Crude oil's Strong Return: Exclusive Trading Strategy and LayoutOverall, yesterday's market can be considered as a one-sided upward trend within the day. Both crude oil and gold gave a wonderful performance on the upward path yesterday. Gold reached a record high yesterday, and crude oil didn't show any weakness either, breaking through the $71 mark in one go. Traders who followed John's advice yesterday are believed to have reaped good profits. The data released by the US Energy Information Administration yesterday showed a decrease in production, which further pushed crude oil above $71 and to the current high of $71.8. Every time crude oil is at a crucial juncture and needs to choose a direction, there will be bullish news in the market to support it. This is caused by the excessive instability resulting from the current turbulent international situation, and Trump's fickle policies also lead to the dual nature of the market that makes it prone to fluctuations.
Crude oil reached around $71.8 at its highest point yesterday, and the trend and price levels basically met the expectations. Judging from the current trend of crude oil, there are signs of a continued rebound. The resistance levels above are $72.5, $73.3 and $74 respectively, while the support levels below are $70.9, $70.4 and $69.9 respectively.
USOIL
buy@70-70.5
tp:72-73
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Usoilshort
OIL Today's strategyThe prospects for global economic growth have become dismal due to the tariff policy. When the United States imposes additional tariffs on all goods, the costs of international trade will increase significantly, and trade exchanges among countries will inevitably be curbed. The profit margins of many enterprises that rely on imports and exports will be severely squeezed, and their production scales are likely to be reduced accordingly, which in turn will lead to a decrease in the activity level of industrial activities. Since industrial production has always accounted for a large proportion of the demand for crude oil, the contraction of industrial activities will surely deal a heavy blow to the demand side of crude oil.
Trump's comprehensive tariff policy has a negative impact on the crude oil market from multiple dimensions, such as economic growth, OPEC strategies, inventory, and financial market speculation. Therefore, it is expected that the price of crude oil will show a downward trend in the coming period.
OIL Today's strategy
sell@70-70.5
tp:69-68.5
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OIL Today's strategyIn view of the fact that a large number of news items with a significant influence on the market trend are about to be released today, before the news breaks, we can conduct transactions within the established price range by adopting the strategy of selling high and buying low. In order to effectively control risks and seize potential profit opportunities at the same time, it is advisable that you keep your position within 20%.
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USOIL is expected to rise to 72.200I. Supply and Demand
(1) Supply
OPEC+ plans 200,000 bpd monthly production hikes in 2025, yet may deepen cuts if prices drop. In 2016, cuts reversed a price slump. EIA projects 440,000 bpd US output growth in 2025, but shale oil costs and regulations could limit growth.
(2) Demand
Global economic recovery, especially in emerging economies, will lift oil demand in manufacturing and transportation. Also, rising temperatures will boost construction and agricultural oil demand.
II. Geopolitics
The Middle East’s instability, such as the Israel - Palestine conflict and Iran nuclear issue, may disrupt oil supplies. US sanctions on Iran also disrupt global supply.
III. Macroeconomy
Loose monetary policies in many countries are weakening the dollar. Since oil is dollar - denominated, a weaker dollar spurs demand. Rising inflation expectations also prompt investors to hedge with oil.
IV. Market Sentiment
Optimism about oil demand and supply concerns boost investor confidence. Geopolitical and economic uncertainties drive up oil’s safe - haven demand.
Overall, multiple factors favor USOIL price increases. But markets are volatile—investors should stay alert.
💎💎💎 USOIL 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@70.200 - 70.500
🎁 TP 71.800 - 72.200
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Crude oil meets resistance at high levels, it is time to go shorAlthough we have used the daily line to re-count the waves, and explained that the current rising market is in the 2nd wave rebound of the daily line, which is the sub-wave c of wave 2, the market is still in a bearish trend in the daily line. After the market has completed this wave of 2nd wave rebound and adjustment, it will continue to fall by 3 waves. In the 4-hour market, the current market has not risen above 72.90 US dollars. We can still regard it as a rebound of 3-2 waves, or a rebound of the main wave 4. The main decline wave 1 of 4 hours fell from 76.57 US dollars to 69.80 US dollars, a drop of 6.77 US dollars, and the current 4-hour main decline wave 3 fell from 72.90 US dollars to 64. .85 dollars fell to 8.05 dollars. Why can it be either 3-2 waves or 4 waves? Because the current 8.05 dollars is larger than the decline of the main decline wave 1, it can be regarded as 3 waves, and the current rebound is very strong, so it can be regarded as 4 waves, but I think from the perspective of the main decline wave 3 in 4 hours, the decline should be more than that, it should be greater than 10 US dollars, so it can also be regarded as a rebound of 3-2 waves. The key is whether this wave of rise will break 72.90 US dollars. If it breaks, it will be a sub-wave of the main decline wave 1 in 4 hours. Therefore, our trading ideas today do not have a main direction. The market will make orders when the strategy reaches that first.
Today's crude oil recommendations: 1. Short at 72.65 US dollars, stop loss 30 points, and take profit 70.60 US dollars.
OIL Today's strategyAt present, it appears that USOIL has clearly defined its upward direction.
Looking back at the recent trend of USOIL, although the overall price fluctuations have been rather complex, the upward trend has become increasingly prominent. Previously, the market had doubts about the direction of oil prices at multiple stages, and the price hovered around the dividing point, with both buyers and sellers in the market engaging in a fierce battle.
However, as time went by, USOIL broke through this obstacle with strong momentum, demonstrating the dominance of the bullish forces and also clarifying the direction for the subsequent trend.
USOIL
buy@70-70.5
sell:71.5-72
Here is a reminder again.We need to carefully analyze how the various data that will be released next will affect the market, so as to determine the correct direction for our subsequent trading activities.
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USOIL-Sell in the 71.6-72 rangeUSOIL has also experienced a strong uptrend recently, driven by news events. However, as we all know, "what goes up must come down"—even in a one-sided market, technical corrections are inevitable. Right now, we are seeing a perfect opportunity for a pullback-based short trade after the sharp rally.
Trading Recommendation:
📉 Sell in the 71.6-72 range
What to do if crude oil rises? The latest layout strategyCrude oil futures showed volatility during the day on Monday. Prices rose sharply in early European trading, breaking through the 70.00 integer mark and then falling back, but still fluctuating at a relatively high level. Oil prices rose slightly after countries importing Russian oil imposed tariffs of 25% to 50%. Brent crude oil futures climbed and WTI also rose. However, gains were limited as traders questioned the seriousness of the proposal. ING Group pointed out that the market was "fatigued" by Washington's tariff rhetoric, indicating that the crude oil market was unlikely to react strongly without concrete actions.
Crude oil plan: Crude oil is recommended to retreat to 70.0-69.5, with a target of 71.0-72.0 and a stop loss of 0.5 US dollars.
If oil prices break below $69.0/barrel, this will stop the expected bullish trend and push oil prices to regain the main trend of volatility.
It is expected that today's oil prices will trade between the support level of $69.0/barrel and the resistance level of $72.0/barrel.
USOIL: Next Week's Blueprint for Profit Amid VolatilityDuring the US trading session on Friday, March 28th, international oil prices fluctuated slightly and declined. However, both Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil remained firmly near their one - month highs and were projected to register "three consecutive weekly gains" on the weekly chart. The ongoing tug - of - war between the supply tightness instigated by geopolitical unrest and the latent concerns regarding an economic downturn has placed oil prices in a volatile state of being "caught between a rock and a hard place".
From the perspective of the USOIL daily chart, following the medium - term trend's breach of the lower edge of the range, it has predominantly fluctuated around lower levels. The oil price has experienced consecutive short - term increases, breaking through the suppression of the moving average system, and the medium - term objective trend has entered a transition phase. Nevertheless, in terms of kinetic energy, neither the bulls nor the bears have demonstrated a clear - cut inclination to overpower the other. It is anticipated that the medium - term trend will persist in its volatile rhythm for a while, awaiting the establishment of a distinct trend direction.
The short - term (1H) trend of USOIL has not continuously set new highs and has exhibited a pattern of high - level consolidation. The short - term objective trend remains upward. In the early trading session, the oil price underwent a narrow adjustment at a high level, presenting an overall secondary rhythm with a sound internal rhythm. The fundamental objective trend during the week has been upward in sync, and it is highly likely that the short - term trend of USOIL will continue its upward trajectory next week.
USOIL
buy@68-68.5
tp:69.5-70
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USOIL: GO short positions during the oscillation at a high levelThe short-term trend of crude oil has been oscillating and declining at a high level. The oil price has broken below the moving average system, and the objective short-term trend has entered a transition period. The bearish momentum is gradually intensifying, and the oil price dropped below 70 in the early trading session. In the 4-hour chart, the objective short-term trend direction within this week still remains upward. The trading strategy for crude oil still mainly focuses on the oscillation and decline at a high level.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.8-70
TP:69-68.5
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USOILstrategiesThe fluctuation of crude oil prices is not large, and the range of mild fluctuations is 68.7-70.3. The subsequent market will make adjustments after breaking through. Today is the last trading day of March, and the monthly high of 70.5 has not been broken. It is necessary to pay attention to the profit-taking of crude oil prices. From a technical point of view, the 1-hour and 4-hour Bollinger bands are basically maintained in the range of 68.7-70 at the same time, and 7 points of deviation can be reserved above and below. Overall, the trend of crude oil will first fluctuate in a small range, and major changes should wait until the K-line appears on Tuesday in April before choosing a direction.
Crude oil strategy:.
1. Go long in the 68.7-68.5 area when retreating, stop loss 68, target 69.5-70.5,
2. Go short when the rebound first touches the 70-70.3 area, stop loss 70.8, target 69.3-68.7,
USOIL Strategy AnalysisUS crude oil inventories have declined, while expectations of tariff hikes by Trump on Russia and Iran provided short-term market catalysts. However, the economic implications of such measures have also fueled concerns about growth, leading crude oil prices to retrace after a rebound.
For intraday crude oil trading, prioritize selling on rallies with buying on dips as a secondary strategy.
Oil trading strategy:
sell @ 69.4-69.7
sl 70.2
tp 68.7-68.9
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OIL Today's strategyAfter continuously testing the resistance level between 70 and 70.5, it started to decline and is currently in a downward trend. When it is near this area, you may continue to engage in short selling.
USOIL
sell@69.8-70.3
tp:69-68.5
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Tariffs can have a significant impact on USOILThe expiration of the extended US import tariffs on Canada and Mexico next Wednesday may impact USOIL:
Supply : Tariffs could disrupt US-Canada crude oil trade, cutting US supply and raising prices. Trade pattern changes may also affect global supply and USOIL prices.
Demand : Tariffs may slow economic growth, reducing crude oil demand and exerting downward price pressure. Uncertainty dampens consumer and business confidence, further suppressing demand.
Market Sentiment & Finance : Policy changes heighten uncertainty, making investors cautious and increasing USOIL price volatility. Capital may flow out, pressuring prices, but portfolio adjustments for hedging could support them.
Also, OPEC and non-OPEC plans to end production cuts in April may boost global supply and lower USOIL prices.
USOIL:Continue to sell at highs tomorrowAfter breaking below the lower edge of the range, the medium-term trend of crude oil has been continuously moving in a secondary oscillation around low levels. In terms of momentum, neither the bullish nor bearish momentum has significantly overwhelmed the other, and there has been no continuation of the bullish trend.
Regarding the support level, we should first consider the 68.5 mark, which was an important resistance level that the oil price previously broke through. For tomorrow's trading operations, it is advisable to mainly consider selling at highs.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@70-70.5
TP:69-68.5
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USOIL:Analysis of the Oil Market Trend for Next WeekAmid the anticipated trade uncertainties, concerns on the supply side have resurfaced. With the April 2nd tariff effective date approaching, the market is taking a cautious stance in the short - term. Supported by the decline in oil inventories and the prevailing concerns, oil prices have rebounded and are nearing the resistance range. In the medium - term, the market is constrained by the expected slowdown in global demand, and the focus is on waiting for the resistance test.
Strategy recommendations: Given the range - bound trading, consider short - selling at high levels and buying at low levels.
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USOil:Profit realized by shorting on reboundsOn Thursday, crude oil dipped and then rallied towards the end of the trading session, reaching a low of around 69.1. Today, it rebounded to around 69.8 and then started to decline. The short-selling strategy implemented in the morning resulted in a profit.
Next, attention should be paid to whether the upper resistance level of 70 can be broken through. If it cannot be broken through in a short period of time, consider shorting again during the subsequent rebound.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.7-70
TP:68.5-68
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OIL Today's strategyIt started to decline after testing the resistance at 70-70.5. You can continue to take short positions when it reaches this area.
USOIL
sell@70-70.5
tp:69-68.5
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USOil:When it rebounds to the resistance, continue go shortIn terms of crude oil, in the short term, with the decline in US crude oil inventories, the escalation of US sanctions against Iran and Venezuela, and the resumption of hostilities between Russia and Ukraine, efforts at reconciliation have been ineffective. Therefore, the short-term market has hyped up the reduction in crude oil supply, causing crude oil to fluctuate repeatedly at high levels without being able to decline. However, as tariffs are upgraded and concerns about the global economic downturn intensify, the demand for crude oil has further decreased. At the same time, in order to control inflation, the control of crude oil prices remains a top priority.
Therefore, the medium- to long-term downward trend remains unchanged. Currently, from a technical perspective, when crude oil rebounds to the resistance level, it is advisable to continue taking short positions as before.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.7-70
TP:68.5-68
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OIL Today's strategy
It fell again near the test $70 level, proving that the resistance level is effective.
We can go short and buy near $70
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Continue to be bearish.Supply : The United States has intensified its energy sanctions against Iran. Attacks on Saudi facilities have affected their performance. The OPEC+ will gradually lift the voluntary production cuts starting from April and may increase production for the second time in May. The 30-day ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has not been effectively implemented in substance. However, recently, the United States, Russia, and Ukraine have reached some consensus on Black Sea navigation and the protection of energy facilities.
From a technical perspective, when the price repeatedly encounters resistance below an important resistance level and fails to achieve an effective breakthrough, it is often a bearish signal. This implies that the selling force in the market is dominant. Once the price starts to retrace due to its inability to break through the resistance, it may initiate a downward trend. Therefore, based on the strong resistance level at 70.000, there is a certain basis in technical analysis for a bearish outlook.
💎💎💎 USOIL 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@70.000 - 70.200
🎁 TP 68.5 68.0 67.5
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USOIL:Pay attention to the short-term adjustmentCurrently, in the 4-hour time frame, the crude oil price is temporarily maintaining a high-level oscillatory consolidation. However, after consecutive periods of oscillation, there are signs that the technical pattern is gradually weakening. The short-term moving averages are beginning to gradually turn downward and diverge, and the K-line is starting to be under pressure from the short-term moving averages, maintaining a slightly weaker operating trend. It is believed that there may still be a certain room for adjustment in the short-term trend. In terms of trading operations, consider the short position opportunity around 69.7-70.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.7-70
TP:68
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