Crude Oil Analysis TodayCrude oil tested high yesterday and fell back. First, the inertia rushed above 85.3 and was under pressure. The European and American markets oscillated and backtested and corrected. Finally, the daily line harvested the Xiaoyin K line. After the daily yang line turned to the small yin K line for correction, the current space is enough to form the top, which is only regarded as a partial callback correction. The upward trend is slowing down, and after the correction, it will regain its momentum to rise again, but it will become volatile in the short term, changing from a strong rise to a slow rise in shock. Today's weekly line ends. Pay attention to the rhythm of the short-term, it should be to step back first, then start to stabilize and slowly recover the lost ground. The 4-hour chart is in a partial correction in the rising wave, and the indicators in the attached picture are in the overbought area to be digested.
At present, the whole is running above the upward trend line, and today's short-term may step back to confirm the support of the upward trend line. The European and American markets started to rebound again. The support points are mainly concentrated at 82-81.5. There is still a certain distance at present, and of course strong corrections may not reach it. At present, it is necessary to wait for the magnitude of the correction. The main idea is to maintain the low and many positions after the backtest, but the long position should be rearranged according to the intraday pattern. After all, there has been a partial correction in the small cycle. Coupled with the closing of the week, the short-term may enter a volatile ending. In terms of operation, it is subject to the market, and the tentative thinking is to wait for the step back and then go long.
Crude oil operation strategy: SELL84.1-84.5 short, stop loss 60pips, target below 83.
Crude oil operation strategy: step back to more than 81.6-82, stop loss 60pips, target above 83.5.
The current crude oil spread is large, stop loss friends and the entry position can be set to 60pips
Usoilshort
Crude oil unilaterally rises, step back and go long today9/8Daily level, rising unilaterally; oil prices have continued to rise since the end of June, and are currently encountering strong resistance near the April high of 83.51. They have risen and held for two consecutive trading days, and closed close to the "cross star" K line on Monday, further reflecting the upper resistance Stronger, the short-term faces greater callback pressure, and even the risk of peaking. After the MACD diverges from the high level, there is a dead cross trend. The KDJ dead cross signal continues. The initial support below is around the 10-day moving average 81.14, and then the support near the 80 integer mark , The strong support is near the 21-day moving average of 78.5988, and the support at the low point last week is also near this position. If this support is lost, it will increase the bearish signal in the market outlook. The initial resistance above is around the intraday high of 82.47. If it can break through this position, it will weaken the short-term bearish signal; if it can break through the resistance around 83.51 strongly, you need to beware of the short-term rapid pull up of the market after the short-term is stopped. For resistance, refer to the position near the low of 84.70 on November 10. On the whole, the short-term operation of crude oil today is recommended to step back on the low and buy, and rebound and short for caution.
Crude oil operation strategy:
Rebound to 83.2-83.5 short, stop loss 83.9, near TP81.8.
Step back to 81-81.3 to do more, stop loss 80.5, near TP82.5.
USOIL:Trading strategy
International oil prices have risen continuously, from 67 in June to the current 83, a full 22% increase in more than a month, which has also caused a significant increase in international energy costs.Domestic oil prices have been raised many times in a row.
However, this year's high is around 83.5. In the past more than a year, it has failed to break through six consecutive upward surges. This time, it is difficult to say that it will rise directly.Therefore, after oil prices have reached a high level, the shock has begun to intensify, and it is obvious that the previous long funds have begun to retreat.
Usoil Today's trade building:
Usoil:sell84-84.3 TP:83.7-83.2
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Crude Oil: Trend Analysis Strategies
U.S. oil first fluctuated within a very narrow range, and U.S. oil rose again wildly during the European session, and the pressure was measured above 84. Although U.S. oil is strong again, this trend is extremely abnormal, and technically does not support this extreme upward state. Instead, we should pay attention to whether the follow-up bulls can continue to provide this extreme upward momentum.
The belt continues to open upwards, and the trend of long prices has not reversed. The decline is just a normal callback. Only when it falls can it rise higher. The small Yang line with a long lower shadow line is closed. It is expected that the lower support will be strong. Short-term prices have Possibility of going higher. 4 hours, with signs of opening, the price formed a high-level shock after recovering the lost ground. It is expected that the short-term pullback will not be very strong. The lower middle track line is supported by the 81.9-82.1 area. After the price rebounds and confirms stabilization, you can place multiple orders field.
Operation strategy: callback 84.6-area short, target 84.9-85.1
81.90 and 80.90 are long respectively, with a stop loss of 70 points and a stop profit of 200 points.
Daily line level, unilateral rise; moving average long line, MACDaily line level, unilateral rise; moving average long line, MACD golden cross, KDJ high passivation, before falling below the 5-day moving average 81.76, there is still a chance for oil prices to rise further, focus on the resistance near the April high of 83.51, if it can top If this resistance is broken, it is expected to open up new upside space. For further resistance, refer to the position near the high point of 84.70 on November 10, and the resistance at the high point of November 16 is around 87.48. However, the resistance near 83.51 is strong, and the MACD has initially sent a top divergence signal. It is necessary to beware of the risk of oil price shocks and the possibility of shock adjustments. The lower 5-day moving average is supported around 81.76, and then the 10-day moving average is supported near 80.92, 80 The integer mark is also where the psychological support is. If this support is lost, it will increase the possibility of short-term peaking; last week’s low point support is around 78.68. For strong support, refer to the 21-day moving average around 78.19. If this support is lost, it will increase the bearish signal in the market outlook .
Crude oil operation strategy:
Rebound to 83.2-83.5 short, TP82.5, TP81.8
Step back to 81.4-81.7 to do more, TP82.4, TP83.2
USOIL: Crude oil strategy for MondayCrude oil trend analysis
Oil prices held firm on Friday and were on track for a sixth straight week of gains, as Saudi Arabia, the world's second-largest crude producer, extended output cuts and Russia, the world's third-largest crude producer, pledged to cut exports further. On Thursday, Saudi Arabia extended its voluntary oil production cut of 1 million barrels per day until the end of September, and the daily level of crude oil fluctuated at a high level; oil prices returned to above all moving averages on Thursday, and the MACD golden cross signal continued, weakening the short-term bearish signal. Beware of the possibility that oil prices will continue to fluctuate and rise. The initial resistance above is at this week's high point of 82.40. You can also refer to the position near the high point of 82.61 on January 23. For further resistance, refer to the position near the April high point of 83.51. If it can be broken further , it is expected to open up new upside space. As the high "swallowing bearish" signal has not been completely destroyed, the resistance around 83.51 is strong, but before breaking through the recent high of 82.40-83.51, we still need to beware of the possibility of oil price shocks and peaking. The initial support below refers to the 5-day moving average Around 81.39, the 10-day moving average support is currently around 80.45, the overnight low point support is around 78.68, and the 21-day moving average support is currently around 77.72. If this support is lost, the possibility of short-term peaking will increase.
Crude oil operation strategy:
SELL: 83.6-83.9
TP1: 83.2
TP2: 82.6
BUY: 81.7-82
TP1:82.5
TP2:83
Crude Oil: 4/8 Trading StrategiesCrude oil tested highs and fell back to lows yesterday, breaking the previous strong pattern of Lianyang. I mentioned the market after the slow rise of Lianyang, the daily line level: unilateral rise and then fall; after the oil price continued to rise, it met resistance near the strong resistance level and then fell back. The high level is similar to the "hanging man" K line followed by the big Yin line, Formed a bearish top signal, lost the 5-day moving average and 10-day moving average in a row, KDJ high dead cross, the possibility of oil price peaking in the short term is relatively high, and the market outlook is at least facing the risk of further correction. The initial support refers to the low point of July 25 near 78.27 Position, the July 13 high was supported around 77.31, and the stronger support was around the 200-day moving average of 76.59. The 38.2% retracement support of this round of rally is also near this position. If this support is lost, the market outlook will increase Bearish signal. If the oil price can hold the 200-day moving average, there is still a chance for the oil price to fluctuate higher in the middle line; in the short term, the initial resistance refers to the 80 integer mark, and the resistance of the 5-day moving average is currently around 80.71. If oil prices can quickly break through resistance near the overnight high of 82.40, it will add to the bullish signal in the market outlook.
Crude oil operation strategy:
Rebound to 83-83.2 short, stop 83.7., below the target 81.2.
Step back to 80.7-80.9 to do more, stop loss 80.2, above the target 82.2.
USOILSPOT Weekly Analysis: New Perspective and Follow-Up DetailsPrepare yourself for a thrilling week ahead as all eyes are fixated on the much-anticipated interest rate decision by the Fed. The question on every trader's mind is, will the Fed signal an end to this year's rate hikes? And if they do, brace yourself, because oil could be on the brink of a momentous breakthrough, turning that elusive $80 per barrel from resistance into rock-solid support!
Hold onto your hats, because the excitement doesn't stop there! Oil prices surged by nearly 2% on Friday, marking the fourth consecutive weekly gain. The market is abuzz with growing evidence of impending supply shortages, sending ripples of anticipation through the market. But that's not all—rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine add an extra layer of intrigue, potentially further impacting supplies. The stage is set, and the question on everyone's lips is, what lies ahead in the upcoming week?
US Oil Technical Analysis:
In this video, we delve deep into the 4-hour timeframe, dissecting key supply and demand zones to uncover invaluable insights into the potential trajectory of price action for USOILSPOT in the week ahead.
Don't miss out on this golden opportunity to elevate your understanding of the future path of USOILSPOT. Stay ahead of the curve and gain a distinct competitive edge by immersing yourself in this price-action-based technical analysis. Unlock the secrets of the oil market's evolution and be at the forefront of every profitable move.
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Crude oil analysis, today's long-short range is 81.2~78.2
International oil prices rose to a new high in more than 3-1/2 months yesterday, as API crude oil inventory data showed strong demand in the world's largest energy consumer, the United States, although demand concerns elsewhere limited gains. The latest data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed U.S. oil inventories fell by 15.4 million barrels in the week ended July 28, compared with analysts' expectations for a drop of 900,000 barrels. Official U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) data released on Wednesday matched that trend and will mark the biggest draw in U.S. crude inventories since 1982. Crude stockpiles elsewhere have also begun to decline as demand outstrips supply, while supply is constrained by sharp production cuts by Saudi Arabia, the de facto leader of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), supporting prices. Saudi Arabia is expected to extend its current voluntary output cut of 1 million barrels per day over the weekend for another month until September.
The daily level of crude oil rose unilaterally, and there is still a chance to go higher in the short term. Continue to pay attention to the resistance around the high point of 82.61 on January 23 and the high point of April 83.51. If the resistance around 83.51 is effectively broken, it is expected to open a new upward channel in the middle line , The midline target is expected to look around the 90 mark.
Crude oil operation strategy: rebound to 80.8-81.2 empty, stop loss 81.5., below the target 79.
Crude oil operation strategy: step back to 78.2-78.5 to do long, stop loss 77.8, target above 80.
Crude oil: Crude oil unexpectedly fell, but there is still a new
From the online point of view, there are signs of closure. The price has retreated sharply after encountering resistance near the upper rail. At present, it can only be regarded as an adjustment during the previous rise. The price will not just go down directly. It is expected that the short-term will be around 80 The dollar is consolidating around. With an opening in 4 hours, a big negative line directly fell below the first-line support of the middle rail, and it is currently stabilizing near the lower rail. The short-term price may test the low point of last night again. It is necessary to pay attention to the support at this position. If it can hold, then the short-term The price will have a chance to rebound again. The operation idea is to look at a wave of rebound after the price retraces and stabilizes.
Operation strategy: call back the 78.3-79 area to do long, stop loss at 79.6, and target 81 to short
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Crude oil: Crude oil unexpectedly fell, but there is still a new
From the online point of view, there are signs of closure. The price has retreated sharply after encountering resistance near the upper rail. At present, it can only be regarded as an adjustment during the previous rise. The price will not just go down directly. It is expected that the short-term will be around 80 The dollar is consolidating around. With an opening in 4 hours, a big negative line directly fell below the first-line support of the middle rail, and it is currently stabilizing near the lower rail. The short-term price may test the low point again. It is necessary to pay attention to the support at this position. If it can be held, the short-term price will go up There will be a chance to rebound again. The operation idea is to look at a wave of rebound after the price retreats and stabilizes.
Operation strategy: call back the 78.3-79 area to do long, stop loss at 78.4, target 80.5 and directly empty
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USOIL:i think it will continue to fall
Hello traders, I think crude oil will continue to fall, what do you think?
From the 4 hour chart
Near 79 is the support level of the last few rebounds. I think it can be regarded as a short-term watershed. If this support level is broken, the downside will open below. Conversely, if support is formed here again, you can wait to buy short positions near 80.7. From a margin perspective, the downside is significantly higher than the upside. Judging from the current K-line distribution, the signal of peaking at the high level is obvious, so I think it will fall below here, and then accelerate the decline.
Therefore, in terms of strategy, 79sell tp is around 77.3, and it will be around 76 after breaking the position
If you agree with my point of view, welcome to follow
TVC:USOIL FX:USOILSPOT BLACKBULL:USOIL.F
USOIL:I think shorting is the main
Hey traders, I think crude oil is about to reach a short position, what do you think?
From the 4-hour chart, the pressure of crude oil is around 77-77.2. If it does not break through 77.3, then the strategy can be shorted around 77-77.3. The target is first around 75.5, and after it breaks, look around 74.
If it reaches near 74 to form a support, then backhand to do more.
If you agree with my point of view, welcome to pay attention
BLACKBULL:USOIL.F FX:USOILSPOT TVC:USOIL
Oil Prices WILL Fall Demand concerns Fed Rate HikesOil prices continued to trend lower in morning trade in Asia, with WTI heading toward HKEX:78 and Brent moving closer to $82.
Canadian Government Admits It’s Short Tens Of Thousands Of Oil Workers
The Fed has repeatedly indicated that is it not done with rate hikes, which traders see as countering any growing demand from China.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: STRONG Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 79.46.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 73.95 level soon.
MY TARGETS
74.75
72.55
70.25
68.95
if boken, then
64,55
61,95
59,80
Potential Slowdown in Oil Price Ascent: Act Now to Stay AheadAs you may have noticed, oil prices have been consolidating from $74 to $77 per barrel. While this may initially seem optimistic, it is essential to consider the broader picture.
Upon analyzing the market indicators, it has come to my attention that the slow stochastics are showing a decline in oil prices. This could potentially indicate a slowdown in the current oil price ascent. As seasoned traders, we must avoid such market shifts and make informed decisions to protect our investments.
Considering the current situation, I strongly encourage you to take action and reassess your trading strategies to adapt to the changing market conditions. Here are a few steps you can consider:
1. Review your portfolio: Take a closer look at your current oil holdings and evaluate their performance in light of the recent consolidation and declining slow stochastics. Identify any potential vulnerabilities or areas for improvement.
2. Stay informed: Keep a close eye on the latest market news, trends, and expert opinions. Stay updated with relevant economic indicators, geopolitical developments, and other factors that could impact oil prices.
3. Diversify your approach: Consider diversifying your trading approach by exploring other energy commodities or related sectors. This can help mitigate risks and provide alternative profit opportunities.
4. Seek expert advice: Consult with experienced professionals or analysts in oil trading. They can provide valuable insights and help you navigate through the uncertainties of the market.
By taking proactive measures and staying ahead of the curve, we can position ourselves to make well-informed decisions and maximize our potential gains. Remember that the oil market is dynamic, and adapting to changing circumstances is essential for long-term success.
I encourage you to act promptly and thoughtfully. Assess the situation, gather information, and make informed decisions that align with your trading objectives and risk appetite.
USOIL: EIA data, bears
Last week's API data showed a very large gap between the expected value and the announced value, but the market reaction was not so large. It should be due to doubts about the data. In addition, the crude oil volume announced today is bullish for the market.
So although today's API crude oil inventory data is bearish for the market,but the market rallied.
Now we come to the resistance level near 76. If you judge from the perspective of data trading, you cannot rule out the possibility of tempting bulls, because usually the probability of EIA and API moving in the same direction is very high, so for EIA, short selling should be safer.
USOIL - Long active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs. I expect bullish price action from here as we can see that price filled the imbalance and rejected from bullish order block.
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Oil Slides Amidst Weaker China Economic Data China plays a significant role in the global economy, and any fluctuations in its economic performance can have far-reaching consequences. The recent release of weaker-than-expected economic indicators from China has raised serious concerns about the country's economic health. These indicators include a slowdown in industrial production, declining retail sales, and decreased fixed-asset investments.
Given China's status as the world's largest importer of oil, any economic downturn in the country is likely to directly impact oil demand and prices. We have already witnessed a significant oil price slide due to this unsettling news. The market sentiment has become increasingly bearish, and we must approach our oil investments cautiously during these uncertain times.
Therefore, I strongly encourage you to hold off on any immediate oil investments until we gain further clarity on the situation. It is essential to closely monitor the developments in China's economic landscape, as well as the subsequent impact on global oil demand. By exercising patience and prudence, we can avoid potential losses and make more informed decisions when the time is right.
In the coming weeks, I will closely monitor the market and keep a keen eye on China's economic indicators. I will keep you updated with any significant developments that may impact our investment strategies. Additionally, I urge you to stay informed through reliable sources and expert analysis to ensure you are well equipped to navigate these challenging market conditions.
Please remember that our primary goal is to protect our investments and maximize returns. We can safeguard our portfolios from unnecessary risks by adopting a cautious approach and refraining from impulsive oil investments.