USOILSPOT Weekly Analysis: New Perspective and Follow-Up DetailsThe oil market has experienced significant volatility throughout the week, starting with a price spike due to Saudi Arabia's one million barrel production cut, followed by a plunge in prices after the US and Iran denied a temporary nuclear deal.
Despite the highly-publicized Saudi output cut, US Oil prices saw another decline at the end of last week. As we approach the May CPI reading on Tuesday, just a day before the Fed decision, expectations are high for a shift away from the rate hike campaign that began 15 months ago. It is important to note that the central bank faces a resilient US economy that continues to exhibit inflationary tendencies, despite ongoing discussions of a possible recession. How will the market anticipate and react to these upcoming high-impact macroeconomic events?
This video provides a comprehensive technical analysis of USOILSPOT, focusing on key support and resistance levels, as well as trendlines identified in the 4-hour timeframe. By examining these indicators, we aim to gain insights into the potential direction of price action for USOILSPOT in the coming week.
Don't miss out on this insightful technical analysis to enhance your understanding of the future trajectory of USOILSPOT. Stay ahead of the curve by watching this video now!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Usoiloutlook
Short-term bearish crude oil
Crude oil first fell to 70 yesterday, and then rose sharply. It fell and rebounded twice in 4 hours. It is fully in line with the short-term shorting analysis we gave yesterday. Combined with the daily trend, crude oil may rebound, which is very suitable for our short-term shorting. I suggest shorting near 73-73.5, pay attention to the timing of trading departure.
Crude oil trading strategy today:
USOIL:sell@73-73.5 tp72-71.7
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. I need signals to join me as soon as possible!
USOIL: Long position after a downward adjustment to $77
Despite the unexpected drop in API crude oil inventory providing support to oil prices, the hawkish speech by the overnight Federal Reserve Chairman has continued to help the US dollar index soar, which has raised concerns about economic recession and continued to put pressure on oil prices. Although there is a chance for the oil price to rebound and adjust after the overnight plunge.
Looking at the daily chart of USOIL, the upward trend has not been broken, and the support below has continued to rise. Although there is no effective breakthrough above $80, the adjustment range of this downward trend is sufficient, and it is a good opportunity to enter the long position again.
Personal trading strategy: Buy long position near $77-77.5, with the first target at $78.5 and the second target at $80, and pay close attention to the EIA data to be released tonight.
I have in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrencies, foreign exchange, stocks, gold, and crude oil, and I will also update some daily trading strategies. Thank you for your attention and likes. If you have any questions, please feel free to leave a message, and I will provide the most secure advice, hoping to help you.
USOIL: Long position at 79.5
Over the past two weeks, international oil prices have continued to fluctuate upwards, despite the negative signals from changes in US crude oil inventories and little impact on Russian crude oil exports from sanctions. However, these pressures have been unable to overshadow the positive impact of China's economic recovery and resilient risk appetite on oil prices.
The supply gap caused by Russian sanctions on crude oil has been a concern for investors and an important factor supporting oil prices. According to recent media reports, the CEO of crude oil trader Gunvor Group has stated that price ceilings and export bans have not interrupted Russian crude oil exports, and there is an "uncontrolled fleet" shipping Russian crude oil outside the control of Europe and the United States.
Contrary to the negative factors mentioned above, China's economic recovery is one of the important positive factors for international oil prices. Apart from immediate indicators such as the recovery of transportation observed by the market after the relaxation of epidemic prevention measures, some recognized economic data have confirmed the strong rebound of China's economy, such as the official PMI and Caixin PMI last week. Goldman Sachs previously predicted that as China's economy recovers, oil prices may return to $100 per barrel.
China's latest trade data released today showed a trade surplus of $116.88 billion for January-February, down 6.8% year-on-year, better than the expected decline of 9.4%; imports fell by 10.2% year-on-year, worse than the expected decline of 5.5%. From the sub-item data, China's crude oil imports in January-February fell by 1.25% year-on-year (about 1.07 million tons), but imports of refined oil increased by 14.4% year-on-year (about 0.67 million tons). The recent strong risk appetite has also provided support for the rise of international oil prices.
The daily chart shows that crude oil has broken through the downtrend line starting from January 27th, and after yesterday's fluctuations, it has broken through the 80 level, which may open up space for further upward movement. Although there may be adjustments during the day, if it can hold the support near the 80 level, it will maintain the prospect of further bullishness. If expectations are met, subsequent upward movements will target the recent months' high of 83 and the downward pressure line since July last year of 84.
Personal trading recommendation: Enter a long position near $79.5, with the first target at $81.5 and the second target at $82.5. Whether crude oil can effectively stand above $80 in the near future is crucial. If there are any changes in the market situation, I will update it in a timely manner. Please continue to follow my strategy and leave me a message if you have any questions. I hope this can help everyone.
Why has USOIL skyrocketed?
Yellow leaves give up the trunk in anticipation of the verdant spring; candles sacrifice their perfect bodies to have a lifetime of brightness; and the mind lets go of the mundane clamor to embrace tranquility. Only by letting go can one free their hands and seize true happiness and joy that belong to them. Learning to let go is essential to living a fulfilling life.
Now, let's analyze the reasons for the USOIL rise on Friday:
Middle East conflict: Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have conflicts over multiple issues. The most significant disagreement is related to Yemen. The UAE is seeking to build a military base and runway on an island at the southern end of the Red Sea in the Mandeb Strait. However, Saudi Arabia has refused. Sources also indicate that the UAE has been urging OPEC+ to allow for increased oil production, but Saudi Arabia has remained steadfast in its refusal. In the end, the UAE publicly and privately indicated that it would adhere to the current OPEC+ agreement for at least this year. Therefore, this led to a significant rebound in crude oil prices after the initial sharp drop. However, it is important to continue monitoring the situation to see if the development of events will persist, which represents the primary risk.
Sudden incidents: At least 12 people died in a pipeline explosion in Nigeria. On March 3, the Rivers State Police Department issued a statement saying that a segment of an oil pipeline in a village in the Imoha area of the state caught fire and exploded in the early morning. At the time of the accident, local residents were stealing oil from the pipeline, and it is believed that the burnt-out cars found at the scene belong to the oil thieves. The police are investigating the cause of the accident. This is a bullish factor for crude oil since Nigeria produces 1.44 million barrels per day, and the already repaired production may once again be affected.
Data release: In the week ending March 3, the total number of oil drilling rigs in the United States was 592, compared to an expected 602 and a previous value of 600. This data is bullish for USOIL.
From a technical perspective, USOIL was oscillating within the 76-78 range, but due to the impact of sudden events and data, the trend broke through upwards, and the trend turned bullish. It is worth emphasizing that USOIL belongs to the energy and strategic resources sector, and many events can lead to dramatic price fluctuations. Therefore, it is important to pay attention not only to technical analysis but also to the impact of news. In the short term, we will focus on whether 80.60 can form an effective breakthrough. If the resistance above is strong, the trend will fall back to around 78.60, and then we can lay out a long position in line with the trend.
In the short term, the USOIL market is not stable, and cautious investors should observe mainly and wait for the impact of news to dissipate before laying out a more secure technical strategy. I will provide specific operation suggestions timely, and feel free to leave me a message if you have any questions. Thank you for your attention and support.
USOIL is shorted at 77.6
USOIL released the EIA data half an hour ago, which showed bearish news for USOIL. However, the market saw an uptrend mainly due to the fact that the data, although higher than expected, was lower than the previous value, which is actually bullish for USOIL. This rebound was also within expectations.
However, after the data release, the market is expected to return to the trend. Therefore, it is recommended to short USOIL on rallies.
Trading suggestion: short at 77.5, take profit at 76.2 and 75.5, stop loss at 78.2.
I have in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrencies, forex, stocks, gold, and crude oil. I also provide regular updates on trading strategies. Thank you for your attention and likes. If you have any questions, please leave me a message, and I will give the most reliable advice to help you.
USOIL - 240 MINS TIMEFRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for the this to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument.
Note: its my view only and its for educational purpose only. only who has got knowledge in this strategy will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. we anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive moves).
Just ride the bullish or bearish impulsive move.
buy low and sell high concept. buy at cheaper price and sell at expensive price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments respectful.
Thanks for your support....
USOIL - Long Opportunity Hello guys,
Oil closes above the resistance on the monthly time frame and as per fundamentals the crisis in UK & energy crisis in China also indicating the demand side is strong.
I am very much Bullish on OIL and will take the Long Opportunity once found the proper confirmation.
USOIL for a 2nd Flag? 🦐USOIL after our last analysis broke the 1 st flag and moved above the structure at 45.50 and currently retesting it.
The price after the break retests the 0.5 fib level of the previous impulse exactly over the support.
IF the market will move as in the drawings with a nice bullish impulse we will be ready to place a nice long order according to Plancton's strategy.
--––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis, please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Leave a comment that is helpful or encouraging. Let's master the markets together.
USOIL | MY PERSPECTIVE FOR THE WEEKThe USOIL is one commodity that attracted my interest in the last couple of months as I have executed some profitable positions within this period of time hence decided to do a publication after noticing that the commodity remains on track to close the second straight week in positive figures as the price keeps bouncing off my Demand zone.
Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish )
Structure: Trendline | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. The line drawn under pivot lows (beginning of the month - August 2020) emphasizes the prevailing direction of price.
ii. Buying pressure appears to be building on momentum since price broke out of Key level at the beginning of the moth to make 50.0% retracement into zone with a positive signal of a possible rally written everywhere!
iii. The spring of a Bullish engulfing candle from Demand zone on Friday teases me to look out for a sensitive Support level to hop in the rally in the coming week as I eye 127.2 for my target @ $45.
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:2.5
Potential Duration: 4 to 10 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and NFTI takes no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
NFT&I does not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USO ETF Resumes Trading Oil Futures - 155% Price IncreaseFollowing temporary suspension of trading new oil futures contracts for all institutional and private customers by USO's broker RBC, USO has secured a second broker, RCG, to allow the trading of new oil futures contracts by USO , effective May 29, 2020.
In addition to the buying and selling of new oil futures contracts under RCG, USO still maintains full rollover capabilities of preexisting oil futures contracts, prior to May 23, 2020, maintained, and brokered, under RBC .
From the market low of $16.88 on April 28, 2020, USO has seen a 155% increase on price, as of June 2, 2020.
With economic recovery, and an increased demand for oil , poised to dominate the summer season, outlooks for holders of USO ETF are promising.
Crudeoil (USOIL WTI) AnalysisJust my opinion on what market might currently be doing. If market does get to 58, then i will wait a while to see what market does before deciding on next move. Enter and exit at your own risk.
This could be happening
DISCLAIMER
Please note that this chart is an opinion based chart only. Please trade at your own risk
USOIL Daily SetupOn previous week USOIL (WTI) broke dawn upward channel, because we had news that OPEC are increasing oil production.
Price technically could make a PullBeack to Sell zone $71. There we can catch Swing move down to key buy level $58.18
The best place for short is near $71. It is a place where price broke down channel. S/L set higher $72.
Under this post in comments you will see a link on my telegram channel where i post more free signals
Daily Outlook of USOILUSOIL the pair traded in bullish trend , After API surprised markets with a 1.1-million-barrel build in crude oil inventories yesterday, the EIA reinforced the mood by reporting a 2.2-million-barrel build for the week to April 20,The effect of EIA’s latest inventory report on oil prices would be interesting to watch; API’s figures seemed to remind market players that not all fundamentals are bullish for oil, with U.S. oil production continuing to be the main headwind for OPEC’s plans to push up prices higher.
In addition to fundamentals, there has been a shift in geopolitical sentiment after France’s president Emmanuel Macron yesterday called for a new Iran deal, Oil prices were rising steadily at the start of trading on Tuesday, but quickly went into reverse after the comments from Macron and Trump. At the start of a meeting, Trump called the Iran deal “terrible,” “insane,” and “ridiculous.” President Trump will announce his decision about the Iran deal on May 12.
As technically the pair trading in under trend range with the strong and support resistance, we can see a short fall to test 66.50/66.10 before going to rally to wards 70.00.
USOIL Buy on Triangle breakout In daily Candle USOIL LOOK Like going to downside
but in 4 hour it create continue pattern ( triangle )
if break this triangle this going to up ,,
stop loss below 51.60 buy at traingle breakout and tp is 54
Trade with care and happy trading
Good luck
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CL Monthly Technical Outlook - 9th July 2016From a technical perspective, the oil price has turned quite interesting since the start of a new trading month. The chart below shows the monthly rolling oil contract chart where June’s price action closed in a doji. It gains significance following three straight months of gains. The monthly Stochastics also shows the hidden bearish divergence currently playing out, as prices form a lower (June) high at $51.66 and the higher Stochastics while, the higher (May 2015) high at $62.51 and the subsequent lower high in the Stochs.
In the near term, oil prices could remain range bound within 48/49 and 44/45 levels.
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/CL - Comex Market Analysis and Trading Tips - 28th June 2016Overview:
The Crude oil market had a fairly negative day on Monday, as market continue to worry about all things European Union and United Kingdom related. The primary trend of Crude oil is bearish on charts. On its 4 hourly chart, market is trading below 100 days moving average. It is having important resistance at the level of $48.12 and support level at the level of $46.50. On its 4 hourly charts, MACD is sustaining in its negative territory and RSI is sustaining in its selling zone indicating the upcoming bearish trend in the oil prices. On an intraday basis one can go for sell on higher level strategy.
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CRUDE LONG WEEKLY VIEWWe expect CRUDE to rise.
STOCH RSI is rising.
RSI is rising.
CCI is rising.
We expect crude to stay long above: 34.77 SL: 34.48 TGT 01: 35.59 TGT 02: 35.91 TGT 03:36.91
Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.