Usoilsell
USOIL Choose short entry 54, SL -55.00 It has been quite long that we did not do any OIL trade
since the last time break out(52.5).
But on 23th Feb I found a structure that has reach pressure zone.
And we tried to sell @54.7,and closed @53.5,got 120pips profit.
54.00 is the previous support and now become resistance.
Choose short entry here, SL above 55.00
Aim 51.5 !
I hold a point:Good charts does not more words to explain! Good luck!
The process of losing all margin in generalThe process of losing all margin in general:
1 the first few deals are profitable, usually at 1pips to 10pips
2 traders feel good, I think the correct rate is 100%
3 start a new transaction, in the case of 100% confidence, no longer set SL, and then began to float loss.
USOIL SHORT: OPEN THE GATESAfter the Daily Key Reversal last week which also helped form a doji on the WEEKLY, I am convinced that from this week and for the following 3-4 oil will go down. RSI and STOCHRSI have topped on the weekly and are reversing as well as the MACD.
My first target is $48 and then $44-42.5
$40 OilIn accordance to my previous idea, my sentiment on oil today and for the following days is bearish. On the weekly chart, oil looks to have a lot of room for downside with the MACD flat, just barely crossing over and the STOCHS signaling a reversal. I think if this pattern completes we should see $40 oil within the next 2 weeks. This of course should be helped by bad data, which some analysts expect. For today (02/11/2016) I might exit my short if data comes out very bullish and later re-enter. Keep in mind the elections as well, which could boost oil if Clinton wins.
UPDATE: Oops, I made a mistakeI would like to apologize for my previous analysis on oil. Whilst the idea was correct, I falsly planted the fib retracement a nd got wrong levels. Apparantly, the new pivot point is at $46.1. Thus I changed my target to that. Other than the wrong levels, you can read "Oil hates uncertainty" for more information on the trade.
Oil hates uncertainty1 month ago today, OPEC unofficially decided that they would cut production by 32.5-33m br/day. That announcement sent oil into gains frenzy skyrocketing it to almost $52/barrel. That unofficial statement was not enough to make oil break the resistance and reach the expected price of $60/barrel. Now during the OPEC and non-OPEC members meeting in Vienna in Friday and Saturday things took a very different turn than hoped. Starting with the OPEC meeting on Friday, the members failed to come to a conclusion and cut production with the biggest opposer being Iraq. Saturday, leaks hint towards a non-conclusive meeting as well. This leads me to expect further movement south for oil over the next weekend. TP for me is $47. Still, I think no production cut could mean that oil tumbles more and thus I will be trading oil over the next month until their next meeting ONLY if it manages to break below the $47-46.8 area with relatively high volume and if indicators favour a short play.
OIL SELL TRADEON THE DAILY WE HAVE A STRUCTURE WHERE PRICE HAS BOUNCED BACK FROM THE 43.00 FIB LEVEL.
ALSO THERE IS A SQUEEZE MOMENTUM PATTERN WHERE PRICE WILL MOST LIKELY FALL TO PROFIT TARGET 40, 8 AND PROFIT TARGET 33.63.
ENTER TRADE JUST BELOW THE 43 FIB LEVEL WITH A STOP JUST ABOVE 44 LEVEL.
PRICE SHOULD AFTER THAT TEST THE RESISTANCE TREND LINE AND FALL TO
PROFIT TARGET 1 40.80
PROFIT TARGET 2 38
PROFIT TARGET 3 33.63
AFTER THE BREAK OF EACH PROFIT TARGET DOUBLE UP ON POSITION.