USOIL:Trading strategy
Oil has been fluctuating narrowly today, so today's trading is sold short when it reaches resistance, and bought when it reaches support. As long as you are not greedy, then you can make a profit today.
But the general direction of oil is still short selling, because it is still suppressed by the daily line and has not reached the support point.
Usoil Short-term trading:
Usoil:buy79.55-78.8 TP:80.3-80.6 SL: 78.3
In the long run, it is more risky not to fall to the support level, so you must strictly set the stop loss.
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Usoilprediction
Crude oil: bottoming trend again
The main reason for crude oil to look down is: the rebound for several consecutive days touched the pressure and fell back. Or a more bullish view is the sub-wave 2 adjustment in the midst of 3 waves and 5 rises. Crude oil pressure 80.65~81.10, support 79.70~79~78.60.
Crude oil operation is recommended to enter at 81.1, take profit at 79.6, target at 79.2~79.5, and take profit at 80.3 (the point may be revised as the market changes during the session, and the real-time strategy shall prevail)
USOIL:Trading strategy
Oil rose first and then fell today. It has been fluctuating near the lower edge of the rising channel, and now it is finally falling.
Now the downward trend is obvious, as long as it rebounds above 82, you can try to sell short.
Usoil Today's trade building:
Usoil:sell81.7-82.3 TP:81.5-80.8 sl:82.8
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Crude oil: peaking again
Crude oil should have mentioned that it will rebound, and the rebound trend is not small. It has already come out this time. From the indicators, the high point of this rebound is around 82. If the peak trend remains unchanged, this Nearby is more difficult to break.
Moreover, crude oil is negatively correlated with the U.S. dollar in a certain trend. The sharp rise of the U.S. dollar will also affect the price of crude oil. Gold is in a weak position, but crude oil is due to factors such as production cuts and expectations of interest rate hikes. The price of crude oil continues to soar, but still the same sentence, the reduction in interest rate hike expectations has been large enough. As long as there is something that is not conducive to the suspension of interest rate hikes, the interest rate hike expectations will still rise, and crude oil will be under pressure.
Strategy: 81.7 buy up 83.4 buy down
The demand for crude oil is expected to increase, but crude oil is not the same as gold after all. Crude oil has no currency attribute after all. Although it also has a hedging attribute, it is still not as strong as gold, and the aspects that can be affected are not as extensive as gold, so the demand for crude oil The expected increase in volume is also a matter of this year, but the price will not be too inclined.
USOIL:summary
Oil is the same as I expected. It has fallen below the five-day line since Monday and fell below the rising channel on Wednesday. I judge that oil will be adjusted this week, so this week's strategy is to sell short if it rebounds.
But before the close of trading on Friday, it rose again by 81.35 to reach the lower edge of the rising channel, so next week we must look again and wait for the market to make a new choice.
We will trade oil cautiously next Monday and wait for the trend to be obvious before trading, so that we will be safer.
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USOIL:Trading strategy
Yesterday, as I expected, after the oil fell below the rising channel, it fell directly to 79, but as long as it fell, it would be repeated and would not fall directly.
Now oil has rebounded to 81, but as long as it does not rise to 81.5 and stands firm, then the current rebound is for a better decline.
Usoil Today's trade building:
Usoil:sell81.1-81.5 TP:80.5-79.8 sl:82.3
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Navigating the Unpredictable Oil Market: A Call to Closely Monit
Introduction:
In recent months, the global economy has been grappling with the unprecedented challenges brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic. As the world slowly recovers, the Federal Reserve's recent statements regarding inflationary pressures have sparked concerns about the demand for energy, particularly oil. This article aims to shed light on the potential impact of these developments on the oil market and urges traders to adopt a cautious approach while closely monitoring oil prices.
Understanding the Federal Reserve's Inflation Concerns:
The Federal Reserve, in its efforts to stabilize the economy, has expressed concerns over the possibility of inflation not receding as quickly as anticipated. Rising inflation can have far-reaching consequences, dampening consumer spending power and reducing energy demand. As traders, it is crucial to recognize that the oil market is not immune to these potential repercussions.
The Interplay Between Inflation and Oil Demand:
Historically, inflationary pressures have often led to decreased demand for energy as businesses and consumers adjust their spending habits. Higher prices for goods and services can strain budgets, leading to reduced discretionary spending on energy-intensive activities. Consequently, this can impact the demand for oil and its derivatives, causing fluctuations in the market.
The Importance of Monitoring Oil Prices:
Given the uncertain economic landscape, traders must monitor the price of oil closely. By watching market trends and developments, traders can gain valuable insights into the potential impact of inflation on energy demand. This information can help inform trading strategies and enable traders to adapt to changing market dynamics effectively.
Call to Action: Exercise Caution and Stay Informed
As traders, it is essential to approach the current oil market with caution and prudence. The Federal Reserve's concerns regarding inflationary pressures should serve as a reminder that the energy sector may experience volatility in the coming months. Therefore, we strongly encourage you to closely monitor oil prices, market indicators, and economic news to make informed trading decisions.
By staying informed and maintaining a vigilant watch on oil prices, traders can better navigate the potential challenges of inflationary pressures. Consider utilizing reliable sources of market information, engaging with industry experts, and leveraging data-driven analysis to stay ahead of the curve.
Conclusion:
In an era of economic uncertainty, monitoring oil prices becomes paramount for traders seeking to optimize their strategies. The Federal Reserve's concerns about inflation not receding as quickly as expected underscore the need for caution and vigilance. By closely following oil prices and staying informed about market developments, traders can position themselves advantageously and make informed decisions in the face of potential fluctuations in demand for energy.
USOIL - Long from bullish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for long. I want price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from 1H bullish order block.
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USOIL:Trading strategy
Oil is currently falling below the rising channel again. If it cannot rebound above 82.3, I judge that oil will fluctuate and fall.
Usoil Today's trade building:
Usoil:sell81.8-82.4 TP:81.3-80.8 sl:82.75
If it rises to 82.7 again, then this time it will be a decline in the rise, and it will return to the rise channel again.
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Direct shorting of crude oil in the US market
For crude oil, the daily trend is long, and the direction of the one-hour period is short. The operation idea is bearish at high altitude. Crude oil prices fell below the 82.5 line and then formed a downward step, and the shorts rebounded to the 82.0 line and then went up. The current price stopped at the 83.1 line and began short-term consolidation. The five-minute cycle top form formed after the price fell to the 82.75 line. So far, the opportunity to go short again has appeared in the operation, and the five-minute short-selling conforms to the one-hour cycle. The current price may be short at 82.75, which is bearish short-term before the low 80 line.
Specific operation: the current price of crude oil is 82.75 short, the stop loss is 8.7, and the target is 80.
USOIL: 14/8 crude oil analysisLast Friday, crude oil technically showed the characteristics of minor shocks, recovery and recovery. However, the price in the Asian-European trading stage then fluctuated and fell back and fell rapidly, and then stabilized and rebounded after piercing the 82.3 line. In the U.S. market in the evening, the price rose slowly to 83.7 and fell back under pressure, and finally closed around the 83 mark with shocks. The volatility throughout the day is not large, and the price fluctuates back and forth around the 82.2-83.7 range. From a technical point of view, the overall price shows a trend of finishing within a high and narrow range. Even so, the short-term trend is still suppressed by the 84 mark, and stagflation is observed in the short-term period. If crude oil prices fail to make a strong breakthrough today and reach the 84 mark, from a technical point of view, there may still be expectations of an adjustment and a fall. In the upper part, the short-term pressure area is concentrated around 83.8-84. If the market fails to break through here and stand firm, it may trigger a downward trend again, forming a trend of shocks and declines. Below, the support zone is around 81.7-81.5. In intraday trading, investors can first sell high and buy low in this range to seize the opportunity of shock operation.
Crude oil operation strategy: rebound to 83.5-83.8 short, stop loss 60pips, target below 82.0.
Crude oil operation strategy: Step back to 81.3-81.6 to go long, stop loss 60pips, target above 83.3.
Crude oil: high, short-term first look at the fall
Judging from the current price action, crude oil bulls have encountered a slight resistance, indicating that the market may start to weaken. After experiencing a wave of unilateral gains, the crude oil market was challenged at the 85 level, which may be due to a certain degree of exhaustion in the market, which led to a slight correction. Despite market concerns about an economic slowdown, demand remains resilient, and the fundamentals of the crude oil market look much more optimistic than a month ago. At the same time, due to OPEC+ and Saudi production cuts, supply is decreasing, and short-term crude oil prices may hit 85 again.
When the price encountered obstacles near the upper track and fell back, the price rose twice and failed to stand on the 85 line. There are signs of a short-term fall. The price fall is just a normal correction in the process of rising, and it does not mean that the direction is reversed. Watch the market The price retraces slightly, and there is a risk of continuing to go lower. In the short term, we will first see a wave of decline, and then continue to continue the upward trend. The price fell below the first-line support of the middle rail, and there is a possibility of further decline. In the short-term within the day, we need to pay attention to the support near 82.5 below. Once the price falls below this position, it is possible to step back on the first-line 81.8. In terms of short-term operation ideas, we should first take a wave of prices Stepping back, focus on the resistance in the 82.8-83 area above.
Operating strategy: rebound in the 82.8-83 area and short, stop loss 83.4, target 81.8
Oil Drops After Weak China - A Cautionary Call to Pause on Oil II am writing to you today with a sense of concern and urgency regarding recent developments in the oil market. As you may already know, oil prices have taken a significant hit following the release of weak economic data from China, a key player in the global oil market.
The recent slump in China's economic growth and the uncertain property market have sent shockwaves through the oil industry. As a result, oil prices have experienced a slight decline, leaving many investors worried about the future trajectory of this crucial commodity.
Given the current circumstances, we must take a step back and reassess our investment strategies in the oil market. While oil has historically been a lucrative investment avenue, the current volatility and uncertainty demand a more cautious approach.
Therefore, I encourage you to pause any immediate oil investments and carefully evaluate the potential risks involved. It is crucial to consider the following factors before making any further decisions:
1. China's Economic Slowdown: China's economic growth has been slowing down, and this recent data only adds to the concerns. As the world's largest oil importer, any further deterioration in China's economy could profoundly impact oil demand, leading to a prolonged period of low oil prices.
2. Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade tensions between the United States and China have already caused disruptions in global trade patterns. Any escalation in these tensions could further dampen oil demand and negatively impact prices.
In light of these factors, I strongly advise taking a cautious approach and closely monitoring the developments in the oil market. Diversifying your portfolio and exploring alternative investment opportunities less exposed to the risks associated with the current oil market conditions may be prudent.
Remember, it is always better to prioritize capital preservation during uncertain times rather than chasing short-term gains. By exercising caution and patience, we can better navigate the unpredictable nature of the market and protect our investments in the long run.
Please get in touch with me with any further questions or concerns in the comment section below. Together, we can navigate this challenging period and make informed decisions that align with our investment goals.
USOIL:summary
Oil adjusted yesterday, but in the end it did not break the support point and returned to the upward channel again.
My forecast for next week is still mainly volatility, focusing on resistance and support points.
Reach the support point to buy up, reach the resistance point to sell down, next week I will remind everyone again how to trade according to the market trend.
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Are Oil Bulls Too Confident? Proceed with CautionIntroduction:
The oil market has recently witnessed a remarkable recovery, leading many traders to adopt a bullish stance. However, exercising caution and carefully evaluating the current situation is crucial before making any hasty investment decisions. While Russia and Saudi Arabia have committed to significant production cuts, various factors could potentially impact the oil market's stability. This article aims to shed light on the potential risks and rewards of keeping oil in your portfolio, urging traders to approach this situation cautiously.
1. The OPEC+ Production Cuts
2. Geopolitical Uncertainties
3. Global Economic Recovery
4. Transition to Renewable Energy
Call-to-Action:
Considering the potential risks and rewards, traders must approach the oil market cautiously. While Russia and Saudi Arabia's commitment to production cuts provide some stability, the market remains vulnerable to various factors. Therefore, it is recommended to maintain a diversified portfolio that includes oil investments but also incorporates other sectors that may benefit from the global economic recovery and renewable energy transition.
By staying well-informed, monitoring geopolitical developments, and assessing the pace of economic recovery, traders can make informed decisions about their oil investments. Remember, a cautious approach will help mitigate potential risks and maximize opportunities in this ever-changing market.
In conclusion, traders must exercise caution when considering oil investments. While production cuts and other positive factors provide stability, the market remains susceptible to geopolitical uncertainties, global economic recovery, and the long-term shift toward renewable energy. By maintaining a balanced and diversified portfolio, traders can navigate these challenges and position themselves strategically for potential gains.
Keep oil in your portfolio, but do so cautiously, keeping a watchful eye on market dynamics, emerging trends, and geopolitical developments.
Crude Oil Analysis TodayCrude oil tested high yesterday and fell back. First, the inertia rushed above 85.3 and was under pressure. The European and American markets oscillated and backtested and corrected. Finally, the daily line harvested the Xiaoyin K line. After the daily yang line turned to the small yin K line for correction, the current space is enough to form the top, which is only regarded as a partial callback correction. The upward trend is slowing down, and after the correction, it will regain its momentum to rise again, but it will become volatile in the short term, changing from a strong rise to a slow rise in shock. Today's weekly line ends. Pay attention to the rhythm of the short-term, it should be to step back first, then start to stabilize and slowly recover the lost ground. The 4-hour chart is in a partial correction in the rising wave, and the indicators in the attached picture are in the overbought area to be digested.
At present, the whole is running above the upward trend line, and today's short-term may step back to confirm the support of the upward trend line. The European and American markets started to rebound again. The support points are mainly concentrated at 82-81.5. There is still a certain distance at present, and of course strong corrections may not reach it. At present, it is necessary to wait for the magnitude of the correction. The main idea is to maintain the low and many positions after the backtest, but the long position should be rearranged according to the intraday pattern. After all, there has been a partial correction in the small cycle. Coupled with the closing of the week, the short-term may enter a volatile ending. In terms of operation, it is subject to the market, and the tentative thinking is to wait for the step back and then go long.
Crude oil operation strategy: SELL84.1-84.5 short, stop loss 60pips, target below 83.
Crude oil operation strategy: step back to more than 81.6-82, stop loss 60pips, target above 83.5.
The current crude oil spread is large, stop loss friends and the entry position can be set to 60pips
Is the Oil Trend Cooling Off? IEA Report LoomsIntroduction:
As the global energy landscape evolves, the oil market has long been a focal point for traders seeking lucrative investment opportunities. However, recent developments and the impending release of the International Energy Agency's (IEA) report have raised concerns about the future of oil investments. This article explores the potential cooling off of the oil trend and advocates a cautious approach to oil investing.
1. The Changing Dynamics of Energy
2. The Impending IEA Report
3. Volatility and Uncertainty
4. Diversification and Alternative Investments
Considering the current uncertainties surrounding the oil market and the imminent release of the IEA report, we urge traders to pause and re-evaluate their oil investments. It is essential to carefully assess the potential risks and align investment strategies with the changing dynamics of the energy sector. Exploring alternative investment opportunities that align with sustainability and renewable energy can offer long-term growth potential while reducing exposure to oil market volatility.
Conclusion:
The oil trend may be cooling off as the world transitions towards cleaner energy sources. With the IEA report looming, caution is advised when it comes to oil investments. By diversifying portfolios and exploring alternative energy sectors, traders can position themselves to adapt to the evolving energy landscape and potentially capitalize on emerging investment opportunities. Now is the time to re-evaluate investment strategies and embrace a cautious approach toward oil investing.
USOIL:10/8 crude oil analysis,uptrend unchangedAt the beginning of the Asian market on August 10 (Thursday), U.S. crude oil was around $84.4 per barrel; U.S. oil hit a new high in nearly four months on Wednesday, and Brent crude oil hit the highest level since January. Production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia outweighed concerns about slowing demand in Asia. U.S. crude oil inventories climbed last week, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell as oil exports fell sharply, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday. Crude inventories jumped 5.9 million barrels last week to 445.6 million barrels, with inventories at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub rising by 159,000 barrels in the week ended Aug. 4. Yesterday, the technical aspects of oil prices relied on the 82.9 mark as a whole and continued the trend of extremely strong bulls pulling up and breaking through the high. Breaking through the 84.8 first line quickly fell back to the 83 integer mark and then rebounded to a strong close above 84. The daily K-line reported a shock and broke the high school sun. Around -82.8, the intraday retracement relies on this position to continue to be bullish and then bullish. The upper target level continues to focus on breaking through the high. The recent bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 82.5 mark. Stepping back is an opportunity to do more.
Crude oil operation strategy: rebound to 85.6-85.9 empty, stop loss 60pips, target below 84.1.
Crude oil operation strategy: Step back to more than 83.2-83.5, stop loss 60pips, target above 85.5.
There is a large difference in the quotations of crude oil contracts, SL friends and the entry position can be set to 60pips
Crude oil: today's trend
Crude oil once again hit a new high point, and the strength was in a mess. Even though the price fell after a surge in the U.S. session, it eventually rose again. This is why I have not been doing short orders recently. Your entry point may not be ideal, but you can still exit with a profit. Although the announced increase in crude oil inventories, the sharp reduction in refined oil inventories has helped the bulls in oil prices. At present, there is no sign of crude oil turning around, so you need to be cautious when buying short orders at the top.
Crude oil unilaterally rises, step back and go long today9/8Daily level, rising unilaterally; oil prices have continued to rise since the end of June, and are currently encountering strong resistance near the April high of 83.51. They have risen and held for two consecutive trading days, and closed close to the "cross star" K line on Monday, further reflecting the upper resistance Stronger, the short-term faces greater callback pressure, and even the risk of peaking. After the MACD diverges from the high level, there is a dead cross trend. The KDJ dead cross signal continues. The initial support below is around the 10-day moving average 81.14, and then the support near the 80 integer mark , The strong support is near the 21-day moving average of 78.5988, and the support at the low point last week is also near this position. If this support is lost, it will increase the bearish signal in the market outlook. The initial resistance above is around the intraday high of 82.47. If it can break through this position, it will weaken the short-term bearish signal; if it can break through the resistance around 83.51 strongly, you need to beware of the short-term rapid pull up of the market after the short-term is stopped. For resistance, refer to the position near the low of 84.70 on November 10. On the whole, the short-term operation of crude oil today is recommended to step back on the low and buy, and rebound and short for caution.
Crude oil operation strategy:
Rebound to 83.2-83.5 short, stop loss 83.9, near TP81.8.
Step back to 81-81.3 to do more, stop loss 80.5, near TP82.5.
USOIL:Trading strategy
International oil prices have risen continuously, from 67 in June to the current 83, a full 22% increase in more than a month, which has also caused a significant increase in international energy costs.Domestic oil prices have been raised many times in a row.
However, this year's high is around 83.5. In the past more than a year, it has failed to break through six consecutive upward surges. This time, it is difficult to say that it will rise directly.Therefore, after oil prices have reached a high level, the shock has begun to intensify, and it is obvious that the previous long funds have begun to retreat.
Usoil Today's trade building:
Usoil:sell84-84.3 TP:83.7-83.2
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USOIL:Trading strategy
Oil failed to continue the previous long trend on Monday, and the market fell into a stage of consolidation.
Yesterday was consistent with the trend I expected, but the rebound was not strong. Today, it has fallen below yesterday's 81.6 support, so it is now in the adjustment stage. The current support is 80.8. If it falls below 80.8 today and tomorrow, then it can be judged that the long-term upward trend has officially entered the adjustment stage.
Usoil Today's trade building:
Usoil:buy80.8-81.3 TP:81.8-82.3
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