Can oil prices continue to be shorted? Of courseSaudi Arabia made a major strategic shift, willing to accept low oil prices and unwilling to cut supply.
Oil prices fell sharply as a result.
It is expected that oil prices will hit 55-56 in the short term, so the operation is still mainly shorting oil prices. Overcapacity.
Usoilshort
Short on Oil/Back to 57$ SOONI believe we can continue the retest of previous major support level at 65-66$ and fibonacci 0.618. This major support will be flipped to resistance in my opinion. We can see a significant sell-off back towards the 57$ area and below from this location.
I will be looking to enter a short trade from the 0.618 region/66$ if there is a rejection.
My mid-term/end-of-year prediction for US OIL is between 45-50$ and possibly lower.
If you believe in the fundamentals and idea of this setup, feel free to follow and use it.
Not financial advice.
Market Analysis and Trading Strategy of USOILThe USOIL market has witnessed significant fluctuations recently. Yesterday, the price broke below the key support level of $61.5, and then it has been declining all the way. As of today, it has approached the vicinity of $59.5. This downward trend reflects that the bearish force currently dominates the market.
From a technical analysis perspective, once the support level of $61.5 is broken, its nature will transform into a strong resistance level. The rapid decline of the price to $59.5 indicates strong bearish momentum. Currently, the focus of the market is on the $59 mark, which is of crucial importance. If this support level is breached, according to the continuity of the price trend and the technical pattern, USOIL is highly likely to continue to decline further. The next important support level is around $57.5. Conversely, if the price can be effectively supported near $59, based on the technical repair demand after being oversold, the price is expected to rebound.
Based on the above analysis, in terms of trading strategy, investors can consider taking a short position near $60. If the price breaks below $59, the short position can be held, with the target price set at $57.5. If the price stabilizes and rebounds near $59, the stop-loss order should be executed in a timely manner to avoid expanding losses. Given the frequent release of important data recently and the significant impact of these data, market volatility will increase significantly. Investors must trade with caution, strictly control their positions, and set reasonable stop-loss levels to cope with the possible sharp price fluctuations.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
USOIL: Recent Analysis and Trading StrategiesOver the past two weeks, USOIL has been continuously fluctuating and consolidating within the price range of $61.5 - $64.5. The overall trend shows a pattern of rising first and then falling. During the upward phase, the bullish momentum was scarce, making it difficult to achieve an effective breakthrough. Subsequently, it shifted into a downward trend. Yesterday's market situation was particularly typical. It opened higher at $63.5 in the early trading session and then declined all the way. It not only broke below the key support level of $61.5 but also had weak rebound strength. Currently, the price is still hovering around this support level, indicating the market's indecision.
Currently, most investment institutions hold a pessimistic view on the future of USOIL. However, it is worth noting that the price has touched the support level of $61.5 five times in the past two weeks. Although it briefly broke below this level twice, it failed to effectively form a trending breakthrough. The principle that "if a support level can't be broken after repeated attempts, there will be a rebound" has been verified many times in similar situations, suggesting that there may be strong potential buying power at this support level.
Based on the above analysis, today's trading strategy is recommended to maintain a cautiously bearish tone, but it is necessary to closely guard against potential technical rebound risks. During the trading process, it is essential to set stop-loss levels strictly to avoid the expansion of losses due to sudden market movements. At the same time, it is advisable to reduce aggressive trading and mainly adopt a wait-and-see approach. Be patient and wait for clearer trend signals, and then choose the right time to enter the market when the market direction becomes more explicit.
USOIL
sell@62-62.5
tp:61-60.5
sl:62.8
In the future, we will continue to monitor the market changes and update the trading strategies in real time.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
The price fluctuation range of USOIL is quite obvious.In the past two weeks, USOIL has been continuously fluctuating within the price range of $61.5 - $64.5. Its trend shows a pattern of rising first and then falling. During the upward phase, there was a slight lack of momentum, and subsequently, it entered a downward channel. This kind of fluctuation is not isolated but has complex underlying causes.
In terms of trading strategies, given that the current price fluctuation range is relatively clear, a strategy of selling high and buying low within the range of $61.5 - $64.5 can be considered. However, it should be noted that once the price breaks through the above-mentioned range, the strategy should be adjusted in a timely manner to follow the market trend, and one should be on guard against the risks brought about by a one-sided market.
USOIL
sell:63.5-64
tp:62.5-62
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
#USOIL 4HUSOIL (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The chart is forming a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, which often signals a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly visible, and the neckline is an important support zone to monitor.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may be considered if the price breaks and closes below the neckline with confirmation. This breakdown could indicate the start of a bearish trend continuation.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Look for a sell setup once the neckline is broken and retested as resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Positioned above the right shoulder to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target nearby support zones or use a measured move technique based on the pattern's height.
Market Sentiment:
As long as the neckline holds and the breakdown is confirmed, bearish momentum is likely. A failure to break below the neckline would delay or invalidate the selling setup.
Is this still the ‘Top Trade’ of 2025? (WTI crude oil)It’s not a big secret actually- I’m talking about crude oil!
In the final week of 2024, the team and I highlighted two versions of the WTI crude oil weekly chart and asked ‘is this the top trade of 2024?’
Version 1 has already happened, WTI crude hit $55 per barrel, the downside objective of the smaller triangle pattern on the chart.
Version 2 showed a much larger triangle pattern (which we show again this week) and had a downside target of nearly $30! It would take a lot of conviction to ride the price that far down, but could crude oil still move a lot lower this year?
What’s interesting is that this is still one of the ‘less talked about’ situations in the market today because of the huge volatility seen in both stocks, forex and fixed income.
And I like that nobody’st talking about it - because you don’t want everyone in on it - that means the move could already be over.
Crude oil hit a five-year low. That’s meaningful.
Strong markets don’t hit 5-year lows, weak markets do. And we like to sell weak markets.
Of course, ‘oversold markets’ hit 5-year lows too - and that largely explains the ‘bottom feeders’ who bought WTI crude oil at $55.
Downside volatility got extreme owing to Trump’s tariffs and mean-reversion helped it rebound on news of the 90-day pause, much like stock markets.
I am completely open to the idea that $55 is a multi-year low and essentially marked the bottom. The huge Hammer reversal candlestick pattern adds weight to that idea.
But with the price having hit $65 last week, buying the lows is yesterday’s trade. What do we do today?
We will be looking to do what we said in Week 53 of 2024 in case crude oil turns out to be the ‘top trade of 2025’ as we imagined.
By the way, Brent crude oil has a very similar setup so this is not a ‘US oil’ thing.
There are two parts to trading ‘planning the trade, and trading the plan’.
There isn’t much use in making a plan, and not taking the trade.
There are always reasons not to take a trade- but if it’s a ‘good trade’ that fits the rules of your trading strategy, then those reasons are usually just ‘noise’.
WTI Crude (USO/USD)
Long term chart (weekly)
Trend: Down
Phase: Re-test of breakdown
Resistance = $70
Support = $55
Price action: Price has broken down, rebounded and is now testing the breakdown level, while under the 30-week moving average. Should the price break back over the broken long term rising trendline then we know the idea, or at least the timing on the idea is not right.
View: Bearish while under broken up-sloping long term support
Bullish on USOILAs the chart shows, in the 1 - hour timeframe, USOIL is in an upward - trending channel 📈. The price fluctuates upwards between two trendlines. Despite pullbacks, the uptrend persists, suggesting short - term bullish dominance. Still, the frequent swings reveal ongoing bull - bear market battles.📈
⚡⚡⚡ USOIL ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@61.5 - 62.0
🚀 TP 63.5 - 65.0
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
USOIL Opening Trends and Trading Strategies Next WeekTrend Analysis
As shown in the chart, in the 1 - hour time frame, USOIL is moving within an upward - trending channel 📈. This channel is defined by two trendlines, and the price is fluctuating upwards within it. Although there have been pullback trends during this period, the overall trend remains upward. This indicates that in the short term, the bullish forces are relatively dominant, driving the price to gradually climb 📈. However, the frequent price fluctuations also reflect a certain degree of game - playing between the bulls and bears in the market 🤺.
⚡⚡⚡ USOIL ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@61.5 - 62.0
🚀 TP 63.5 - 65.0
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialCrude oil lacks upward momentum, with the target pointing to $60.
USOIL
sell@62.8-63.3
tp:61.5-61
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Primary and secondary rhythm: sudden drop in crude oil pricesLast week, OPEC announced a new compensation plan to offset previous overproduction. Under the plan, eight affected countries plan to reduce production by a total of 457,000 barrels per day by mid-2026, failing to sustain a short-term rise in oil prices.
Crude oil's short-term trend hit strong resistance near 64.90 and fell, with the decline erasing the gains of the previous three trading days. The MACD fast and slow lines remain within bearish momentum, indicating abundant downward momentum. From the perspective of primary and secondary rhythms, the decline in the North American market yesterday formed a primary downward trend, while the weak rebound in early trading today represents a secondary rhythm. According to the law of primary-secondary alternation, crude oil is expected to continue to decline today, breaking below the 61.50 support level and testing 60.
USOIL
sell@62.8-63.3
tp:61.5-61
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialYesterday's strategic analysis noted that U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports limited crude oil's upside, though short-term rebounds occurred. Combined with the U.S. plan to zero out Iranian energy exports, short-term news-driven oil price gains primarily reflect supply disruptions and sentiment repair rather than fundamental improvements.
While U.S.-Iran sanctions and OPEC quota adjustments may trigger periodic tensions, intensified global trade concerns and institutional downward revisions to demand forecasts will cap the upside potential of oil price rebounds.
USOIL
sell:64.5-65
tp:63-62
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
USOILCrude oil currently has a low opening and low trend in the 4-hour level, and the price has fallen below the short-term moving average. The K-line began to bear the pressure and the short-term moving average maintained a weaker oscillating trend. In the hourly level trend, after the European session, the price fell below the previous terraced support band. In the short-term trend, there is a high probability that there will be room for continued adjustment.
Operational suggestions: short near 63, stop loss 63.7, or long near 61-61.1, stop loss 60.3.
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialDriven by the U.S. sanctions on Iran's oil exports, crude oil rebounded in the short term. OPEC has received updated compensation production reduction plans from eight countries (reducing daily oil production by 305,000 barrels until June 2026), coupled with the U.S. intention to reduce Iran's energy exports to zero. The recent oil price rally is primarily driven by short-term news, reflecting supply disruptions and sentiment repair rather than fundamental improvements.
Although U.S.-Iran sanctions and OPEC quota adjustments may trigger periodic tensions, escalating global trade concerns and institutional downward revisions to demand forecasts will limit the upside of oil price rebounds.
USOIL
buy@62-63
tp:64-65
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Recent correlation breakdown between $USOIL and $DXYUsually, market watchers will say if the Dollar index TVC:DXY is down then commodities like Crude Oil and Gold should outperform. But recent market events have invalidated this assessment. Since 2022 we see that there is a correlation breakdown between TVC:USOIL and $DXY. These 2 indexes have been moving in tandem recently. In 2025 we saw a massive sale in the TVC:DXY and a similar downturn in the US Dollar index. With TVC:DXY below 100 and TVC:USOIL recently below 60 $, these 2 indexes are clearly indicating a US recession with low Oil demand.
IN this chart we see that the next key support levels in TVC:USOIL is 54 $. If we go below 54 $ then the next level to watch will be 35 $. That will be a recessionary scenario last seen during COVID lows. That can bring down the TVC:DXY to 90 levels. All those will indicate a deep recession which is not my base case scenario. My assessment we will see TVC:USOIL @ 55 $ and TVC:DXY @ 95 and then we will hover around those levels.
Verdict: TVC:USOIL can touch 55 $ if TVC:DXY touches 95.
USOIL Today's strategyWith the combination of oversupply, weak demand, technical factors, and geopolitical uncertainties, there is a high probability of a short-term decline in USOIL prices. Investors should closely monitor the dynamic changes.
USOIL
sell@61.5-62
tp:60.5-60
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Daily Analysis of USOILChanges in Crude Oil Supply and Demand:
Demand Side: China imposes tariffs on U.S. crude oil, raising the import cost and reducing the import volume. The United States imposes tariffs on energy imports from Canada and Mexico, affecting the crude oil exports of these two countries to the U.S., reducing the demand for crude oil in the United States and putting pressure on the price of USOIL 😟.
Supply Side: After China reduces its imports of U.S. crude oil, it increases imports from other exporting countries, changing the global crude oil supply pattern and possibly strengthening the expectation of a supply surplus. The decrease in U.S. crude oil exports may lead to an increase in domestic inventory, exerting downward pressure on the price of USOIL 😣.
💰💰💰 USOIL💰💰💰
🎯 Sell@61.0 - 61.2
🎯 TP 59.5 - 59.5
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
The accuracy rate of our daily signals has remained above 98% within a month! 📈 We sincerely welcome you to join our channel and share in the success with us! 🌟
USOIL Today's strategyCurrently, USOIL is fluctuating within a range without a clear directional bias. If it stably breaks through the range of $63 to $64, it is highly likely to continue rising. Conversely, if it fails to break through, it may trigger a decline towards the range of $59 to $57.
USOIL
sell@63-62
tp:60-59
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
USOIL Today's strategyCurrently, USOIL is in a stage of a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Fundamentally, it is being pulled in two directions by geopolitical risks and weak demand, while technically, it shows a pattern of oscillating and converging. It is recommended to focus on range trading, pay close attention to the breakthrough situation of the resistance at $62 and the support at $57, and adjust the position flexibly.
USOIL
sell@62-63
tp:60-59
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Strategic Analysis of Crude Oil for Next WeekBehind the current fluctuations in international oil prices lies the market's deep anxiety over the extreme uncertainty of global trade policies. Trump's "suspension + escalation" approach has, in the short term, stabilized relations with non - Chinese economies, but it has also dealt a blow to the global supply chain and energy consumption confidence.
In terms of the trading ideas for crude oil next week, it is recommended to mainly go short at high levels during rebounds and go long at low levels during pullbacks as a supplement. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance level in the range of 62.8 - 63.2. In the short term, focus on the support level in the range of 60.5 - 59.5.
Oil trading strategy:
sell @ 61.90-62.10
sl 62.80
tp 61.70-61.40
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!