Usoil trade setupWest Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $69.30 on Wednesday. The WTI price trades flat after Ukraine used US ATACMS missiles to strike Russian territory for the first time.
On Tuesday, Russia’s defense ministry said that Ukraine hit a facility in the Bryansk region with six ATACAMS missiles. In response, Russian President Vladimir Putin lowered the threshold for a possible nuclear strike. The rising geopolitical tensions could boost the WTI price for the time being. "This marks a renewed build up in tensions in the Russia-Ukraine war and brings back into focus the risk of supply disruptions in the oil market," ANZ Bank analyst Daniel Hynes said.
Usoilsetup
USOIL: BUY@73-70 TP 75-78
Oil prices have fallen sharply recently and have touched the support level near the previous low. There may be a range of fluctuations here, but the final breakthrough must be upward, so my trading direction is very clear, buying around the 73-70 area, with a target of 75-78.
USOIL: SELL @ 86.3-86.8
Yesterday, EIA was good for shorts. The market rebounded quickly after falling. It is now near the resistance level (86.3-86.8). The indicators show that shorts have the advantage, so the transaction can be sold in the resistance range first. The support is 85.6-85.2, which can be used as the TP level.
If it falls below the support, look at the 84.4-83.3 range below.
Pay attention to the rebound after falling below the support, and focus on the vicinity of 85.8.
If there is no breakthrough, you can sell a second time.
Then continue to pay attention to the support range. If the support is valid, close the short position and go long.
If the support falls below, 84.8-84.4 can be used as the TP target.
"Is the US Oil Market on the Brink of a Transformation?” 🛢️📈Ahoy, fellow trader! 🌟 Let's set sail on the high seas of oil trading, where the winds of fortune blow and the waves of volatility crash. 🛢️
**USOIL** (that's WTI Crude Oil for landlubbers) is currently dancing around the **$83** mark like a tipsy sailor at a tavern. 🕺 The resistance levels are like stubborn portcullises guarding the treasure chest: **$83** and **$83.50**. Will our brave oil buccaneers breach these walls and plunder the riches beyond? 🏴☠️
But wait, there's more! 📜 The support levels are our sturdy lifeboats: **$80.30** and **$80.00**. If the ship starts taking on water, these levels might keep us afloat. 🚢
Why is oil suddenly hotter than a dragon's breath? 🐉 Well, the Federal Reserve might just cut interest rates, making the dollar less attractive than a soggy biscuit. Investors, like magpies drawn to shiny things, are eyeing oil hungrily. 🤑
27/3.USOIL first support observation 79
Looking back at yesterday's trend, the USOIL market remained in the range of 81.7-82.4 throughout the day. This is a narrow range for oil prices. The competition between the long and short parties in the market is fierce. until closing. The bears broke the deadlock.
News side:
The API announced a significant increase last night, with U.S. API crude oil inventories reaching a high of 9.337 million barrels in the week to March 22. This news may seem insensitive when viewed alone, but combined with OPEC+’s statement that it will not fulfill the production reduction agreement. What do these two news indicate? If the market supply exceeds demand, oil prices will naturally fall.
Technical aspect: The price around 82 is still relatively high, and at the same time it is in a strong pressure position from above. The next small intraday support is at 79.4-79. Combined with Pitchfork, oil currently faces a short-term situation that continues to decline. Based on the news released, the market is about to experience a sharp decline on 27/3.
Today’s personal operations are mainly selling:
USOIL: 81.4-81.7 sell
Tp:80-79.6
Sl:82.6
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Don't sell oil easily. Very risky
The trading opportunities for oil are not very big at present, but mainly fluctuate within a narrow range. After the news boosted strength. The price is still fluctuating around 81. I made a profit by buying oil prices around 80.7 in the morning, and the U.S. market is about to begin, judging from the 1-hour trend chart. The trend is still mainly bullish. MA is also supported.
If the U.S. market falls back around 80.7, I think there is still a chance to buy, and we will trade based on the timing and conditions.
USOIL, LongPrice has been growing in an ascending channel since price hit low @ $67.68 on December 13th, 2023. Fundamentals reported two weeks ago revealed that the Iraq refinery has been re-opened since its closure more than 10 years ago and that meant more supplies which fell the oil price from $78.69 to $75.73
The following week was met with USOIL demand where buyers picked the price from the $75.73 all the way up to $80.3 by the end of last week's market closing.
What do i expect this week??
I expect the USOIL price to retest the support and liquidity zone at $78.24 and with this holding, price could drive up to $81.95 that is if the support holds.
My Support is $78.240 and target is $81.95
usoil: Expected to Rise to $80 in the FutureHello friends, I'm Luke, a former champion trader in multiple regions. I'm excited to join TradingView and share my strategies with you every day, hoping to provide assistance.
Crude oil has established a bottom around $70, and those who bought in heavily near this level have already reaped substantial profits. Personally, I anticipate oil to stabilize around $80 in the coming month, with any further declines seen as buying opportunities.
Key support levels to watch are $72-$70. Buying can be considered upon reaching this area, with target levels focused on $76-$78-$80.
I update market analysis daily and also send accurate trading signals within Luke's small group to help ensure the long-term stability and profitability of your account. Don't miss out!
USOIL: 22/12O European market suggestionAngola said it would withdraw from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), raising questions about the producer group's efforts to support prices by limiting global supply. In the 4-hour chart, after falling below the middle track and back-testing the lower track, it holds the sub-low and rebounds above the lower track to regain the middle track. The 4-hour chart is a rapid downward rebound, seeking support and correction, and then continuing upward. In the short term, use 73.8 as a defensive support point, and then adjust your thinking if it breaks below.
But as long as the low point of the step is not broken, the trend remains unchanged. On the whole, it is suggested that the short-term operation of crude oil should focus on the first-line resistance of 76.0 at the top and the first-line support of 73.8 at the bottom.
Continue to look for low prices to buy. If you want to get the latest signals, you can contact me↓
USOIL: 5/12 Today’s Trading StrategyCrude oil (USOIL): Crude oil opened at 73.3 today. It was volatile in the morning and the market was running slowly. Yesterday’s crude oil was long and short in shock, and the range also had an amplitude of 20 US dollars. However, the overall trend was still suppressed by the pressure from above and could not break through. The bulls were not to be outdone. , which has resulted in the current volatile situation, but the general trend is still there, so we can just continue to take advantage of the trend and go short! ! The daily K-continuous negative trend went very smoothly, and new pressure formed yesterday above, so today we will focus on the pressure of 73.6-73.7! !
USOIL SELL:73.6~73.7
SL:74.3
TP1:73
TP2:72.6
TP3:72.2
Since the quotes from brokers are different, please refer to Tradingvew’s quotes.
USOIL: Today's analysis
Oil prices rebounded sharply on Friday, largely erasing a nearly 4% loss from the previous session as investors wavered over whether Opec would deepen its decision to cut production. Today's strong breakthrough of the first pressure level, the follow-up focus on the breakthrough of the second pressure level!
Currently there are orders do not know how to operate friends, you can pay attention to me, I will answer for you!
USOIL: Summary of the week
The original income this week was more than 10k, after experiencing CPI data, crude oil fell sharply to 72.2, down nearly 500 points, and rose all the way to near 76 on Friday, basically recovering the decline, next week focus on the break near 76!
Currently there are orders do not know how to operate friends, you can pay attention to me, I will answer for you!
USOIL: End short orders and look for support to go long
Crude oil 85.5 support line to earn the pressure line, we rely on this pressure level to continuously short the harvest of nearly 20 points of profit, the subsequent recommendation to end the short order, withdraw to 82.5-83 to convert long!
If you are confused about trading, please join me, I believe you will have a great harvest!
USOIL: Weekly profit summary
This week ended perfectly, earning 50,000, exceeding the expected target, the main reason is to seize the opportunity to fall all the way, continue to maintain next week, I wish everyone a happy weekend!
If you are confused about trading, please join me, I believe you will have a great harvest!
USOIL:Fluctuation in the range
Last week, oil broke through the range of 88.3-91.2 and rose as high as near 95.
Last week, I predicted that if it breaks through 91.2, it will be more likely to rise, but I did not expect that oil will rise so much. Every time it rises rapidly, there will definitely be a reversal. Now the oil is around 89.7 and it is back in the range, so now we still judge the transaction based on 88.3-91.2.
If the oil falls below 88.3, then it is necessary to judge that the range is invalid, so you need to observe more when trading, or strictly set the stop loss.
It is still possible to buy at low levels and sell cautiously at high levels in the range.
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Crude Oil: Strategy Advice Short
The oil supply outlook remains tight, with Russia and Saudi Arabia both cutting output through the end of the year, while the number of operating oil rigs in the United States has dropped to its lowest level since the end of the year. U.S. refiners are also cutting production capacity, further tightening supply.
While these factors are expected to continue to support prices, overall economic concerns are limiting oil prices' upside potential. In the short term, oil prices will continue to be impacted by the above factors. Rising interest rates, a stronger dollar and worries about the global economy appear to be offsetting the benefits of limited supply. However, with the start of China's National Day Golden Week, a potential rebound in tourist numbers may bring some support to oil prices. But until global economic concerns are eased, oil market sentiment tends to be bearish.
Short-term strategy reference: High probability scenario: bearish above 90.6, target 90.0-90.6. Small probability scenario: bullish below 88.8, target 88.5-88.9 Market comment: RSI technical indicator runs downward!
USOIL: Crude oil analysis and layout
Crude oil last week unilateral strong pull up, is currently in high volatility, this wave is still not over, is still a callback to do more, four-hour chart, last week fell back to the mid-track quickly pull up, back just to prepare for the rise, this week is still open at a high level, the current volatility around 91.3, intra-day focus on important support level 89.5/90.3, This position is also the support point of the rail in the four-hour chart, and the position of the tail plate can be more!
Specific layout:
USOIL:BUY@89.5-90.3 TP 92.0
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USOIL: Range shock, high Sell opportunitySince I expressed my opinion, I have published a total of 3 articles, all of which have ended in profit. The winning rate currently remains at 100%. I hope it can continue to be maintained and point out a clear direction for everyone.
Recently, crude oil has been fluctuating within the range of 86.10-87.9. This oscillating trend has lasted for several days, and there is no sign of a breakthrough for the time being. The only way to achieve a breakthrough is to see how tomorrow's EIA data performs. Before that, we can just keep selling high and buying low.
At present, crude oil has reached a high of 87.9 again, and the opportunity to short is rare, so I am prepared to sell here and set two targets, 86.8 and 86.1.
Crude oil: exceeded my expectations and keeps rising
Crude oil bulls continue to take the initiative in the market and pulled up again yesterday. It is now close to the previous secondary high of 85.5. This is not the ultimate goal of the bulls, but the only thing that needs to be considered is that there may be an adjustment within the day and then rise. In the short term The node still looks at the previous high of 87 as the target.
According to the deduction of the wave trading system, the main reason why crude oil is expected to rise is that: the overall rising rhythm of waves 3 and 5 has gradually changed from the initial shock upward to a unilateral rise, and the performance of bulls has become more and more obvious. Crude oil pressure 85~85.3,
For crude oil operations, it is recommended to buy at 84.5, with a target of 84.0~84.50. (The point may be revised as the market changes during the day, subject to real-time strategy)
Crude oil: There is still room for today's strategy to rise
In the U.S. market, WTI crude oil rose and closed down, once rising to $80.7/barrel, but failed to hold the $80 mark, closing down 0.03%, at $79.94/barrel, due to the threat of tropical storms in the U.S. Gulf crude oil production and news that Saudi Arabia may extend the production cut time and other benefits and rise, but the Fed's further interest rate hike worries limit oil prices,
Therefore, oil prices continued to run on the strong side at the beginning of the session. Overall, the probability of the Fed raising interest rates has risen, and increasing demand concerns have limited oil price gains. However, tropical storms in the US Gulf Coast may cause supply disruptions to bring support. Before this week's non-agricultural data, oil prices may remain volatile around US$80/barrel. In the short term, pay attention to the impact of API data and market uncertainties on oil prices.
Short near 81.60, stop loss: 82.20, target 80.60
First step back around 80.40 to go long, stop loss: 79.90, target to be determined
Crude oil: operation strategy, high and low
Oil prices continued to rebound at the opening and performed first. Overall, Fed officials believe that there may be no need to raise interest rates. The decline in European diesel inventories boosts oil prices, but demand concerns still limit oil price gains. During the day, we will pay attention to the speech of the chairman of the Federal Reserve at the annual meeting of global central banks. If the speech is dovish, the oil price is expected to return to above US$80/barrel. If it is hawkish, the oil price may drop sharply, pointing to US$75/barrel; market uncertainty risks increase, and trading needs to be cautious.
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The trend of crude oil bottomed out twice in a row and closed up. There is a certain signal of bottoming out in the short term. There may be a continuation of the rebound in the market outlook, but the upper side needs to pay attention to the resistance of the middle rail line. Under pressure, there is a risk of going lower again. At the top, focus on the resistance around $80.40/barrel, and the operation is mainly short-selling
Crude oil, today's strategy is bearish
Crude oil is now clearly in a bearish trend. The k-line starts to exert force from the upper rail, the big Yin line breaks through the middle rail, and the k-line goes all the way south to the lower rail. At present, the k-line directly dives downward, and the Bollinger Band track is also opened downward. The opening is gradually enlarged, the lower triple bottom is near 79.0, the big Yinxian will inevitably break through, empty, 79.0 air
The market continues to consolidate weakly in the bottom area, and the overall oscillation at the support level of the trend line has now converged. We can clearly see from the attached picture below that the bottom area signal has appeared yesterday, and the bottom area in the early stage is relatively stable. In terms of a wave of rebound, yesterday’s intraday reappearance is relatively a rebound. In the short term, we can focus on the pressure. Only when we recover the lost ground will we go up further. , the specific suggestions are as follows:
Operating strategy: crude oil 79.0 empty, take profit 78.5-78.0,
Crude oil 78.0 into,