Usoil:Not strong willingness to rise
Yesterday's decline in oil broke through the low of 82, and the lowest fell to near 81.8, but it did not fall below the important early support point of 81.2.
The current price of oil is around 82.95, you now need to observe whether the oil will be supported again, or observe the important boundary point of yesterday's decline 84
So we need to wait for the right opportunity to enter the market to improve our success rate
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Usoilidea
Usoil:Range fluctuation
Oil is still the same as I said last week, fluctuating in the range of 82-86
As can be seen from the chart, the low point of oil is constantly moving up, and the support point is also constantly moving up, from 82 for the first time, to 82.5 for the second time, and 83 for the third time.
So it can be seen that we can still sell at the high point and buy at the low point
Now you can buy in the range of 82-82.5, or sell in the range of 85.5-86.
This strategy is still effective. Aggressive traders can buy at 83. If you break through these two ranges, you need to make a stop loss.
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Gold: It may fall to 1800! ! !
Gold fell from around 1930 to around 1845, with basically no rebound, that is, the bulls surrendered directly. This trend is obviously a short trend, and the lows continue to fall. Even a rebound of a few dollars is directly swallowed up by the big negative line. This It’s short energy.
The four-hour line of gold price has entered the next level. It continues to be a negative line. The era of shorts is obviously coming. The sword below is pointing to the 1811 line, or even near 1615. Anything is possible on the K-line. At the same time, the 50-day moving average continues to run downward, continuing to compress the bulls' Space, there is no possibility of rebound at all, the K line is suppressed by the 50 moving average throughout the whole process, and it is pressed to the floor and rubbed, empty, 1834 empty
USOIL: This week's summary and next week's trading ideas
The deteriorating outlook in Europe has left oil traders wondering whether global oil demand will remain resilient next year. On the other hand, the US third quarter GDP data exceeded expectations and continued to deliver strong economic growth. A higher dollar and an uncertain economic outlook seem to be haunting oil. Oil prices rose on Friday on fears that tensions between Israel and Gaza could spill over into a wider conflict that could disrupt global crude supplies.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $2.33 a barrel, or 2.8 percent, to settle at $85.54 a barrel. "From a macro perspective, global supply is tight relative to demand, which is the result of general underinvestment across the industry after the pandemic, so spare capacity today is limited and prices will move with demand because there is not a lot of short-term capacity that can come to market," Darren, CEO of ExxonMobil Oil, said in an interview. So as long as the market stays tight, you're going to see more volatility and higher prices.
On the whole, crude oil next Monday's opening operation is suggested to retreat to do more on the dips!
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OIL BULLISH TREND STILL ON !!hello friends as i can see oil has filled the last week market opening gaps and continues to up trend Israeli & palatine war had changed the USOIL moves so fundamentally + technically chart is show us more upside moves till the drawn levels
please share ur ideas and thoughts about usoil
stay tuned for more updates
USOIL: End short orders and look for support to go long
Crude oil 85.5 support line to earn the pressure line, we rely on this pressure level to continuously short the harvest of nearly 20 points of profit, the subsequent recommendation to end the short order, withdraw to 82.5-83 to convert long!
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USOIL: Crude oil opened lower
Today, crude oil opened lower, after a high of 88.1, crude oil fell in shock. Overall, crude oil is still down in the short term, the operation is recommended to withdraw to near the 85.6 support level, and the above is concerned about the resistance near 88.3-90.
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Crude oil trading tips last week
Crude oil opened at around 87.8 and ended at around 88.2 last week. The overall trend of crude oil last week was bullish. We look at the price changes of crude oil with an upward trend. We can see that the greater the downward adjustment, the more the price increases, and the objective trend enters sideways. To summarize, the current price in the sideways range is beneficial to traders, which is in line with the trend following method. We only need to buy at low points according to the overall upward trend. If the price breaks up and down, we will use the turtle trading rule.
The above is a review and analysis of last week’s crude oil trading. If you need more content, please join me.
Crude Oil: Planning Strategies Today
Through the analysis of the hourly chart of crude oil, we know that the market rose first and then fell yesterday, forming a shock upward breakthrough trend yesterday. By comparing with the previous period, we already said last week that we expected to form a bullish trend. When the high level fell in the early period, all the moving averages began to turn around. The downward movement forms a turning point from bull to bear. From the formation of a wave of decline, all the moving averages have formed a bull trend. All the moving averages below are supports, and the MACD below has always been running above the zero axis. The market is very likely to make further upward breakthroughs. In terms of operation, we continue to think high and low and focus on going long on dips and shorts. The specific suggestions are as follows:
Crude oil 90 and 91.50 are long respectively.
Crude oil is short at 95.0 and 95.6 respectively.
USOIL: All day short - term trading
Crude oil fluctuated little throughout the day, with the main volatility range between 86.3 and 87.2, and we seized the opportunity to go short on highs and long on lows in this range.
Today's trading is mainly short-term trading, the effect is relatively good, the harvest of nearly 13 points of profit, to achieve our expected effect!
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USOIL:Downtrend
Yesterday I bought near 85.2 and finally stopped at 84.8 because I thought there would be some room for a rebound from a rapid decline.
Yesterday I judged that there will be a lot of room for decline if it falls below the important position of 84, but every time it falls, there will be certain repeated shocks, so after rising above 83, I chose to buy. Today, let me recover yesterday's loss.
But now oil is already in a downward trend, so now you can choose to sell at a high level, then the chance of success will increase.
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USOIL: Oil today analysis
The International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday that geopolitical risks in the Middle East have escalated following Hamas attacks on Israel, with oil markets on edge and uncertainty about how things will play out or how far the conflict could spread. In its closely watched oil market report for October, the IEA said: "A sharp escalation of geopolitical risks in the Middle East is keeping markets on edge. The region accounts for more than a third of global seaborne oil trade.
Oil prices surged on Monday after attacks by Hamas against Israel reignited tensions in the Middle East and the war premium reappeared in the market. Crude oil market yesterday morning opened at 83.21 US dollars/barrel, after the market first pulled up, the daily peak reached 85.28 US dollars/barrel, after the market fell strongly, the daily minimum to 82.35 US dollars/barrel
Short-term strategy reference: high probability scenario: bearish below 85.6, target 83.2-82.5; Low probability scenario: Bullish above 85.6, target 86.5-87.2
US OIL / WTI Analysis 13Oct2023Over the last few weeks, the price of oil has experienced a noticeable decline. Upon closer inspection, this trend appears to be the result of a series of corrections from the previously bullish market. Currently, there is speculation surrounding the possibility of Wave (C) occurring, which is being analyzed through the addition of Fibo Expansion. It is predicted that the price will likely move towards the 76 area, which intersects with Fibo 0.786 and the SND area. This level of detail provides a more comprehensive understanding of the current market trends and the anticipated future movements of oil prices.
USOIL: Today's crude oil analysis and operation
Crude oil yesterday's typical interval arrangement, the highest 86.7, the lowest 85, the daily line closed small Yin at 85.9, the four-hour chart of the large interval, the top 87 will be an important resistance point in this interval, the lower focus on the 84 break, the breakthrough will fill the gap; From the point of view of the 1-hour line, the lower focus on the 85 support situation, coupled with the current Palestinian-Israeli conflict, may have a certain impact on oil prices, and the day is mainly low and high
The specific layout is as follows:
(1) below see 85/85.3 long, loss 84.5, target 86.2-86.5 break on the look
(2) Above, focus on the breakthrough of 87
USOIL: Oil today analysis
The outbreak of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, if more forces are involved in the subsequent, the Middle East oil producers may be directly affected, crude oil production may be in short supply, and oil prices may rise more sharply. In the outbreak of the war between Russia and Ukraine last year, the oil price rose sharply from $90 to the highest price of $130, and it took half a year to return to the $90 line. In summary, the current turmoil in the Middle East has attracted much attention, and the limelight has overshadowed the OPEC+ production cut plan, and the follow-up trend needs to be paid close attention.
Crude oil fell sharply to $81.50 last week, the direction of the daily bullish line has not changed, if the resistance level of $89 above the smooth stand, the rally can be expected. In the evening, focus on the support of the $84.1 line, if it breaks down, it may test the strong support level of $81.5. High probability scenario: bullish above 84.1, target 87.1-88.2; Low probability scenario: Bear below 84.1, target 83.0-81.5.
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Crude oil, rebound and pullback
WTI crude oil has fallen in five of the past six trading days, falling by more than 13%, giving up all gains since September. Oil prices have now fallen back to key support near $82.0. The U.S. non-farm payroll data for September will be ushered in today, and short-term fluctuations in oil prices are expected to further intensify.
Looking at the daily chart of crude oil, oil prices stopped rising at the high of 95 and entered a correction state, with the K line being negative for three consecutive years. Although oil prices have not yet fallen below the moving average system, the current mid-term objective still maintains an upward trend. But from the perspective of kinetic energy, a change occurred first, and the bears gradually became stronger. It indicates that the mid-term trend is expected to enter a large-scale adjustment pattern. The K-line fell below the support of the moving average system. The original mid-term rise ended in stages, and it is expected to usher in a larger wave of correction.
Strategy: long at 81.5, short at 82.4
USOIL:Goal 86 achieved
My previous post prediction was completely correct I thought the oil would fall to 86, and today my forecast has arrived.
The same is true now.After reaching the support level, we can no longer sell, we can buy in small batches below 85.5.
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Crude oil: all the way down
Through the analysis of the hourly chart of crude oil, we know that yesterday’s market rebound was unable to continue the downward trend. It has now reached the 82.3 line and has slowed down the downward trend. We can clearly see from the attached picture below that a phased bottom signal has appeared again. In the last time When it appeared, it rebounded slightly and reached the No. 2 pressure level above and then fell back. At present, the No. 1 pressure level above has in turn become the first pressure. In the short term, we will continue to focus on shorting on rallies.
Strategy: 84.1 short
USOIL: Empty orders gain 10 points
The daily arrangement of 89.2 line empty, currently down 10 points, the stable can reduce the position out, the rebound of the European short position near 89.3 can continue to be empty, want to do more suggestions can pay attention to the 88.0 line support can hold, hold it is expected that crude oil is a wave of short-term rebound demand, so want to do more suggestions first pay attention to the 88.0 support break situation and then consider it, Do not break can light warehouse to do a short line, break is to give up multiple single
USOIL:Observe trends
Today, the lowest level of oil fell to around 87.76, but in the end it still returned to the range.Therefore, the success rate of trading in the range is currently very high.
Today, oil fell below the range. At present, we need to pay attention to 89.7. This place determines where the next direction is. If it continues to fall below 89.7, then oil is still a downward trend. If the rise breaks through 89.7 and stands firm, then it can be judged that the probability of oil rising increases.
If you want to trade in the range, then you need to judge his trend and the impact of the news.
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USOIL:Fluctuation in the range
Last week, oil broke through the range of 88.3-91.2 and rose as high as near 95.
Last week, I predicted that if it breaks through 91.2, it will be more likely to rise, but I did not expect that oil will rise so much. Every time it rises rapidly, there will definitely be a reversal. Now the oil is around 89.7 and it is back in the range, so now we still judge the transaction based on 88.3-91.2.
If the oil falls below 88.3, then it is necessary to judge that the range is invalid, so you need to observe more when trading, or strictly set the stop loss.
It is still possible to buy at low levels and sell cautiously at high levels in the range.
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Crude Oil: Today’s Strategy
Crude oil enters the market empty at 88
Continue to watch the decline, continue to watch 82, or even 75 line
Any position where crude oil rebounds is short. The current rebound of the big positive line is to enter the market for shorts. Once again, the 88 line enters the market for shorts. Get ready for a sharp drop to harvest. Crude oil rebounds, but it is still below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. The short position is empty.
Operation strategy: short crude oil at 88, stop loss at 89, target at 82
Crude Oil: Analysis Strategy Today
Through the analysis of the hourly chart of crude oil, we know that on the previous trading day, it first fell, then rose and then fell, forming a wide-ranging shock trend, which converged at the moving average support level below. We can clearly see from the attached picture below that in the previous transaction The market had already entered the weak zone on the day before, and the rebound was weak. It is still running in the weak zone, indicating that there is still room for adjustment in the short-term market.
Crude oil is long at 90.70 and 88.90 respectively, with a stop loss of 70 points and a profit stop of 300 points;
Crude oil is short at 92.20 and 93.30 respectively.