Usoilforecast
USOIL ! Is this the end of the oil down ? long trade idea.Oil prices have fallen in last few weeks, but the bullish trend continues for a long term. If USOIL get shows a support at the level of 74.20 and bullish forming, I open long trade.
Why oil is still bullish ?
1. World oil production rose 790 kb/d in August to 101.3 mb/d, with a strong recovery in Libya and smaller gains from Saudi Arabia and the UAE offset by losses in Nigeria, Kazakhstan and Russia. From August through December, growth is forecast to slow, edging up by just 280 kb/d to 101.6 mb/d. In 2022, global production is forecast to rise by 4.8 mb/d, to 100.1 mb/d, and by 1.7 mb/d in 2023 to 101.8 mb/d.
2. Geo-political events
The geopolitics of oil and gas can be viewed as resulting from the balance between supply and demand, which affects the power dynamics between energy exporters and importers, energy security, and the military strength of major powers
USOIL is in possible sell zone!!USOIL 4h Has broken down after creating a head & shoulder on the lower timeframe. Upon new opening, the price has formed a new bearish structure and again has broken down after a liquidity grab as soon as the market opens. Currently, price retesting the previous support as resistance on the local structure and rejecting that can give us another opportunity to sell WTI after our first successful trade as soon as the market opens.
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USOil | New perspective for the weekOn a weekly basis, we have witnessed how the price of oil fell for a fourth straight week to incite a risk of a further decline in price action in the coming week. However, I won't be jumping to conclusions considering the current structure as we need to look out for significant signals that will guide our actions during the new week.
withRisk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
⁉️ USOIL - Market AnalysisHello traders!
⁉️This is my analysis on USOIL .
Here we are in a bearish market structure with clear lower lows and lower highs. I expect price to reject to take out buy side liqudity and to fill the imbalances above. After that, to continue bearish price action.
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WTI CRUDE OIL US OIL DROP MORE ?Hey traders! In the US OIL Market structure we see after drop of oil prices on 14 sep from 90$ per barrell price is now holding its support area which is 84$.
What we see in market structure?
Price breakout its market structure in 2h timeframe and show the selling pressure at 86$ which is very stong support for usoil now price again come to this level now as a resistance and respect this level/ also bearish flag formation also indicate that we see selling continuation in the price of us crude oil on monday market opening. Price is near its support and test multiple time and it show the weakness of support we see on monday and coming week/ this week also fed rates are coming so banks and institution smart money also looking for fresh data coming from US/
TECHNICALLY US OIL is showing selling pressure after the breakout of bear flag we go for the short position sell in wti us oil for the target of next pivot point support 82.40 level and next the low of 08 sep 81.36 level which is strong support we see in oil price. Our stop loss is in the monday high or the previous 2h candle high or above the 2h previous candle.
USOIL adam bottom demand zone 82.40 for long8th September daily key reversal bar, made a new low closed in the middle. 9th September daily insurance bar indication for strength ahead. high probability for long opportunity from demand zone as 82.40-20 with half risk, may use remaining half% risk from 81.30, stop loss 80.50, target: 88.50
USOIL - LOOKING FOR THE LONGUSOIL is looking like an expanding market about to complete 1-2-3-4-5 pattern - see purple.
A possible reversal area is the 1.272 ext (82.52) of the last swing higher - see green
This area is also a support area going back to January.
We draw another extension from the last small move higher - see black - and judge the price action as it moves through these extensions.
The 382 of the larger move higher is just below at 80.00
Somewhere in there can be ourrevrsal for a move back up to 100 mark.
Timne to follow....
USOIL is in sell area!!USOIL (4H) is currently approaching to test the neckline of 4H head & shoulder. It is high probability that the price will have a rejection as we already have seen strong rejection from this important area of value with long bearish engulfer.
As the long-term trend is down, it is a high probability that the price will continue to drop as daily has a strong bearish price action as well
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USOIL where to sell?USOIL has formed a strong bearish price action on a daily and higher timeframe. In the 4H timeframe, we see a significant expected retracement to the upside. Price is now currently approaching this important level of resistance. Upon rejection and price action confirmation, a selling opportunity may arise.
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USOIL - 240 MINS TIMEFRAME USOIL
The Structure looks good to us, waiting for the this to correct and then give us these as shown on this instrument (chart).
Note: its my view only and its for educational purpose only. only who has got knowledge in this strategy will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. we anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive moves).
Just ride the bullish or bearish impulsive move.
buy low and sell high concept. buy at cheaper price and sell at expensive price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....
USOil | New perspective for the weekI am of the opinion that natural gas shortages this winter might be driving gas prices higher in the last quarter of this year. The current structure reveals that price action is back to retest the bullish trendline identified on the weekly time - an area which shares a confluence with the $85 key level. In this video, I have explained what my expectations for the new week are.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USOIL MARKET BREAKDOWNUSOIL MARKET BREAKDOWN
Last week was the stuff of dreams with USOIL pulling through for insane pips, GOLD pulling through for insane pips and GBPUSD giving us a modest bag!
As stated last week were are simply following the USOIL down trend and it's working out nicely so far. USOIL dropped down to our bottom zone before pulling back, we did try to long this but after confirmation we couldn't get that little bit more of a dip which we needed. I have marked out the important zones for this week and it's important to note that $94.50 has been tested so many times on this timeframe and multiple others so I don't see another retest within this next leg down.
Look at the very left of the chart on the white line. We can see this area actually acted as a decent support region but since we broke from it price hasn't really reacted much with this level so I would expect this to be the next zone we see resistance.
As always USOIL can drop from the current zone and it rejected hard from $91.80 which makes me slightly sceptical of a push higher but my behind the curtains strategy is point towards $92.70-$93.30 as the true rejection region (I ALWAYS STICK TO WHAT MY STRATERGY TELLS ME).
I'm sitting, watching and waiting for my time to strike.
⁉️ USOIL - Market AnalysisHello traders!
⁉️This is my analysis on USOIL .
Here we are in a bearish market structure, so I am looking only for shorts. I expect bearish price action from here as price rejected from psychological level 92.00 + FIBO OTE level (0.705). My target is sell side liquidity.
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USOIL MARKET BREAKDOWNUSOIL MARKET BREAKDOWN
USOIL had it's bullish pullback last week which took full advantage of and we now have a nice little trade running.
Someone left a comment on my last post asking if it was possible to drop straight down instead of pulling back, this was a great and valid question. This person was correcting in mentioning that and my simple answer is plan for both scenarios and stick to the most profitable option. If the trade isn't profitable, low risk and doesn't meet every demand of your strategy and analysis then DO NOT TRADE IT.
The zones marked on the chart are the only zones I'll be interested in trading. USOIL is bearish so we now favour the short for overall trades and only look to longs for a quick scalp. We mentioned a while ago that USOIL was climbing too hard and too fast which was a major driver of inflation. We said the price of USOIL would have to come down to let the markets breathe before the next leg up. Unless Russia kick off big time then USOIL should be making it's way to $76 which is where I would look to load up on swing longs.
Now lets focus on this week:
Are broken and major support region has now been retested and closed below which is a good sign for our trade. I will not rule out one more retest or at a minimum a spike to $93.60 before we see the drop off. I look to carry this short all the way down to the bottom blue zone this week with around 900 pips profit as our target.
Anything above $94.50 I will class as manipulation and I wouldn't short again until we were below UNLESS a good set up gave reason to short before.
Members have been guided through this and are now sat in 280 pips profit!
USOIL possible sell zone!!USOIL ( 4H ) Currently in a downtrend we have last week price has just rejected this long-term resistance and has created a double top on the 4H. As the trend line is respected, we could see another drop in this instrument to the downside to the monthly support zone
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