Will crude oil continue to rise by 85?
Crude oil started to fall from the daily high of 88 in a double top pattern, and now it has successfully broken through the key watershed of 81, and the lowest drop to around 77 has eased the decline. It has not been able to break through the 77 mark recently, indicating that there is a lot of buying support, but the trend is still bearish. As long as it does not break through the 81 mark, it will remain bearish. So today's operation can be short near the rebound of 79, and must be short if it reaches around 80, and long near the bottom of 77.
Pressure: 79-80 Support: 77-76
Usoilong
27/3.USOIL first support observation 79
Looking back at yesterday's trend, the USOIL market remained in the range of 81.7-82.4 throughout the day. This is a narrow range for oil prices. The competition between the long and short parties in the market is fierce. until closing. The bears broke the deadlock.
News side:
The API announced a significant increase last night, with U.S. API crude oil inventories reaching a high of 9.337 million barrels in the week to March 22. This news may seem insensitive when viewed alone, but combined with OPEC+’s statement that it will not fulfill the production reduction agreement. What do these two news indicate? If the market supply exceeds demand, oil prices will naturally fall.
Technical aspect: The price around 82 is still relatively high, and at the same time it is in a strong pressure position from above. The next small intraday support is at 79.4-79. Combined with Pitchfork, oil currently faces a short-term situation that continues to decline. Based on the news released, the market is about to experience a sharp decline on 27/3.
Today’s personal operations are mainly selling:
USOIL: 81.4-81.7 sell
Tp:80-79.6
Sl:82.6
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Don't sell oil easily. Very risky
The trading opportunities for oil are not very big at present, but mainly fluctuate within a narrow range. After the news boosted strength. The price is still fluctuating around 81. I made a profit by buying oil prices around 80.7 in the morning, and the U.S. market is about to begin, judging from the 1-hour trend chart. The trend is still mainly bullish. MA is also supported.
If the U.S. market falls back around 80.7, I think there is still a chance to buy, and we will trade based on the timing and conditions.
USOIL: Crude oil opened lower
Today, crude oil opened lower, after a high of 88.1, crude oil fell in shock. Overall, crude oil is still down in the short term, the operation is recommended to withdraw to near the 85.6 support level, and the above is concerned about the resistance near 88.3-90.
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USOIL: Oil today analysis
The International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday that geopolitical risks in the Middle East have escalated following Hamas attacks on Israel, with oil markets on edge and uncertainty about how things will play out or how far the conflict could spread. In its closely watched oil market report for October, the IEA said: "A sharp escalation of geopolitical risks in the Middle East is keeping markets on edge. The region accounts for more than a third of global seaborne oil trade.
Oil prices surged on Monday after attacks by Hamas against Israel reignited tensions in the Middle East and the war premium reappeared in the market. Crude oil market yesterday morning opened at 83.21 US dollars/barrel, after the market first pulled up, the daily peak reached 85.28 US dollars/barrel, after the market fell strongly, the daily minimum to 82.35 US dollars/barrel
Short-term strategy reference: high probability scenario: bearish below 85.6, target 83.2-82.5; Low probability scenario: Bullish above 85.6, target 86.5-87.2
USOIL: Oil today analysis
The outbreak of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, if more forces are involved in the subsequent, the Middle East oil producers may be directly affected, crude oil production may be in short supply, and oil prices may rise more sharply. In the outbreak of the war between Russia and Ukraine last year, the oil price rose sharply from $90 to the highest price of $130, and it took half a year to return to the $90 line. In summary, the current turmoil in the Middle East has attracted much attention, and the limelight has overshadowed the OPEC+ production cut plan, and the follow-up trend needs to be paid close attention.
Crude oil fell sharply to $81.50 last week, the direction of the daily bullish line has not changed, if the resistance level of $89 above the smooth stand, the rally can be expected. In the evening, focus on the support of the $84.1 line, if it breaks down, it may test the strong support level of $81.5. High probability scenario: bullish above 84.1, target 87.1-88.2; Low probability scenario: Bear below 84.1, target 83.0-81.5.
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USOIL: Crude oil analysis and operation
With Opec + pledging to curb oil supply until the end of the year and Asia's economic recovery expected to expand again, we expect global oil inventories to fall by 70 million barrels over the next three months. As a result, we now see Brent averaging $91 / BBL in the second half, up from $81 / BBL previously. Still, our forecast for 2024 remains at $90 per barrel, thanks to an increase of 1.2 million BPD in non-OPEC supply from Guyana, Canada, U.S. shale, and Brazil. In addition, if sanctions on Venezuela and Iran are further eased, supply will increase by 450,000 BPD in 2024. As Opec + politics and global geopolitics allow, the increased supply will help restrain further price increases. Oil prices surged 3.50 per cent yesterday, with intraday highs above $95. After the opening of the morning, oil prices surged on the inertia, the high point entered the $95 mark, and the current pressure is below 94, and the momentum of turning the gun is still strong. In operation, it is still a reasonable choice to short the rally. Short-term strategy reference: High probability scenario: bearish below 95.0, target 93.0-92.0; Low probability scenario: Bullish above 92.0, target 95.0-96.2.
USOIL: Crude oil analysis and layout
Crude oil last week unilateral strong pull up, is currently in high volatility, this wave is still not over, is still a callback to do more, four-hour chart, last week fell back to the mid-track quickly pull up, back just to prepare for the rise, this week is still open at a high level, the current volatility around 91.3, intra-day focus on important support level 89.5/90.3, This position is also the support point of the rail in the four-hour chart, and the position of the tail plate can be more!
Specific layout:
USOIL:BUY@89.5-90.3 TP 92.0
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Crude Oil: Crude Oil Trading Strategies
Through the analysis of the weekly chart of crude oil, we know that the last one continued to rise, and it has reached a certain degree of suppression near the previous high point, and the pressure of the important moving average above (83.30). It can be clearly seen from the figure that the funds that reached the bottom area in the early stage are still running in a strong area, and the support of the important moving average below is relatively strong. It has not been broken for several times in a row, and there are funds intervening at the bottom for many times, which has led to a continuous rebound in the past 6 weeks. The short-term bottom The support of 82.0 and 81.30 is relatively strong. In the short term, we will continue to operate at high altitudes and low multiples, focusing on doing long on dips. The specific suggestions are as follows:
Crude oil 81.30 and 82.0 are long respectively,
Crude oil 83.50 and 85.90 are shorted respectively
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USOIL: Plan of the day
Yesterday's range of narrow fluctuations, until the end of the day to ushered in a pull up, but the day line eventually closed in the end, today's day line is still stable above the MA20 support, KDJ average indicator gold fork running upward, the trend of the market or more, it is recommended to step back near 79.3-79.0, the target to see 80.8 position.
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USOIL: Crude oil today operation plan
Raw oil on Friday the high base is not dynamic static, the United States has a small pullback after the rise of 77.2 a line, the loss of the previous correction to find back, the daily line continued to close up. Although the raw oil said that the high point before this has not been effective burst, with the lower side of the support does not break up, the strong potential in the high position of the consolidation of the power to break, the multi-head trend of the combined technology, we look more good!
Today's operation:
usoil: buy@76.3-76 tp 77.5
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USOIL: Crude oil view and operation
In the afternoon, there is eai crude oil inventory data, which is expected to be more crude oil, so it is safer to choose to withdraw before this, in addition, it can be manipulated after the data is released, and the current resistance level of crude oil is 77-80, and the support level is 74-72.
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USOIL:75.0 supports short-term rise
Looking at the daily line, the Bollinger Bands opened, and the price has always maintained a sideways movement near the upper rail. The direction is dominated by bulls. Before there is a short-selling signal, we will not consider short-selling orders to enter the market for the time being. Yesterday’s callback is also holding 75 first-line important support, continue to pay attention to the support of this position within the day. In 4 hours, the Bollinger Bands showed signs of flattening, and the price was running between the middle track and the lower track. The short-term price showed signs of retracement, and the expected strength will not be too large. After the retracement stabilizes around 75, you can enter the market with multiple orders.
oil buy@ 74.8-75.3 tp 75.8-76.9
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Crude oil trends
Today's crude oil rose as scheduled, came to around 69.4, today in the transaction we chose to go long, got a very good profit, it seems that OPEC+ decided at the early June meeting to extend the current crude oil production reduction plan, and Saudi Arabia promised to cut crude oil production by 1 million barrels / day in July, and said that it will extend further if necessary, which may ease the decline in oil prices. In addition, the United States further purchases crude oil to supplement strategic reserves, may also bring some support to oil prices, next, the market will pay attention to OPEC's monthly short-term energy outlook report, crude oil should enter a shock adjustment period tomorrow, and then narrow the range of shocks, trading ideas recommend low long, with stop loss trading, reduce trading risks
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. I need signals to join me as soon as possible!
Crude oil trading on Friday
Oil crude oil is now rising to around 71, after reports that Iran and the issue of nuclear enrichment and oil exports are close to reaching an interim agreement, but oil prices rebounded from earlier declines at the close, as the United States denied reports that the two countries were close to an interim nuclear deal, in addition, gasoline inventories increased more than expected, crude oil has been volatile recently, and the crude oil strategy given yesterday is also a perfect take profit. Today's crude oil is mainly long at a low level.
Personal Trading Strategy:
usoil:buy@70-70.5 tp71.5-72
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. I need signals to join me as soon as possible!
Crude oil continues to go long
Benefiting from the reduction of crude oil inventories and the impact of Saudi Arabia's planned production cuts, the upward trend of crude oil is obvious, and oil prices are expected to fluctuate in the range of 71.00-73.85 today
Today's Crude Oil Trading Strategies:
usoil:buy@71-71.5 tp72-72.5
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. I need signals to join me as soon as possible!
Crude oil support began to move up
Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil exporter, raised official crude prices for Asian buyers. Oil remains in a wide weekly range due to limited demand, increased supply from non-OPEC countries, and potential recessions in the United States and Europe.
Although crude oil broke through yesterday but then pulled above the trend line, it seems that crude oil support began to move up, and then the price rose above the short-term downtrend line. Crude oil is focused on long trading opportunities today
Personal Trading Strategy:
usoil:buy@70.8-71.3 tp72-72.5
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. I need signals to join me as soon as possible!
Analysis of crude oil trading on Monday
Crude oil rose strongly from 68 on Friday to get back the space for the previous decline, affected by the OPEC extended production cut agreement, crude oil at a high level of short strategy last week needs to be adjusted, intraday 72 and 71.3 has become a long support line, but also crude oil can choose to trade the position
At present, the rising trend of crude oil is obvious, today's opening crude oil broke through above 74 and then fell back to adjust, once again giving crude oil room to go long, short-term support level to see 72, short-term upper resistance to see 75
Personal trading strategies:
usoil:buy@72-71.5 tp72.5-73.5
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. I need signals to join me as soon as possible!
Analysis of today's crude oil trading
As oil prices continue to fall, expectations of further OPEC production cuts and a major breakthrough in the US debt ceiling bill may limit the decline in oil prices
The OPEC+ meeting will remain in the spotlight later this weekend, as producers are expected to announce further production cuts to support energy prices
Personal Trading Strategy:
usoil:buy@68-68.2 tp68.6-68.9
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. I need signals to join me as soon as possible!