Things to note when trading crude oil this week! Day analysiTraders this week must contend with both declining liquidity and potential tensions caused by Yemen's Houthi rebels. If the shipping crisis in the Red Sea region persists, it will not only provide some support for WTI crude oil prices this week, but also create opportunities for speculative buying.
Traders will need to be cautious about risk management this week due to the Christmas holiday. WTI crude oil bears may believe that there will be a high technical reversal, and they will also pay attention to Middle East shipping news.
Last week, the market fluctuated upward, and closed the positive line with a long upper and lower shadow line, indicating that the market was more volatile. However, the market is still running below the 20-day moving average, and the overall trend is still bearish. During the day, focus on the first-line pressure of $74 at the top and the first-line support of $72.0 at the bottom. At present, the technical indicators have completely turned bearish, and it is recommended to mainly go short on the rebound!
Usoilforecast
USOIL: 22/12O European market suggestionAngola said it would withdraw from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), raising questions about the producer group's efforts to support prices by limiting global supply. In the 4-hour chart, after falling below the middle track and back-testing the lower track, it holds the sub-low and rebounds above the lower track to regain the middle track. The 4-hour chart is a rapid downward rebound, seeking support and correction, and then continuing upward. In the short term, use 73.8 as a defensive support point, and then adjust your thinking if it breaks below.
But as long as the low point of the step is not broken, the trend remains unchanged. On the whole, it is suggested that the short-term operation of crude oil should focus on the first-line resistance of 76.0 at the top and the first-line support of 73.8 at the bottom.
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Oil operation suggestions for next weekAngola may increase oil production after it withdraws from OPEC. However, good news about the U.S. economy and attacks on ships in the Red Sea caused hundreds of ships to change routes and increase delivery costs, causing oil prices to fall before the Christmas holiday weekend. Although oil prices rose about 3% this week, crude oil prices still posted their largest weekly gain in two months.
Technically we see crude oil futures support at 72.5 and resistance at 75.3. This week, the 30-minute long and short trend has repeatedly appeared. Crude oil continued to fall before the close on Friday, and the short energy distribution continued to build up at $74 to suppress the market.
From a daily perspective, crude oil fell in late trading on Friday, and profit-taking before holidays is a very normal operation. Judging from the current technical indicators, it has completely turned short. It is recommended to focus on rebounding and shorting!
The specific direction will be decided after the market opens on Tuesday.
USOIL: The rise is blocked and will fall in the short termInternational oil prices rose. Originally affected by the increase in U.S. crude oil inventories, oil prices first rose and then fell. However, the risk of interruption of the Red Sea transportation channel still provided support for oil prices, helping to keep oil prices above the 21-day moving average.
Yesterday, the market rose first and then fell as expected, reaching the upper line of 75.40 and falling back. Despite this, oil prices finally closed higher. Government data showed that U.S. inventories increased significantly and production reached record levels, exacerbating continued concerns about oversupply. The U.S. market yesterday evening The second upward attack pierced 75.3, and then it fell back and fluctuated downward to break the bottom and close. The daily line closed higher and fell back. The overall price showed a stagflation pattern above the 75 mark. Today, we can go short first and then look at the shock and fall.
USOIL: It broke through 75 today and is expected to return to 80Crude oil (USOIL): Crude oil also showed the same picture as my analysis yesterday, falling first and then rising.
Today's opening is at 74, with an amplitude of $3 in the morning. It's not promising, and the amplitude is smaller than gold! The daily chart has risen for five consecutive days. Visually, the downward trend has ended, and a new round of bullish trend is coming. Today it will continue to attack above 75. If it is suppressed, there will be a small downward correction in the past two days. If it directly breaks through 75 , crude oil will continue to move towards the 80 mark! ! Today we will focus on the two positions 73.5/73 below! !
USOIL: 19/12 Today’s AdviceYesterday, the conflict in the Red Sea region of the US market escalated, and a cruise ship incident occurred, so gold and crude oil rose sharply. However, the biggest impact of this incident was on energy, and the impact on gold was limited, So, crude oil breaks through the technical suppression of the 4H mid-track and continues the upward trend.
On the weekly line, the market first fell and then rose last week and closed with a long lower shadow line and a positive line, indicating that there is some support below, and the market is more likely to rebound this week. However, the market is still below the 20-day moving average, and the overall market will still be under pressure. There is pressure at $74.61 at the top, and support at $72 at the bottom.
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📈🛢️US Oil Daily prediction 🛢️📉TVC:USOIL
TVC:DXY
Hello Traders.
Let's continue our analysis of USOIL.
Before we predict next week, let's take a look at oil chart's trend along with the DXY index.
The price continues to move in a downward trend. Due to the support area, we can expect a rise in oil price to the previous high level. (If weekly DXY doesn't consolidate above 103.285)
If the price of oil rejects at the level of $77.65, it is likely that the second scenario will occur for the price and vice versa.
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USOIL: Crude Oil Market Analysis and AdviceLooking at the four-hour trend, crude oil is still running in a downstairs structure, with the upper resistance at the 72.8-73.4 area. Only a further breakthrough can change the overall trend. However, because crude oil has a large V-shaped reversal at low levels, bulls still take the initiative in the short-term trend; the short-term watershed between long and short is $71.3, and crude oil will continue to weaken after it breaks below again.
Personal suggestion: go long on the pullback; the dividing line between long and short: $71.3/barrel
USOIL: 14/12 market analysis, plans to sellCrude oil (USOIL): Yesterday, crude oil broke through the 68 area, reaching the lowest position of 67.7. Today opened at 69.8, and the amplitude of five or six dollars in the morning was not too big. It broke below yesterday, but it did not stay too much. In the evening, the decline was gradually recovered, and the daily K closed a green line. There was only one explanation given, short correction, just like the previous two days. Only after correction can the short acceleration be ushered in more smoothly! Crude oil trading signal sent later
USOil WTI Technical Analysis And Trade Idea USOil WTI has shown a robust bearish trend of late, reaching into a noteworthy support level on both daily and weekly charts. The accompanying video offers an extensive breakdown of this trend, meticulously dissecting price actions and pinpointing potential trading prospects by conducting a comprehensive analysis across various timeframes, spanning from weekly down to as brief as 15 minutes. Expect a thorough exploration encompassing price fluctuations, market trends, trend assessments, and critical technical analysis elements. It's imperative to highlight that the insights shared here are solely for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial guidance.
Usoil:Has it reached the bottom?
Before, I have notified that oil can be bought gradually starting at 69.4
Oil reached a minimum of 68.8 yesterday. If you follow my strategy to buy gradually, you have made a lot of profits now. There is currently a lot of resistance near 70.8-71.
Judging from the chart, oil has temporarily moved out of the downward trend, but it needs to be observed whether it can break through the upper resistance.
So, if you follow my advice, you can leave the market at a profit now, because the trend shift is not determined once, we need to observe it multiple times.
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USOIL TECHNICAL ANALYSISAs far as we technical traders like to complicate things, I am always looking for simple reasons to validate what I 'M seeing on the chart. USOIL_CRUDE is now on a downtrend since September making a series of lower lows and lower highs.For me to change my bias on USOIL I want to see the market trading above 78$ which is my level for oil to really validate my thesis for me to start looking for long opportunties if not then I will continue looking for short postions.
Crude oil trading strategy on December 7
Yesterday, the market rose first and then fell in the evening. It once reached the 69.10 line below and is still rebounding slightly. Now there is a desperate counterattack signal at the 69.10 line. It is expected that a rebound is about to happen. It depends on the strength of the short-term rebound. The short-term general direction remains unchanged. In the short term, we will continue to short on rallies. Specific suggestions are as follows:
Crude oil 72.60 and 74.60 are short respectively, with stop loss of 70 points and take profit of 300 points;
Crude oil is long at 69.20 and 66.30 respectively, with a stop loss of 70 points and a profit stop of 500 points.
Usoil:Gradually buy
From a technical point of view, the oil is already oversold
You can try to buy oil gradually at 69.4 now and control your position, so that your success rate will be greatly increased.
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USOIL: Crude oil analysis today, continues to fallCrude oil (USOIL/XTIUSD): Yesterday, crude oil entered the market as planned and harvested profits, reaching a perfect position of 72.2, with a profit of 140pips. Today it opened at 72.1, rising by 5 US dollars in the morning and then falling back, similar to the trend of the previous two days. The bulls resisted tenaciously in the morning. Although there is strong support at the low level to resist the decline, the downward trend remains unchanged. The focus is on the 72.9/73.4 position at the top today. With the strength of the shorts, we are firmly bearish on the acceleration of the bottom break!
Signals will be sent in real time
Usoil:forecast
Oil was supported near 72, has now risen, has broken through the downward trend, and is now in shock
If the oil does not fall below the important support of 72 this week, we can be sure that the oil may have reached a phased bottom.
So this week we need to pay important attention to the support strength of 72. If it falls below, the oil will look for the bottom again, and it may reach the important support of the monthly line near 68, so this week is very critical.
I judge that if it does not fall below 72 this week, oil will sprint to 79.7 again. If it falls below this important support, observe the monthly support of 68-70.
Pay attention to OPEC news, Saudi Arabia and Russia do not want oil prices to fall, if the oil reaches the monthly support point, you can choose to buy
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Usoil:Waiting to choose the direction
OPEC has not taken a real approach to enforce compliance with selective production cuts, and the production cuts are expected to continue until the first quarter of 2024.Since OPEC's meager production cuts of one million barrels per day are unlikely to offset the impact of the decline in global crude oil demand, it is expected that there may be an oversupply of oil in the coming months.
Judging from the chart, oil is still in a downward trend, but the support below 72 is very strong, so we need to observe the support of 72-72.2 and wait for the oil to choose the direction.
So you can try to buy and strictly observe the support point to make a stop loss, because it is a downtrend, you can also wait for the rebound to the resistance point to sell, so that your success rate is greatly increased
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USOIL: 5/12 Today’s Trading StrategyCrude oil (USOIL): Crude oil opened at 73.3 today. It was volatile in the morning and the market was running slowly. Yesterday’s crude oil was long and short in shock, and the range also had an amplitude of 20 US dollars. However, the overall trend was still suppressed by the pressure from above and could not break through. The bulls were not to be outdone. , which has resulted in the current volatile situation, but the general trend is still there, so we can just continue to take advantage of the trend and go short! ! The daily K-continuous negative trend went very smoothly, and new pressure formed yesterday above, so today we will focus on the pressure of 73.6-73.7! !
USOIL SELL:73.6~73.7
SL:74.3
TP1:73
TP2:72.6
TP3:72.2
Since the quotes from brokers are different, please refer to Tradingvew’s quotes.
Usoil:The impact of the OPEC+ meeting
Severe storms in the Black Sea region interrupted Kazakhstan and Russia's oil exports of up to 2 million barrels per day.The Ministry of Energy of Kazakhstan said that the average daily oil production of Kazakhstan's largest oilfield will be reduced by 56%.This has led to the possibility of short-term supply constraints and pushed up crude oil prices.Secondly, a report from the U.S. Energy Information Administration showed that U.S. crude oil and distillate stocks unexpectedly increased last week, indicating weak demand.Although gasoline inventories increased more than expected, these effects were offset by the large consumption of other refined products such as fuel oil.This has also played a certain supporting role in the rise in crude oil prices.
Investors' attention to the results of the upcoming OPEC+ meeting has also pushed up crude oil prices to a certain extent.The OPEC+ Group of Oil Producing Countries will decide on the level of oil production in 2024 at the meeting.So we must pay attention to the final result of the OPEC+ meeting
I also said yesterday that oil is still above the trend line and maintains an upward trend, reaching a maximum of 78.75 today.
So you can still buy at the support point today, or it will be more secure to wait for the meeting before trading.
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WTI Crude oil top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USOIL: Oil prices rose sharply due to a storm in the Black Sea Oil prices soared as storms in the Black Sea region disrupted oil exports from Kazakhstan and Russia, raising concerns about tight supply as investors awaited a major OPEC+ decision.
Severe storms in the Black Sea region have disrupted oil exports of up to 2 million barrels a day from Kazakhstan and Russia, state and port authorities said. The Ministry of Energy announced that Kazakhstan's largest oil field will see a 56% decline in total daily oil production by November 27.
Hiroyuki Kikukawa, president of NS Trading, a division of Nissan Securities, said:
“Investors are locking up short positions ahead of the OPEC+ meeting amid concerns about supply disruptions from Kazakhstan.”
“Attention is focused on OPEC+ policy and demand outlook for the second half of this year, and unless OPEC+ makes significant production adjustments, WTI is expected to remain around $76 in the short term and fluctuate above and below $5. .”
OPEC+ is scheduled to hold an online ministerial meeting on Thursday to discuss production targets for 2024, after postponing its Nov. 26 meeting. Four OPEC+ officials said negotiations would be difficult and there was a possibility of an extension of the previous agreement rather than deeper production cuts. A weak dollar and a decline in US crude oil inventories also supported crude oil prices. The dollar fell near a three-month low as market expectations grew that the Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates early next year. Meanwhile, U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 817,000 barrels last week, market sources said, citing data from the American Petroleum Institute. On average, eight analysts polled by Reuters expected oil inventories to fall by about 900,000 barrels in the week ending Nov. 24. The US government's weekly oil inventory statistics will be released this evening.
Usoil:Will it continue to break through?
Yesterday I said that oil has broken through the downward trend, and now it is blocked from falling in the middle of the trend line.
If it continues to fall, we need to observe the support strength of 76-76.3
So you can buy gradually in this range, because the OPEC meeting is still uncertain, if it falls below the range, you need to strictly set the stop loss
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