Crude oil: today's trend
Crude oil once again hit a new high point, and the strength was in a mess. Even though the price fell after a surge in the U.S. session, it eventually rose again. This is why I have not been doing short orders recently. Your entry point may not be ideal, but you can still exit with a profit. Although the announced increase in crude oil inventories, the sharp reduction in refined oil inventories has helped the bulls in oil prices. At present, there is no sign of crude oil turning around, so you need to be cautious when buying short orders at the top.
Usoilsell
USOIL:Trading strategy
International oil prices have risen continuously, from 67 in June to the current 83, a full 22% increase in more than a month, which has also caused a significant increase in international energy costs.Domestic oil prices have been raised many times in a row.
However, this year's high is around 83.5. In the past more than a year, it has failed to break through six consecutive upward surges. This time, it is difficult to say that it will rise directly.Therefore, after oil prices have reached a high level, the shock has begun to intensify, and it is obvious that the previous long funds have begun to retreat.
Usoil Today's trade building:
Usoil:sell84-84.3 TP:83.7-83.2
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Crude oil: high correction consolidation, short-term continued b
Crude oil prices retreated slightly. On the one hand, the suspended Druzhba oil pipeline in central Poland is expected to ease supply constraints; However, OPEC+'s production cuts continue to support the rise in crude oil prices. At the same time, the overall sentiment in the crude oil market is bullish, and there is potential for further rises after a slight retracement and stabilization of prices.
The overall upward trend is volatile. It is normal for the market to have a callback during the rising market. In the short-term, it is expected that there will be a wave of callback first, but the callback will not be too strong. Wait for the price to stabilize after the callback can be placed. The 4-hour belt closed and went flat, and the price formed a sideways oscillating trend at a high level, and the retracement was also held above the support of the middle rail. In the short term, continue to pay attention to the support of this position, which is the 81.3-81.5 area. If you hold this position, the price will be The possibility of breaking out of new highs again.
Operation strategy: call back the 80.9-81.1 area to do more, and target 82.9-83.5 to be empty
Crude Oil: Crude Oil Trading Strategies
Through the analysis of the weekly chart of crude oil, we know that the last one continued to rise, and it has reached a certain degree of suppression near the previous high point, and the pressure of the important moving average above (83.30). It can be clearly seen from the figure that the funds that reached the bottom area in the early stage are still running in a strong area, and the support of the important moving average below is relatively strong. It has not been broken for several times in a row, and there are funds intervening at the bottom for many times, which has led to a continuous rebound in the past 6 weeks. The short-term bottom The support of 82.0 and 81.30 is relatively strong. In the short term, we will continue to operate at high altitudes and low multiples, focusing on doing long on dips. The specific suggestions are as follows:
Crude oil 81.30 and 82.0 are long respectively,
Crude oil 83.50 and 85.90 are shorted respectively
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Crude oil: Crude oil unexpectedly fell, but there is still a new
From the online point of view, there are signs of closure. The price has retreated sharply after encountering resistance near the upper rail. At present, it can only be regarded as an adjustment during the previous rise. The price will not just go down directly. It is expected that the short-term will be around 80 The dollar is consolidating around. With an opening in 4 hours, a big negative line directly fell below the first-line support of the middle rail, and it is currently stabilizing near the lower rail. The short-term price may test the low point of last night again. It is necessary to pay attention to the support at this position. If it can hold, then the short-term The price will have a chance to rebound again. The operation idea is to look at a wave of rebound after the price retraces and stabilizes.
Operation strategy: call back the 78.3-79 area to do long, stop loss at 79.6, and target 81 to short
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USOILSPOT Weekly Analysis: New Perspective and Follow-Up DetailsWelcome back to our weekly US Oil market analysis! Oil prices have been on a remarkable upward trend, extending their gains for a fifth consecutive week. The rally has been driven by perceptions that supply is increasingly tightening in comparison to demand, although recent US government petroleum data has only marginally supported this notion. Despite the impressive gains, signs of strain in the rally are starting to emerge.
Throughout July, US Oil prices surged by an astonishing 14%, capturing the attention of investors worldwide. As we approach the next OPEC+ meeting, scheduled for next Friday, the bulls are eagerly anticipating further discussions on production levels that could potentially propel prices to new highs.
In this video, we'll delve deep into the factors influencing the current Oil market dynamics and explore the possible scenarios that lie ahead. As traders, it's crucial to stay well-informed and prepared for all potential outcomes.
US Oil Technical Analysis:
In this video, we delve deep into the 4-hour timeframe, dissecting key supply and demand zones to uncover invaluable insights into the potential trajectory of price action for USOILSPOT in the week ahead.
Don't miss out on this golden opportunity to elevate your understanding of the future path of USOILSPOT. Stay ahead of the curve and gain a distinct competitive edge by immersing yourself in this price-action-based technical analysis. Unlock the secrets of the oil market's evolution and be at the forefront of every profitable move.
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Crude oil: bulls are strong, step back to 80 and go long directl
Crude oil has been in a unilateral upward trend, and there is no need to say more about the bullish trend. If you don’t make a move, you will miss it. Now it falls back to 80.3 and goes long directly. There is still more than 200 points of space from the pressure of the high point of 83.5. Although The space is not very large, but the odds of winning are very high. If you fall back and go long, it is almost a market to bend down to pick up money!
But the overall trend remains unchanged, and the decline is just to give us a better point to go long. As can be seen from the trend in the figure, the nearest support level is 80.8, which is the moving average support of MA60. The lowest trend line support can be traced back to 80.3. You can do more, and the goal is to look at the high point of 82.1!
Crude Oil: Unchanged
Crude oil prices continued to fall at the opening, and basically returned to the support level around 80.9 as expected to stabilize. Multiple orders have entered the market. Friends who have followed the article's ideas and operations are already making profits. The short-term goal is to look at the high point around 81.7. The price will break through. Continue to look at target 82.6.
Continually updated
USOIL: EIA data, bears
Last week's API data showed a very large gap between the expected value and the announced value, but the market reaction was not so large. It should be due to doubts about the data. In addition, the crude oil volume announced today is bullish for the market.
So although today's API crude oil inventory data is bearish for the market,but the market rallied.
Now we come to the resistance level near 76. If you judge from the perspective of data trading, you cannot rule out the possibility of tempting bulls, because usually the probability of EIA and API moving in the same direction is very high, so for EIA, short selling should be safer.
Oil Slides Amidst Weaker China Economic Data China plays a significant role in the global economy, and any fluctuations in its economic performance can have far-reaching consequences. The recent release of weaker-than-expected economic indicators from China has raised serious concerns about the country's economic health. These indicators include a slowdown in industrial production, declining retail sales, and decreased fixed-asset investments.
Given China's status as the world's largest importer of oil, any economic downturn in the country is likely to directly impact oil demand and prices. We have already witnessed a significant oil price slide due to this unsettling news. The market sentiment has become increasingly bearish, and we must approach our oil investments cautiously during these uncertain times.
Therefore, I strongly encourage you to hold off on any immediate oil investments until we gain further clarity on the situation. It is essential to closely monitor the developments in China's economic landscape, as well as the subsequent impact on global oil demand. By exercising patience and prudence, we can avoid potential losses and make more informed decisions when the time is right.
In the coming weeks, I will closely monitor the market and keep a keen eye on China's economic indicators. I will keep you updated with any significant developments that may impact our investment strategies. Additionally, I urge you to stay informed through reliable sources and expert analysis to ensure you are well equipped to navigate these challenging market conditions.
Please remember that our primary goal is to protect our investments and maximize returns. We can safeguard our portfolios from unnecessary risks by adopting a cautious approach and refraining from impulsive oil investments.
USOIL: Intraday layout retracement, bottoming and longCrude oil, the daily cycle and the one-hour resonance are bullish, and the one-hour cycle is even stronger. If the intraday operation idea falls, it is to go long. If the price falls back and the five-minute cycle forms a bottom pattern, continue to buy more.
Crude oil has shown a strong rise, short-term focus on 74.3 suppLooking at the daily level of crude oil, the Bollinger Bands open upward, and the price breaks through the resistance on the upper track. The bullish trend is clear. Short-term operations and other callbacks enter the market, following the trend. In the 1H chart, the Bollinger Bands continue to open upward, and the opening price of the Asian market rose. Going out of the recent new highs, in the short-term within the day, pay attention to the support in the 74.3-74.5 area below, and wait for the callback to stabilize before you can place more orders.
Operation strategy: wait for the opportunity, go long around the callback 74.3, otherwise give up its trade
USOIL: crude oil low long high short strategyCrude oil first fell and then rose on Wednesday. The drop of 67 was blocked and then fluctuated upward. The EIA data was bullish. The oil price broke through 69 and reached a maximum of 69.7.
Today, let’s see if 70 can break through, and then look around 72 after breaking the position. At the top, focus on 70.5, the hourly line, 69.7 is blocked and there will be a short-term callback, and at the bottom, focus on 69 and 68. long high short
Sell your oil as interest rates could go up? I am writing to discuss the recent fall in oil demands due to the interest rate hike. As you may already know, the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates, which has caused a ripple effect throughout the market, including the oil industry.
Unfortunately, this has resulted in a decrease in oil demand, which has caused prices to fall. As a result, we are urging all to consider selling any open oil positions they may have.
While we understand that this may be a difficult decision, we believe it is in your best interest to take action before prices fall even further. We encourage you to consider your options carefully and decide what is best for your needs and goals.
In closing, we want to remind you that the market is constantly changing, and it is essential to stay informed and make informed decisions. We are here to help you navigate these changes and make the best decisions for your portfolio.
Thank you for your time, and please do not hesitate to comment with any questions or concerns.
Oil drops as BOE and other central banks raise interest ratesI want to bring attention to recent developments in the oil market, in relation to have recently announced plans to reduce their oil purchases, in response to the spike in interest rates from the central banks of England, Norway, and Switzerland.
This move by central banks is significant, suggesting a shift from reliance on oil as a critical commodity. With interest rates rising, companies are likely to be more cautious in their oil purchases, which could have a knock-on effect on the oil market as a whole.
I encourage you to stay informed about the oil market and to consider your investment options carefully. It is clear that the market is evolving, and investors need to be prepared to adapt.
USOil Tumbles to $28: Path Predicted by Fibonacci ClusteringMy Fibonacci Clustering model reveals a potential downturn in USOIL prices to as low as $28 per barrel. This observation is rooted in the unique properties of Fibonacci sequences - their self-similar and repetitive nature often mirrors price action in a wide array of financial markets, including commodities such as oil.
Historical evidence supports the plausibility of oil prices plummeting to such lows. The oil price slump of 2016, which saw USOIL drop to below $30, demonstrated how market oversupply, geopolitical tensions, and shifting energy policies can dramatically impact oil prices.
Bear in mind that oil markets are influenced by a multitude of factors - supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical events, economic indicators , and even climatic conditions, among others. Thus, while the Fibonacci Clustering points to a potential downturn, this is just one piece of the puzzle.
USOIL is poised to reach $71.63International oil prices were basically stable this Friday, and the U.S. index rebounded from a more than one-month low, limiting the rise in oil prices. Oil prices snapped a two-week losing streak on optimism over rising energy demand in top crude importer China. The upper pressure level of crude oil is 71.63 US dollars.
The data released on Thursday showed that the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits last week was higher than expected, and the U.S. industrial production unexpectedly fell by 0.2% in May, causing the U.S. dollar index to plummet by nearly 0.9%. However, U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rose in May, and the U.S. index rebounded after hitting a low of 102.043 since May 12 on Friday.
Data released on Thursday showed that China's refinery throughput in May increased by 15.4% year-on-year, the second highest in history. The chief executive of Kuwait Petroleum Company said that China's demand for oil is expected to continue to climb at a confident pace in the second half of this year.
Analysts also expect the latest production cuts announced by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) in May and further voluntary cuts by Saudi Arabia in July to support prices. Still, markets are struggling to shake the panic as the global growth outlook remains vulnerable to further shocks from aggressive rate hikes.
The European Central Bank raised interest rates to a 22-year high as scheduled overnight. The Fed said this week that it will raise interest rates by at least 50 basis points by the end of the year. Higher interest rates end up increasing borrowing costs for consumers, which could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.
On the hourly chart, oil prices have started an upward trend from US$68, and the upper resistance is looking at the 100% target at US$71.63.
USOIL: Trading Signals
USOIL30m chart, after the arc bottom is formed, encounters resistance near 70, forming M top (double top), MACD death cross, judging from the shape, it should be a pullback and then rise, so, my trading point of view is to be short first , and then go long.
Trading Signals:
sell:69.3-69.5
tp:68.5-68.3
buy:68.5-68
tp:70.3-71
USOIL:Trading advice for the day
EIA crude oil stocks and strategic crude oil crude oil stocks are all synchronized with the decline in API stocks. In the short term, it corresponds to the central idea of the new round of OPCE+ production reduction meeting. The pressure on the supply side has eased, but the pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates is continuous, so the crude oil trend will be very depressed. The last trading day oscillated all the way from near 71, and after the data was released, it quickly rose to near 73.1 and fell under pressure again. The short-term maintenance range is repeated, and our operating ideas will continue to be maintained.
USOIL:@73.1-72.8 TP:72.5-72
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Crude oil transaction analysis
The U.S. debt ceiling negotiations failed to reach an agreement last week. Although they will continue on Monday, there are some concerns in the market, which put pressure on oil prices, and U.S. Treasury Yellen's speech on the possible need for more bank mergers has also increased market concerns about the banking turmoil and crisis.
At present, it is already showing a weak trend, but the support of the uptrend line below is relatively speaking, and it is expected that the narrow volatility adjustment will continue in the short term. In terms of operation, we will continue to short at a high level.
Trading strategy:
USOIL:sell@72.7-71.7 tp71-70.7
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. I need signals to join me as soon as possible!