Short OIL on 15 EMA dataIn looking at the recent weeks data and the way the price of Oil has reacted to the 15 EMA I am very very interested in a short, potentially from tomorrows open. I may have a look at the price in the early European session to see if it pushes up to even touch the EMA - just to get the best price. But I would predict a strong decline tomorrow based on the fundamentals of the large rig count increase and the constant fear of the global glut. Today was clearly that bullish day bringing us closer to that EMA, and the slightly positive data I think the overall trade idea should continue to trade this lower and see what the price eventually does around the 38.20% fib. Even possibly the 50%.
Good luck trading out there.
Usoilprediction
USOIL IntradayPivot: 44.40
Most Likely Scenario: long positions above 44.40 with targets @ 46.00 & 46.90 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 44.40 look for further downside with 43.85 & 43.30 as targets.
Comment: a support base at 44.40 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
Short scalp with potential to become a swingtradeAs posted earlier i think Crude is on a crucial junction here. A closeup look at the structure revealed a nice short set up. Price action at the Orange Excursion line we zoomed on friday will tell if it is just a scalp or something bigger. If we rebreak that line, the short could be kept open for a bigger downside move. If we bounce back up i will be looking for long entries.
/CL - Comex Market Analysis and Trading Tips - 28th June 2016Overview:
The Crude oil market had a fairly negative day on Monday, as market continue to worry about all things European Union and United Kingdom related. The primary trend of Crude oil is bearish on charts. On its 4 hourly chart, market is trading below 100 days moving average. It is having important resistance at the level of $48.12 and support level at the level of $46.50. On its 4 hourly charts, MACD is sustaining in its negative territory and RSI is sustaining in its selling zone indicating the upcoming bearish trend in the oil prices. On an intraday basis one can go for sell on higher level strategy.
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USOILPivot: 47.50
Most Likely Scenario: short positions below 47.50 with targets @ 45.55 & 44.50 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 47.50 look for further upside with 48.50 & 49.30 as targets.
Comment: even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
C Wave Impulse Buy Set For OilPrice action likely to consolidate around weekly resistance at 39.63 before advancing to the next weekly resistance at 49.08 before pushing upwards to 50.68 where the physiologically important $50 oil mark will likely cause the liquidation of long positions and a sharp correction downwards.
Buy entry point at any failure to break before between 42.32 - 41.42
CRUDE LONG WEEKLY VIEWWe expect CRUDE to rise.
STOCH RSI is rising.
RSI is rising.
CCI is rising.
We expect crude to stay long above: 34.77 SL: 34.48 TGT 01: 35.59 TGT 02: 35.91 TGT 03:36.91
Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.
USOIL ::: SHORT ::: REVERSAL CALLUSOIL is expected to sink now.
There are many reason why we feel it may sink.
01. It is trying to touch Tgt 01. of quarterly short level of 29.66
02. HAMMER in daily Chart.
03. To sink and come near quarterly Tgt 01. sell level of 29.66
04. Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) clearly states it may sink.
05. RSI(14,CLOSE) Is also of the same view.
06. CCI(20,CLOSE) Is also sinking.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to sink. Our sell call shall be from sell bellow:31.29 with a SL @: 31.71 Tgt01: 30.06 Tgt02: 29.66 . Please bear in mind this is reversal call. Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.