World oil prices are in the process of accumulationWorld oil fees extended 2% at the buying and selling consultation on June 6, after the European Central Bank (ECB) determined to reduce hobby fees, elevating hopes that americaA Federal Reserve (Fed) will comparable action.
Meanwhile, ministers from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, called OPEC+, reassured traders that the ultra-modern oil output settlement should alternate relying at the situation. into the marketplace.
At the quit of this consultation, Brent North Sea crude oil charge extended through 1.forty six USD, equal to 1.86%, to 79.87 USD/barrel. The charge of US mild candy oil (WTI) extended through 1.forty eight USD, equal to 2%, to 75.fifty five USD/barrel.
On June 6, the ECB carried out the primary hobby charge reduce on account that 2019, mentioning development in pushing lower back inflation, however caution of inflationary strain withinside the Copper Area. Euro (Eurozone) continues.
Specifically, the ECB diminished hobby fees through 25 foundation points, to 3.75%, after maintaining hobby fees unchanged from October 2023.
Lower gas charges and easing post-pandemic deliver constraints have helped push inflation right all the way down to 2.6% withinside the 20 nations that use the euro, from 10% on the quit of 2022.
Investors are actually much less sure than they had been some weeks in the past that inflation has fallen sufficient for the ECB to adopt a large-scale economic coverage easing cycle. In americaA, economists expect the Fed will reduce hobby fees in September 2024.
The range of Americans submitting preliminary unemployment claims rose closing week and hard work charges rose much less withinside the first area of 2024 than forecast, the Labor Department stated. While this indicates americaA hard work marketplace is cooling, it's miles not going to spark off the Fed to begin slicing hobby fees.
Meanwhile, buying and selling company Trafigura`s leader economist Saad Rahim stated OPEC+'s choice to steadily raise a few manufacturing cuts, blended with sturdy gas supplies, had driven oil fees down. reduced withinside the beyond few sessions.
Saudi Arabia's Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman stated on June 6 that OPEC+ should pause or opposite the growth in manufacturing if it reveals that the marketplace isn't sturdy sufficient./.
Usoilprediction
USOil moving lower**Monthly Chart**
Last month candle closed bearish after testing the low of key reversal candle of the previous month and started moving lower. The next target on monthly is around 71 level and then 63 level respectively.
**Weekly Chart**
Last week's candle closed as a bearish key reversal suggesting a continuation of the downtrend move.
**Daily Chart**
USOil broke the relative equal high of the range with the creation of manipulation candles at around 80 levels. The next target is to break the soft level of supports around 75.50 level and move aggressively lower. A corrective move around 78.00 level is required to push the price lower. The next target is around the 72 to 70 level.
USOIL: Current oil prices are widening their fluctuation rangeUSOIL: Current oil costs are widening their fluctuation range. The short-time period upward fashion because of climate facts in North America and Texas reasons short-time period worries approximately oil output on this region. However, withinside the future, oil costs will nevertheless generally tend to lower and watch for bulletins from OPEC+. We can see that individuals of OPEC+ and Russia have all proven symptoms and symptoms of growing production, so the chance of a lower in oil costs is surprisingly high. Consider promoting across the modern rate range. Target is 76$/1 barrel
USOIL: Short-term oil prices are on the way to recovering to $80USOIL: Short-time period oil fees are at the manner to convalescing to BSE:EIGHTY because the marketplace is presently watching for the subsequent OPEC+ meeting. However, the chance of a lower is fantastically excessive due to the fact OPEC+ nations have nearly all showed the growth in production. This will probably reason oil fees to drop even lower. Consider ready to promote with USOIL around BSE:EIGHTY with the anticipated goal to go back to $75-76
USOIL: Oil prices have turned downUSOIL: Oil fees have became down. In the fast time period, there are symptoms and symptoms of breaking the preceding growing channel. Besides, the fast-time period accumulation region around $77 -seventy nine is likewise displaying a main weak point withinside the context that OPEC+ has finished its discount goal and is making plans to boom production. In the fast-time period destiny scenario, it's far in all likelihood that OIL will drop to deeper charge levels. You can watch to promote with short-time period expectancies of around $75/1 barrel.
A must-read for trading oil
If you are a friend who likes to trade oil, you can do a rebound at 77.5-77.8. Combined with the trend channel, oil will rebound to a certain extent after falling. For ultra-short-term trading, you can also buy to earn the difference.
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Sell oil. A must read if trading oil.
In terms of oil, after the news of substantial persistence came to light. Oil prices have been trending downward. This is true in the medium term and also in the short term. Currently, the top of 79 serves as a pressure position and is a good selling point. The small-level target below is around the price of 77.5.
Operations are still focused on selling.
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Oil price real-time trading details
Oil prices are currently back at low levels, supported by the June production cut agreement. In the short term, buying is still the main focus, taking the price of tradingview as an example. 78.2-78.5 is used as the buying range.
The target can be set at 79.6-80.5.
Usoil-analyze
Yesterday I thought oil would reach 79.5, and I thought that if oil closed at 79, the probability of rising today would be high, but the highest it could only reach 79.2.
After my analysis today, I believe that oil started to fall from 87.6, reached as low as 77, and finally fell to around 76.9, a total drop of almost 11, so I judge that oil has some room for repair.
My short term goal is 79.5-80, let's see if we can get there
Today's closing price is also very important. If it can break through 79.2 and stand firm, the probability of oil continuing to rise tomorrow will increase, and it may even reach 81. If today's closing price is below 79.2, oil may continue to fluctuate between 77-80.
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USOIL - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I wait price to continue the retracement to fulfill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block.
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USOIL
In the 4-hour timeframe, USOIL exhibits a bullish trajectory, marked by an ascending channel formation and the emergence of a bullish flag pattern. An optimal strategy would be to wait for a completion of at least 50% retracement before considering entry, ensuring a more favorable risk-reward ratio. Monitoring key support and resistance levels within this pattern can further refine entry and exit points for potential trades.
Usoil-analysis and ideas
As can be seen from the chart, two great resistance points formed near 87.6, which can mean that the short-term top of oil is slowly beginning to form. The previous idea was to call back to around 83.5, or even reach 80-82. The short-term decline was too fast, so I I think there will be a certain rebound, reaching 83-83.5, and then continuing to fall.
The current trend has verified my last idea. This is the latest idea for your reference. Join me and make money with me.
Why I Expect 200 Dollar USOIL Wti CrudeUsing momentum indicators (keltner channel) I've been watching this weekly rally and recent correction. Using the close, and the last wave, oil price could climb to astronomical levels in USD. There is a momentum shift of the correction, and the bull market for oil appears to be underway. At this pace, 200 by june is not far fetched. I expect the Dollar to lose significant strength, and costly measures enforced as an abysmal attempt to stifle inflation. Soon interest payments will become the largest expense if it hasn't already. There is much reason to worry about world markets right about now.
Larger Pattern Breakout
and here is the shift up close on the weekly:
This is not financial advice.
Oil Prices Surge on Rising Tensions in the Middle EastOil prices surged today, reaching their highest level since October 2023, amid heightened geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. The increase comes as Israel braces for a potential retaliatory strike from Iran following a recent Israeli attack on an Iranian diplomatic compound in Syria.
This latest development adds another layer of uncertainty to the already volatile global oil market. Concerns about potential disruptions to oil supplies from the Middle East, a region that accounts for roughly one-third of the world's crude oil output, are driving prices higher.
Rising Tensions Fuel Oil Price Rally
News reports, citing sources familiar with the matter, suggest that Israel is preparing for a possible attack from Iran or its proxies in the coming days. This follows the Israeli airstrike on the Iranian diplomatic compound in Syria last week, which was widely seen as a significant escalation of tensions between the two nations.
The United States and its allies believe that a major missile attack by Iran is imminent. This perceived threat of a wider conflict in the Middle East has sent shockwaves through the oil market. Investors are concerned that any military confrontation could disrupt oil production and exports from the region, leading to a significant supply shortfall.
This perception of risk is reflected in the options market, where traders are actively buying call options – contracts that give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to purchase oil at a certain price by a certain date. The increased demand for call options suggests that many investors are anticipating a further rise in oil prices.
Analysts Weigh In: Bullish vs. Cautious
Analysts are divided on the potential impact of the current situation on oil prices. Some, like those at Commerzbank, believe that a direct confrontation between Israel and Iran would be a "game-changer" for the oil market, leading to a significant and sustained price increase.
Others, however, are taking a more cautious approach. The International Energy Agency (IEA) released its monthly report today, downgrading its outlook for global oil demand this year and next. The report cites the ongoing economic slowdown in China, the world's largest oil importer, as a key factor behind the downward revision.
Beyond the Middle East: Other Factors at Play
While the Israel-Iran tensions are currently the dominant factor driving oil prices higher, it's important to remember that other factors are also at play in the global oil market.
• Limited Spare Capacity: OPEC, the world's leading oil producer cartel, and its allies, known collectively as OPEC+, have limited spare production capacity. This means that if there is a disruption in oil supplies from the Middle East, it will be difficult to quickly replace the lost barrels.
• Geopolitical Risks Beyond the Middle East: Recent attacks on Russian energy infrastructure by Ukraine have also contributed to the overall sense of unease in the oil market.
• Post-Pandemic Recovery: The ongoing global economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic continues to drive up demand for oil, particularly in transportation sectors.
The Road Ahead: A Balancing Act
The future path of oil prices will depend on how the situation in the Middle East unfolds. If a wider conflict is averted, oil prices could moderate somewhat, especially if the IEA's concerns about slowing demand materialize.
However, if tensions escalate and there is a significant disruption to oil supplies from the Middle East, then a sustained price increase is highly likely. Additionally, how OPEC+ responds to the evolving situation will also be a key factor.
The cartel is currently scheduled to meet in May to discuss production quotas. If they decide to maintain their current production levels or even cut output, it could further tighten the market and push prices even higher.
Impact on Consumers and Businesses
Rising oil prices have a ripple effect throughout the global economy. Consumers are likely to see higher prices at the pump, as gasoline and diesel costs typically track the price of crude oil.
Businesses that rely heavily on oil and other energy sources will also face higher input costs, which could lead to higher prices for goods and services across the board. This could further dampen economic growth, especially in countries that are already grappling with high inflation.
Conclusion: A Volatile Market with High Stakes
The oil market is currently in a state of high uncertainty. The rising tensions in the Middle East are a significant risk factor, but they are not the only factor at play. The interplay of supply and demand dynamics, the actions of OPEC+, and the overall health of the global economy will all play a role in determining the future path of oil prices.
In the short term, oil prices are likely to remain volatile as investors grapple with the potential for a wider conflict in the Middle East. In the long term, the outlook for oil prices will depend on a complex mix of factors, making it difficult to predict with certainty where they will go from here.
Usoil-Callback requirements
Oil is as I predicted, with a strong upward momentum. If you buy at the support point, you will also make good profits.
Oil reached a maximum of around 87.2. I previously thought that there would be a need for adjustment when oil reached 87, so I am cautious about buying now.
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USOil WTI Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaUSOil WTI Technical Analysis and Trade Idea
In the video, we analyse a potential trading opportunity for USOil. We delve into the prevailing trend, examine price movements, evaluate market structure, and pinpoint a potential entry point based on favourable conditions (if they arise), as outlined in the video. It is crucial to incorporate sound risk management principles into your trading strategy. As always, please be aware that this information is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
Oil correction is a buying opportunity
The news is likely to boost oil prices. Geopolitical factors have affected oil reserve inventories. Oil inventories this week will be significantly lower than expected. leading to increased market demand
In terms of trend, there is a certain degree of over-rising behavior in the market, but the trend is still a bullish trend. If the price falls back to the low price within the day, you can still buy. Focus on the buying position in the range of 3.9-83.5.
This week’s focus will be on the release of API and EAI data.
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