Usoillong
How does oil move up while economic conditions worsen?I am bringing your attention to some concerning factors that may impact the oil market in the coming months. It is crucial to be cautious and prepared for potential challenges ahead.
Firstly, the rise in interest rates is likely to impact oil prices significantly. As interest rates increase, borrowing becomes more expensive for oil companies, reducing investment in exploration and production. Consequently, this could result in a decline in oil supply, causing prices to rise.
Moreover, the weak economic conditions in the United States and China contribute to the uncertainty surrounding oil prices. The oil demand may diminish with the ongoing trade tensions and slowing economic growth in these two major economies. Reduced demand often leads to a surplus in supply, ultimately leading to a price drop. However, in this case, the combination of weak economic conditions and rising interest rates may create a unique scenario where prices rise despite reduced demand.
Furthermore, an expected lower inflation report adds another layer of concern. Lower inflation typically suggests weaker economic activity, negatively impacting oil prices. As investors, it is crucial to closely monitor the inflation report as it may provide insights into the future direction of oil prices.
Considering these factors, I strongly encourage you to be wary of the potential rise in oil prices. It is essential to stay informed, closely follow market trends, and assess the potential impact on your investment portfolio. Additionally, diversifying your investments and considering alternative energy sources may help mitigate the risks associated with rising oil prices.
In conclusion, the combination of rising interest rates, weak economic conditions in the USA and China, and an expected lower inflation report may contribute to the increase in oil prices. As an oil investor, it is crucial to remain cautious and well-informed about these developments. By closely monitoring the market and diversifying your investments, you can better position yourself to navigate the challenges that lie ahead.
Momentum Builds in Oil Wait for the Next Long EntryFirst and foremost, the oil market has been showing remarkable momentum lately, and I believe we are on the brink of a potentially profitable move. The latest Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossover signals a solid bullish trend, indicating an upward price movement. This is a great sign for us looking to capitalize on the market's upward potential.
But that's not all! The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, a reliable tool for identifying trend reversals and momentum shifts, remains profitable. It confirms the bullish sentiment and suggests further upward movement in the oil market. This is undoubtedly a thrilling time for us oil traders!
Now, let's talk strategy. While the current indicators are promising, it's crucial to exercise patience and wait for the next opportune moment to enter a long position. Timing is everything, and we want to maximize our potential gains. Therefore, I encourage you to remain steadfast and wait for the perfect long entry point.
To make the most of this exciting momentum building up in the oil market, I urge you to:
1. Stay vigilant: Monitor the market closely, monitoring the SMA crossover and MACD indicators for any potential shifts or confirmations.
2. Analyze the trend: Study the charts, conduct thorough technical analysis, and seek insights from reliable sources to understand the market's behavior comprehensively.
3. Plan your entry: Set clear criteria based on your trading strategy and risk management principles. Waiting for the next long entry will ensure you enter the market at an optimal point.
4. Stay informed: Subscribe to reputable oil market newsletters, follow trusted analysts, and discuss with fellow traders to stay up-to-date with the latest developments and insights.
Remember, patience and discipline are the keys to success in trading. While the excitement is palpable, let's not rush into any hasty decisions. We position ourselves to make the most of this good momentum by waiting for the next long entry point.
Exciting Opportunity: Oil Price Surges Amidst Record-Low Supply!In the past week, we have witnessed an unprecedented surge in oil prices, driven by a third consecutive week of negative oil supply and the lowest levels seen since January. This remarkable turn of events presents an exciting opportunity for all oil traders to capitalize on the market's volatility and maximize their gains.
The current market conditions have set the stage for an exciting rally, and it's time for us to seize the moment. By loading up on oil now, you can position yourself to reap substantial rewards as the demand for this precious commodity continues to soar.
Why should you consider taking action immediately? Let me share a few compelling reasons:
1. Unprecedented Supply Deficit: The consecutive weeks of negative oil supply have created a significant deficit in the market, leading to a price surge. This rare occurrence presents a unique opportunity for you to enter the market in an advantageous position.
2. Lowest Levels Since January: The current oil price is at its lowest since the beginning of the year. This means you can buy at a relatively low cost, with the potential for substantial gains as the market rebounds.
3. Increasing Demand: As economies worldwide recover from the impact of the pandemic, the oil demand is on a steady rise. By loading up on oil now, you can position yourself to meet this growing demand and benefit from the resulting price appreciation.
So, what are you waiting for? This is the moment to act swiftly and decisively. By taking advantage of this extraordinary opportunity, you can potentially secure your financial future and achieve remarkable success as an oil trader.
I urge you to make the most of this exciting turn of events by increasing your oil holdings and strategically positioning yourself for immense profits. Remember, fortune favors the bold; this is your chance to boldly move in the oil market!
USOILSPOT Weekly Analysis: New Perspective and Follow-Up DetailsGet ready for an exciting dive into the world of oil markets! As we kick off the bullish messaging from Saudi Arabia and other oil producers, we have an important event on the horizon. The July 5-6 seminar will bring together oil industry CEOs and energy ministers from OPEC - the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. OPEC+, which includes Saudi Arabia and Russia among its allies, holds the reins of over 40% of the world's oil supply.
The bull thesis for oil in the second half gains strength as expectations rise of significant production cuts by major player Saudi Arabia. The goal? To push Brent prices above $80 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate to a minimum of $75.
Saudi Arabia, at the forefront of OPEC+, has already announced three production cuts since October, theoretically eliminating 2.5 million barrels per day from their output. As a result, their production in July is expected to hover around 9 million barrels per day.
However, despite these announcements, crude prices have experienced only fleeting rallies. Rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and other central banks have emerged as major factors, causing concerns over a global economic slowdown that could impact energy demand.
Now, the crucial question arises: Will the bullish sentiment prevail as global travel rates are projected to surge in July and August? This surge could potentially lead to a critical shortage of crude oil for U.S. refineries, especially considering the intentional reduction in oil supply from the Saudis to this particular destination. Furthermore, unless extended, the weekly sales of crude from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve will come to a halt, removing one of the tools employed by the Biden administration to keep prices in check.
In this video, I present a comprehensive technical analysis of USOILSPOT, focusing on key supply and demand zones within the Daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour timeframes. By closely examining these indicators, our goal is to provide valuable insights into the potential direction of price action for USOILSPOT in the upcoming week.
Don't miss out on this invaluable technical analysis that will enhance your understanding of the future trajectory of USOILSPOT. Stay one step ahead of the curve by watching the video now!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
USOIL Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USOIL: crude oil low long high short strategyCrude oil first fell and then rose on Wednesday. The drop of 67 was blocked and then fluctuated upward. The EIA data was bullish. The oil price broke through 69 and reached a maximum of 69.7.
Today, let’s see if 70 can break through, and then look around 72 after breaking the position. At the top, focus on 70.5, the hourly line, 69.7 is blocked and there will be a short-term callback, and at the bottom, focus on 69 and 68. long high short
USOIL MAKE VIEW POSITIVE / VKINGOn July 4, 2023, the US Oil (USOIL) commodity was observed on TradingView using a 5-minute time frame. USOIL is a popular instrument for traders and investors to speculate on the price movements of oil. The 5-minute time frame allows for a more granular analysis of price action, enabling traders to capture short-term opportunities and make informed trading decisions.
During the specified time frame, several factors influenced the price of USOIL. It is important to note that oil prices are influenced by a wide range of fundamental, geopolitical, and economic factors. These include supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical tensions, global economic growth, weather events, and government policies, among others.
Analyzing the 5-minute chart, traders would have observed various price patterns and trends. Candlestick patterns, such as doji, hammer, engulfing patterns, and others, can provide insights into potential reversals or continuation of trends. Support and resistance levels are also crucial indicators for traders, helping to identify potential entry and exit points.
In terms of technical indicators, traders may have used various tools to analyze the price action of USOIL. Common indicators include moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), stochastic oscillator, and volume analysis. Moving averages help to identify the direction of the trend, while RSI and stochastic oscillator indicate overbought or oversold conditions.
Furthermore, traders might have monitored news releases and events that could impact the oil market during this specific time frame. Important economic data, such as crude oil inventories, production reports, and geopolitical developments, can cause significant volatility in oil prices. By staying informed about such events, traders can anticipate potential price movements and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
Risk management is a vital aspect of trading, and it applies to USOIL trading on a 5-minute time frame as well. Traders must establish stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and implement proper position sizing techniques. This helps to protect capital and manage risks effectively.
It is worth mentioning that trading on a 5-minute time frame requires constant monitoring and quick decision-making. The rapid price fluctuations in such short intervals can lead to both opportunities and risks. Traders need to be disciplined, focused, and adaptable to react promptly to changing market conditions.
In conclusion, analyzing USOIL on TradingView using a 5-minute time frame on July 4, 2023, involved studying various price patterns, technical indicators, and fundamental factors. Traders aimed to capitalize on short-term opportunities by identifying trends, support and resistance levels, and using technical indicators to gauge market sentiment. By closely monitoring news releases and managing risks effectively, traders can increase their chances of success in the fast-paced world of USOIL trading on a 5-minute time frame.
USOIL - Look for a short position ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here we are still bearish, so I am looking for shorts. I see price to fill the imbalance first and then to reject from bearish order block and to deliver lower for taking sellside liquidity.
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USOILSPOT Weekly Analysis: New Perspective and Follow-Up DetailsDespite three production cuts announced by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies since October, including support from the Saudis, crude prices have shown limited improvement. This is unexpected, particularly during a time of the year when oil demand should naturally be strong due to summer travel.
The Saudis have expressed their desire to see oil prices reach $80 per barrel or higher by next month, or at least by August. However, external factors beyond their control, namely the decisions made by central banks worldwide, call for patience. From the Federal Reserve to the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, and even the Bank of Canada, there is a race to implement one or two interest rate hikes before the end of the year. Any rate cuts could potentially hinder global growth, which serves as the driving force behind oil demand.
The crucial question now is whether the bullish sentiment will prevail as global travel rates are expected to increase in July and August. This surge in travel could lead to a critical shortage of crude oil required by U.S. refineries, especially as the Saudis intentionally reduce their oil supply to that particular destination more than others. Additionally, unless extended, the weekly sales of crude from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve will cease, eliminating one of the tools the Biden administration has utilized to keep prices low.
In this video, I offer a comprehensive technical analysis of USOILSPOT, focusing on key supply and demand zones within the 4-hour timeframe. By examining these indicators, our aim is to provide valuable insights into the potential direction of price action for USOILSPOT in the upcoming week.
Make sure not to miss out on this valuable technical analysis that will enhance your understanding of the future trajectory of USOILSPOT. Stay ahead of the curve by watching the video now!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Will Brent find buyers at crucial support once again?Brent - 24h expiry
A level of 72 continues to hold back the bears.
Daily momentum has stalled and our bias is now neutral.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
We look to buy dips.
The hourly chart technicals suggest further downside before the uptrend returns.
We look to Buy at 72.13 (stop at 71.13)
Our profit targets will be 74.63 and 75.13
Resistance: 73.30 / 74.00 / 75.00
Support: 72.40 / 72.00 / 71.62
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USOIL WTI US OIL WTI
Currently , above 68.79 level the price will be above buyer and will continue at the reach the suggested targets 71.27 , 23.35
as for renewing bearish attempts , should stable under 68.79and then will support the price to push down and reach 67.05 , 65.67 and 64.52
the expect trading range for today is between the support line 68 and resistance line 71.74
Crude oil trading advice today
Now that the oil price is approaching the suppression of the 4-hour period moving average, long orders should be the first to make profits. This position is not easy to grasp. Wait for the oil price to break through the moving average or fall to the trend line to re-arrange long or short orders. In the triangle arrangement pattern, just sell high and buy low. Don’t think about it and wait for a breakthrough. In this way, otherwise you will pay for your thoughts.
Wait for a retracement or the emergence of an obvious hammer line, and the stabilization signal of the Dayang line is entering the market
Trading strategy:
buy@68 tp1:70 tp2:71
Next, there will be many trading opportunities for crude oil. I will provide you with more signals. Don't miss the opportunity to make money!
USOIL: Resistance level 72.5, trading strategy between 70.4~71.8On the whole, today's crude oil price should focus on the 71.8 high point and 72.5 resistance for the upper resistance, and the 70.4-69.5 support for the lower part. During the shock period, you can sell high and buy low, and swing trading can maximize today's benefits
USOil Tumbles to $28: Path Predicted by Fibonacci ClusteringMy Fibonacci Clustering model reveals a potential downturn in USOIL prices to as low as $28 per barrel. This observation is rooted in the unique properties of Fibonacci sequences - their self-similar and repetitive nature often mirrors price action in a wide array of financial markets, including commodities such as oil.
Historical evidence supports the plausibility of oil prices plummeting to such lows. The oil price slump of 2016, which saw USOIL drop to below $30, demonstrated how market oversupply, geopolitical tensions, and shifting energy policies can dramatically impact oil prices.
Bear in mind that oil markets are influenced by a multitude of factors - supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical events, economic indicators , and even climatic conditions, among others. Thus, while the Fibonacci Clustering points to a potential downturn, this is just one piece of the puzzle.
USOIL - Short active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for shorts. I expect bearish price action from here as we can see that price rejected from bearish order block + psychological level 72.00.
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USOIL is poised to reach $71.63International oil prices were basically stable this Friday, and the U.S. index rebounded from a more than one-month low, limiting the rise in oil prices. Oil prices snapped a two-week losing streak on optimism over rising energy demand in top crude importer China. The upper pressure level of crude oil is 71.63 US dollars.
The data released on Thursday showed that the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits last week was higher than expected, and the U.S. industrial production unexpectedly fell by 0.2% in May, causing the U.S. dollar index to plummet by nearly 0.9%. However, U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rose in May, and the U.S. index rebounded after hitting a low of 102.043 since May 12 on Friday.
Data released on Thursday showed that China's refinery throughput in May increased by 15.4% year-on-year, the second highest in history. The chief executive of Kuwait Petroleum Company said that China's demand for oil is expected to continue to climb at a confident pace in the second half of this year.
Analysts also expect the latest production cuts announced by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) in May and further voluntary cuts by Saudi Arabia in July to support prices. Still, markets are struggling to shake the panic as the global growth outlook remains vulnerable to further shocks from aggressive rate hikes.
The European Central Bank raised interest rates to a 22-year high as scheduled overnight. The Fed said this week that it will raise interest rates by at least 50 basis points by the end of the year. Higher interest rates end up increasing borrowing costs for consumers, which could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.
On the hourly chart, oil prices have started an upward trend from US$68, and the upper resistance is looking at the 100% target at US$71.63.
USOIL: Trading Signals
USOIL30m chart, after the arc bottom is formed, encounters resistance near 70, forming M top (double top), MACD death cross, judging from the shape, it should be a pullback and then rise, so, my trading point of view is to be short first , and then go long.
Trading Signals:
sell:69.3-69.5
tp:68.5-68.3
buy:68.5-68
tp:70.3-71
Crude oil trends
Today's crude oil rose as scheduled, came to around 69.4, today in the transaction we chose to go long, got a very good profit, it seems that OPEC+ decided at the early June meeting to extend the current crude oil production reduction plan, and Saudi Arabia promised to cut crude oil production by 1 million barrels / day in July, and said that it will extend further if necessary, which may ease the decline in oil prices. In addition, the United States further purchases crude oil to supplement strategic reserves, may also bring some support to oil prices, next, the market will pay attention to OPEC's monthly short-term energy outlook report, crude oil should enter a shock adjustment period tomorrow, and then narrow the range of shocks, trading ideas recommend low long, with stop loss trading, reduce trading risks
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. I need signals to join me as soon as possible!
Crude oil analysis next week
Next week's regular data API and EIA data, this week the United States to June 2 EIA crude oil inventories -451,000 barrels, expected 1.022 million barrels, previous value of 4.489 million barrels; the United States to June 2 EIA strategic petroleum reserve inventories -1.867 million barrels, previous value -2.518 million barrels; June 14 The United States will release API and EIA crude oil inventory changes for the week ending July 22, and inventories are expected to continue to decline. If the overall is bullish for crude oil as expected, more detailed is to see the expected EIA data after the release of API data.
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. I need signals to join me as soon as possible!
Crude oil trading on Friday
Oil crude oil is now rising to around 71, after reports that Iran and the issue of nuclear enrichment and oil exports are close to reaching an interim agreement, but oil prices rebounded from earlier declines at the close, as the United States denied reports that the two countries were close to an interim nuclear deal, in addition, gasoline inventories increased more than expected, crude oil has been volatile recently, and the crude oil strategy given yesterday is also a perfect take profit. Today's crude oil is mainly long at a low level.
Personal Trading Strategy:
usoil:buy@70-70.5 tp71.5-72
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. I need signals to join me as soon as possible!