USOIL: Continue to Go Long Next WeekHello, friends. I'm Luke, a former champion trader in multiple regions, and I'm delighted to join TradingView to share my strategies with you every day, hoping to provide assistance.
This week, I've analyzed that crude oil is expected to continue rising to the range of $78-80 per barrel. Today, it has reached a high of $77.5 per barrel, and I remain optimistic about the future upward movement of crude oil. If it retraces to the range of $73-75 per barrel, consider going long once again!
I update my market analysis daily and also send accurate trading signals within Luke's small group to help stabilize and sustain profitability in your accounts. Don't miss out!
Usoilidea
Usoil-Fluctuate upward
Oil has been fluctuating recently, but it has been supported at 70-71 many times, which is in line with the upward trend. Therefore, if it falls back, you can choose to cooperate with the support point for short-term buying.
Usoil:buy74-74.5
TP:75-75.5-76
SL:73.65
Join me, I will analyze how to trade every day and give trading strategies
Monday: Crude oil continues to fluctuate in a rangeOil prices ended slightly higher last week after the International Energy Agency (IEA) and oil producer group OPEC jointly forecast strong growth in global oil demand and cold winter weather disrupted U.S. crude output, while the government reported a sharp weekly reduction in crude oil production.
Crude oil is expected to continue to maintain a volatile trend during the day. The technical aspect will focus on the support near 72, and the upper side will first focus on the resistance near 74.5. Sell high and buy low.
Usoil-range trading
Under the influence of the current conflict in the Red Sea, oil has made a short-term correction under the pressure of a strong US dollar. Technically, the long and short positions have alternated, and it still shows the wide range consolidation trend that has been emphasized recently. The last trading day fluctuated from around 72 and hit a maximum of 73.5. The pressure nearby fell back below 72 as expected, and is now testing the support below again.
Usoil:buy70.2-70.6
TP:71.3-71.7-72
SL:69.7
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Usoil-Has broken through
Oil has risen amid fears of potential supply disruptions amid recent criticism of Yemen's Houthi rebels over a UN resolution on Red Sea navigation
Usoil:buy73.6-74.05
TP:74.5-75
Now that it has broken through the recent range, follow the trend in the short term.
Join me and I will continue to analyze how to trade
Monday: Crude oil focuses on the 71/72/74/75 areaOn Monday (January 8), international U.S. crude oil prices traded around $72.85 per barrel. U.S. non-farm employment growth in December exceeded expectations, prompting financial markets to lower expectations for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in March. The risk posed by tensions in the Middle East is an important factor in the price rebound. Geopolitical tensions have pushed up trading premiums, and strong jobs data also pointed to strong fuel demand.
In the 4-hour chart, a wave of decline gave up nearly half of the previous gains. It is currently in the process of confirming the retracement. Bollinger Bands closed, the short-term entered a contraction and shock, and the long-short tug-of-war switched. It is not a strong unilateral market. After the second retracement, pay attention to whether it can start a stable recovery above the low point. If it starts to stabilize, continue to watch the rebound.
On the whole, it is suggested that the day-to-day operation of crude oil should focus on the first-line resistance of 74.0-75.0 at the top and the first-line support at 72.0-71.0 at the bottom.
USOIL: Key position 73-73.4
USOIL is currently near the key resistance level. If it can break through here, it will have the opportunity to form a head and shoulders bottom pattern, and then there is a high probability of reaching around 76.
But if there is no strong breakthrough here, the head and shoulders pattern will fail, and it is highly likely that the support near 72 will be backtested.
Therefore, in the trading starting tomorrow, you can focus on the resistance near 73-73.4 and decide the trading direction based on the breakthrough.
On the 45m chart, the pattern is slightly in favor of the bears, looking ahead to Monday’s market options.
If you encounter problems during transactions, you can leave me a message!
Good luck, everyone!
Thursday:Crude oil narrowed and fluctuated Oil prices fell in volatile trading on Thursday as U.S. crude inventories exceeded expectations and concerns about the Red Sea crisis eased. Crude oil's Xiaoyin cross K-line retraced yesterday and settled flat. In line with the rebound of the previous day's big Yang line, it did not make a further strong reversal upward, but went back down. At present, the daily line is still rebounding based on 69.30 as the bottom. If it does not fall below 69.30 in the short term, it will tend to rebound first. Let’s see if it can start a steady rise today. In the 4-hour chart, a wave of decline gave up nearly half of the previous gains. It is currently in the process of confirming the retracement. Bollinger Bands closed, the short-term entered a contraction and shock, and the long-short tug-of-war switched. It is not a strong unilateral market. After the second retracement, pay attention to whether it can start a stable recovery above the low point. If it starts to stabilize, continue to watch the rebound. Of course, the process will still oscillate repeatedly. For short-term operations, set the time point after the European market, and the final market shape shall prevail. Use the intraday form stuck point to respond flexibly in the ultra-short term. On the whole, it is suggested that the day-to-day operation of crude oil should focus on the first-line resistance of 74.0-75.0 at the top and the first-line support of 71.0-70.0 at the bottom.
Strategy reference: It is recommended to enter the market with multiple orders at 72.2-72.4, plan in advance, and pay attention to updates for more signals↓
Thursday: Crude Oil Market Analysis and StrategyOil prices rose in Asia on Thursday, with WTI oil prices hovering around 73.6. Disruptions in Libya's top oil fields heightened concerns that rising tensions in the Middle East could disrupt global oil supplies, and international crude oil prices climbed about 3%. The two crude oil benchmark prices closed higher for the first time in five days, with WTI crude oil rising the most since mid-November. Later on Thursday, U.S. ADP employment changes and weekly initial jobless claims will be released. Traders will take more clues from U.S. employment data on Friday, including non-farm payrolls, the unemployment rate and average hourly earnings due on Friday. The daily line of crude oil closed with the Zhongyang line with a long lower shadow, and there is a high possibility of stopping the decline in the short term. The 1-hour cycle has entered the early transaction intensive area, there is the possibility of a small cycle reversal, and there is a high probability of rising within the day. It is recommended to pay attention to the first-line support of $72.20 below.
Strategy reference: It is recommended to enter the market with long orders at 72.2-72.4
This is a plan ahead, more strategies are waiting for updates👇
Monday. Crude oil falls under pressureCrude oil prices remained weak in Asian trading on Tuesday and are currently trading around 72.6. During the day, we will pay close attention to the US PMI to be released later on Tuesday. Later this week, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes will be closely watched ahead of Friday's U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) report.
The crude oil market was at 73.67 at the beginning of last week. Afterwards, the market initially rose, reaching a weekly high of 76. Then the market fell back strongly, with a weekly low of 71.05. Afterwards, the market consolidated and finally closed at the end of the week. The line was at 71.12, and then the market closed with a big negative line with a long upper shadow line. After this form ended, crude oil continued to be under pressure. In the 4-hour chart, the pressure on the 76.30 line changed and fell, and the structure fell in a wave. It is still in the rebound trend. The Bollinger Bands are running below the middle track, and the middle track 73.5 is an important resistance point.
Personal suggestion: short on rebound; WTI dividing line: 73.5
28 Crude oil follows 74.4/72.5, see my analysisMarket participants will be watching developments in the Red Sea closely as a drone attack on an oil tanker raises concerns about shipping disruptions. Additionally, ongoing Israeli military strikes in Gaza remain a major driver of sentiment.
On the 1H chart, OIL is in a blocked upward trend. The upper pressure is 74.4. If it stands firm, it will return to the trend. If it falls below the 72.4 support below, it means the end of this round of rising prices.
Focus on these two locations today
USOIL: 22/12O European market suggestionAngola said it would withdraw from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), raising questions about the producer group's efforts to support prices by limiting global supply. In the 4-hour chart, after falling below the middle track and back-testing the lower track, it holds the sub-low and rebounds above the lower track to regain the middle track. The 4-hour chart is a rapid downward rebound, seeking support and correction, and then continuing upward. In the short term, use 73.8 as a defensive support point, and then adjust your thinking if it breaks below.
But as long as the low point of the step is not broken, the trend remains unchanged. On the whole, it is suggested that the short-term operation of crude oil should focus on the first-line resistance of 76.0 at the top and the first-line support of 73.8 at the bottom.
Continue to look for low prices to buy. If you want to get the latest signals, you can contact me↓
USOIL: Today’s crude oil analysis summaryToday crude oil sold according to the recommendation I gave in the morning, and then fell 200pips,
But it should be noted that it did not fall below the previous low.
Therefore, the market outlook does not rule out another breakthrough after sideways consolidation, hitting the 76 high point I talked about on Monday and Tuesday.
But no matter what, on the 4H chart and 1D chart, it can be seen that it is in the rebound trend of the downward trend, so the upper space is limited, and it is expected to be around 76, but once it returns to the downward trend, the lower space is very large.
I will continue to analyze the specific market trends with you on Friday, please pay attention↓
Oil operation suggestions for next weekAngola may increase oil production after it withdraws from OPEC. However, good news about the U.S. economy and attacks on ships in the Red Sea caused hundreds of ships to change routes and increase delivery costs, causing oil prices to fall before the Christmas holiday weekend. Although oil prices rose about 3% this week, crude oil prices still posted their largest weekly gain in two months.
Technically we see crude oil futures support at 72.5 and resistance at 75.3. This week, the 30-minute long and short trend has repeatedly appeared. Crude oil continued to fall before the close on Friday, and the short energy distribution continued to build up at $74 to suppress the market.
From a daily perspective, crude oil fell in late trading on Friday, and profit-taking before holidays is a very normal operation. Judging from the current technical indicators, it has completely turned short. It is recommended to focus on rebounding and shorting!
The specific direction will be decided after the market opens on Tuesday.
USOIL: The rise is blocked and will fall in the short termInternational oil prices rose. Originally affected by the increase in U.S. crude oil inventories, oil prices first rose and then fell. However, the risk of interruption of the Red Sea transportation channel still provided support for oil prices, helping to keep oil prices above the 21-day moving average.
Yesterday, the market rose first and then fell as expected, reaching the upper line of 75.40 and falling back. Despite this, oil prices finally closed higher. Government data showed that U.S. inventories increased significantly and production reached record levels, exacerbating continued concerns about oversupply. The U.S. market yesterday evening The second upward attack pierced 75.3, and then it fell back and fluctuated downward to break the bottom and close. The daily line closed higher and fell back. The overall price showed a stagflation pattern above the 75 mark. Today, we can go short first and then look at the shock and fall.
USOIL: Crude Oil Market Analysis and AdviceLooking at the four-hour trend, crude oil is still running in a downstairs structure, with the upper resistance at the 72.8-73.4 area. Only a further breakthrough can change the overall trend. However, because crude oil has a large V-shaped reversal at low levels, bulls still take the initiative in the short-term trend; the short-term watershed between long and short is $71.3, and crude oil will continue to weaken after it breaks below again.
Personal suggestion: go long on the pullback; the dividing line between long and short: $71.3/barrel
USOIL: 15/12 Analysis and AdviceIn the 4-hour chart, a consecutive positive rebound broke the weak decline and returned to the mid-track shock. Judging from the closing situation of the K line, the short-term rebound is still strong. The hourly chart rebounded based on the downward test of 67.70, and stabilized the upward trend from 69.50. The 4-hour chart reversed the weakness. In the short term, focus on the resistance of 73.50-74. Today it is recommended to go long on callbacks