Things to note when trading crude oil this week! Day analysiTraders this week must contend with both declining liquidity and potential tensions caused by Yemen's Houthi rebels. If the shipping crisis in the Red Sea region persists, it will not only provide some support for WTI crude oil prices this week, but also create opportunities for speculative buying.
Traders will need to be cautious about risk management this week due to the Christmas holiday. WTI crude oil bears may believe that there will be a high technical reversal, and they will also pay attention to Middle East shipping news.
Last week, the market fluctuated upward, and closed the positive line with a long upper and lower shadow line, indicating that the market was more volatile. However, the market is still running below the 20-day moving average, and the overall trend is still bearish. During the day, focus on the first-line pressure of $74 at the top and the first-line support of $72.0 at the bottom. At present, the technical indicators have completely turned bearish, and it is recommended to mainly go short on the rebound!
Usoilsell
USOIL: The rise is blocked and will fall in the short termInternational oil prices rose. Originally affected by the increase in U.S. crude oil inventories, oil prices first rose and then fell. However, the risk of interruption of the Red Sea transportation channel still provided support for oil prices, helping to keep oil prices above the 21-day moving average.
Yesterday, the market rose first and then fell as expected, reaching the upper line of 75.40 and falling back. Despite this, oil prices finally closed higher. Government data showed that U.S. inventories increased significantly and production reached record levels, exacerbating continued concerns about oversupply. The U.S. market yesterday evening The second upward attack pierced 75.3, and then it fell back and fluctuated downward to break the bottom and close. The daily line closed higher and fell back. The overall price showed a stagflation pattern above the 75 mark. Today, we can go short first and then look at the shock and fall.
USOIL: 8/12 crude oil market analysisCrude oil (USOIL): Crude oil opened at 69.7 today and rose by 7 US dollars in the morning. Yesterday, we planned to go short near the daily pressure of 70. In the afternoon, it broke through the 70.4 line and stopped falling at the 68.8 line in the evening. We successfully made a profit, but It did not fall to my ideal point of 68, but has since rebounded and returned to the 70.4 line. At the end of today's weekly line, the market has been volatile, so we have to be on guard and be more prudent in our layout. The top focus will be on the 71.2 area. After the bullish sentiment in crude oil is released, it is time for us to take action! !
USOIL: How does crude oil trade today? ↓Crude oil (USOIL): Crude oil broke the bottom yesterday and stopped at 69.1. It opened at 69.2 today and rebounded at 69.8 in the morning. The trend is not much different from the morning trading of the previous two days, and the trend continues to be bearish! The Japanese K has fallen for five consecutive times, and the short sellers have almost reached the bottom. If the 68 position below cannot be supported anymore, the short sellers will continue to attack 63. However, at the current position, we have to be wary of the bulls’ counterattack. After all, the current position has also reached the daily line. support! Today, the top will focus on the 70.1/70.2 area, and the bottom will first look at the 68 break.
XAUUSD/USOIL:The bear is about to fight back
After this sharp rise, the 1h chart once again showed a top divergence, with supports located at 2039, 2031, and 2023. The market is very close to the high of 2076, so long transactions should be cautious. My trading today will be mainly short positions.
At the same time, some will be reserved for waiting around 2020. If your account has enough margin, you can also do this.
In addition, there is EIA data today, which has a high probability of being negative for OIL. If you want to participate in this data market, you can consider shorting. Since the data market is highly volatile, I hope everyone can control risks during the transaction to ensure the safety of the account!
good luck!
USOIL: Trend analysis and operation strategy
EIA released nearly two weeks of inventory data, a cumulative increase of 17.5 million barrels, more than expected accumulation led to a rapid decline in the disk, of which crude oil inventories reached 439 million barrels in the week of November 3, a higher since August. In addition, the market expects Saudi Arabia to extend production cuts until January next year. At present, the accumulation of expectations is deepening, and the upward movement of crude oil prices is blocked. Yesterday, oil prices on the technical side of the weak unilateral downward trend, ASEM slightly back pressure 76.6 line down to break the bottom, the evening accelerated down to 75 and 74 two integer marks, and continued to close weak near the 72 mark, the Japanese line Baoshu pressure down to break the bottom bardo, closed at a low level for three consecutive days. Oil prices fell 4.81% yesterday, closing large negative line, the decline has accelerated signs. From the perspective of technical indicators, the moving average system helped the downward form to be complete, and the superimposed MACD was located below the zero axis for a long time, and the overall form had obvious short advantages. On the operation, it is recommended to consider the rebound and short, low and many are auxiliary.
WTI Crude Oil Handling Recommendations:
Strategy 1: Rebound near 74.5-75.2 short entry, stop loss 0.6 points, target 72.6-72.2 line;
Strategy two: Callback 72.2-72.5 near multiple single entry, stop loss 0.6 points, the target 74.0-75.0 line.
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📈🛢️US Oil Daily prediction 🛢️📉TVC:USOIL
FX:USOILSPOT
Before we predict the next week, let's take a look at the trend of the oil chart.
The price continues to move in a downward trend. Due to the support area, we can expect a rise in oil price to the previous high level.
If this uptrend fails, the price will reach lower targets below 77$.
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USOIL: Crude oil continues to fall
Crude oil continued to fall yesterday, from Friday to the present 4 even negative, down nearly 1000 points, yesterday's rebound space is slightly smaller, yesterday's rebound near 77.5 pressure, the European and American trading fell to a new low to 74.9, the daily line is in the bearish down, the day's rebound is the opportunity to empty, bearish not chase empty, rebound card point is the key, at present 4 hours, 77.5 is a strong pressure, short-term hourly chart, the resistance level of the medium rail is currently in the position of 76.1, the day to these two positions to rebound mainly to layout
The specific layout is as follows:
1. See 76.1 empty once for the first time, loss 0.6, the target look at 75 break below
2. See 77.3/77.5 empty at any time within the day, with a loss of 78.1, and the target at 76.1-75 break
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Usoil:Will it still fall?
Oil, I have been reminding that it is a downward trend. After falling below the important support of 80 yesterday, it accelerated its decline, reaching a minimum of 76.5.
Now that the trend has appeared, follow the trend and wait for the intraday rebound to sell.From a technical point of view, the unilateral suppression points of the daily line are 77.8, 78.3, 79
However, a rapid decline will definitely bring a certain rebound, so if you want to win a rebound, you can support a small amount of buying in the early stage of 76.5, because it is a downtrend, strictly set the stop loss to increase your success rate and reduce your losses.
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USOIL: End short orders and look for support to go long
Crude oil 85.5 support line to earn the pressure line, we rely on this pressure level to continuously short the harvest of nearly 20 points of profit, the subsequent recommendation to end the short order, withdraw to 82.5-83 to convert long!
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USOIL: Weekly profit summary
This week ended perfectly, earning 50,000, exceeding the expected target, the main reason is to seize the opportunity to fall all the way, continue to maintain next week, I wish everyone a happy weekend!
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Crude oil, rebound and pullback
WTI crude oil has fallen in five of the past six trading days, falling by more than 13%, giving up all gains since September. Oil prices have now fallen back to key support near $82.0. The U.S. non-farm payroll data for September will be ushered in today, and short-term fluctuations in oil prices are expected to further intensify.
Looking at the daily chart of crude oil, oil prices stopped rising at the high of 95 and entered a correction state, with the K line being negative for three consecutive years. Although oil prices have not yet fallen below the moving average system, the current mid-term objective still maintains an upward trend. But from the perspective of kinetic energy, a change occurred first, and the bears gradually became stronger. It indicates that the mid-term trend is expected to enter a large-scale adjustment pattern. The K-line fell below the support of the moving average system. The original mid-term rise ended in stages, and it is expected to usher in a larger wave of correction.
Strategy: long at 81.5, short at 82.4
Crude oil: all the way down
Through the analysis of the hourly chart of crude oil, we know that yesterday’s market rebound was unable to continue the downward trend. It has now reached the 82.3 line and has slowed down the downward trend. We can clearly see from the attached picture below that a phased bottom signal has appeared again. In the last time When it appeared, it rebounded slightly and reached the No. 2 pressure level above and then fell back. At present, the No. 1 pressure level above has in turn become the first pressure. In the short term, we will continue to focus on shorting on rallies.
Strategy: 84.1 short
USOIL: Empty orders gain 10 points
The daily arrangement of 89.2 line empty, currently down 10 points, the stable can reduce the position out, the rebound of the European short position near 89.3 can continue to be empty, want to do more suggestions can pay attention to the 88.0 line support can hold, hold it is expected that crude oil is a wave of short-term rebound demand, so want to do more suggestions first pay attention to the 88.0 support break situation and then consider it, Do not break can light warehouse to do a short line, break is to give up multiple single
USOIL:Trading strategy
Oil has been rising because of OPEC production cuts, but now all indicators show that it is currently overbought.
There is limited room for growth now, so we are now shorting oil.
However, overbought will not reverse immediately and will last for a period of time.
But we can try the medium-term goal, the target point: about 86.
Short-term trading advice:
USoil:Sell:90.6-91.3
TP1:89.6
TP2:89.2
TP3:88.2
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Crude Oil: Today’s Strategy
Crude oil enters the market empty at 88
Continue to watch the decline, continue to watch 82, or even 75 line
Any position where crude oil rebounds is short. The current rebound of the big positive line is to enter the market for shorts. Once again, the 88 line enters the market for shorts. Get ready for a sharp drop to harvest. Crude oil rebounds, but it is still below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. The short position is empty.
Operation strategy: short crude oil at 88, stop loss at 89, target at 82
Crude Oil: Analysis Strategy Today
Through the analysis of the hourly chart of crude oil, we know that on the previous trading day, it first fell, then rose and then fell, forming a wide-ranging shock trend, which converged at the moving average support level below. We can clearly see from the attached picture below that in the previous transaction The market had already entered the weak zone on the day before, and the rebound was weak. It is still running in the weak zone, indicating that there is still room for adjustment in the short-term market.
Crude oil is long at 90.70 and 88.90 respectively, with a stop loss of 70 points and a profit stop of 300 points;
Crude oil is short at 92.20 and 93.30 respectively.
Gold: It may fall to 1800! ! !
Gold fell from around 1930 to around 1845, with basically no rebound, that is, the bulls surrendered directly. This trend is obviously a short trend, and the lows continue to fall. Even a rebound of a few dollars is directly swallowed up by the big negative line. This It’s short energy.
The four-hour line of gold price has entered the next level. It continues to be a negative line. The era of shorts is obviously coming. The sword below is pointing to the 1811 line, or even near 1615. Anything is possible on the K-line. At the same time, the 50-day moving average continues to run downward, continuing to compress the bulls' Space, there is no possibility of rebound at all, the K line is suppressed by the 50 moving average throughout the whole process, and it is pressed to the floor and rubbed, empty, 1834 empty
Crude oil: Crude oil rebounds to highs
U.S. oil WTI once fell below $89 and pushed down to $88. It fell as much as $1.48 or 1.7%. After turning up, it returned to the psychological integer level of $90. The more actively traded Brent December futures once fell to US$90 or fell as much as 1.6%, then turned higher and then returned to US$92. The futures about to be delivered after expiration turned higher and then rose above US$94. They had previously fallen below 93 US dollars. and $92.
Oil prices turned higher and broke off two-week lows, with U.S. oil returning to $90
In the third quarter, U.S. oil rose by more than 26%, and Brent oil rose by about 24%. Both are expected to record the largest increase in more than a year since the first quarter, and both oil prices will achieve cumulative increases in every month of the third quarter. Mainly because the prospect of tight supply outweighs concerns about economic and oil demand uncertainty in a period of high interest rates. However, some analysts worry that the U.S. government shutdown may make it difficult for Brent oil to rise to $100.
Go long near 92.0, stop loss: 89.90, the target is 92.0-95.0 if it breaks.