Why has USOIL skyrocketed?
Yellow leaves give up the trunk in anticipation of the verdant spring; candles sacrifice their perfect bodies to have a lifetime of brightness; and the mind lets go of the mundane clamor to embrace tranquility. Only by letting go can one free their hands and seize true happiness and joy that belong to them. Learning to let go is essential to living a fulfilling life.
Now, let's analyze the reasons for the USOIL rise on Friday:
Middle East conflict: Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have conflicts over multiple issues. The most significant disagreement is related to Yemen. The UAE is seeking to build a military base and runway on an island at the southern end of the Red Sea in the Mandeb Strait. However, Saudi Arabia has refused. Sources also indicate that the UAE has been urging OPEC+ to allow for increased oil production, but Saudi Arabia has remained steadfast in its refusal. In the end, the UAE publicly and privately indicated that it would adhere to the current OPEC+ agreement for at least this year. Therefore, this led to a significant rebound in crude oil prices after the initial sharp drop. However, it is important to continue monitoring the situation to see if the development of events will persist, which represents the primary risk.
Sudden incidents: At least 12 people died in a pipeline explosion in Nigeria. On March 3, the Rivers State Police Department issued a statement saying that a segment of an oil pipeline in a village in the Imoha area of the state caught fire and exploded in the early morning. At the time of the accident, local residents were stealing oil from the pipeline, and it is believed that the burnt-out cars found at the scene belong to the oil thieves. The police are investigating the cause of the accident. This is a bullish factor for crude oil since Nigeria produces 1.44 million barrels per day, and the already repaired production may once again be affected.
Data release: In the week ending March 3, the total number of oil drilling rigs in the United States was 592, compared to an expected 602 and a previous value of 600. This data is bullish for USOIL.
From a technical perspective, USOIL was oscillating within the 76-78 range, but due to the impact of sudden events and data, the trend broke through upwards, and the trend turned bullish. It is worth emphasizing that USOIL belongs to the energy and strategic resources sector, and many events can lead to dramatic price fluctuations. Therefore, it is important to pay attention not only to technical analysis but also to the impact of news. In the short term, we will focus on whether 80.60 can form an effective breakthrough. If the resistance above is strong, the trend will fall back to around 78.60, and then we can lay out a long position in line with the trend.
In the short term, the USOIL market is not stable, and cautious investors should observe mainly and wait for the impact of news to dissipate before laying out a more secure technical strategy. I will provide specific operation suggestions timely, and feel free to leave me a message if you have any questions. Thank you for your attention and support.
Usoilforecast
USOIL possible buy zone!Instrument : USOIL
Possible direction : Bullish
Technical Analysis : After back to back 4 months of strong rejection from the support level, USOIL bulls has taken control of the market with strong impulse on the daily, price has broken out of the weekly resistance zone and it is highly likely USOIL will continue to rise with a strong momentum and may reach to 84.80 level where is the resistance level.
Possible trade recommendation : Bullish as per sketch.
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USOIL top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailThe US oil still found a way to finish in neutral territories as bulls jumped in to buy into a market that scraped three-week lows just two days earlier at the $74.00 zone. The hopes of increased demand are still a possibility in this market as the Chinese government (the world's largest importer of crude oil) has lifted all COVID restriction policies hereby opening their economy for renewed transactions. From a technical standpoint, the appearance of buying pressure above the $76.00 level this week will be seen as an endorsement of bullish expectation, and failure to sustain a break above the $76.00 level has a high chance of inciting a sell-off, prompting a drop to new lows.
00:20 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
03:35 USOil Technical analysis on Daily chart
06:25 USOil Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe against next week
08:35 Conclusion on next week's expectation for the USOil
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
WTI crude bearish, $73 and $70
Could Russia cut production more than expected? Oil prices rose against market trends under supply-side pressure, with a 10-year US Treasury bond yield approaching 4% and the US dollar breaking through 105. Could the Federal Reserve raise interest rates to 6.5%? The WTI crude oil market is facing a critical decision!
On the daily chart, WTI crude oil has remained under pressure since failing to break above the $80 level, with a continuous decline and a limited range between $73.0 and $83.0. There is a possibility of further downside testing the support level below the key $70 mark.
In the short term, WTI crude oil has not yet completely shaken off its bearish trend. If the price falls below $73.0, there is a risk of further testing the previous low of $70.0.
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MCX:CRUDEOIL1! NYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:MCL1! MATBAROFEX:WTI1!
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailDespite starting the week on a bullish note, fresh new anxieties over inflation and rate hikes rippled across the market and this development resulted in participants dumping their long positions on the US Oil. With continued selling pressure below the key level at $80.00 level, buying opportunity might likely be on hold in the coming week until there are clear signs that support positive feedback from Chinese import data following the lifting of its COVID restrictions. In this video, we looked at the market structure from a technical standpoint and indications suggest continued selling pressure as long as the price remains below the $80 level.
00:50 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
05:25 USOil Technical analysis on Daily chart
10:20 USOil Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe against next week
11:35 Conclusion on next week's expectation for the USOil
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailLast week's trading session saw Oil prices jump as Russia respond to the G7’s price caps by announcing production cuts by 500,000 bpd (accounting for 5% of its output in March) and its own minimum price structure. We were opportune to be part of the bullish momentum (see link below for reference purposes) which later capped at the key level at the $80.00 mark at end of the week. In this video, we looked at the current market structure from a technical standpoint where the $80 zone will be our center of focus at the beginning of the new week.
00:30 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
02:52 USOil Technical analysis on Daily chart
07:04 USOil Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe against next week
08:00 Conclusion on next week's expectation for the USOil
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USOIL - Long from bullish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective of USOIL .
Here we are bullish from H4 timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs. I look price to make a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block for a long position.
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USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailOPEC+ panel endorsed the oil producer group's current output policy at a meeting on Wednesday - 2nd February 2023, leaving production cuts as agreed last year in place amid hopes of higher Chinese demand and uncertain prospects for Russian supply. Despite fundamental expectations, the US Oil prices tumbled 8.5% during the course of last week's trading session to signal a fresh dent in oil market sentiment for the month of February. This video illustrates a technical perspective on the current market structure for trading opportunities in the coming week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USOIL - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL .
Here we are in a bearish market structure from H4 timeframe perspective, so I am looking only for shorts. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailAmidst reports that oil loadings from Russia's Baltic ports were set to rise by 50% this month; the price of oil continues to drop as the $82.50 level remains a strong ceiling for selling pressure - a feat which has lasted for 3 months now. Also, OPEC+ is expected to meet on Feb. 1 to decide its monthly production targets and this is one event major players in the market will be looking forward to making a well-informed decision on trading possibilities. From a technical standpoint, we have decided to utilize the $80 key level as a yardstick for trading activities in the coming week and this is detailed in this video.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USOIL - Short from bearish orderblock ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL .
After the change of character, here I am looking for shorts. If price continues the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and rejects from bearish orderblock I will consider to open a short position.
‼️Attention!!! Due to the fact that we have a lot of news events upcoming week, the analysis can be invalidated.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailThis is a follow-up video to my previous analysis on the US Oil commodity as we close the previous week on a profitable note with over 300pips in profit (see link below for reference purposes). China being the world's number one importer of crude oil - the start of the Chinese New Year holiday will be closely watched to see if travel activities will be as robust as expected. As trading activities continue around the $80 zone and the long-term bearish trend line identified on the daily timeframe, from a technical standpoint, there is a high chance that price action might continue to find higher highs in the coming week(s). So the $80 - $82 zone shall be serving as a yardstick for a trading activity for this week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USOIL top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Perspective on UsoilHello everyone
A warm welcome to this channel which is called Stoic Markets, Stoic markets provides technical perspective on numerous trading pairs whilst adopting the stoic philosophy. We adopt the stoic philosophy and in-cooperate it into the financial markets for two reasons. The first reason is that the markets are beyond our control so we must refrain from for any attachments to the outcomes which can happen. We refer to outcomes as indifference's, for example we can lose or win, we don't chose which outcome we can obtain but leave it to the fate beyond our control. Obviously we prefer to win rather than lose such as we prefer health to illness, we call this preferred indifferences.
Story;
The archer can do everything within his control to hit the target, from strenuous training to the selection of adequate weaponry but despite this, there are still variables once the arrow leaves the bow. The shooting of the bow is in the archer’s control but the arrow colliding with the intended target is never guaranteed. This is analogy is perfect for trading, you can learn every pattern, every formation, technical outlook, trick and tip but regardless of this, the moment you fill that order you have to accept that you can miss the target.
We hope that gives you a good insight into how we operate, with that being said let us focus on usoil.
Firstly the USA, announced not long ago that they would begin stock pilling oil at $70, we can see that oil recently dipped to that level and bounced back up. this is dangerous for high oil prices as the USA has set a floor for the price of oil. It's possible we will come and touch this support level again but it should hold if that's where the USA are buying (Of course they can afford drawdown) but with China's demand increasing and UAE cutting output, it suggest that our only direction is up.
Let's gaze up on this chart, the foot (support) and the peak (resistance) have been placed, these are historical points of price action from the monthly timeframe throughout oil's existence on trading view and they are very relevant to the price action we see now, the lines are daily supply/demand zones and the shaded area is an area where liquidation can be found. Usoil is in a ranging market and currently falling from an immature trendline, depending on social economics it looks possible that Usoil could fall. Seen as the USA are buying at a support region of $70, I would not disregard this from happening but it's more plausible to consider a new higher lower could be created in the shaded area as it's in-keeping with an uptrend and the trendline.
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