USOIL / TRADING IN SENSITIVE AREA / 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Context:
• The price is currently trading within a supply zone defined by the levels of 72.30 and 71.47. This suggests that there is significant selling pressure in this range.
Scenario Analysis:
• First Scenario (Bullish): If the price breaks above the supply zone (specifically, if a 4-hour candle opens above this range), it is expected to rise towards a higher supply zone between 75.37 and 76.16. This indicates a bullish outlook if the resistance level is overcome.
• Second Scenario (Bearish): If the price breaks below the supply zone, it suggests a decline towards a demand line around 69.66, with potential further drops to levels at 68.12 and 66.78. This indicates a bearish outlook if the support level is broken.
General Market Condition:
• The overall sentiment is described as being under “upward pressure,” suggesting that, despite the current resistance, there is a prevailing bullish trend or sentiment in the market.
Usoilidea
Oil Prices in Stagnation: A Moment to Await the ReboundSince the recent sharp decline, the movement of oil prices has been notably flat compared to gold, leaving many of us feeling quite exasperated. Is it really true that oil prices won’t rebound after such a drop? Are you, like me, growing increasingly impatient?
I believe we should exercise a bit more patience; today, oil prices should be able to rise above $72. I always remember the saying: “The longer the sideways movement, the greater the potential up or down movement.”
This means that the duration of a sideways consolidation will determine the magnitude of the subsequent rise or fall.
Let’s continue to be patient and anticipate the moment of oil price rebound.
USOIL: BUY
Oil prices have experienced a significant decline due to recent news, with the market oscillating within established support zones. Today's API data is bullish; however, it has not resulted in a notable price increase, nor has it breached the support levels.
As the EIA data release approaches, the likelihood of a positive impact remains high, suggesting a potential for a substantial upward movement. Our trading outlook leans towards buying, positioning for an anticipated rally in oil prices
W-Formation in USOIL Signals a Strong Bullish Opportunity
USOIL has formed a classic W-bottom pattern, with the only remaining resistance around the MA30. There is a high probability of a breakout, making this an ideal time to go long.
If you have been holding a long position and were concerned about it, congratulations—you're likely to see a favorable outcome soon. Moreover, if your available capital allows, this is a strong opportunity to add to your position and maximize potential gains.
Why Accumulation Signals a Bullish Future for USOILH ello,
Per the green dotted lines, large players seem to accumulate USOIL. The rising volume data on the bottom chart backs this claim.
The price action resolves within a falling channel. This kind of channel usually breaks upwards. The combination of the bullish channel and the accumulative sentiment signals a bullish future for USOIL.
The same approach was profitable in 2022 and formed a successful trade until July 2022. Unless USOIL breaks the green support zone downward, I expect a bullish outcome in the upcoming long position.
Regards,
Ely
Today's crude oil trading strategyCrude oil Today's ’U.S. EIA crude oil inventory for the week to September 27th' data is sharply bearish on crude oil!
In addition, OPEC stated: the three countries have confirmed their compliance with the production reduction compensation plan, and the production reduction compensation is equivalent to a slow increase, so it is difficult for the added crude oil to rise!
Therefore, crude oil is still mainly shorted!
Today's crude oil trading strategy: short the market near 70.6, 71 increase the position operation
USOil liquidity sweep expected below 60.00 level**Monthly Chart (Bearish)**
USOil August 2024 monthly candle closed bearish. Sept monthly candle is also closing lower and suggesting a move lower to at least test 61.00 to 60.00 levels.
**Weekly Chart (Bearish)**
Last week's candle closed bearish indicating a continuation of the bearish move at least to take the liquidity below 64.00 level.
**Daily Chart (Bearish)**
Crude Oil (US Oil) looks bearish after testing 72.00 level for the second time last week which created a double top on the daily chart at the test of the liquidity pool before moving lower. This week, we will be looking at a slight fullback at least to 69.00 before resuming the move lower to target the 64.00 level and then below the 62.00 level.
USOIL / TRADNING ABOVE SUPPORT LEVEL AT 67.19 - 4H USOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Price Decline of 7.16%: The analysis suggests that there has already been a price drop of 7.16%. This could be the starting point for further analysis or an event that has already occurred.
Breaking and Stabilizing Below 67.19: The level 67.19 seems to be a significant support or resistance point. If prices break below 67.19 and stabilize, it indicates a bearish trend. This might suggest that further declines are likely.
Further Decline of 9.71%: Should the price fall and stabilize below 67.19, the analysis anticipates an additional 9.71% decline.
Current Trading Above 67.19: Presently, prices are still above the 67.19 level, signaling that the market has not yet broken this key point.
Expected Increase of 10.36% : The text predicts an upward movement of 10.36%, potentially implying bullish momentum if the price continues to hold above 67.19.
Possibility of Further Increase: There’s a suggestion that the price could rise even more beyond the 10.36% increase if current trends hold.
Technical Analysis:
Current Market Condition:
The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 67.19, the bullish momentum is expected to continue.
Upward Condition:
- Target 1: If the price trades above 67.19, it's expected to rise to 71.51.
- Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 71.51, the next target is 72.16.
Downward Condition:
- If the price falls below 67.19 , it suggests a potential decline:
- Target 1: A decline to 65.34.
- Target 2: If it breaks below 65.34, further decline is expected to 63.93.
Crude Oil vs Silveris Cheap AgainThe chart shows USOIL relative to Silver in a buy area again.
USO (Crude oil futures ETF) is favorable choice to invest in crude oil since it benefits from current backwardation in future contracts.
Target for USO : $80
Time period: 3 months.
Trade suggestion:
Buy USO at 73
Sell Covered call at 75 for Dec above $3.65-$4 per share premium.
USOIL / TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
July Decline: The significant drop of 15.34% indicates a bearish trend, which could be attributed to various factors such as market corrections, economic conditions, or changes in consumer behavior.
August Recovery: The rise of 11.74% suggests a potential recovery or rebound, possibly driven by positive news, increased demand, or market adjustments. However, this increase was followed by another decline within the same month.
Second August Decline: The 18.23% drop following the initial recovery may indicate market volatility or the market's inability to sustain upward momentum. This could also signal investor uncertainty or reactions to external factors.
September Projection: The forecasted decline of 4.66% in September suggests that the overall trend remains negative. This could imply a continuing lack of confidence in the market, or it may reflect seasonal trends affecting prices.
Technical analysis:
The level at 71.51 serves as a key resistance. If the price remains below this level, a decline towards 68.80 is expected. If this level is breached, the next support could be around 67.19.
Conversely, if the price breaks above 71.51, it may indicate bullish momentum, with targets at 73.99 and then 76.10.
UPWARD TARGET : 73.99 , 76.10 .
DOWNWARD TARGET : 68.80 , 67.19.
USOIL / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
overall trading above 67.59 , expected under upward pressure .
Currently, prices are holding above the crucial support level of 67.59. As long as they maintain this position, an upward move towards the next resistance levels of 69.98 and 71.59 is likely. The 71.59 level is particularly important, as breaking through it would serve as confirmation of a sustained uptrend, potentially driving prices higher to test the 74.24 resistance zone.
However, if prices fail to hold above the 67.59 support level, it would indicate a shift in momentum, initiating a bearish phase. In such a case, the first target on the downside would be 65.35, with further declines possibly extending to the 63.67 region. This level would serve as a critical area for buyers to step in, and if breached, could signal a deeper correction.
UPWARD TARGET : 69.98 , 71.59 , 74.24.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 65.35 , 63.67.
USOIL / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
currently prices trading above turning level at 78.74 , overall under bullish pressure.
In order for the price to reach 71.59, it first needs to establish a period of stabilization above two critical levels: 68.74 and 69.98. These levels act as key support zones, signaling strength in the market if maintained. Once stability is confirmed above 69.98, upward momentum is expected to build, pushing the price toward 71.59. If this bullish trend continues, the price may extend further, reaching the next target at 74.24.
However, if the price fails to hold above 68.74, it indicates weakening bullish momentum, and the market may shift towards a downtrend. In this scenario, breaking the turning level at 68.74 could trigger a decline toward 65.35. A more pronounced drop could push the price even lower if this support level is breached.
TURNING LEVEL : 68.74
USOIL / TRADING SENSITIVE AREA - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
In the last chart as mentioned rising and reached +100 pip profit.
Currently, prices are trading above 68.74. As long as they remain and stabilize above this level, a rise toward 69.98 is expected. To confirm an uptrend, prices need to break above 69.98, potentially reaching 71.59. On the downside,
if prices stabilize below 68.74, a decline toward 65.35 is anticipated, and if they fall further below this level, they could reach 63.67.
TURNING LEVEL : 68.74
USOIL:Long, TP 78-82
After achieving our long position target, we initiated short trades and have already secured a good profit. Orders are now being closed in batches.
From a trend perspective, there's a short-term need for a rebound, though it likely won't be strong. There's still some downside potential, mainly considering the need to fill the gap around 74.9. In the medium term, I believe the likelihood of an upward move is higher, with a target around 79- 82.
USOil WTI Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe current USOil chart exhibits clear signs of price overextension, with the asset pushing into a critical resistance zone. Given this technical setup, a retracement appears probable. My strategy involves seeking a long entry, but only if the price experiences a pullback to the key Fibonacci retracement levels, specifically targeting the 50% to 61.8% zone.
It's crucial to contextualize this analysis within the broader macroeconomic landscape. The recent Bank of Japan rate hike has injected significant volatility into global markets. We must anticipate and account for potential continuation of these heightened volatility conditions, as they could materially impact price action and risk management parameters.
This technical and fundamental confluence presents a compelling setup, but as always, proper risk management is paramount. Traders should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual risk tolerance before executing any positions.
Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to enter any specific trade.
Oil: Keep buying.
Wait until it reaches a high and then go short.
For a month, I used the correct trading signals as a reference. This is what everyone can see. There is no mistake in the operation.
I want to post my views here to save those who continue to lose money. Or those who don’t know how to trade or don’t make any profit. I just use my expertise.
If you keep losing money, leave me a message. Even if you are a novice. Follow me and you can see the changes in your balance in a very short time.
USoil: Oil prices will continue to rebound this week.Oil is about to form an oversold rebound situation, and the target this week is expected to be above 74. The current price is around 72.2. The USoil quote on tradingview is used as the basis.
Investors with large amounts of funds can buy in advance.
If your trading continues to lose money. Or the profit is not ideal. Remember to refer to my trading instructions or follow me. Prevent further losses. NYMEX:CL1! MCX:CRUDEOIL1! NYMEX:MCL1! MATBAROFEX:WTI1!
Crude oil latest analysis and signal strategies.Crude oil technical analysis
Daily resistance 82-83.4, support below 80-77
Four-hour resistance 82-82.5, support below 80
Crude oil operation suggestions: The overall price of crude oil maintains a narrow range of fluctuations. In the short term, the oil price stands above the 80 mark, and still maintains a wide range of long and short fluctuations. Pay attention to the 81.1/82.5 resistance above. Today, the support below continues to focus on the 80 integer mark. A downward breakthrough may reach around 79-78. Rely on this range to maintain high selling and low buying during the day
SELL:83.4near SL:83.8
SELL:82.5near SL:82.8
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
USOIL ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) ( 4H )USOIL
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency after the price breakout , indicates the price is under bearish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : there is a purple line around 82.84 , indicates if the price trade below this level reach a support level , but if the breaking turning level reach a resistance level
RESISTANCE LEVEL: there is a green line around 85.25 , indicates selling have already increase this level , when you reach this level buyer have more supply for oil
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line around 79.66 , indicates buying have already increase this level , when you reach this level selling have more demand for oil
PRICE MOVEMNET : the price stabilizing below turning level around 82.84, in my opinion until the price trade below turning level ,indicates selling have more demand for oil , so reach a support level at 79.66, then breaking this level reach a next target at 77.37, if the price breaking turning level , indicates buyer have more supply for oil , so reach 85.25 and 87.41
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 85.25 , 87.41
SUPPORT LEVEL : 79.66 , 77.37
USOIL: Trend Analysis and Trading StrategiesCrude oil technical analysis
Daily resistance 83.4, support below 79
Four-hour resistance 81, support below 81.3-80
Crude oil operation suggestions: Last Friday, the overall oil price fell first and then rose, breaking through the 82.7 mark, and then fell back and bottomed out, breaking through the 81 mark and closing weakly.
The overall price showed a fluctuating upward rhythm. Today, the lower support continues to focus on the low point of 81 last Friday, and the upper pressure focuses on the vicinity of 82.5-82.7. If the upper 83.4 is not broken, continue to see the oscillation operation first, and if 83.4 is broken, the bulls will start
SELL:82.0near SL:82.40
SELL:83.4near SL:83.70
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!