Go Long Crude and Nat GasCrude bounced smartly off of 79.69 twice, with the 2nd test just happening in the Euro session this morning. It has returned to 80.40ish level. This sets up nice for a move back to 81.80 level to try to break the short at the 61.8% line of the recent downtrend. If it can do that, it will open up further moves to the 83-84 area. And, Nat Gas has went down and tested it's low, not breaking it decisevily. This looks like a range. So, I would cover your short nat gas positions and looks to get long on any further strength that this potential 3.10 - 3.60 range presents.
Usoilong
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailIt is fact that WTI crude oil gained about 10% in October following the OPEC+ decision to cut oil production but it doesn't appear that decision is making a significant impact as the price is unable to break out of the $93.50 area in the last couple of weeks. From a technical standpoint, price action is caught within a consolidation phase between the $93.50 and $86.00 zone to emphasize the indecision in the market as we head into the new week. So, a piece of caution is needed at this juncture in the market as anything could happen here.
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Going higherI have finally cleaned up my chart !
I think usoil will cool down lower before continuing the ascending trend. It can bounce on the yellow line or the green resistance.
It might go a little higher before falling, forming a Shoulder head shoulder. If something happens, it can also go higher directly, altho im not sure what would be a nice target.
What do you think ?
WTI Oil : Upside break out is possible targeting 72-74 Handle As of now trading around 67 area with speculative sentiment index around 20% hence an upside break out is highly possible targeting the 72+ levels coming weeks . However, considering the trade on the last day of month + price around the range top , You can try putting sell limit orders 100-150 pips above the 67 top although success rate will probably very low as the HERD is in mass selling mode.
Trend : Up
Pattern : Possible upside break out
Signal : Buy Dips
Target : 72-74 handle
Trade to try : Sell limit @ 68-68.50
Stop Loss : 69
Target : 63-64
Accuracy : Less than 50%
Crude oil hits our target area, is there more? $62.00??Oil has been on a tear this week and its mainly due to a lot of OPEC/OPEC+ talk. The upside came out on news of production cuts hitting the system shortly and we were anticipating price hitting the $60.00 area or near at least. That target was easily hit this week and now we have to question where could it go from here?
There are two possibilities:
1) The price could regulate and drop back below $58.70 and remain in the $57.00 area based on the weaker volume on these last moves higher and also the fact that the production cut news has already been priced in. It may be deemed overpriced by market participants and we can identify that if the $58.20 level breaks which is the impulse that brought price higher and price continues to drop below that holding it resistance on rotations.
2) Oil prices could continue going up and our target is $62.00. This is based on the current market structure of a strong uptrend. Higher highs and higher lows, for this to continue we can experience a pullback to
$58.60-58.70 based on the previous broken high and then continued move higher.
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only this does not constitute as investment or trading advice. TRADEPRO Academy is not responsible for any market activity.
US Oil1. Slight bounce from demand zone
2. Formed a rising wedge and a break down occured, however buying pressure remains consistent.
3. If we were to open a short, would prefer to see the price lose below the mini demand structure.
4. If closes higher above the wedge, we can look to long.
*I am more long biased, given how the breakdown of the wedge was quite weak.
USOil approaching support, potential bounce! USOIL is approaching our first s support at 60.65 (horizontal overlap support, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, 50% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our first resistance at 67.62 (horizontal overlap resistance, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, 50% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching support and we might see a corresponding bounce in price should it bounce off this level.
CRUDE SHORT1. Pullback to the bear flag created. Good RR ratio.
2. Volume is decreasing on the pullback.
3. Potential double inside bar on the 4 hourly chart.
4. Structure is still holding and candles are unable to close above it.
*Therefore waiting for entry short signal when the lower low of the candle on the 1 hr chart closes below previous low.