per barrel US crude oil has fallen for three consecutive days, pushing oil prices below $70 per barrel. As the market continues to revise down expectations for economic growth, and rising crude oil supplies offset the boost from China's reopening and the instability caused by the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) collapse and Credit Suisse crisis, the financial market is facing huge instability, which has led to a sharp drop in oil prices. As the development of fundamentals continues to weigh on risk sentiment, US crude oil has extended its decline, breaking through the previous support (now turned into resistance) at the important psychological level of $70. As of Wednesday's close, US crude oil has fallen more than 12% this week, pushing the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) into oversold territory. At the same time, this round of decline has pushed oil prices towards the 200-week moving average (MA) of around $66, and oil prices have temporarily found support at this level. Personally, I am bottom fishing and going long on USOIL at $66-68 per barrel. Due to the huge volatility of energy products, please control your position size. Only consider following my strategy if you have sufficient capital. Enter the market with a small position and aim for long-term profits, with a target of $80 per barrel on the upside. I have conducted in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrencies, forex, stocks, gold, and crude oil. I also update my daily operation strategies. Thank you for your attention and support. If you have any questions, please feel free to leave a message, and I will provide the most secure advice. I hope I can help you.
TVC:USOILLong
by FlashTrades_
Ready to short crude oilThere are still concerns about the banking crisis in Europe and the United States in the market. Some investors are even worried about the arrival of a new round of global economic crisis. Moreover, the market is still worried about the oversupply of crude oil, and the future of oil prices is still biased towards bears. It was mentioned in the article shared yesterday that once crude oil is established to be effective in breaking below the 70 mark, it is likely to fall further below the low of 66.15 on December 20, 2021 and the low of 62.46 on December 2, 2021. Near the position.At present, since crude oil fell below the low of 72.3 in the shock range, it has fallen sharply again. The lowest has reached near 65.6, and there is only room for 3 US dollars from the low of 62.46 on December 2, 2021. Now the short market is very strong, even in a small cycle, after a short pause or rebound in the falling market, it will choose to fall again, and the bulls have no resistance.Therefore, the current thinking about crude oil is still based on emptiness. In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
TVC:USOILShort
by Short-term-king
Continue to go long on crude oil. Due to positive data, the oil price continues to rise. Our long position took profit at 76.3. Currently, it seems that there is still momentum for oil to continue its upward trend, with the MACD indicator showing a second bullish crossover on the 2-hour chart. Resistance is near 78.5, so I believe we can continue to enter long positions with a trading strategy of entering around 76.3-75.8 and setting a profit target in the 78-79 range. If the oil price can break through the 79 level, the next target is around 80.8. TVC:USOIL MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
TVC:USOILLong
by Ice_and_Fire1
USOIL:$78 next week is crucial On Tuesday this week, the testimony of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve before Congress raised concerns about risk assets in the market. In this testimony, Powell stated that "if it is necessary, the Federal Reserve is prepared to speed up the pace of interest rate hikes, and terminal interest rates may be higher than expected." These words indicate that the Federal Reserve not only did not cool down the rising expectations for interest rate hikes over the past month, but also further pushed up the expectations for interest rate hikes. Powell's speech caused shock in the market, as the market saw from Powell's speech a determination to lower the inflation rate at the cost of suppressing demand and employment. On that day, the US dollar index soared, risk appetite deteriorated, and US stocks fell sharply, accompanied by a sharp drop of 4% in oil prices from above $80 per barrel. However, there was a reversal in oil prices on Friday. After testing the support at $74.5, the market quickly rebounded above $76 and successfully stabilized. Our long position in crude oil at $75 also reached the first take-profit level smoothly. However, there is still a certain distance from the recent high of $80, and the upper resistance level to watch is in the 76-78 area. This dense resistance area may limit the upward space. But if it breaks through $78, there will be an opportunity to challenge the $80 level again. Let's keep an eye on it, and I will update the trading strategy in a timely manner. I have in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrencies, foreign exchange, stocks, gold, and crude oil, and I also update daily trading strategies. Thank you for your attention and likes. If you have any questions, please leave a message, and I will provide the most secure advice to help you.
FX:USOILLong
by FlashTrades_
1
Buy on dips below $75 for USOIL As the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates and unwind its balance sheet, concerns over other US banks were raised following the "Silicon Valley Bank Incident", causing all three major US stock markets to fall. The S&P 500 Bank Index plummeted 6% last night, marking the largest single-day drop in two years. JPMorgan's stock price also fell 6%, resulting in a market capitalization loss of approximately $20 billion. Bank of America fell 6.1%, while Wells Fargo and Citigroup fell over 6% and 4% respectively. The four major US banks suffered a combined loss of $47 billion. Silicon Valley Bank announced an $1.8 billion loss from the sale of part of its investment portfolio, and sought to raise $2.25 billion by selling common and preferred shares. The bank's "self-rescue measures" worried investors, causing the stock price to plummet by 60%. In short, the market believes that Silicon Valley Bank is facing a liquidity crisis. Without a doubt, the market's risk aversion sentiment has spread to the crude oil market. After reaching $80, USOIL saw a sharp decline to below $75. Currently, there is a demand for a rebound in the market, and it is suggested to buy on dips below $75. Short-term technical rebounds and corrective trends for crude oil are expected, with a target focus on $77-80. I will continue to monitor the market and provide the latest strategies.
FX:USOILLong
by FlashTrades_
1
Going long on crude oil. The crude oil is currently trading around 74.8, with some support visible on the 4-hour chart. In the short term, there is upward momentum observed on the 1-hour chart. As a trading strategy, one can go long near 74.8 and target 76.3, with the possibility of further upside if the resistance at 76.3 is breached. If unable to break through, a short position can be considered at 76.3. I will keep you updated in due course. Short-term trading strategy: Go long near 74.8 with a target of 76.3. MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
TVC:USOILLong
by Ice_and_Fire1
3
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailFollowing the reversal of Covid-19 policy — the Chinese manufacturing sector posted its biggest improvement in more than a decade last month, service/activity is climbing and the housing market is stabilizing. Economists speculate that the reopening may see Chinese oil consumption hit a record high this year and It was indeed a positive week for the oil commodity with data showing demand figures hitting a record 101.9 million barrels per day this year. In this video, we highlighted from a technical standpoint trading opportunities for the incoming week. 00:50 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results 04:25 USOil Technical analysis on Daily chart 07:40 USOil Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe against next week 08:44 Conclusion on next week's expectation for the USOil Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by darcsherry
Going short on crude oil at 77.8. At the start of the Asian market on Thursday, crude oil is currently trading around $76.5 per barrel. On Wednesday, crude oil continued to fall as concerns about more aggressive interest rate hikes weighed on economic growth and oil demand, outweighing the larger-than-expected reduction in US inventories. Although yesterday's decrease in crude oil inventories did not cause significant fluctuations in the price and quickly recovered, it shows that the overall trend of crude oil is weak. My trading strategy remains short, with a focus on selling high. My trading strategy is to short crude oil at $77.8, with a stop loss at $78.6 and a target of around $75. Investors can choose their own profit-taking points according to their trading style. The above is only a short-term trading perspective. I will notify you promptly if there are suitable opportunities. Liking, commenting, and subscribing are the best encouragement for me. Follow me to make trading simpler! You are also welcome to read my other ideas below. MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
TVC:USOILShort
by Ice_and_Fire1
1
USOIL: Long position after a downward adjustment to $77 Despite the unexpected drop in API crude oil inventory providing support to oil prices, the hawkish speech by the overnight Federal Reserve Chairman has continued to help the US dollar index soar, which has raised concerns about economic recession and continued to put pressure on oil prices. Although there is a chance for the oil price to rebound and adjust after the overnight plunge. Looking at the daily chart of USOIL, the upward trend has not been broken, and the support below has continued to rise. Although there is no effective breakthrough above $80, the adjustment range of this downward trend is sufficient, and it is a good opportunity to enter the long position again. Personal trading strategy: Buy long position near $77-77.5, with the first target at $78.5 and the second target at $80, and pay close attention to the EIA data to be released tonight. I have in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrencies, foreign exchange, stocks, gold, and crude oil, and I will also update some daily trading strategies. Thank you for your attention and likes. If you have any questions, please feel free to leave a message, and I will provide the most secure advice, hoping to help you.
TVC:USOILLong
by FlashTrades_
1